{"id":86682,"date":"2019-02-03T00:09:50","date_gmt":"2019-02-02T21:09:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=86682"},"modified":"2019-02-03T00:12:51","modified_gmt":"2019-02-02T21:12:51","slug":"enerji-sektorunde-2019-yilina-genel-bir-bakis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/enerji-sektorunde-2019-yilina-genel-bir-bakis\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) Enerji Sekt\u00f6r\u00fc’nde 2019 Y\u0131l\u0131na Genel Bir Bak\u0131\u015f"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

<\/p>\n

1. K\u00fcresel k\u00f6m\u00fcr talebi sabit kalacak.<\/h2>\n

D\u00fcnya k\u00f6m\u00fcr t\u00fcketimi hi\u00e7bir zaman 2013-14 y\u0131llar\u0131nda oldu\u011fundan daha y\u00fcksek olmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Ancak, bu seviyenin zirveden \u00e7ok, bir dura\u011fanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. 2014-16 y\u0131llar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden sonra, k\u00fcresel k\u00f6m\u00fcr talebi 2017\u2019de artmaya ba\u015flad\u0131 ve ge\u00e7en y\u0131l yeniden y\u00fckseldi. Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131, g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczden en az 2023 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar, her y\u0131l sadece hafif\u00e7e y\u00fckselecek veya d\u00fc\u015fecek olan talebin, yakla\u015f\u0131k olarak sabit kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin ediyor.<\/p>\n

2. ABD, gelecek i\u00e7in hem teslimatlar hem de s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan d\u00fcnyada giderek daha \u00f6nemli bir gaz tedarik\u00e7isi haline gelecek.<\/h2>\n

\"\"2019, ABD LNG ihracat projelerinin ilk dalgas\u0131 i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck bir y\u0131l olacak. \u0130ki b\u00fcy\u00fck yeni tesisin (Louisiana\u2019daki Cameron LNG ve Teksas\u2019taki Freeport LNG) ve G\u00fcrcistan\u2019daki Elba Adas\u0131\u2019nda daha k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir fabrikan\u0131n hizmete girmesi planlan\u0131yor. Y\u0131l sonunda, ABD LNG ihracat kapasitesinin iki kat\u0131ndan fazla artmas\u0131 bekleniyor. \u00dclke, Katar ve Avustralya\u2019dan sonra, d\u00fcnyadaki gaz t\u00fcketicileriyle ve Rusya dahil di\u011fer b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00fcreticilerle olan ili\u015fkilerinin de etkileriyle, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fck LNG ihracat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 olacak.<\/p>\n

3.Yenilenebilir elektrik ve enerji depolama maliyetleri d\u00fc\u015fmeye devam edecek.<\/h2>\n

Yenilenebilir kaynaklardan elde edilen elektrik maliyetlerindeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f her zaman kolay olmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u00d6rne\u011fin, IRENA veri taban\u0131, onshore r\u00fczg\u00e2rdan elde edilen ortalama k\u00fcresel enerji maliyetinin 2014-16\u2019da d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6stermektedir. Fakat, uzun s\u00fcreler boyunca devam eden, \u00f6l\u00e7ek ekonomileri ve teknolojideki artan geli\u015fmeler taraf\u0131ndan kaynaklanan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler ac\u0131mas\u0131z oldu. Yenilenebilir enerji kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fen maliyeti, enerji \u00fcretimindeki k\u00fcresel yat\u0131r\u0131m \u00fczerinde \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck bir etki yaratt\u0131. Ayn\u0131 zamanda, enerji depolama maliyetlerinin de d\u00fc\u015fmesi bekleniyor. Bloomberg New Energy Finance\u2019e g\u00f6re, lityum iyon pillerin fiyat\u0131 2010-17 y\u0131llar\u0131nda %80 d\u00fc\u015ferek yeni bir olas\u0131 kullan\u0131m aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 yaratt\u0131. Bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f oranlar\u0131nda bile, lityum iyon piller, uygulanabilir bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm olmaktan, r\u00fczgar ve g\u00fcne\u015f enerjisinin de\u011fi\u015fkenli\u011finin yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 sorunlara kadar \u00f6nemli bir geli\u015fme kaydetti.<\/p>\n

4. Elektrikli otomobil sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131, piyasaya s\u00fcr\u00fclen yeni modellerin bir dalgas\u0131 olarak y\u00fckselmeye devam edecek.<\/h2>\n

Elektrikli otomobil sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 2018 y\u0131l\u0131nda artmaya devam etti ve beklentileri a\u015ft\u0131. Otomobiller, sportif arazi ara\u00e7lar (SUV) ve daha k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck kamyon ve kamyonetler dahil olmak \u00fczere toplam hafif elektrikli ara\u00e7 sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n 2018\u2019de %64\u2019e, yakla\u015f\u0131k 2,1 milyona, ula\u015fmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Bu da yollardaki toplam \u015farj edilebilir ara\u00e7 say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k 5,4 milyona \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor. Porsche, Mercedes, Audi, Renault, Hyundai ve Kia gibi \u00fcreticilerin bir dizi yeni modelinin ve Tesla\u2019n\u0131n yeni Model 3\u2019\u00fcn\u00fcn Avrupa ve \u00c7in\u2019de piyasaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131yla sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n bu y\u0131l tekrar artmas\u0131 bekleniyor. D\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck otomobil pazar\u0131 olan ve d\u00fcnya \u00e7ap\u0131nda sat\u0131lan t\u00fcm elektrikli ara\u00e7lar\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturan \u00c7in\u2019de, \u201cyeni enerji ta\u015f\u0131tlar\u0131\u201d \u00fcretimi i\u00e7in yeni talimatlar bu y\u0131l y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girecek.<\/p>\n

5. Ancak, d\u00fcnya ekonomisinin sa\u011fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu y\u0131l petrol talebinde daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir etkiye sahip olacak.<\/h2>\n

Elektrikli ara\u00e7 sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 h\u0131zla artmaya devam ederse, k\u00fcresel petrol talebi \u00fczerinde hissedilir bir etki yaratmaya ba\u015flamas\u0131 \u00e7ok uzun s\u00fcrmeyecek. UEA, binek otomobiller i\u00e7in ya\u011f bazl\u0131 yak\u0131t t\u00fcketiminin 2020\u2019lerin ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda en \u00fcst seviyeye \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc. Ancak, bu genel olarak petrole olan y\u00fcksek talebin tahmin edilmesinden \u00e7ok farkl\u0131 bir durum. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc otomobiller i\u00e7in benzin ve dizel, k\u00fcresel petrol t\u00fcketiminin yaln\u0131zca be\u015fte birini olu\u015fturuyor. UEA\u2019n\u0131n \u201cYeni Politikalar Senaryosu\u2019nda\u201d, toplam petrol talebinin, son 25 y\u0131ldakinden daha yava\u015f olsa da, 2040\u2019a kadar y\u00fckselmeye devam edece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Yak\u0131n vadede, k\u00fcresel petrol talebi i\u00e7in \u00e7ok daha \u00f6nemli bir fakt\u00f6r, d\u00fcnya ekonomisinin sa\u011fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 olacak. En son d\u00fcnya petrol t\u00fcketimi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc 2008-09\u2019da ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. D\u00fcnya ekonomisi 2009\u2019da %2,1 oran\u0131nda k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc ve bu durum \u201cB\u00fcy\u00fck Buhran\u201ddan bu yana en k\u00f6t\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe yol a\u00e7t\u0131 ve petrol t\u00fcketimi %1,7 oran\u0131nda azald\u0131. Bu \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn tekrar\u0131 pek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor, ancak ekim ay\u0131nda UEA ve OPEC, daha y\u00fcksek fiyatlar\u0131n etkisi ve k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fen bir ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm ile ilgili endi\u015feler nedeniyle, 2019\u2019da petrol talebinin artmas\u0131 konusundaki tahminlerini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fcler. O zamandan bu yana, t\u00fcketimin desteklenmesine yard\u0131mc\u0131 olacak fiyatlar d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc, ancak d\u00fcnya ekonomisine y\u00f6nelik beklentiler daha karamsar bir hale geldi.<\/p>\n

Kaynak: ” The Week in Energy: A Look Ahead to 2019 “, Financial Times<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language. 1. K\u00fcresel k\u00f6m\u00fcr talebi sabit kalacak. D\u00fcnya k\u00f6m\u00fcr t\u00fcketimi hi\u00e7bir zaman 2013-14 y\u0131llar\u0131nda oldu\u011fundan daha y\u00fcksek olmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Ancak, bu seviyenin zirveden \u00e7ok, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":86684,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[46,51,53,24649,44,157],"tags":[1198,1128,19761,34929,23219,34979,19638,34980,26353,25473,35236,28194,2625,39464,67,1009,1703,25677,24143,34968,34969,34935,34937,34936,34977,5873,26829],"views":1356,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/86682"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=86682"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/86682\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/86684"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=86682"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=86682"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=86682"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}