{"id":80896,"date":"2018-10-24T18:25:52","date_gmt":"2018-10-24T15:25:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=80896"},"modified":"2018-10-24T18:25:52","modified_gmt":"2018-10-24T15:25:52","slug":"enerjide-bu-hafta-iklim-soku","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/enerjide-bu-hafta-iklim-soku\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) Enerjide Bu Hafta: \u0130klim \u015eoku"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

1.5C ile 2C aras\u0131nda k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nma bak\u0131m\u0131ndan \u00e7ok fark yok gibi g\u00f6z\u00fckebilir, ancak H\u00fck\u00fcmetleraras\u0131 \u0130klim De\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi Paneli\u2019nin (IPCC) raporlar\u0131 \u00fczerine \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan bilim adamlar\u0131na g\u00f6re aradaki fark \u00e7ok \u015fey ifade ediyor. IPCC taraf\u0131ndan Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc yay\u0131nlanan \u201c\u00f6zel\u201d bir rapor, bunun nedenlerinden baz\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. 1.5C \u0131s\u0131nma durumunda, sanayi devriminden ba\u015flayarak, Kuzey Kutup B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin her y\u00fczy\u0131lda bir kez deniz buzu i\u00e7ermemesi beklenirken 2C \u0131s\u0131nma ile on y\u0131lda en az bir kez bekleniyor. 1.5C \u0131s\u0131nmada mercan resiflerinin %70-90 daha d\u00fc\u015fmesi beklenirken, 2C\u2019de %99\u2019dan fazla d\u00fc\u015fmesi bekleniyor.<\/strong><\/p>\n

2015 Paris Anla\u015fmas\u0131 uyar\u0131nca, h\u00fck\u00fcmetler, yaln\u0131zca k\u00fcresel ortalama s\u0131cakl\u0131ktaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131 2C\u2019nin alt\u0131nda tutmay\u0131 de\u011fil, ayn\u0131 zamanda 1.5C\u2019ye s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in \u201c\u00e7aba sarf etmeye\u201d \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 da taahh\u00fct ediyor. IPCC\u2019nin bu haftaki raporu, bu \u00e7abalar\u0131n ne kadar b\u00fcy\u00fck olmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fine dair bir fikir veriyor. \"\"Raporun 2. b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde, \u201c1.5C ile uyumlu hafifletme yollar\u0131ndan\u201d bahsediliyor. Di\u011fer bir deyi\u015fle, k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nman\u0131n bu s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n i\u00e7inde kalmas\u0131 i\u00e7in iyi bir f\u0131rsat olan muhtemel gelecek senaryolar\u0131ndan bahsediliyor. Bu senaryolar\u0131n t\u00fcm\u00fc, politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar i\u00e7in, rapor \u00f6zetinde altyap\u0131, arazi ve end\u00fcstriyel sistemlerde olmas\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra \u201cenerji alan\u0131nda h\u0131zl\u0131 ve geni\u015f kapsaml\u0131 ge\u00e7i\u015fleri\u201d i\u00e7eriyor. Detaylar de\u011fi\u015fiyor, ancak raporda de\u011ferlendirilen 1.5C i\u00e7in 90 senaryo, fosil yak\u0131tlar\u0131n t\u00fcketiminde ani d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ve yenilenebilir enerjide ise h\u0131zl\u0131 bir art\u0131\u015f \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Ortalama senaryolarda, fosil yak\u0131tlar 2020 y\u0131l\u0131nda d\u00fcnya enerji arz\u0131n\u0131n %84\u2019\u00fcn\u00fc olu\u015ftururken 2050 y\u0131l\u0131nda bu oran %36\u2019ya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Yenilenebilir enerji kaynaklar\u0131, k\u00fcresel enerji arz\u0131n\u0131n %15\u2019ini olu\u015ftururken 2020-50 y\u0131llar\u0131na kadar %61\u2019e \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. N\u00fckleer g\u00fc\u00e7, t\u00fcm bu olas\u0131 geleceklerde, k\u00fcresel enerjinin %2\u2019sinden %4\u2019e \u00e7\u0131karak, giderek artan bir rol oynamakta. Raporda, \u0131s\u0131nmay\u0131 1.5C\u2019ye s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131ran t\u00fcm senaryolar\u0131n, karbondioksit giderme tekniklerinin \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekiliyor. A\u011fa\u00e7land\u0131rmadan havaya sal\u0131nan karbondioksiti yakalamaya kadar pek \u00e7ok teknik bulunuyor. IPCC, onlar\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00e7apta bir plana yerle\u015ftirmenin \u201c\u00e7oklu fizibilite ve s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilirlik k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131na tabi oldu\u011fu\u201d konusunda uyar\u0131yor. D\u00fcnyadaki mevcut y\u00f6r\u00fcnge, 2015-16\u2019da duraklamadan sonra artan sera gaz\u0131 emisyonlar\u0131 ile birlikte, y\u00fczy\u0131l\u0131n sonuna kadar bizi k\u00fcresel s\u0131cakl\u0131klarda 3C\u2019lik bir art\u0131\u015fla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya b\u0131rak\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc, ekonomi dal\u0131nda Nobel \u00d6d\u00fcl\u00fc\u2019n\u00fcn iki kazanan\u0131ndan birinin, \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 ile IPCC\u2019de olduk\u00e7a etkili olan William Nordhaus olmas\u0131 da g\u00fczel bir tesad\u00fcf oldu. D\u00fcnya ekonomisinin ve iklimin nas\u0131l etkile\u015fti\u011fini tan\u0131mlayan b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fmi\u015f de\u011ferlendirme modellerini geli\u015ftirmesi, ona \u00f6d\u00fcl\u00fc kazand\u0131ran \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 oldu.<\/p>\n

Meksika K\u00f6rfezi\u2019nde f\u0131rt\u0131naya kar\u015f\u0131 bir \u00f6nlem olarak g\u00fcnde 700.000 varil petrol \u00fcretiminin kapat\u0131lmas\u0131, petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc daha da y\u00fckselmesine neden oldu. Ancak, borsadaki titremeler k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile ilgili endi\u015feleri vurgulad\u0131k\u00e7a, hafta boyunca e\u011filim a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 do\u011fru seyretti. OPEC, son Ayl\u0131k Petrol Piyasas\u0131 Raporu\u2019nda, bu y\u0131l ve sonras\u0131nda talep art\u0131\u015f\u0131 i\u00e7in tahminlerini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc. Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131 da ayl\u0131k raporunda talep tahminini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcrken, ham petrol kaynaklar\u0131 \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131n\u0131n \u201cbir s\u00fcre daha devam edece\u011fini ve muhtemelen daha y\u00fcksek fiyatlarla e\u015flik edece\u011fini\u201d belirtti. Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fcne kadar, hisse senedi piyasalar\u0131nda toparlanma ile desteklenerek, Brent ham petrol\u00fc varil ba\u015f\u0131na 80 $ civar\u0131nda sabit kald\u0131. Piyasa i\u00e7in anahtar belirsizliklerden biri tam olarak, ABD\u2019nin n\u00fckleer program\u0131 \u00fczerindeki yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n yeniden y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girmesiyle, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n petrol ihracat\u0131n\u0131n ne kadar k\u00f6t\u00fc etkilendi\u011fiydi. ABD Hazinesi\u2019nde yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar \u00fczerinde \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan Elizabeth Rosenberg, AB\u2019nin yeniden canland\u0131r\u0131lan k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar dizisini tamamlayamayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 savundu. Ancak, \u0130ran, ham petrol\u00fcn\u00fcn m\u00fc\u015fterileri bir yerde bulabilmesini sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in farkl\u0131 yollar ar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Kaynak: \u201cThe Week in Energy: Climate Shock\u201d, Financial Times<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.1.5C ile 2C aras\u0131nda k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nma bak\u0131m\u0131ndan \u00e7ok fark yok gibi g\u00f6z\u00fckebilir, ancak H\u00fck\u00fcmetleraras\u0131 \u0130klim De\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi Paneli\u2019nin (IPCC) raporlar\u0131 \u00fczerine \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan bilim adamlar\u0131na […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":80897,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53,52],"tags":[67,1009,1800,1776,1999,4522,1471],"views":591,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/80896"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=80896"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/80896\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":80898,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/80896\/revisions\/80898"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/80897"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=80896"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=80896"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=80896"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}