{"id":97233,"date":"2019-08-16T16:26:11","date_gmt":"2019-08-16T13:26:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=97233"},"modified":"2019-08-16T16:30:01","modified_gmt":"2019-08-16T13:30:01","slug":"kritik-zirve-oncesinde-turkiyenin-iklim-plani-incelendi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/kritik-zirve-oncesinde-turkiyenin-iklim-plani-incelendi\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) Kritik Zirve \u00d6ncesinde ‘T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u0130klim Plan\u0131’ \u0130ncelendi"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

<\/p>\n

Paris Anla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019ndan bu yana en \u00f6nemli iklim zirvesi olan Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler \u0130klim Eylem Zirvesi\u2019ne iki aydan k\u0131sa bir s\u00fcre kald\u0131. Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler Genel Sekreteri Antonio Guterres liderlerden iklim eylem planlar\u0131n\u0131 yenilemelerini ve Paris Anla\u015fmas\u0131 hedeflerine uyumlu hale getirmelerini istiyor. \u00d6zellikle \u00fclke liderlerinden, ulusal iklim planlar\u0131n\u0131, k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nmay\u0131 2030 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar 1.5 derece ile s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131racak iklim eylemini ortaya koymalar\u0131n\u0131 talep ediyor.<\/strong><\/h1>\n

T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin de kat\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 zirve \u00f6ncesinde, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin<\/strong> Paris Anla\u015fmas\u0131 kapsam\u0131nda sunmu\u015f oldu\u011fu iklim plan\u0131na (INDC)<\/a> dair\u00a0\u00f6nemli yeni bir bilimsel \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma\u00a0yay\u0131mland\u0131.<\/strong> Emisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 en h\u0131zl\u0131 \"\"artt\u0131ran \u00fclkelerden biri olan T\u00fcrkiye, 2030\u2019da herhangi bir iklim politikas\u0131n\u0131n uygulanmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 baz (mevcut politikalar) senaryodan en az %21 emisyon azalt\u0131m hedefi vermi\u015fti.<\/p>\n

\u0130stanbul Politikalar Merkezi\u2019nden Bar\u0131\u015f Karap\u0131nar ve arkada\u015flar\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131mlanan bu modelleme \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, \u00f6ncelikle, en az %21 azalt\u0131m hedefi ile verilen baz senaryo projeksiyonun a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 derecede iyimser bir ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme varsayd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade ediyor.<\/p>\n

\u0130klim biliminin sayg\u0131n dergilerinden Climate Policy\u2019de yay\u0131mlanan \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma, bu y\u00fczden y\u0131ll\u0131k %3.7 ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00f6ng\u00f6ren daha ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i bir baz senaryo hesapl\u0131yor ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin iklim eylemsizli\u011fi durumunda bile 2030 y\u0131l\u0131nda resmi iklim plan\u0131ndan %9.4 daha az emisyonu olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n

Bar\u0131\u015f Karap\u0131nar ve arkada\u015flar\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan yap\u0131lan analizde ba\u015fka\u00a0\u00f6nemli ve \u00e7arp\u0131c\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar\u00a0da<\/strong> var. Analiz, bu ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i senaryo \u00fczerinden %21 azalt\u0131m\u0131n nas\u0131l yap\u0131labilece\u011fini ve b\u00f6yle bir azalt\u0131m\u0131n ekonomik ve sosyal etkilerini de inceliyor.<\/p>\n

Karbon Vergisi En Etkili \u0130klim Eylemi<\/strong><\/h2>\n

\u00c7al\u0131\u015fman\u0131n sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na g\u00f6re karbon vergisi uygulamas\u0131 hem emisyonlar\u0131 azalt\u0131yor hem de daha fazla istihdam ve gelir anlam\u0131na geliyor. Bu iklim eylemi T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin baz senaryodan en az %21 emisyon azalt\u0131m hedefi i\u00e7in kullan\u0131labilecek en etkin y\u00f6ntem olarak \u00f6n plana \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Y\u00fcksek emisyonlu sekt\u00f6rlerde (tar\u0131m, madencilik, petrol, termik santraller, ula\u015f\u0131m ve ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k) sal\u0131nan karbon \u00fczerine belirlenen tonaj de\u011ferinin %15 oran\u0131nda bir karbon vergisi uygulan\u0131rsa 2030 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar baz senaryodan\u00a0%22.5 emisyon azalt\u0131m\u0131\u00a0m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/strong> \u00c7al\u0131\u015fma ayr\u0131ca, karbon vergisinin,<\/strong> san\u0131lan\u0131n aksine, baz senaryoya g\u00f6re\u00a0ulusal geliri ve istihdam\u0131 da artt\u0131raca\u011f\u0131n\u0131\u00a0g\u00f6steriyor<\/strong>. \u00d6zellikle yenilenebilir sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde ortaya \u00e7\u0131kacak olan istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131 di\u011fer sekt\u00f6rlerdeki olas\u0131 azal\u0131\u015ftan \u00e7ok da y\u00fcksek olacak.<\/p>\n

\u00c7al\u0131\u015fma, ayn\u0131 zamanda bir ba\u015fka finansal ara\u00e7 olan emisyon ticaret sistemini de inceliyor ve baz senaryo hedefine uygun olarak serbest piyasan\u0131n karbon fiyat\u0131n\u0131 belirleyece\u011fi bir rejimde ise %11.3 oran\u0131nda bir emisyon azalt\u0131m\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015febilece\u011fini buluyor.<\/p>\n

Son olarak ise, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin iklim plan\u0131 kapsam\u0131nda verdi\u011fi yenilenebilir enerji hedefinin yani 2030 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar 10 GW g\u00fcne\u015f ve 16 GW r\u00fczgar kurulu g\u00fcc\u00fc hedefinin ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesinin tek ba\u015f\u0131na yetmeyece\u011fini ve bu hedef ile baz senaryodan %21 azalt\u0131m\u0131n m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 da \u00e7al\u0131\u015fman\u0131n sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 aras\u0131nda bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

Bar\u0131\u015f Karap\u0131nar – \u0130stanbul Politikalar Merkezi \/ Sabanc\u0131 \u00dcniversitesi
\nHasan Dudu – D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131
\n\u00d6zge Geyik – Deakin \u00dcniversitesi \/ Avustralya
\nAykut Mert Yakut – Ekonomik ve Sosyal Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc \/ \u0130rlanda<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language. Paris Anla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019ndan bu yana en \u00f6nemli iklim zirvesi olan Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler \u0130klim Eylem Zirvesi\u2019ne iki aydan k\u0131sa bir s\u00fcre kald\u0131. Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":97235,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53,52],"tags":[37543,55092,29746,55084,55087,55089,9054,4595,26559,55090,4686,55085,55088,26379,27289,26099,36832,7181,19314,11427,1471,55091,7974,846,55086,793],"views":449,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/97233"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=97233"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/97233\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/97235"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=97233"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=97233"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=97233"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}