{"id":6153,"date":"2013-02-06T11:55:33","date_gmt":"2013-02-06T08:55:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=6153"},"modified":"2013-02-06T11:55:33","modified_gmt":"2013-02-06T08:55:33","slug":"petrolde-117-dolar-gecilirse-126-hedef-olabilir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/petrolde-117-dolar-gecilirse-126-hedef-olabilir\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) Petrolde 117 Dolar Ge\u00e7ilirse 126 Hedef Olabilir"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

\"\"Merkez Bankas\u0131 Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdem Ba\u015f\u00e7\u0131 2013 enflasyon hedefini a\u00e7\u0131klarken, petrol fiyat\u0131n\u0131 108 dolar varsayd\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 ifade etmi\u015fti, d\u00fcn 117 dolara kadar y\u00fckseldi. Yeni y\u0131lda benzine de iki defa zam geldi. Peki, petrol neden art\u0131yor? Jeopolitik risklerin t\u0131rmand\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir d\u00f6nemden ge\u00e7iyoruz. Suriye meselesi g\u00fcn ge\u00e7tik\u00e7e uzuyor, \u0130srail ve L\u00fcbnan s\u00fcrece dahil oluyor, \u0130ran\u2019la ilgili riskler derken; y\u00fckselen bir petrol fiyat\u0131 ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131yay\u0131z. Bununla birlikte k\u00fcresel ekonomide toparlanmaya dair artan sinyaller ve talepte art\u0131\u015f beklentisi, yedek stoklarda da azalma, y\u00fckseli\u015fte etkili oluyor.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesi, \u015f\u00fcphesiz bizim gibi enerji ithalat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 \u00fclkeleri olumsuz etkiler. Hem ithalat giderlerinin artmas\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fct\u00e7eye getirece\u011fi ekstra maliyet, hem de i\u00e7eride benzin fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesi; 108 dolar beklentisiyle plan yapan ekonomi y\u00f6netiminin enflasyon ve b\u00fct\u00e7e hedeflerini s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131ya sokabilir. Petroldeki her 10 dolarl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye 4 milyar dolar y\u00fck getirdi\u011fini biliyoruz. Enerji maliyetlerinin artmas\u0131, kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015flar\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan vurgu yap\u0131lan \u201ccari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n azalt\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131\u201d da zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131r. Bu olumsuzluklar, en \u00e7ok borsan\u0131n ho\u015funa gitmez! Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda ortalaman\u0131n 115 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131, T\u00fckiye i\u00e7in olumlu olur.<\/p>\n

117 dolar ge\u00e7ilirse 126 hedef olabilir<\/h2>\n

Suudi Arabistan, \u0130ran, Irak, Cezayir, Angola, Nijerya gibi \u00fclkelerin ekonomisi petrol ihrac\u0131ndan kaynaklanan gelirlere ba\u011fl\u0131. Bu \u00fclkeler 30 dolara mal ettikleri petrol\u00fc ancak 80-90 dolar band\u0131nda satt\u0131klar\u0131 takdirde ekonomilerini ayakta tutabiliyor. 2008 \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyle 35 dolara gerileyen, 2011 ve 2012\u2019de 126 dolar\u0131 test eden petrol fiyatlar\u0131; son 2 y\u0131lda en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck 90 dolar\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Ayn\u0131 s\u00fcre\u00e7te 105 dolar ve alt\u0131na her yakla\u015fmada \u0131s\u0131t\u0131lan jeopolitik riskler, 115 ve \u00fczerine do\u011fru ataklara sebep oldu. Bug\u00fcn 117 dolar a\u015f\u0131l\u0131r ve \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 olunursa, 126\u2019ya kadar y\u00fckseli\u015f teknik olarak potansiyel dahilinde\u2026<\/p>\n

Burada yer alan yat\u0131r\u0131m bilgi, yorum ve tavsiyeleri, yat\u0131r\u0131m dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 kapsam\u0131nda de\u011fildir, yazar\u0131n ki\u015fisel g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerine dayanmaktad\u0131r. Yat\u0131r\u0131m dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 hizmeti; arac\u0131 kurumlar, portf\u00f6y y\u00f6netim \u015firketleri ve mevduat kabul etmeyen bankalar ile m\u00fc\u015fteri aras\u0131nda imzalanacak \u201cyat\u0131r\u0131m dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u201d s\u00f6zle\u015fmesi \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde sunulmaktad\u0131r. Bu nedenle,?burada?yer alan bilgilere dayan\u0131larak yat\u0131r\u0131m karar\u0131 verilmesi, beklentilerinize uygun sonu\u00e7lar do\u011furmayabilir.<\/p>\n

Kaynak: Enerji Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.Merkez Bankas\u0131 Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdem Ba\u015f\u00e7\u0131 2013 enflasyon hedefini a\u00e7\u0131klarken, petrol fiyat\u0131n\u0131 108 dolar varsayd\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 ifade etmi\u015fti, d\u00fcn 117 dolara kadar y\u00fckseldi. Yeni y\u0131lda […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6154,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53,44],"tags":[2255,67,2254,2253,79,347],"views":650,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6153"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6153"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6153\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6156,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6153\/revisions\/6156"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6154"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6153"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6153"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6153"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}