{"id":71981,"date":"2018-02-27T15:48:43","date_gmt":"2018-02-27T12:48:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=71981"},"modified":"2018-02-27T15:48:43","modified_gmt":"2018-02-27T12:48:43","slug":"yakit-karisimlari-cesitlenmeyi-surdururken-enerji-talebi-artiyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/yakit-karisimlari-cesitlenmeyi-surdururken-enerji-talebi-artiyor\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) Yak\u0131t Kar\u0131\u015f\u0131mlar\u0131 \u00c7e\u015fitlenmeyi S\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrken Enerji Talebi Art\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

BP’nin Enerji G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc<\/em> raporunun 2018 bask\u0131s\u0131 20 \u015eubat tarihinde yay\u0131nland\u0131. Rapor, k\u00fcresel enerji d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc 2040’a kadar bi\u00e7imlendiren g\u00fc\u00e7leri ve bu d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm kapsam\u0131ndaki belirsizlikleri ele al\u0131yor. <\/strong><\/p>\n

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Enerji d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n belirsiz olmas\u0131 nedeniyle yeni G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm<\/em> raporu bir dizi senaryoyu dikkate al\u0131yor. Raporda, k\u00fcresel \u00e7aptaki do\u011fal gaz talebinin b\u00fcy\u00fck art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi\u011fine ve k\u00f6m\u00fcr\u00fc geride b\u0131rakarak d\u00fcnyan\u0131n ikinci en b\u00fcy\u00fck enerji kayna\u011f\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekilirken, petrol ve do\u011fal gaz\u0131n d\u00fcnya enerjisinin yar\u0131s\u0131ndan fazlas\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. 2030’lu y\u0131llar\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda Hindistan\u2019\u0131n \u00c7in\u2019i geride b\u0131rakarak, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcyen enerji pazar\u0131 olmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi raporda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi muhtemel senaryolar ise \u015fu \u015fekilde belirtildi:<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n\n\n\n
Devlet politikalar\u0131n\u0131n, teknolojilerin ve toplumsal tercihlerin yak\u0131n ge\u00e7mi\u015fe benzer bir \u015fekilde ve h\u0131zda geli\u015fece\u011fini varsayan “Geli\u015fen D\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm” <\/strong>senaryosu, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki durumlar\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015febilece\u011fine dikkat \u00e7ekiyor;<\/p>\n

– Geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomilerdeki h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme, k\u00fcresel enerji talebinde \u00fc\u00e7te bir oran\u0131nda art\u0131\u015fa neden olmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n

– K\u00fcresel enerji kar\u0131\u015f\u0131m\u0131, 2040 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar d\u00fcnyada \u015fimdiye kadar g\u00f6r\u00fclen en fazla \u00e7e\u015fitlili\u011fi bar\u0131nd\u0131rmakta olup petrol, gaz, k\u00f6m\u00fcr ve fosil olmayan yak\u0131tlar\u0131n her biri buna yakla\u015f\u0131k d\u00f6rtte bir oran\u0131nda katk\u0131da bulunmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n

– Yenilenebilir enerji kaynaklar\u0131 en h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcyen yak\u0131t kayna\u011f\u0131d\u0131r ve be\u015f kat artarak birincil enerjinin yakla\u015f\u0131k %14’\u00fcn\u00fc sa\u011flamaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n

– Petrol talebi, ileriki y\u0131llarda dengelenmeden \u00f6nce G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm<\/em> raporu d\u00f6neminin b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde artmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n

– Do\u011fal gaz talebi kuvvetli bir \u015fekilde art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6stermekte ve k\u00f6m\u00fcr\u00fc geride b\u0131rakarak ikinci en b\u00fcy\u00fck enerji kayna\u011f\u0131 olmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n

– Petrol ve gaz birlikte d\u00fcnya enerjisinin yar\u0131s\u0131ndan fazlas\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n

– K\u00fcresel k\u00f6m\u00fcr t\u00fcketimi yatay seyir izlemekte ve \u00c7in\u2019in k\u00f6m\u00fcr t\u00fcketiminin b\u00fcy\u00fck ihtimalle y\u00fckseli\u015f sonras\u0131 dura\u011fan bir noktaya geldi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir.<\/p>\n

– Elektrikli ara\u00e7lar\u0131n adedi, ara\u00e7 park\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %15’ine kadar art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6stermekte ancak \u00e7ok daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m yo\u011funluklar\u0131 nedeniyle bu adet, binek ara\u00e7lar\u0131n kilometresinin %30’una tekab\u00fcl etmektedir.<\/p>\n

– Karbon emisyonlar\u0131 artmaya devam etmekte, bu da ge\u00e7mi\u015fe oranla farkl\u0131 olarak kapsaml\u0131 bir eylem plan\u0131 ihtiyac\u0131na i\u015faret etmektedir.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

BP CEO\u2019su Bob Dudley \u201cBP Enerji G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc 2018\u201d raporu ile ilgili olarak, \u201cBP’nin stratejisi, enerji end\u00fcstrisindeki \u00f6nemli de\u011fi\u015fikliklere kar\u015f\u0131 esnek ve uyarlanabilir olmal\u0131d\u0131r. Bu rapor, de\u011fi\u015fikliklerin olas\u0131 etkilerini de\u011ferlendirmekte ve uzun vadeli planlar\u0131m\u0131z i\u00e7in bilgi sahibi olmam\u0131za yard\u0131mc\u0131 olacak. Bu de\u011fi\u015fimlerin bizi nereye g\u00f6t\u00fcrece\u011fini tahmin edemiyoruz ancak bu bilgiyi gelece\u011fin enerji ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lama konusundaki rol\u00fcm\u00fcze uyum sa\u011flamak ve bu rol\u00fc yerine getirmeye haz\u0131rlanmak i\u00e7in kullanabiliriz\u201d <\/strong>dedi.<\/p>\n

BP Ba\u015f Ekonomisti Spencer Dale ise, \u201cFarkl\u0131 enerji kaynaklar\u0131 aras\u0131nda, y\u00fcksek seviyede enerji arz\u0131 ve s\u00fcrekli enerji verimlili\u011fi iyile\u015ftirmeleri ile artan rekabet g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. D\u00fcnya, daha az ile daha \u00e7ok \u015fey yapmay\u0131 \u00f6\u011frendi\u011finden, enerji talebi, \u015fimdiye kadar g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz en \u00e7e\u015fitli yak\u0131t kar\u0131\u015f\u0131mlar\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131lanacak. 2040 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar petrol, gaz, k\u00f6m\u00fcr ve fosil olmayan yak\u0131tlar\u0131n her biri d\u00fcnya enerjisinin yakla\u015f\u0131k d\u00f6rtte birini kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor. Enerji talebindeki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n %40’\u0131ndan fazlas\u0131 yenilenebilir enerji ile kar\u015f\u0131lan\u0131yor\u201d <\/strong>diye konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n

Rapordaki analizlerin \u00f6nemli bir k\u0131sm\u0131 \u201cGeli\u015fen D\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u201d senaryosuna dayand\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rken, senaryo ve rapordaki di\u011fer hususlar, farkl\u0131 kararlar\u0131n ve varsay\u0131mlar\u0131n olas\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 inceliyor. Rapor, birka\u00e7 senaryoyu dikkate almakta ve enerji d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc yak\u0131tlar, sekt\u00f6rler ve b\u00f6lgeler olarak \u00fc\u00e7 farkl\u0131 bak\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131yla inceliyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Yak\u0131t analizi<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Petrol<\/em><\/strong> talebi, ileriki y\u0131llarda dengelenmesine ra\u011fmen, raporun b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde art\u0131yor. T\u00fcm talep art\u0131\u015f\u0131, geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomilerden geliyor. Arzdaki b\u00fcy\u00fcme, ABD\u2019deki petrol s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve Orta Do\u011fu \u00fcreticilerinin pazar pay\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fctme stratejisini benimsemesi nedeniyle OPEC’in 2020’lerin sonlar\u0131ndan itibaren bunu \u00fcstlenmesi ile s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k sekt\u00f6r\u00fc, k\u00fcresel petrol talebine hakim olmaya devam ediyor ve toplam b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin yar\u0131s\u0131ndan fazlas\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor. Raporun sonuna do\u011fru dengelenen, ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131ktan gelen enerji talebindeki b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin b\u00fcy\u00fck k\u0131sm\u0131 karayolu d\u0131\u015f\u0131 (\u00e7o\u011funlukla hava, deniz ve demiryolu) ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131ktan ve kamyonlardan gelirken otomobillerden ve motosikletlerden k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck art\u0131\u015f elde ediliyor. 2030’dan sonra ise petrol talebindeki b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin ana kayna\u011f\u0131, \u00f6zellikle petrokimyasallar i\u00e7in ham madde olarak yanma ile ilgili olmayan kullan\u0131mlardan kaynaklan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Do\u011falgaz<\/em><\/strong>, h\u0131zla b\u00fcy\u00fcyen geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomilerdeki artan sanayile\u015fme ve g\u00fc\u00e7 talebi d\u00fczeyleri, k\u00f6m\u00fcrden gaza ge\u00e7i\u015fin devam etmesi, Kuzey Amerika ve Orta Do\u011fu’daki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyetli arzlar\u0131n art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ile desteklenen bu d\u00f6nemde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc \u015fekilde b\u00fcy\u00fcyor. 2040\u2019a gelindi\u011finde ABD, k\u00fcresel gaz \u00fcretiminin neredeyse d\u00f6rtte birini kar\u015f\u0131layaca\u011f\u0131 ve k\u00fcresel LNG (S\u0131v\u0131 Do\u011fal Gaz) arz\u0131 iki kattan fazla ger\u00e7ekle\u015fece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. 2020\u2019lerin ba\u015f\u0131nda LNG kapasitelerinin, b\u00f6lgeler aras\u0131 boru hatt\u0131 sevkiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 a\u015fmas\u0131yla, LNG arzlar\u0131ndaki s\u00fcregelen b\u00fcy\u00fcme, gaz\u0131n d\u00fcnyadaki mevcudiyetini b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde art\u0131racak.<\/p>\n

K\u00f6m\u00fcr\u00a0<\/em><\/strong>t\u00fcketimi, G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm raporu d\u00f6neminde dengeli seyretmekte olup \u00c7in ve OECD’deki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler, Hindistan ve di\u011fer geli\u015fmekte olan Asya ekonomilerindeki talep art\u0131\u015f\u0131yla telafi ediliyor. \u00c7in\u2019in 2040 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar k\u00f6m\u00fcr i\u00e7in en b\u00fcy\u00fck pazar olup, k\u00fcresel k\u00f6m\u00fcr talebinin %40’\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

Yenilenebilir enerji <\/em><\/strong>%400\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerinde b\u00fcy\u00fcyor ve k\u00fcresel enerji \u00fcretimindeki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n %50’sinden fazlas\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor. Bu g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcme, r\u00fczg\u00e2r ve g\u00fcne\u015f enerjisinin artan rekabet g\u00fcc\u00fc sayesinde sa\u011flan\u0131yor. S\u00fcbvansiyonlar, yenilenebilir enerjinin giderek di\u011fer yak\u0131tlara kar\u015f\u0131 rekabet edebilece\u011fi 2020’lerin ortalar\u0131nda kademeli olarak ortadan kalk\u0131yor. \u00c7in, b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin en b\u00fcy\u00fck kayna\u011f\u0131 olup OECD \u00fclkelerinin tamam\u0131ndan daha fazla yenilenebilir enerji sa\u011flarken, Hindistan da 2030’a kadar b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin en b\u00fcy\u00fck ikinci kayna\u011f\u0131 oluyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Sekt\u00f6r analizi<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Birincil enerji talebindeki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %70’ini elektrik<\/em><\/strong> olu\u015fturuyor. Yenilenebilir enerjinin kullan\u0131m oran\u0131n\u0131n, h\u0131zl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde artmas\u0131 ve bug\u00fcn %7 olan bu oran\u0131n 2040’a kadar d\u00f6rtte bire ula\u015fmas\u0131yla, g\u00fc\u00e7 \u00fcretiminde kullan\u0131lan yak\u0131tlar\u0131n kar\u0131\u015f\u0131m\u0131 bariz bir \u015fekilde d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcme u\u011fruyacak. Buna ra\u011fmen k\u00f6m\u00fcr\u00fcn, 2040 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar g\u00fc\u00e7 \u00fcretiminde en b\u00fcy\u00fck enerji kayna\u011f\u0131 olmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesi bekleniyor. Toplam ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k talebi iki kat\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k<\/em><\/strong> enerji talebi yaln\u0131zca %25 oran\u0131nda art\u0131yor ki, bu da ara\u00e7 verimlili\u011findeki art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 yans\u0131t\u0131yor. Alternatif yak\u0131tlar\u0131n (\u00f6zellikle do\u011fal gaz ve elektrik) penetrasyonunun art\u0131\u015f\u0131na ra\u011fmen, ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde petrol\u00fcn egemenli\u011fi devam etmesi bekleniyor. (2040 y\u0131l\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k %85).<\/p>\n

Bu y\u0131l\u0131n G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm <\/em>raporu, ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde elektri\u011fin penetrasyonunu hem elektrikli ara\u00e7 say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 (EV’ler) hem de her bir arac\u0131n ne kadar yo\u011fun kullan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne alarak \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Geli\u015fen D\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm senaryosunda, k\u00fcresel otomobil park\u0131ndaki EV’lerin pay\u0131 2040 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar yakla\u015f\u0131k %15’e ula\u015facak ki bu da neredeyse 2 milyarl\u0131k bir otomobil park\u0131nda 300 milyondan fazla otomobil demek. Bununla birlikte, elektrikli otomobillerin kullan\u0131m yo\u011funlu\u011fu da hesaba kat\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, elektrikle \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan binek otomobillerin kilometre pay\u0131 y\u00fczde 30’un \u00fczerinde. G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm<\/em> raporu, payla\u015f\u0131lan mobiliteli tam otonom ara\u00e7lar\u0131n etkile\u015fiminin, elektrikli otomobillerin kullan\u0131m yo\u011funlu\u011funu nas\u0131l b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde art\u0131rabilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

2040’a kadar olan d\u00f6nemde \u00f6nemli bir belirsizlik de elektrikli otomobil sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131 olacak. G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm<\/em> raporu, bu belirsizli\u011fin \u00f6nemini \u00f6l\u00e7mek i\u00e7in 2040 y\u0131l\u0131ndan itibaren i\u00e7ten yanmal\u0131 motorlu (ICE) otomobil sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131nda d\u00fcnya \u00e7ap\u0131nda bir yasak oldu\u011funu varsayd\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir senaryoyu dikkate al\u0131yor. Bu senaryo, Geli\u015fen D\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm senaryosuna g\u00f6re s\u0131v\u0131 yak\u0131t talebini g\u00fcnde yakla\u015f\u0131k 10 milyon varil azalt\u0131yor ancak yine de 2040 y\u0131l\u0131nda ‘ICE yasa\u011f\u0131’ senaryosundaki petrol talebi seviyesi 2016’dan daha y\u00fcksek oluyor.<\/p>\n

Dale elektrikli otomobillerle ilgili olarak da \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yledi: \u201cElektrikli otomobillerdeki h\u0131zl\u0131 bir b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin – hatta \u00e7ok h\u0131zl\u0131 bir b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin petrol talebinin \u00e7\u00f6kmesine neden olaca\u011f\u0131 fikri temel rakamlarla desteklenmiyor” diyor ve \u015f\u00f6yle devam ediyor:<\/strong> \u201cBir ICE yasa\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek verimlilik standartlar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz senaryoda bile, petrol talebi 2040 y\u0131l\u0131nda bug\u00fcnk\u00fc seviyeden daha y\u00fcksek.\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n

Yak\u0131tlar\u0131n yanma ile ilgili olan ve olmayan kullan\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 i\u00e7eren end\u00fcstriyel<\/em><\/strong> enerji talebi, enerji t\u00fcketimindeki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n

\u00c7in’in b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde daha az enerji t\u00fcketen bir hizmete ve t\u00fcketici y\u00f6nelimli sekt\u00f6rlere ge\u00e7i\u015fine ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak elde edilen verimlilik art\u0131\u015f\u0131, end\u00fcstriyel enerji talebinde daha yava\u015f b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye neden oluyor (yanma ile ilgili olmayan sekt\u00f6r hari\u00e7). \u00c7in’in yava\u015flayan b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n Hindistan ve Afrika da d\u00e2hil olmak \u00fczere d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck gelirli ekonomilere kayma ihtimali y\u00fcksek g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

\u00d6zellikle petrokimyasallar i\u00e7in ham madde olmak \u00fczere yak\u0131tlar\u0131n yanma ile ilgili olmayan kullan\u0131m\u0131<\/em><\/strong>, petrol ve gaza olan toplam talebin en h\u0131zl\u0131 artan kayna\u011f\u0131. Baz\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcnlerin, \u00f6zellikle de tek kullan\u0131ml\u0131k plastiklerin ve ambalajlar\u0131n kullan\u0131m\u0131 \u00fczerindeki artan \u00e7evresel bask\u0131lar\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi ge\u00e7mi\u015fteki e\u011filimlere g\u00f6re olduk\u00e7a belirgin bi\u00e7imde olumsuz etkilemesine ra\u011fmen, yak\u0131tlar\u0131n yanma ile ilgili olmayan kullan\u0131m\u0131, di\u011fer end\u00fcstriyel kullan\u0131mlar\u0131n neredeyse iki kat\u0131 oran\u0131nda art\u0131yor. Petrol, yanma ile ilgili olmayan enerji kullan\u0131m\u0131ndaki b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin neredeyse \u00fc\u00e7te ikisini olu\u015fturuyor ve geri kalan\u0131n\u0131 da b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde do\u011fal gaz sa\u011fl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
B\u00f6lgesel analiz<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Enerji t\u00fcketimindeki t\u00fcm b\u00fcy\u00fcme, h\u0131zla geli\u015fmekte olan \u00c7in ve Hindistan gibi ekonomilerde, 2040 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar k\u00fcresel enerji talebindeki b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor. Bu d\u00f6nemde \u00c7in’in enerji art\u0131\u015f\u0131, daha s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir bir ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme modeline ge\u00e7tik\u00e7e yava\u015fl\u0131yor. Hindistan’\u0131n talep b\u00fcy\u00fcmesindeki yava\u015flama daha az belirgin ve 2030’lu y\u0131llar\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcyen enerji pazar\u0131 olarak, \u00c7in\u2019i ge\u00e7ece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm <\/em>raporunun ileri safhalar\u0131nda Afrika, 2035’ten 2040’a kadar k\u00fcresel talebin artmas\u0131na \u00c7in’den daha fazla katk\u0131da bulunarak enerji talebini art\u0131rmada giderek daha \u00f6nemli bir rol oynayacak.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Karbon emisyonlar\u0131<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm<\/em> raporunun Geli\u015fen D\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm senaryosunda, karbon emisyonlar\u0131 2040 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar %10 art\u0131yor. Bu, son 25 y\u0131lda g\u00f6r\u00fclen oranlardan \u00e7ok daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olmakla birlikte, Paris \u0130klim Anla\u015fmas\u0131 taahh\u00fctlerini ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmek i\u00e7in gerekli oldu\u011fu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclen keskin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften daha y\u00fcksek.<\/p>\n

Bu nedenle, G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm<\/em> raporu, 2040 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar karbon emisyonlar\u0131n\u0131n neredeyse %50 oran\u0131nda azalt\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131’n\u0131n ‘S\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir Kalk\u0131nma Senaryosu’nda oldu\u011fu gibi karbon emisyonlar\u0131nda benzer keskin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc i\u00e7eren bir \u201cDaha H\u0131zl\u0131 D\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u201d senaryosunu da inceliyor. Bu senaryoda, Geli\u015fen D\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm senaryosuna oranla emisyonlar\u0131n ilave azalt\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck bir k\u0131sm\u0131, 2040 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar neredeyse tamamen karbon sal\u0131m\u0131 \u00fcretmeyen hale d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fecek enerji sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnden kaynaklan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Dudley a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131nda \u015fu ifadelere yer verdi: “Ge\u00e7mi\u015ften \u00e7ok daha kararl\u0131 bir bi\u00e7imde ayr\u0131lmaya ihtiyac\u0131m\u0131z var. BP’de karbon fiyatland\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nemli bir unsur olmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fine inanmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyoruz \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu, t\u00fcketicilerin daha verimli enerji kullanmas\u0131ndan \u00fcreticilerin daha az karbonlu enerji bi\u00e7imleri \u00fcretmesine kadar herkesi rol almaya \u00f6zendiriyor.”<\/strong><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.BP’nin Enerji G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc raporunun 2018 bask\u0131s\u0131 20 \u015eubat tarihinde yay\u0131nland\u0131. Rapor, k\u00fcresel enerji d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc 2040’a kadar bi\u00e7imlendiren g\u00fc\u00e7leri ve bu d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm kapsam\u0131ndaki belirsizlikleri […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":71982,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[46,53,49,24649,44,50],"tags":[853,970,67,1009,2221,3344,27449,28604,1022],"views":1095,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/71981"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=71981"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/71981\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":71983,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/71981\/revisions\/71983"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/71982"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=71981"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=71981"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=71981"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}