{"id":83039,"date":"2018-12-06T23:02:00","date_gmt":"2018-12-06T20:02:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=83039"},"modified":"2018-12-06T23:02:00","modified_gmt":"2018-12-06T20:02:00","slug":"2018de-artan-kuresel-karbondioksit-emisyonlari-rekor-kirabilir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/2018de-artan-kuresel-karbondioksit-emisyonlari-rekor-kirabilir\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) 2018\u2019de Artan K\u00fcresel Karbondioksit Emisyonlar\u0131 Rekor K\u0131rabilir!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

Fosil yak\u0131t ve sanayiden kaynaklanan k\u00fcresel karbondioksit emisyonlar\u0131n\u0131n, 2017\u2019deki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n ard\u0131ndan 2018\u2019de de %2 artarak yeni bir rekor d\u00fczeye \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 bekleniyor. \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc yay\u0131nlanan bir bilimsel \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaya g\u00f6re, k\u00fcresel karbondioksit emisyonlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca nedeni petrol ve do\u011fal gaz kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n artmaya devam etmesi…<\/strong><\/p>\n

K\u00fcresel Karbon Projesi CO2 emisyonlar\u0131nda, belirsizlik aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 %1,8-%3,7 olmak \u00fczere, %2,7 oran\u0131nda bir art\u0131\u015f \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Karbon emisyonlar\u0131, \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131ll\u0131k bir aradan sonra, 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda %1,6 oran\u0131nda artm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bu bulgular Global Carbon Project (GCP, K\u00fcresel Karbon Projesi) <\/a>taraf\u0131ndan \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc Nature, \"\"Environmental Research Letters ve Earth System Science Data bilimsel dergilerinde yay\u0131nlanan 2018 K\u00fcresel Karbon B\u00fct\u00e7esi\u2019nde yer al\u0131yor. GCP, Future Earth<\/a> ve D\u00fcnya \u0130klim Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Program\u0131<\/a> (WCRP) taraf\u0131ndan desteklenmekte.<\/p>\n

A\u00e7\u0131klama, \u00fclkelerin bu y\u0131lki Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler iklim m\u00fczakereleri (COP24) i\u00e7in bir araya geldi\u011fi Polonya\u2019n\u0131n Katowice \u015fehrinde yap\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

D\u00fc\u015f\u00fck karbonlu teknolojilerdeki h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme, k\u00fcresel emisyonlar\u0131n ini\u015fe ge\u00e7mesi i\u00e7in hen\u00fcz yeterli olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi, Paris Anla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n \u201c2\u00b0C derecenin olduk\u00e7a alt\u0131nda\u201d hedefi do\u011frultusunda emisyonlar\u0131n sert bir bi\u00e7imde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131ya \u00e7ekilmesinde de yetersiz kal\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Bat\u0131 Anglia \u00dcniversitesi, Tyndall \u0130klim De\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 Merkezi Direkt\u00f6r\u00fc Profes\u00f6r Corinne Le Qu\u00e9r\u00e9, \u201c2018 y\u0131l\u0131nda fosil yak\u0131tlardan kaynaklanan CO2 emisyonlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f bizi \u015fu anda 1,5\u00b0C derecenin olduk\u00e7a \u00fcst\u00fcnde bir \u0131s\u0131nma patikas\u0131na sokuyor. Yenilenebilir enerjiye destek verilmesi yeterli de\u011fil. Fosil yak\u0131tlardan kademeli olarak \u00e7\u0131k\u0131lmas\u0131 ve karbonsuzla\u015ft\u0131rma \u00e7abalar\u0131n\u0131n ekonominin tamam\u0131nda yayg\u0131nla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekiyor,\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n

K\u00fcresel CO2 emisyonlar\u0131ndaki bu art\u0131\u015f, Paris Anla\u015fmas\u0131 hedeflerini tehlikeye sokuyor. H\u00fck\u00fcmetleraras\u0131 \u0130klim De\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi Paneli IPCC\u2019ye g\u00f6re, k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nman\u0131n 2\u00b0C derecenin olduk\u00e7a alt\u0131nda tutulmas\u0131 i\u00e7in emisyonlar\u0131n 2030 itibar\u0131yla yakla\u015f\u0131k olarak %20 azalt\u0131lmas\u0131 ve 2075 itibar\u0131yla s\u0131f\u0131rlanmas\u0131 gerekiyor. K\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nman\u0131n 1,5\u00b0C derecenin olduk\u00e7a alt\u0131nda tutulmas\u0131 i\u00e7in ise, emisyonlar\u0131n 2030 itibar\u0131yla %50 oran\u0131nda azalt\u0131lmas\u0131 ve 2050 itibar\u0131yla s\u0131f\u0131rlanmas\u0131 gerekiyor.<\/p>\n

Fosil kaynakl\u0131 (fosil yak\u0131tlar, sanayi ve \u00e7imento) k\u00fcresel CO2 emisyonlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f 2000\u2019li y\u0131llarda y\u0131lda %3\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerinde seyrederken, 2010\u2019lardan itibaren yava\u015flad\u0131 ve 2014-2016\u2019da hafif bir art\u0131\u015f haricinde sabit kald\u0131.<\/p>\n

Ancak, k\u00f6m\u00fcr kullan\u0131m\u0131ndaki ve bireysel ula\u015f\u0131m, ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k, havac\u0131l\u0131k ve gemicilikteki talep art\u0131\u015f\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak ya\u015fanan k\u00fcresel enerjideki -ve \u00f6zellikle de petrol, do\u011fal gaz ve k\u00f6m\u00fcrdeki- \u00a0b\u00fcy\u00fcme, karbonsuzla\u015ft\u0131rma \u00e7abalar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7iyor.<\/p>\n

Future Earth Genel Direkt\u00f6r\u00fc Amy Luers<\/strong>\u00a0 \u201cK\u00fcresel emisyonlar\u0131n artmaya devam etmesi son derece endi\u015fe verici. K\u0131sa s\u00fcre \u00f6nce yay\u0131nlanan ve 1,5\u00b0C derece \u0131s\u0131nman\u0131n risklerini konu alan IPCC raporu, bilimsel ara\u015ft\u0131rma yapan bir\u00e7o\u011fumuz i\u00e7in bile ciddi bir uyar\u0131 niteli\u011findeydi. Bu haber son derece a\u011f\u0131r bir haber zira emisyonlar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 kat kat azaltmak i\u00e7in yeterli teknoloji, bilgi ve i\u015fbilirlik d\u00fczeyine sahibiz. \u0130klim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fiyle m\u00fccadele art\u0131k bir kazan-kazan durumudur. Geriye kalan, bizi ba\u015far\u0131ya ta\u015f\u0131yacak yolda ilerlemeye ba\u015flamakt\u0131r.\u201d Diyor.<\/p>\n

Her ne kadar k\u00fcresel k\u00f6m\u00fcr kullan\u0131m\u0131, tarihteki en y\u00fcksek d\u00fczeyinin hala %3 alt\u0131nda olsa bile, 2018 y\u0131l\u0131nda, \u00c7in ve Hindistan\u2019\u0131n enerji t\u00fcketimindeki b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak, artmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Petrol ve do\u011fal gaz t\u00fcketimi son on y\u0131lda neredeyse hi\u00e7 h\u0131z kesmeden artt\u0131. Do\u011fal gaz kullan\u0131m\u0131, k\u00f6m\u00fcr t\u00fcketimindeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ve sanayide do\u011fal gaz talebinin artmas\u0131yla birlikte, art\u0131\u015fa ge\u00e7ti. Petrol\u00fcn ba\u015fl\u0131ca kullan\u0131m alanlar\u0131 ise, bireysel ula\u015f\u0131m, kargo, havac\u0131l\u0131k ve gemicilik ve petrokimya sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnden olu\u015fuyor.<\/p>\n

Oslo CICERO Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Direkt\u00f6r\u00fc, b\u00fct\u00e7enin yazarlar\u0131ndan ve \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalardan bir tanesi y\u00f6neten, Glen Peters: \u201c2017\u2019deki emisyon art\u0131\u015f\u0131 bir kereye mahsus bir durum olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclebilirdi ancak 2018\u2019de daha da b\u00fcy\u00fck bir art\u0131\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131. D\u00fcnyan\u0131n, 2015\u2019te Paris Anla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019nda belirlenen hedeflerle uyumlu bir patikaya y\u00f6nelme g\u00f6revinde ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z oldu\u011fu son derece a\u015fikar,\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n

2018 karbon b\u00fct\u00e7esi \u00f6zeti<\/strong><\/p>\n

Atmosferik CO2 yo\u011funlu\u011fu 2018 ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n, sanayi \u00f6ncesi d\u00f6neme g\u00f6re %45 artarak, 407 ppm\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

K\u00fcresel emisyonlar\u0131n %27\u2019sini te\u015fkil eden \u00c7in<\/strong> emisyonlar\u0131n\u0131n 2018 y\u0131l\u0131nda %4,8 oran\u0131nda (%2-%7,4) artmas\u0131 ve yeni bir rekor k\u0131rmas\u0131 bekleniyor. \u00c7in emisyonlar\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen bu yeni b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin in\u015faat faaliyetleri ve ekonomik canlanma ile yak\u0131ndan ili\u015fkili oldu\u011fu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

CICERO Uluslararas\u0131 \u0130klim Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 Merkezi K\u0131demli Ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131s\u0131 Jan Ivar Korsbakken: \u201c\u00c7in\u2019in k\u00f6m\u00fcre dayal\u0131 elektrik \u00fcretiminden h\u0131zla uzakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair umut belirmi\u015fti ancak son iki y\u0131l bize \u00c7in\u2019in k\u00f6m\u00fcre \u00e7abuk veda etmesinin o kadar da kolay olmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi. K\u00f6m\u00fcr\u00fcn \u00c7in enerji sistemindeki hakimiyeti -her ne kadar 2000\u2019li y\u0131llar\u0131n ortalar\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen ani y\u00fckseli\u015fin tekrarlanma ihtimali d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olsa da- muhtemelen \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki on y\u0131l boyunca devam edecek,\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n

K\u00fcresel emisyonlar\u0131n %15\u2019ini te\u015fkil eden ABD<\/strong> emisyonlar\u0131n\u0131n, birka\u00e7 y\u0131ll\u0131k bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan 2018 y\u0131l\u0131nda %2,5 civar\u0131nda (%0,5-%4,5 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda) b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi bekleniyor (EIA verilerine g\u00f6re). Bu b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin ba\u015fl\u0131ca nedeni ise, hava ko\u015fullar\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak k\u0131\u015f aylar\u0131nda \u0131s\u0131nma ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131n ve yaz aylar\u0131nda so\u011futma ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131. ABD emisyonlar\u0131n\u0131n 2019 y\u0131l\u0131nda tekrar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe ge\u00e7mesine dair \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fc ise, ucuz do\u011fal gaz, r\u00fczgar ve g\u00fcne\u015f enerjisinin k\u00f6m\u00fcr\u00fcn yerini almaya devam edece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

K\u00fcresel emisyonlar\u0131n %7\u2019sini te\u015fkil eden Hindistan<\/strong> emisyonlar\u0131ndaki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc art\u0131\u015f\u0131n 2018 y\u0131l\u0131nda da (%4,3-%8,3 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda) %6,3 ile devam etmesi beklenirken, t\u00fcm fosil yak\u0131tlarda da b\u00fcy\u00fcme bekleniyor (k\u00f6m\u00fcr +%7,1, petrol +%2,9 ve do\u011fal gaz +%6).<\/p>\n

K\u00fcresel emisyonlar\u0131n %10\u2019unu te\u015fkil eden AB<\/strong> emisyonlar\u0131n\u0131n 2018\u2019de, (-%2,6 ile +%1,3 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda) %0,7 oran\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015fmesi bekleniyor. Bu oran, 2004-2014 y\u0131llar\u0131 aras\u0131nda devam eden %2\u2019lik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f oran\u0131n\u0131n olduk\u00e7a alt\u0131nda.<\/p>\n

K\u00fcresel emisyonlar\u0131n\u0131n %42\u2019sini te\u015fkil eden di\u011fer \u00fclkelerden kaynaklanan emisyonlar\u0131n 2018\u2019de (%0,5-%3 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda) %1,8 oran\u0131nda artaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

En y\u00fcksek emisyon de\u011ferlerine sahip 10 \u00fclke \u00c7in, ABD; Hindistan, Rusya, Japonya, Almanya, \u0130ran, Suudi Arabistan, G\u00fcney Kore, Kanada olurken, AB28 \u00fclkeleri \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc s\u0131rada yer ald\u0131. (En y\u00fcksek emisyon de\u011ferlerine sahip ilk 20 \u00fclke a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki tabloda yer almaktad\u0131r).<\/p>\n

Raporda baz\u0131 iyi haberlere de yer verildi: K\u00fcresel emisyonlar\u0131n %20\u2019sini te\u015fkil eden 19 \u00fclkede, son on y\u0131lda emisyon de\u011ferleri GSY\u0130H\u2019da k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme ya\u015fanmadan d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Bu 19 \u00fclke: ABD, Aruba, Barbados, Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k, \u00c7ekya, Danimarka, Fransa, Gr\u00f6nland, Hollanda, \u0130sve\u00e7, \u0130svi\u00e7re, \u0130zlanda, \u0130rlanda, Malta, \u00d6zbekistan, Romanya, Slovakya, Slovenya ve Trinidad ve Tobago.<\/p>\n

K\u00fcresel Karbon B\u00fct\u00e7esi, 15 \u00fclkedeki 57 ara\u015ft\u0131rma merkezinden 76 bilim insan\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan GCP i\u00e7in haz\u0131rland\u0131. Bu y\u0131l on \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fcs\u00fc yay\u0131nlanan b\u00fct\u00e7ede, \u00fclkelerin t\u00fcketti\u011fi fosil yak\u0131tlar ve sal\u0131nan emisyon miktarlar\u0131 detaylar\u0131yla ele al\u0131n\u0131yor.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.Fosil yak\u0131t ve sanayiden kaynaklanan k\u00fcresel karbondioksit emisyonlar\u0131n\u0131n, 2017\u2019deki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n ard\u0131ndan 2018\u2019de de %2 artarak yeni bir rekor d\u00fczeye \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 bekleniyor. \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":83040,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53,52],"tags":[42105,1198,929,42101,42098,42096,886,4135,42106,40221,42111,42097,67,1009,26559,1800,42104,5363,4034,1776,4522,1333,42107,1547,1928,3344,41817,42102,42108,42110,42103,27427,885,42109,1463,42100,42099,793,42112],"views":1217,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83039"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=83039"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83039\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":83041,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83039\/revisions\/83041"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/83040"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=83039"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=83039"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=83039"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}