{"id":65794,"date":"2017-07-21T13:14:18","date_gmt":"2017-07-21T10:14:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=65794"},"modified":"2021-02-07T13:58:55","modified_gmt":"2021-02-07T10:58:55","slug":"kose-yazisi-kuresel-yenilenebilir-enerji-atagi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/kose-yazisi-kuresel-yenilenebilir-enerji-atagi\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131: K\u00fcresel Yenilenebilir Enerji Ata\u011f\u0131!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

<\/p>\n

Bloomberg\u2019in yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 yeni enerji g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc 2017 raporuna g\u00f6re yenilenebilir enerji; g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczden 2040’a kadar k\u00fcresel enerji yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n neredeyse d\u00f6rtte \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn\u00fc meydana getirecek.<\/strong><\/h1>\n

Yay\u0131mlanan raporda \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 22 y\u0131lda<\/strong> enerji \u00fcretimi teknolojisine 10.2 trilyon dolar<\/strong> harcanacak, yenilenebilir enerji i\u00e7inse 7.4 trilyon dolarl\u0131k<\/strong> bir yat\u0131r\u0131ma ula\u015f\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor.<\/p>\n

Raporun ba\u015f yazar\u0131 Seb Henbest<\/strong> “Bu y\u0131l\u0131n raporu, g\u00fcne\u015f<\/strong> ve r\u00fczgar enerjisi<\/strong> i\u00e7in h\u0131zla d\u00fc\u015fen \"yapi-kredi-leasingden-yenilenebilir-enerjiye-20-milyon-avro-destek\"<\/a><\/strong>maliyetler ve arz ve talebi dengelemek i\u00e7in depolama<\/strong> ve elektrikli ara\u00e7lar<\/strong> dahil olmak \u00fczere artan bir rol sayesinde d\u00fcnya elektrik sisteminin ye\u015fillendirilmesinin<\/strong>\u00a0 durdurulamayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nermektedir”<\/em> dedi.<\/p>\n

Rapora g\u00f6re 7,4 trilyon dolar<\/strong>\u0131n yenilenebilir enerji santrallerine 2040 y\u0131l\u0131na<\/strong> kadar yat\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 beklenirken, g\u00fcne\u015f enerjisi i\u00e7in 3,2 trilyon dolarl\u0131k<\/strong> yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n mevcut kapasitesini 14 kat<\/strong> artt\u0131rmas\u0131, 3,3 trilyon dolarl\u0131k<\/strong> r\u00fczgar yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n mevcut kapasitesini 4 kat<\/strong> artt\u0131raca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin ediliyor.<\/p>\n

Henbest “Sonu\u00e7 olarak, mevcut kurulu % 12<\/strong> ve % 5<\/strong> \u00a0g\u00fc\u00e7 kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda r\u00fczgar<\/strong> ve g\u00fcne\u015f enerjisi<\/strong>, kurulu kapasitenin % 48<\/strong>‘ini ve elektrik \u00fcretiminin % 34<\/strong>‘\u00fcn\u00fc 2040’a<\/strong> kadar tamamlayacak”<\/em> dedi.<\/p>\n

Raporda, 2009’dan g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcze neredeyse d\u00f6rtte bir olan fotovoltaik g\u00fcne\u015f pili<\/strong> maliyetlerinin, 2040 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar % 66<\/strong> daha d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fi belirtiliyor. Henbest “O zamana kadar bir dolar g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczden 2.3 kat daha fazla fotovoltaik g\u00fcne\u015f pili sat\u0131n alabilecek. G\u00fcne\u015f halihaz\u0131rda Almanya, Avustralya, ABD, \u0130spanya ve \u0130talya’da en az k\u00f6m\u00fcr kadar ucuz “<\/em>dedi.<\/p>\n

Bu arada rapor, deniz a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 r\u00fczgar enerjisi maliyetlerin<\/strong>, 2040 y\u0131l\u0131na<\/em> kadar, b\u00fcy\u00fck projelerden ve daha b\u00fcy\u00fck t\u00fcrbinlerden<\/strong> kaynaklanan kalk\u0131nma tecr\u00fcbesiyle; rekabet, azalan risk ve \u00f6l\u00e7ek ekonomileri sayesinde % 71<\/strong> oran\u0131nda azalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bu, karada ki r\u00fczgar t\u00fcrbini maliyetinin ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde % 47<\/strong> d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fini, daha ucuz, daha verimli t\u00fcrbinler<\/strong> ve bak\u0131m<\/strong> ve i\u015fletme prosed\u00fcrleri<\/strong> sayesinde son 8 y\u0131lda<\/strong>ki % 30<\/strong>‘luk d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn de \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Raporda, pil teknolojisinin<\/strong> ilerlemesi ile yenilenebilir enerjilere eri\u015fimin artaca\u011f\u0131<\/strong> bulunuyor. Henbest, “Enerji depolama<\/strong> i\u00e7in lityum iyon pil pazar\u0131<\/strong>n\u0131n \u015fu andan 2040’a<\/strong> kadar en az 239 milyar dolar<\/strong> de\u011ferinde olmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz” dedi. “Yard\u0131mc\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7ekli piller, yo\u011fun talep oldu\u011funda sistem esnekli\u011fi sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in do\u011fal gaz<\/strong> ile giderek\u00a0daha rekabet\u00e7i hale<\/strong> geliyor. Hane halk\u0131 ve i\u015fletmeler taraf\u0131ndan PV sistemleri<\/strong> ile birlikte kurulan k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7ekli piller<\/strong>, 2040 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar d\u00fcnya \u00e7ap\u0131nda depolaman\u0131n % 57<\/strong>‘sini olu\u015fturacak. Yenilenebilir enerjinin 2040 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar Almanya’da y\u00fczde 74, ABD’<\/strong>de % 55<\/strong>, \u00c7in’de % 55<\/strong> ve Hindistan\u2019da\u00a0% 49<\/strong> oran\u0131nda ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin ediyoruz.”<\/em><\/p>\n

Elektrikli ta\u015f\u0131tlar\u0131n ayr\u0131ca elektrik kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmesi<\/strong> ve \u015febekenin dengelenmesi<\/strong>nde rol oynamas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. Bloomberg, Avrupa’da<\/strong> ve ABD’de<\/strong> 2040 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar elektrik \u00fcretiminin s\u0131ras\u0131yla % 13<\/strong> ve 12<\/strong>‘sini elektrik enerjisi \u00fcretimi i\u00e7in olu\u015fturaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin ediyor. Yenilenebilir enerjiler \u00fcretilirken<\/strong> ve toptan sat\u0131\u015f fiyatlar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck<\/strong> oldu\u011funda, elektrikli ara\u00e7lar esnek<\/strong> bir \u015fekilde \u015farj etmek, sistemin aral\u0131kl\u0131 g\u00fcne\u015f<\/strong> ve r\u00fczgarlara<\/strong> uyum sa\u011flamas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 olacakt\u0131r. Elektrikli ara\u00e7lar\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi, lityum iyon pillerin maliyeti<\/strong>ni 2030 y\u0131l\u0131na<\/strong> kadar % 73<\/strong> oran\u0131nda azalacak “diye a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yor Henbest.<\/p>\n

Yenilenebilir enerji yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131<\/strong>ndaki keskin art\u0131\u015f\u0131n elbette fosil yak\u0131t \u00fcretimini etkilemesi<\/strong> bekleniyor. Raporda, “Avrupa<\/strong>‘da ve ABD<\/strong>‘de k\u00f6m\u00fcrle \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan elektrik enerjisi \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fcyor<\/strong>” dedi. “Yava\u015f talep, ucuz yenilenebilir enerji<\/strong> ve k\u00f6m\u00fcrle gaz<\/strong> aras\u0131nda yak\u0131t ge\u00e7i\u015fleri 2040 y\u0131l\u0131na<\/strong> kadar Avrupa’da % 87<\/strong> oran\u0131nda k\u00f6m\u00fcr kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131<\/strong> azaltacak. ABD’de eski tesisler de\u011fi\u015ftirilmedi\u011finden ve di\u011ferleri daha ucuz gaz yakmaya<\/strong> ba\u015flad\u0131klar\u0131ndan ABD’de elektrikte k\u00f6m\u00fcr kullan\u0131m\u0131<\/strong> % 45<\/strong> oran\u0131nda azald\u0131. \u00c7in’deki k\u00f6m\u00fcr \u00fcretimi<\/strong>, gelecek 10 y\u0131lda<\/strong> 5’inci bir art\u0131\u015fla 2026’da<\/strong> zirveye ula\u015f\u0131yor. D\u00fcnyada, \u00fc\u00e7te biri Hindistan’da olacak \u015fekilde planlanan yeni k\u00f6m\u00fcr santrallerinin 369 GW<\/strong>‘\u0131n\u0131n iptal edilmesi bekleniyor, k\u00f6m\u00fcr santrallerinde ise termal k\u00f6m\u00fcr talebi 2016-40 y\u0131llar\u0131<\/strong> boyunca % 15<\/strong> oran\u0131nda gerileme ya\u015fanacak.”<\/em><\/p>\n

ve\u00a0Bloomberg gaz\u0131n bir ge\u00e7i\u015f yak\u0131t\u0131<\/strong> olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurguluyor ancak \u00e7o\u011fu insan\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc\u015f tarz\u0131nda de\u011fil.”<\/p>\n

Rapor, do\u011falgazla \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan enerji<\/strong>nin 2040 y\u0131l\u0131na<\/strong> kadar 804 milyar dolarl\u0131k<\/strong> yeni yat\u0131r\u0131m ve % 16<\/strong> oran\u0131nda daha fazla kapasiteye ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtiyor. “Gaz tesisleri, yenilenebilir enerjinin temay\u00fcl oldu\u011fu bir \u00e7a\u011fda artan talebi kar\u015f\u0131lamak<\/strong> ve sistem istikrar\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamak<\/strong> i\u00e7in k\u00f6m\u00fcr tesisleri<\/strong> yerine gereken esnek teknolojilerden<\/strong> biri olarak giderek daha \u00e7ok \u015fey yapacak.” Ancak, Amerika’da, gaz\u0131n bol<\/strong> ve ucuz<\/strong> oldu\u011fu yerlerde, \u00f6zellikle yak\u0131n vadede<\/strong> daha merkezi bir rol oynayacak.”<\/em> dedi.<\/p>\n

ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump<\/strong> taraf\u0131ndan yap\u0131lan k\u00f6m\u00fcrle m\u00fccadele yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131na<\/strong> ra\u011fmen, raporda “Gelecek 20 y\u0131l<\/strong> boyunca ekonomik ger\u00e7ekler, 2040 y\u0131l\u0131na<\/strong> kadar \u00fcretimde % 51<\/strong>‘lik bir azalma olaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin edilen ABD<\/strong>\u2019de k\u00f6m\u00fcrle<\/strong> \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan enerjinin lehine sonu\u00e7 vermeyecektir. Bunun yerine gazla \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan elektrik % 22<\/strong>, yenilenebilir enerji ise %169<\/strong> artacakt\u0131r.” a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 kullan\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

Yazan:<\/strong> Engin Deniz – Enerji Sistemleri M\u00fchendisi \/ Enerji Gazetesi<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language. Bloomberg\u2019in yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 yeni enerji g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc 2017 raporuna g\u00f6re yenilenebilir enerji; g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczden 2040’a kadar k\u00fcresel enerji yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n neredeyse d\u00f6rtte \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn\u00fc meydana getirecek. Yay\u0131mlanan […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":54537,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[51,53,49,50],"tags":[53114,54965,52259,34654,86111,324,86110,57125,54979,1245],"views":1395,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65794"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=65794"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65794\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":65795,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65794\/revisions\/65795"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/54537"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=65794"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=65794"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=65794"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}