CLA Akademi | Enerji Gazetesi

2020 World Oil Outlook 2045

Kategori : ELECTRICITY ENERGY NEWS, ENERGY AGENDA NEWS, OIL & FUEL SECTOR NEWS - Tarih : 10 November 2020


The overarching challenge of COVID-19 is expected to impair the growth rates in almost all economies over the medium-term. The average OECD growth rate will stand at 0.7% p.a. in the period from 2019 to 2025, compared to the pre-COVID-19 projected growth level of 2.1%p.a.

For non-OECD countries, GDP is expected to grow by 3.4% p.a. on average during the same period, which is more than 1 percentage point lower compared to past projections. In the long-term, incremental GDP growth will be mainly driven by non-OECD countries. These countries are expected to grow by 3.7% p.a. on average between 2019 and 2045, largely on theback of improving labour productivity, even as the pace of GDP growth begins to slow.

Long-term annual real GDP growth rates

   2019-2025  2025-2035  2035-2045  2019-2045
OECD America 1.0 2.3 2.3 2.0
OECD Europe 0.4 1.7 1.6 1.4
OECD Asia Oceania 0.7 1.3 1.2 1.1
OECD 0.7 1.9 1.9 1.6
Latin America 0.6 2.3 2.3 1.9
Middle East & Africa 2.3 3.8 4.4 3.7
India 4.9 6.3 5.4 5.6
China 4.9 4.2 2.8 3.9
Other Asia 3.2 4.2 3.4 3.7
OPEC 1.0 3.0 3.1 2.6
Russia 0.6 1.5 1.3 1.2
Other Eurasia 1.7 2.8 2.2 2.3
Non-OECD 3.4 4.2 3.5 3.7
World 2.3 3.3 3.0 2.9

Source: OPEC


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