{"id":76373,"date":"2018-07-18T11:16:35","date_gmt":"2018-07-18T08:16:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=76373"},"modified":"2018-07-18T11:16:35","modified_gmt":"2018-07-18T08:16:35","slug":"petrol-piyasasinda-dalgalanmanin-geri-donus-yapmasinin-7-nedeni","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/petrol-piyasasinda-dalgalanmanin-geri-donus-yapmasinin-7-nedeni\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) Petrol Piyasas\u0131nda Dalgalanman\u0131n Geri D\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f Yapmas\u0131n\u0131n 7 Nedeni"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

2017\u2019de ve 2018\u2019in ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda beklenmedik bir \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclebilirlik ve sakinle\u015fme d\u00f6neminden sonra, k\u00fcresel petrol piyasalar\u0131 bir kez daha giderek tutars\u0131z ve dengesiz hale geldi. Son haftalarda ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda, \u201ckorku primi\u201d olarak adland\u0131r\u0131lan bir dizi uluslararas\u0131 olay\u0131n bir araya gelmesiyle, istikrarl\u0131 bir art\u0131\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131. Piyasan\u0131n son i\u015flem g\u00fcnlerinde fiyatlarda y\u00fczde 12\u2019lik bir art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6zlemlendi.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0130\u015fte \u201ckorku primi\u201d nin bu d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc neden yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair baz\u0131 nedenler:\"\"<\/p>\n

1.OPEC ve Rusya harekete ge\u00e7emedi.<\/strong><\/p>\n

22 Haziran\u2019da Viyana\u2019da ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen son toplant\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131nda, OPEC \u00fcyesi olan\/olmayan antla\u015fman\u0131n taraf \u00fclkeleri, \u00e7e\u015fitli milletlerin k\u00fcresel piyasaya g\u00fcnde 800.000 varil (milyar tep) kadar petrol \u201ceklemeyi\u201d kabul ettikleri izlenimi yaratan yan\u0131lt\u0131c\u0131 bir ifadede bulundu. Ancak, metin iyi bir \u015fekilde okundu\u011funda, taraflar\u0131n \u00fcretimlerini yap\u0131lan orijinal anla\u015fmada belirlenen, ancak Nisan ve May\u0131s aylar\u0131 boyunca kadar hedefin alt\u0131nda kalan, kotalara geri getirmeyi kabul ettikleri anla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131. B\u00f6ylelikle, bu \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda ihracat May\u0131s ay\u0131nda Haziran ay\u0131na g\u00f6re 680.000 milyar tep artarken, k\u00fcresel ham petrol piyasas\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ham talep nedeniyle arz a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 ya\u015famaya devam etti.<\/p>\n

2.Venezuela yava\u015flat\u0131lm\u0131\u015f \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Venezuela, 2012 y\u0131l\u0131nda 3.000.000 milyar tep\u2019den fazla ihracat yapan bir \u00fclke iken, ekonomik krizden dolay\u0131 \u015fu an bu miktar\u0131n yar\u0131s\u0131ndan daha az\u0131n\u0131 ihra\u00e7 ediyor. Baz\u0131 uzmanlar, eskiden canl\u0131 olan ihracat\u0131n, 2018 y\u0131l\u0131 sonuna kadar ilave 500.000 milyar tep daha d\u00fc\u015fmesini bekliyor.<\/p>\n

3.Libya m\u00fccbir sebep ilan etti.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00dclkenin iki rakip rejimi aras\u0131nda devam eden i\u00e7 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma nedeniyle, Libya\u2019n\u0131n ihracat\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck k\u0131sm\u0131 1 Temmuz\u2019da sona erdi. \u00dclkenin Ulusal Petrol \u015eirketi, Al-Hariga ve Zweitina terminallerinden t\u00fcm ihracat\u0131n ask\u0131ya al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve Kuzeydo\u011fu Libya\u2019daki petrol \u00fcretimin kapat\u0131lmaya zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Bu durum, d\u00fcnya ham petrol pazar\u0131ndan 850.000 milyar tep kadar eksilmeye neden oldu.<\/p>\n

4.ABD yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n getirisi, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n ihracat seviyeleri hakk\u0131nda belirsizlik yarat\u0131yor.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u015eirketler ve di\u011fer \u00fclkeler, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n Obama d\u00f6nemi anla\u015fmas\u0131na kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n sona erdirilmesinin ard\u0131ndan \u0130ran ham petrol\u00fcn\u00fcn ihracat\u0131n\u0131 durdurmak i\u00e7in bask\u0131 alt\u0131ndalar. \u0130ran tedarik seviyelerindeki y\u00fckselen belirsizlik, benzer bir \u015fekilde y\u00fckselen piyasa dalgalanmas\u0131na da yol a\u00e7\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

5.\u0130ran H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131n\u0131 kapatmak ile tehdit ediyor.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Trump Y\u00f6netimi\u2019nin yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131na tepki olarak, \u0130ran Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Hasan Ruhani, 2 Temmuz\u2019daki konu\u015fmas\u0131nda H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131n\u0131 kapatmak ile tehdit etti. Orta Do\u011fu\u2019dan en fazla ham petrol ihracat\u0131n\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131ndan ge\u00e7mesi gerekti\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde, bu t\u00fcr tehditler ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz olarak piyasa dalgalanmas\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

6.Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n kapasite fazlal\u0131\u011f\u0131 konusundaki \u015f\u00fcpheler s\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc, Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Trump ve Suudi Kral\u0131 Salman\u2019\u0131n yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalarla ge\u00e7ici olarak kesintiye u\u011frad\u0131. Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n, Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131\u2019n\u0131n te\u015fvikiyle, fiyatlar istenmeyen seviyelere y\u00fckselmeye devam ederse ham petrol i\u00e7in kendi ihracat\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fcnde 2 milyon varil art\u0131racak \u015fekilde haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bildirildi. Suudi Krall\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n fazla \u00fcretim kapasitesine sahip oldu\u011fu \u015f\u00fcphesiz olsa da, baz\u0131 uzmanlar bu kadar \u00e7ok varili piyasaya h\u0131zl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde ekleyebileceklerine \u015f\u00fcpheyle yakla\u015f\u0131yor. Rusya ve Birle\u015fik Arap Emirlikleri de yedek kapasiteye sahip olduklar\u0131n\u0131 iddia ediyorlar, ancak bu hacimlerin kapsam\u0131 da tart\u0131\u015fmaya a\u00e7\u0131k kal\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

7.ABD kaya gaz\u0131 fark\u0131 kapatamaz.<\/strong><\/p>\n

ABD kaya gaz\u0131 \u00fcretimi b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye devam ediyor.\u00a0 Ancak, Permiyen Havzas\u0131\u2019ndaki boru hatlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7eki\u015f kapasitesindeki artan k\u0131s\u0131tlamalardan dolay\u0131, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki birka\u00e7 ay i\u00e7inde, kaya gaz\u0131 \u00fcretim kapasitesinin de azalmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Bu durum, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131llarda da petrol \u00fcretimine sert bir s\u0131n\u0131r olu\u015fturacak.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcm bu 7 etken ve olay birlikte de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, k\u00fcresel ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc de\u011fi\u015ftirilemez bir dura\u011fanl\u0131k yarat\u0131yor. Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n pazara kayda de\u011fer yeni tedarik getirme s\u00f6z\u00fc, bu bask\u0131y\u0131 k\u0131smen veya tamamen azaltabilir. Ancak, Krall\u0131\u011f\u0131n ger\u00e7ekten de iddia etti\u011fi devasa yedek kapasiteye sahip olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ortaya \u00e7\u0131karsa, birka\u00e7 ay \u00f6nce petrol\u00fcn 100 dolara d\u00f6nece\u011fini iddia eden sert tahminler, bir anda kendilerini ger\u00e7ekli\u011fin temelinde bulabilir.<\/p>\n

Kaynak: \u201cSeven Reasons Why Oil Market Volatility Is Making A Big Comeback\u201d, Forbes<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.2017\u2019de ve 2018\u2019in ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda beklenmedik bir \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclebilirlik ve sakinle\u015fme d\u00f6neminden sonra, k\u00fcresel petrol piyasalar\u0131 bir kez daha giderek tutars\u0131z ve dengesiz hale […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":76374,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53,44],"tags":[67,1009,3216,34935,2388,887,34936],"views":666,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76373"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=76373"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76373\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":76375,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76373\/revisions\/76375"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/76374"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=76373"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=76373"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=76373"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}