{"id":586,"date":"2012-06-20T08:58:19","date_gmt":"2012-06-20T05:58:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=586"},"modified":"2012-06-20T18:17:53","modified_gmt":"2012-06-20T15:17:53","slug":"turkiye-enerji","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/turkiye-enerji\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) T\u00fcrkiye Enerji de “Kendi Kendini mi” Baltal\u0131yor?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

T\u00fcketti\u011fi Enerjinin Y\u00fczde 29\u2019unu Petrolden Kar\u015f\u0131layan T\u00fcrkiye \u00c7ok Riskli Bir Oyun \u0130\u00e7inde…<\/strong><\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ABD ve AB bask\u0131lar\u0131 ile \u0130ran\u2019a uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 politikalar kendi enerji politikas\u0131n\u0131 tehdit eder boyuta geldi.\"\"<\/p>\n

Bu y\u0131l T\u00fcrkiye’nin toplam enerji ithalat faturas\u0131n\u0131n -e\u011fer fiyatlar bu seviyede kal\u0131rsa- 68 milyar dolara ula\u015fma riski var, ya\u015fanan siyasi tansiyonun bu rakam\u0131 daha da yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekme ihtimali g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilmiyor.<\/p>\n

The Lira’n\u0131n haberine g\u00f6re y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde 14.7 milyar enerjiye yat\u0131ran T\u00fcrkiye ilk etapta y\u00fczde 20 azaltt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 duyurdu\u011fu \u0130ran\u2019dan petrol al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 tamam\u0131 ile bitmesi g\u00fcndemde.<\/p>\n

1 Temmuz\u2019da y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc girecek olan ambargo \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde nakliye sigortas\u0131na da yasak gelmesi piyasa uzmanlar\u0131 taraf\u0131nda pek \u00e7ok \u00fclkenin \u0130ran\u2019dan al\u0131mlar\u0131 tamam\u0131yla durdurabilece\u011fi yorumlar\u0131na neden oluyor.<\/p>\n

Bu yasak T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin i\u00e7inde oldu\u011fu G\u00fcney Kore, Singapur, G\u00fcney Afrika ve Tayvan gibi \u00fclkelerin i\u015fini iyice zorla\u015ft\u0131racak. Petrol traderler\u0131 bu \u00fclkelerin tamam\u0131yla Irak ile ili\u015fkilerini kesebilece\u011fine dikkat \u00e7ekiyorlar. Traderler ve dan\u0131\u015fmalar 1 Temmuz\u2019a kadar Irak\u2019\u0131n petrol ihracat\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcnl\u00fck 600 varilden 400 varile d\u00fc\u015fmesini bekliyor.\u00a0 Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz y\u0131l itibariyle g\u00fcnl\u00fck 3 milyon varil \u00fcretim yapan \u00fclkede her damla d\u00fcnya petrol piyasas\u0131 i\u00e7in son derece b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\u0130ran\u2019dan petrol al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 azaltmay\u0131 planlayan T\u00fcrkiye, Amerika\u2019n\u0131n muafiyet listesine girerken do\u011facak a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 da Libya, Suudi Arabistan ve konut kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 petrol almak i\u00e7in anla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 Venezuella\u2019dan kar\u015f\u0131lamay\u0131 hedefliyor.<\/p>\n

T\u00dcRK\u0130YE \u0130\u00c7\u0130N ENERJ\u0130DE\u00a0\u00d6NEML\u0130 3 \u00dcLKE<\/strong><\/p>\n

Siyasi gerilim bir kenara b\u0131rak\u0131l\u0131rsa T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u0130ran ile olan ili\u015fkilerin bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131la g\u00f6re daha da geli\u015fti\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Buna gerek\u00e7e olarak T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 2011 y\u0131l\u0131nda \u0130ran\u2019dan ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 petrol oran\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 20 artt\u0131rarak \u00fclke ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 51\u2019lik k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 bu \u00fclkeden almas\u0131 g\u00f6sterilebilir. Bu durumda tercihin olu\u015fmas\u0131nda iki ihtimal \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Biri \u0130ran\u2019dan al\u0131nan petrol\u00fcn fiyat\u0131n\u0131n daha makul olabilece\u011fi, bir di\u011feri ise \u00f6deme esneklik sa\u011flanma ihtimali.<\/p>\n

Her iki noktada T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin yarar\u0131na oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in ithal edilen rakam\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmek yanl\u0131\u015f olmayacak.<\/p>\n

Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131 Ba\u015fekonomisti Fatih Birol\u2019da mart ay\u0131nda \u00e7evre kongresinde yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 5 y\u0131l i\u00e7erisinde enerji a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli \u00fclke hangisidir diye soruldu\u011funda \u0130ran\u2019\u0131 g\u00f6stermi\u015fti. Birol a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131nda ”T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in, T\u00fcrkiye enerji d\u0131\u015f politikas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm 3 \u00fclke, Irak, Irak ve Irak. Irak’tan daha \u00f6nemli bir \u00fclke d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fcyorum T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in. \u00c7ok \u00f6nemli bir potansiyel, hemen yan\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131m\u0131zda. Irak’\u0131n 5-6 sene sonra Katar kadar g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u00fclke olmamas\u0131 i\u00e7in, siyasi nedenlerin d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda, ba\u015fka bir neden yok. D\u00fcnyadaki petrol ve do\u011falgaz \u015firketlerinin gidebilece\u011fi fazla bir yer kalmad\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131m yapmak i\u00e7in” demi\u015fti.<\/p>\n

Peki, T\u00fcrkiye \u0130ran ile petrol ili\u015fkisini tamam\u0131yla kesebilir mi ya da keserse ne olur? T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin son d\u00f6nemde benimsedi\u011fi enerji politikalar\u0131 ne kadar g\u00fcvenli?<\/p>\n

“GER\u0130L\u0130M YOL SU ELEKT\u0130RK OLARAK GER\u0130 D\u00d6NECEK”<\/strong><\/p>\n

Konuya dair yorumlar\u0131na ba\u015fvurdu\u011fumuz Enerji Uzman Necdet Pamir, konunun sadece T\u00fcpra\u015f\u2019\u0131 ilgilendiren ticari bir mesele olarak g\u00f6rmenin yanl\u0131\u015f olaca\u011f\u0131na vurgu yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n

ABD ve AB bask\u0131lar\u0131 ile son d\u00f6nemde \u0130ran\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 al\u0131nan kararlarda bir T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin enerji politikalar pek \u00e7ok boyutta s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne dikkat \u00e7eken Pamir, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin enerjinin y\u00fczde 98\u2019ini ithal etti\u011fini, bu nedenle de kritik bir d\u00f6neme\u00e7te olundu\u011funu kaydetti.<\/p>\n

B\u00fcy\u00fck resimde T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin y\u00fczde 51 petrol ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131 \u0130ran\u2019dan kar\u015f\u0131larken, do\u011falgaz ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131n ise y\u00fczde 18\u2019ini bu \u00fclkeden kar\u015f\u0131lad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kaydetti. Buna ek olarak do\u011falgaz\u0131n y\u00fczde 58\u2019i petrol\u00fcn de y\u00fczde 12\u2019lik k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n Rusya\u2019dan kar\u015f\u0131land\u0131\u011f\u0131 kaydeden Birol T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin son d\u00f6nemde kabul etti\u011fi politikalar\u0131n her iki \u00fclkenin de ho\u015funa gitmedi\u011fine dikkat \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n

ABD bask\u0131s\u0131 ile Suriye\u2019ye y\u00f6nelik \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar buna ek olarak Malataya K\u00fcrecik\u2019e kurulan radar \u00fcss\u00fc nedeniyle siyasi gerilimin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kaydeden Necdet Pamir bu gerilimin ilerleyen g\u00fcnlerde T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye yol, su elektrik olarak geri gelece\u011fine dikkat \u00e7ekti. Enerji taraf\u0131nda bu denli b\u00fcy\u00fck ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 olan T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin sert \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck risk oldu\u011funu kaydeden Pamir, enerji politikalar\u0131nda ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z olunmamas\u0131n\u0131n sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n a\u011f\u0131r olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Bu etkilerin PKK\u2019nin desteklenmesi sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n artmas\u0131, boru hatlar\u0131n\u0131n ya\u011fmalanmas\u0131 gibi direkt ya da indirekt olarak g\u00f6zlendi\u011fine dikkat \u00e7eken enerji uzman\u0131, \u0130ran d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda alternatif olarak g\u00f6sterilen \u00fclkelerin de konjonkt\u00fcr\u00fc dikkate alarak ucuz petrol vermek istemeyeceklerini s\u00f6yledi. Hem kalite hem de fiyat taraf\u0131nda daha iyi bir teklif gelme ihtimalinin zay\u0131f oldu\u011funa vurgu yapan Pamir, makro politikalar sonras\u0131nda fiyatlar\u0131n y\u00fckselece\u011fini,\u00a0 sonucunda y\u00fcksek fatura olarak t\u00fcketiciye yans\u0131yaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurgulad\u0131.<\/p>\n

KAYA GAZI \u00c7\u00d6Z\u00dcM OLUR MU?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Son d\u00f6nemin en parlak konusu olan kaya gaz\u0131n\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin enerji sorunlar\u0131na \u00e7are olup olmayaca\u011f\u0131 noktas\u0131nda ise enerji uzman\u0131 Pamir, umutlar\u0131n muhafaza edilmesi gerekti\u011fi fakat strateji olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in \u00e7ok erken oldu\u011funu kaydetti.<\/p>\n

Kaya gaz\u0131n\u0131n 1800\u2019lerden beri bilendi\u011fine dikkat \u00e7eken Pamir petrolc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn bilinen iki teknolojisinin bir ayara getirilmesi ile son 3-5 y\u0131lda g\u00fcndemde daha fazla yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kaydetti.\u00a0 Kil tabalar\u0131n\u0131n aras\u0131na s\u0131k\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f ama ekonomik olarak \u00fcretilemeyen gaz\u0131n yatay sondaj ve hidrolik \u00e7atlatama y\u00f6netiminin kullan\u0131lmas\u0131 ile \u00e7\u0131kart\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 anlatan Pamir, ge\u00e7irgen olmayan yap\u0131lar oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in \u00fcretim zor oldu\u011funu, konvansiyonel gaz \u00fcretimi kadar ekonomik belirtti. Son d\u00f6nemde T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de g\u00fcndeme gelen kaya gaz\u0131 i\u00e7in verilen rakamlara \u015fu a\u015famada g\u00fcvenilmemesinin gerekti\u011fini kaydeden Necdet Pamir, 1.8 trilyon metrek\u00fcp olarak dile getirilen rakam\u0131n spek\u00fclatif oldu\u011funu belirtti.\u00a0 En basit saha geli\u015ftirmesinin 8 ile 9 y\u0131lda yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kaydeden enerji uzaman\u0131 umutlar\u0131n korunmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini ama strateji geli\u015ftirmek i\u00e7in erken oldu\u011funu s\u00f6zlerine ekledi.<\/p>\n

Kaynak: D\u00fcnya B\u00fclteni<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.T\u00fcketti\u011fi Enerjinin Y\u00fczde 29\u2019unu Petrolden Kar\u015f\u0131layan T\u00fcrkiye \u00c7ok Riskli Bir Oyun \u0130\u00e7inde… T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ABD ve AB bask\u0131lar\u0131 ile \u0130ran\u2019a uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 politikalar kendi enerji […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":587,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53,44],"tags":[86,85],"views":884,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/586"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=586"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/586\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":609,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/586\/revisions\/609"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/587"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=586"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=586"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=586"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}