{"id":54014,"date":"2016-06-12T23:50:48","date_gmt":"2016-06-12T20:50:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=54014"},"modified":"2016-06-12T23:50:48","modified_gmt":"2016-06-12T20:50:48","slug":"petrol-piyasalarinda-neler-oluyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/petrol-piyasalarinda-neler-oluyor\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) Petrol Piyasalar\u0131nda Neler Oluyor?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

K\u00fcresel petrol ve gaz piyasalar<\/strong>\u0131<\/strong>n<\/strong>\u0131<\/strong>n nabz<\/strong>\u0131<\/strong>n<\/strong>\u0131<\/strong> tutan KPMG\u00a0Petrol sekt<\/strong>\u00f6<\/strong>r<\/strong>\u00fc\u00a0<\/strong>\u00fc<\/strong>zerindeki kara bulutlar<\/strong>\u0131<\/strong>n da<\/strong>\u011f\u0131<\/strong>lmad<\/strong>\u0131\u011f\u0131<\/strong> uyar<\/strong>\u0131<\/strong>s<\/strong>\u0131<\/strong> yapt\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye’nin analizine g\u00f6re, jeopolitik riskler bir s\u00fcre daha petrol fiyatlar<\/strong>\u0131<\/strong>nda belirleyici g<\/strong>\u00fc\u00e7<\/strong> olmaya devam edecek.<\/strong><\/p>\n

K\u00fcresel petrol ve gaz piyasalar\u0131ndaki geli\u015fmeleri analiz eden \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131ndan dikkat \u00e7ekici ba\u015fl\u0131klar \u015f\u00f6yle:<\/p>\n

– Petrol kuyusu say\u0131s\u0131 2013’ten bu yana y\u00fczde 73 azald\u0131 ama ABD ham petrol \u00fcretim<\/strong> g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc korud\"petrol-piyasalarinda-neler-oluyor\"<\/a>u. Baker Hughes’un verilerine g\u00f6re, petrol \u00e7\u0131karma ve petrol hizmetleri sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn en \u00f6nemli ticari g\u00f6stergelerinden biri olan ABD’deki petrol kuyusu say\u0131s\u0131 Aral\u0131k 2014’ten itibaren azalmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. \u015eu anda petrol kuyusu<\/strong> say\u0131s\u0131 Kas\u0131m 2009’dan bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyede. Ham petrol \u00fcretimi ise Haziran 2015’e<\/strong> kadar artmaya devam etti. Mart 2016 itibar\u0131yla ge\u00e7en y\u0131l ula\u015f\u0131lan zirveye k\u0131yasla sadece y\u00fczde 6<\/strong> azald\u0131.<\/p>\n

– Petrol kuyusu say\u0131s\u0131ndaki keskin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe ve \u00e7ok say\u0131da Kuzey Amerikal\u0131 kaya petrol\u00fc \u00fcreticisinin<\/strong> iflas etmesine ra\u011fmen ham petrol \u00fcretim seviyeleri \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 bir \u015fekilde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kald\u0131. Di\u011fer taraftan, petrol \u00fcretimi merkezlerindeki kesintisiz rekabet, ABD\u2019nin y\u00fcksek miktarda ham petrol \u00fcretimi ve umut vermeyen k\u00fcresel ekonomi, uluslararas\u0131 ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n belirlenmesinde etkili oluyor.<\/p>\n

– Ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131 Mart ay\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda \u00fc\u00e7 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemin en y\u00fcksek seviyesine \u00e7\u0131karak daralan arz kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda canland\u0131.<\/p>\n

– OPEC ham petrol \u00fcretimi<\/strong>, \u0130ran\u2019a uygulanan yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 ve sevkiyat\u0131n ciddi oranda artmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen Irak, Nijerya ve BAE\u2019nin ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 kay\u0131plarla birlikte \u015eubat<\/strong> ay\u0131nda 90 bin varil\/g\u00fcn<\/strong> azalarak 32,61 milyon varil\/g\u00fcn\u2019l\u00fc<\/strong>k g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir seviyeye geriledi. OPEC\u2019in<\/strong> en b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00fcreticisi olan Suudi Arabistan<\/strong>, arzlar\u0131 istikrarl\u0131 bir seviyede tutuyor.<\/p>\n

– D\u00fcnya rafineri \u00fcretimlerinin 2016\u2019n\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde 79,1 milyon varil\/g\u00fcn<\/strong> seviyesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi bekleniyor. Bu durum OECD rafineri<\/strong> \u00fcretiminin zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve ilk \u00e7eyrekte bir zirve kaymas\u0131 ya\u015fanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. 2015\u2019in son \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u0131ll\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcme, stok birikimlerinin aras\u0131nda ve d\u00fcnya petrol talebindeki b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin yava\u015flamas\u0131yla birlikte 1 milyon varil\/g\u00fcn<\/strong> de\u011ferinin alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n

– OPEC\u2019in<\/strong> ayl\u0131k raporunda, ham petrole duyulan talep art\u0131\u015f\u0131na dair genel tahminin 2016\u2019da<\/strong> g\u00fcnl\u00fck 1,25 milyon varil<\/strong> seviyesinde kalarak de\u011fi\u015fmeyece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. OPEC d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki<\/strong> \u00fcreticilerden gelen, ‘arz\u0131n 700.000 d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fi’ne<\/strong> dair tahmin daha \u015f\u00fcpheli bir duruma girdi.<\/p>\n

– Ba\u015fta ABD<\/strong> ve \u00c7in<\/strong> olmak \u00fczere talep art\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki keskin yava\u015flamalar, k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131la k\u0131yasla 2015\u2019in d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc\u00e7eyre\u011finde 1,2 milyon varil\/g\u00fcn seviyesine d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrerek, 2015\u2019in \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011findeki – be\u015f y\u0131l\u0131n neredeyse en y\u00fcksek seviyesi olan – 2,3 milyon varil\/g\u00fcn\u2019\u00fcn<\/strong> olduk\u00e7a alt\u0131na itti. 2016<\/strong> i\u00e7in yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,2 milyon varil\/g\u00fcn art\u0131\u015f\u0131<\/strong> tahmin ediliyor.<\/p>\n

– Brent tahminlerinde, tahmin d\u00f6nemi boyunca son aydan bu yana pek hareket g\u00f6r\u00fclmedi. Analistler 2017\u2019de<\/strong> piyasan\u0131n dengelenmesinden \u00f6nce arz y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki tehditlerin 2016\u2019da<\/strong> devam edece\u011fini ve sermaye giderleri kesintilerinin ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck at\u0131l kapasitenin Brent\u2019i desteklemesiyle<\/strong>, orta vadede fiyatlar\u0131n eski haline geri d\u00f6nece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Artan stoklar\u0131n yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 tehdit, artan OPEC arz\u0131 ve k\u00fcresel ekonomideki muhtemel talep d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc ciddi risk alanlar\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

– Gazda ise Henry Hub tahminleri, ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz aydan bu yana \u00e7ok az de\u011fi\u015fti. Pazarda arz fazlas\u0131 ya\u015fan\u0131yor ve bunun yak\u0131n gelecekte devam edece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Rekora ula\u015fan stok seviyeleri, 2016 y\u0131l\u0131nda yava\u015flayan arz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve y\u00fcksek gaz talebinin \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7erek b\u00fcy\u00fcyen stok fazlal\u0131\u011f\u0131yla birlikte gaz fiyatlar\u0131 \u00fczerinde tehdit unsuru olacak.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.K\u00fcresel petrol ve gaz piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n nabz\u0131n\u0131 tutan KPMG\u00a0Petrol sekt\u00f6r\u00fc\u00a0\u00fczerindeki kara bulutlar\u0131n da\u011f\u0131lmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 uyar\u0131s\u0131 yapt\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye’nin analizine g\u00f6re, jeopolitik riskler bir s\u00fcre daha petrol […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":54015,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53,44],"tags":[1198,1736,63,67,1009,2698,165,6972,3380,2037,26456,1377,30180,59,79,2388,916,887,2522],"views":837,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54014"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=54014"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54014\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":54016,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54014\/revisions\/54016"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/54015"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=54014"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=54014"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=54014"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}