{"id":72647,"date":"2018-03-21T22:46:09","date_gmt":"2018-03-21T19:46:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=72647"},"modified":"2018-03-21T22:46:09","modified_gmt":"2018-03-21T19:46:09","slug":"temiz-enerji-alaninda-2018-yili-icin-10-ongoru","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/temiz-enerji-alaninda-2018-yili-icin-10-ongoru\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) Temiz Enerji Alan\u0131nda 2018 Y\u0131l\u0131 \u0130\u00e7in 10 \u00d6ng\u00f6r\u00fc"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

1. 330 Milyar\u00a0$\u2019l\u0131k Temiz Enerji Yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n

2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda temiz enerji yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 olduk\u00e7a y\u00fcksek seyrederek 333,5 milyar\u00a0$\u2019a ula\u015ft\u0131. 2018\u2019de de \"\"yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n benzer seviyede olmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Frans\u0131z projeleri 2018\u2019de finanse edilmedik\u00e7e offshore r\u00fczgar yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 20,8 milyar\u00a0$\u2019\u0131n alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015febilir. Kamu yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131, 2017 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n 8,7 milyar\u00a0$\u2019\u0131ndan (be\u015f y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesinden) daha y\u00fcksek olabilir. Elektrikli ara\u00e7 pil \u00fcreticisi Contemporary Amperex Technology, Shenzhen\u2019de 2 milyar\u00a0$\u2019l\u0131k halka arz i\u00e7in haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor. 2018\u2019de art\u0131\u015f\u0131n daha da b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Sermaye maliyetindeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fleri dengelemek i\u00e7in yeterli olabilir.<\/p>\n

2. G\u00fcne\u015f 100 GW\u2019\u0131n \u00dczerine \u00c7\u0131kacak<\/strong><\/p>\n

2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda g\u00fcne\u015f kurulumu 98 GW olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015firken 2018 y\u0131l\u0131nda en az 107 GW\u2019a ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131 ve yeni \u00fclkelerin \u00f6nemli pazarlar haline gelece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. \u00c7in\u2019in 47-65 GW ile hakim pozisyonunu korumas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bununla birlikte 2018 y\u0131l\u0131nda en b\u00fcy\u00fck kurulu g\u00fc\u00e7 katk\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n Latin Amerika, G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Asya, Orta Do\u011fu ve Afrika toplam\u0131ndan sa\u011flanmas\u0131 bekleniyor. \u00c7in, Zorunlu Yenilenebilir Enerji Kredisi sunulabilir ve \u201cs\u00fcbvansiyon nereden gelecek\u201d sorusuna k\u0131smi cevap verebilir. \u00c7in\u2019den gelecek yeni kurulu g\u00fcc\u00fcn yakla\u015f\u0131k yar\u0131s\u0131 da\u011f\u0131t\u0131m \u015febekesine ba\u011flanacak.<\/p>\n

3. R\u00fczgar Kurulumlar\u0131n\u0131n Yava\u015f Y\u00fckseli\u015fi Devam Edecek<\/strong><\/p>\n

R\u00fczgar \u2013 onshore ve offshore \u2013 kurulumu 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k 56 GW olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti (2016: 54 GW, 2015: 63 GW). Yava\u015f art\u0131\u015f\u0131n 2018 y\u0131l\u0131nda da devam edece\u011fi ve 2017-2018 y\u0131llar\u0131 aras\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6ren iki b\u00f6lgenin \u00c7in ve Latin Amerika olmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Offshoreda \u0130ngiltere, Almanya, Hollanda ve \u00c7in\u2019in \u00f6ncel\u011finin devam etmesi ABD ve Tayvan\u2019\u0131n da yar\u0131\u015fa kat\u0131lmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Hollanda\u2019da te\u015fviksiz ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen 700 MW\u2019l\u0131k yar\u0131\u015fman\u0131n sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 da 2018 y\u0131l\u0131nda \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kacak.<\/p>\n

4. Metal Bask\u0131s\u0131na Ra\u011fmen Pil Paketi Fiyatlar\u0131 D\u00fc\u015f\u00fck<\/strong><\/p>\n

Lityum-iyon pil paketi fiyatlar\u0131 \u00f6nceki y\u0131llara g\u00f6re daha yava\u015f da olsa 2018\u2019de de d\u00fc\u015fmeye devam edecek. Kobalt ve karbonat fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131 ortalama h\u00fccre fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131racak olsa da, \u00f6l\u00e7ek ekonomisinin ve paket boyutlar\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin etkileriyle ortalama paket fiyat\u0131 %10-15 azalacak. Yat\u0131r\u0131m masraflar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesi, esnek kaynaklara olan ihtiyac\u0131n ve teknolojiye olan g\u00fcvenin artmas\u0131 enerji depolamas\u0131n\u0131 yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc etkileyecektir. 2018 y\u0131l\u0131nda devreye girecek depolama miktar\u0131 2 GW\/4 GWh\u2019yi a\u015facak. G\u00fcney Kore en b\u00fcy\u00fck pazar konumunu bu y\u0131l da devam ettirecek.<\/p>\n

5. Elektrikli Ara\u00e7 Sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 1,5 Milyona Ula\u015facak<\/strong><\/p>\n

K\u00fcresel elektrikli ara\u00e7 sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 2018 y\u0131l\u0131nda 1,5 milyona yakla\u015facak. \u00c7in, k\u00fcresel pazar\u0131n yar\u0131s\u0131ndan fazlas\u0131n\u0131 temsil edecek. Avrupa, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n ikinci b\u00fcy\u00fck elektrikli ara\u00e7 pazar\u0131 olarak yerini alacak. 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda elektrikli ara\u00e7 sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 iki kat\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kan Almanya\u2019y\u0131 dikkatli takip etmek gerekiyor. Tesla \u00fcretim hedeflerine ula\u015f\u0131rsa ABD\u2019de sat\u0131\u015flar \u00e7ok daha fazla ger\u00e7ekle\u015febilir.<\/p>\n

6. S\u00fcr\u00fcc\u00fcs\u00fcz (Otonom) Arabalar Neredeyse 10 Milyon Mil Yol Yapt\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n

Otonom otomobillerin k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte, otonom modunda 5,2 milyon milin \u00fczerinde kullan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor. 2018 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n sonuna gelindi\u011finde, bu rakam\u0131n 8,3 milyon mile ula\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

7. ABD\u2019nin Gaz \u00dcretimi Art\u0131yor<\/strong><\/p>\n

2018 y\u0131l\u0131nda Henry Hub, do\u011falgaz fiyat g\u00f6stergesinin, mevsimsel talep ve k\u0131sa vadeli piyasa de\u011fi\u015fimi sonucu %10 oran\u0131nda de\u011fi\u015fmesi ile birlikte 3 $\/MMBTU yak\u0131n olmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Do\u011falgaz piyasalar\u0131 hem yerli \u00fcretimin artmas\u0131 hem de talebin artmas\u0131yla 2018\u2019de geli\u015fmeye devam edecek. 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda g\u00fcnl\u00fck do\u011falgaz \u00fcretimi rekor bir seviyede 77,3 bcf ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. 2018\u2019de de bu trendin devam etmesi bekleniyor. ABD kuru do\u011falgaz \u00fcretiminin, y\u0131l sonuna kadar g\u00fcnl\u00fck 80 bcf\u2019yi ge\u00e7erek yeni bir rekor k\u0131rmas\u0131 bekleniyor. 2018 y\u0131l\u0131nda 17 GW yeni r\u00fczgar ve g\u00fcne\u015f santrali yap\u0131lsa dahi gaz \u00fcretiminin %4 artarak g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00fcretimin ortalama 26,6 bcf olaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

8. LNG Ticareti 120 Milyar $\u2019a Ula\u015facak<\/strong><\/p>\n

LNG piyasas\u0131nda bu y\u0131l da \u00f6nemli bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6r\u00fclecek. 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda talep %10 oran\u0131nda artarak 285 MMtpa\u2019ya ula\u015ft\u0131 (2011\u2019den beri en h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme). 2018\u2019de de %7-10 art\u0131\u015f bekleniyor. LNG ticareti, y\u00fcksek fiyatlarla birle\u015fince, ge\u00e7en y\u0131la g\u00f6re %15 artarak 120 milyar $\u2019a yakla\u015facak.<\/p>\n

9. K\u00f6m\u00fcr Trump\u2019\u0131n Ellerinden Kayacak<\/strong><\/p>\n

Trump y\u00f6netimi, ABD\u2019nin k\u00f6m\u00fcr kaynakl\u0131 elektrik \u00fcretimini canland\u0131rmak i\u00e7in bulabildi\u011fi her politika arac\u0131n\u0131 kullanmaya devam edecek; ancak k\u00f6m\u00fcr\u00fcn ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc yava\u015flatmayacak. 2018 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n so\u011fuk haftalar\u0131, toplam \u00fcretimi MW saatlik bir miktar art\u0131rabilir, ancak k\u00f6m\u00fcr kurulu g\u00fcc\u00fc d\u00fc\u015fmeye devam edecektir. ABD\u2019de bu sene devre d\u0131\u015f\u0131 kalacak 13 GW\u2019l\u0131k k\u00f6m\u00fcr santrali projesi bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

10. Hindistan\u2019da K\u00f6m\u00fcr\u00fcn D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc ve \u00c7in\u2019de K\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck \u00d6l\u00e7ekli G\u00fcne\u015f Kurulum Art\u0131\u015f\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n

Hindistan\u2019da 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda 12 GW\u2019l\u0131k yenilenebilir santrali in\u015fa edilse de temiz enerji yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 %20 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. 2017 y\u0131l\u0131 fosil yak\u0131tlar i\u00e7in de parlak ge\u00e7medi. 2018 y\u0131l\u0131nda 10 GW\u2019l\u0131k yenilenebilir, 13 GW\u2019l\u0131k fosil yak\u0131t santralinin devreye al\u0131nmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.\u00a0 Ancak, 2018 fosil yak\u0131t\u0131n yenilenebiliri ge\u00e7ti\u011fi son y\u0131l olacak. 2019 y\u0131l\u0131ndan itibaren, yenilenebilir kaynaklar ve daha az miktarda k\u00f6m\u00fcr i\u00e7in daha fazla politika konulacak.<\/p>\n

\u00c7in\u2019de g\u00fcne\u015f kurulu g\u00fc\u00e7 art\u0131\u015f\u0131 2018 y\u0131l\u0131nda da devam edecek. 2018\u2019de, \u201ciletim \u015febekesine ba\u011fl\u0131\u201d g\u00fcne\u015f projeleri yerine \u201cda\u011f\u0131t\u0131m \u015febekesine ba\u011fl\u0131\u201d projeler daha \u00e7ok in\u015fa edilecek. Ayr\u0131ca g\u00fcne\u015f projelerinin hacmini ikiye katlayarak bir d\u00f6n\u00fcm noktas\u0131na ula\u015facak.<\/p>\n

Kaynak:\u00a0The force is with clean energy: 10 predictions for 2018\u201d, BNEF<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.1. 330 Milyar\u00a0$\u2019l\u0131k Temiz Enerji Yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 2017 y\u0131l\u0131nda temiz enerji yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 olduk\u00e7a y\u00fcksek seyrederek 333,5 milyar\u00a0$\u2019a ula\u015ft\u0131. 2018\u2019de de yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n benzer seviyede olmas\u0131 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":38905,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[51,53,49,50],"tags":[67,1009,23416,24949,21101,358],"views":1498,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/72647"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=72647"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/72647\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":72648,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/72647\/revisions\/72648"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/38905"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=72647"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=72647"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=72647"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}