{"id":95646,"date":"2019-07-09T08:36:06","date_gmt":"2019-07-09T05:36:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=95646"},"modified":"2019-07-09T08:40:25","modified_gmt":"2019-07-09T05:40:25","slug":"2040de-enerjideki-gelecegimiz-nasil-olacak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/2040de-enerjideki-gelecegimiz-nasil-olacak\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) 2040’de Enerjideki Gelece\u011fimiz Nas\u0131l Olacak?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

<\/p>\n

K\u00fcresel enerji g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc h\u0131zla de\u011fi\u015fiyor. Fakat bu de\u011fi\u015fimin ne kadar h\u0131zl\u0131 ve ne \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde oldu\u011fu h\u00e2l\u00e2 tart\u0131\u015fmaya a\u00e7\u0131k. Bu kritik sorular\u0131n cevaplar\u0131, yat\u0131r\u0131m kararlar\u0131nda, \u015fehir planlama programlar\u0131nda ve \u00e7evresel maliyetlerde y\u00fcz milyarlarca dolara kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k geliyor. K\u00e2r\u0131n \u00f6tesinde, milyonlarca ge\u00e7im kayna\u011f\u0131 tehlikededir. Kar amac\u0131 g\u00fctmeyen ara\u015ft\u0131rma kurumu Gelecek i\u00e7in Kaynaklar (RFF), 1 Temmuz\u2019da yay\u0131nlanan Global Enerji G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm Raporu\u2019nda bu sorular\u0131 ele almaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.<\/h1>\n

Global Enerji G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc\u2019nde belirtilen lider \u015firketler ve kurulu\u015flar taraf\u0131ndan yap\u0131lan tahminler, n\u00fcfus art\u0131\u015f\u0131na ra\u011fmen, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 25 y\u0131lda k\u00fcresel birincil enerji t\u00fcketiminin, ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz on y\u0131llara k\u0131yasla \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde yava\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. 1990-2015 aras\u0131nda k\u00fcresel enerji t\u00fcketimi 190 katrilyon Btu artarak 550 qBtu\u2019ya y\u00fckseldi. Tahminlere g\u00f6re \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 20 y\u0131lda sadece 30 ila 80 qBtu\u2019luk bir \"\"b\u00fcy\u00fcme ya\u015fanacak. \u0130ddial\u0131 \u0130klim Senaryolar\u0131nda (ACS) 4 qBtu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

\u00c7al\u0131\u015fma, ayn\u0131 zamanda, 2040 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar bir yak\u0131t de\u011fi\u015fimi olsa bile, petrol\u00fcn d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en \u00fcretken tek yak\u0131t kayna\u011f\u0131 olarak konumunu koruyaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ileri s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Tahminler bu s\u00fcre zarf\u0131nda en h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcyen enerji kayna\u011f\u0131 \u00fczerinden 50 \/ 50\u2019ye b\u00f6l\u00fcnm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr; bunlar\u0131n yar\u0131s\u0131 do\u011fal gaz\u0131 ve di\u011fer yar\u0131s\u0131 ise yenilenebilir enerjileri \u00f6ng\u00f6rmektedir.<\/p>\n

K\u00fcresel Enerji G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc\u2019nde 2040\u2019ta yak\u0131tla k\u00fcresel birincil enerji t\u00fcketiminin paylar\u0131 bak\u0131m\u0131ndan tahminler analizine bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 zaman, baz\u0131 tahminler g\u00f6ze \u00e7arp\u0131yor. K\u00f6m\u00fcr t\u00fcm projeksiyonlarda pazar pay\u0131n\u0131 kaybederken, yenilenebilir enerji kaynaklar\u0131 (\u00f6zellikle r\u00fczgar ve g\u00fcne\u015f) t\u00fcm tahminlerde b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Yenilenebilir enerji 2015 y\u0131l\u0131nda kar\u0131\u015f\u0131m\u0131n %14\u2019\u00fcnden %16 ila %17 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na y\u00fckselmi\u015ftir. \u0130ddial\u0131 \u0130klim senaryolar\u0131 alt\u0131nda, 2040\u2019ta petrol\u00fcn %31\u2019e kadar y\u00fckselmesini ge\u00e7erek, en b\u00fcy\u00fck k\u00fcresel birincil enerji kayna\u011f\u0131 haline gelirler. Bu, eylem halindeki enerji d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcd\u00fcr. Ancak, projeksiyonlar\u0131n \u00e7o\u011fu ger\u00e7ek bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

\u00d6nemli olan, 2015 y\u0131l\u0131nda k\u00fcresel birincil enerjinin %82\u2019sini olu\u015fturan fosil yak\u0131tlar, Referans ve Geli\u015fme Politikalar\u0131 senaryolar\u0131nda 2040\u2019ta %74 ile %79 aras\u0131nda de\u011fi\u015fmektedir. \u0130ddial\u0131 \u0130klim senaryolar\u0131nda, fosil yak\u0131tlar %60 ila %62\u2019ye d\u00fc\u015fmektedir. Bu y\u00fczden, \u00e7o\u011fu projeksiyon, d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcmlerden ziyade ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen enerji ilavelerini \u00f6ng\u00f6rmektedir.<\/p>\n

Emisyon kayg\u0131lar\u0131, ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme, talep ve ticaret, ulusal h\u00fck\u00fcmetler ve enerji sekt\u00f6rleri i\u00e7in zor politika se\u00e7imleri anlam\u0131na gelecektir. Bu kararlar, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n gelecekteki enerji manzaras\u0131n\u0131 tan\u0131mlamaya yarayacak. K\u00fcresel Enerji G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc, bu tahminlerin tutarl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde derlenmesini sa\u011flar ve bize o gelece\u011fin en iyi ifadesini sunar.<\/p>\n

Kaynak: \u201cWhat Will Our 2040 Energy Future Look Like?\u201d,\u00a0Forbes\u00a0<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language. K\u00fcresel enerji g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc h\u0131zla de\u011fi\u015fiyor. Fakat bu de\u011fi\u015fimin ne kadar h\u0131zl\u0131 ve ne \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde oldu\u011fu h\u00e2l\u00e2 tart\u0131\u015fmaya a\u00e7\u0131k. Bu kritik sorular\u0131n cevaplar\u0131, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":95649,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[51,53,49,50],"tags":[53467,45827,52259,53463,53465,23416,53466,53468,53469,15884,11057,53464,24949,26829],"views":643,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/95646"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=95646"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/95646\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/95649"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=95646"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=95646"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=95646"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}