{"id":53694,"date":"2016-06-05T19:27:50","date_gmt":"2016-06-05T16:27:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=53694"},"modified":"2016-06-05T19:27:50","modified_gmt":"2016-06-05T16:27:50","slug":"yorum-petrolde-yeni-riskler","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/yorum-petrolde-yeni-riskler\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) Yorum: Petrolde Yeni Riskler…"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

<\/p>\n

Analistler 2016 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n zirvesini g\u00f6ren petrolde \u00fc\u00e7 yeni riskin ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtiyor.<\/strong><\/div>\n

\"Petrolde<\/p>\n

D\u00fcnya petrol piyasas\u0131 \u00fcretimdeki ciddi kesintiler nedeniyle beklenenden daha h\u0131zl\u0131 dengelenme trendine girdi. Nijerya, Kanada ve Venezuela ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere di\u011fer ham petrol \u00fcreten \u00fclkelerdeki kesintiler ve arz\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesi k\u00fcresel petrol \u00fcretimini g\u00fcnl\u00fck 3,8 milyon varil azaltt\u0131. Ve fiyatlar bir anda 7 ay\u0131n zirvesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Brent petrol\u00fc varil fiyat\u0131 49,75 dolarla 2016 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n en y\u00fckse\u011fine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131ktan sonra 49,33 dolar seviyelerinde dengelenmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Petroldeki ya\u015fanan hareketlili\u011fi de\u011ferlendiren ABN Amro Ba\u015f Enerji Ekonomisti Hans van Cleef, \u201cA\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a arz kesintilerinin etkisi \u00e7o\u011fu analistin bekledi\u011finden \u00e7ok daha b\u00fcy\u00fck oldu\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n

Kanada\u2019da son y\u0131llar\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck orman yang\u0131n\u0131yla kas\u0131p kavrulan ve zengin petrol yataklar\u0131n\u0131n bulundu\u011fu Alberta kentinde yer alan enerji \u015firketleri vanalar\u0131 kapatmak zorunda kald\u0131.<\/p>\n

Konu hakk\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131klama yapan Enerji Dan\u0131\u015fman\u0131 Manouchehr Takin, b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00fcreticilerin operasyonlar\u0131n\u0131 durdurmas\u0131yla g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00fcretimin yakla\u015f\u0131k olarak 1,2 milyon varil d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ifade etti. G\u00fcnl\u00fck 4,4 milyon varil ham petrol \u00fcretimiyle d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck be\u015finci petrol \u00fcreticisi konumunda olan Kanada i\u00e7in bu \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck bir kesinti anlam\u0131na geliyor. 704 bin d\u00f6n\u00fcml\u00fck ormanl\u0131k alanda etkili olan yang\u0131n g\u00fcnlerdir kontrol alt\u0131na al\u0131nam\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

8 y\u0131l\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck kesintisi\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

Kuzey Amerika\u2019da 2008\u2019deki \u2018Ike Kas\u0131rgas\u0131\u2019ndan bu yana en b\u00fcy\u00fck kesintinin ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirten Barclays Enerji ve Emtia Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 Masas\u0131 Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Michael Cohen, \u201c Bu \u00e7ok k\u00f6t\u00fc bir durum. Ve herhangi bir d\u00fczelme emaresi g\u00f6stermeden daha da k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fiyor. \u0130ki hafta m\u0131 ya da d\u00f6rt hafta m\u0131 s\u00fcrecek? \u015eimdiden s\u00f6ylemek \u00e7ok g\u00fc\u00e7. E\u011fer kesinti d\u00f6rt hafta s\u00fcrerse b\u00f6lgedeki projelerde orta vadeli olumsuz etkileri olacak\u201d dedi. Kara K\u0131ta\u2019n\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck ham petrol \u00fcreticisi \u00fclkelerinden biri olan Nijerya\u2019da Nijer Deltas\u0131 \u0130ntikamc\u0131lar\u0131 adl\u0131 ter\u00f6r \u00f6rg\u00fct\u00fc militanlar\u0131n\u0131n petrol \u00fcretim tesislerine sald\u0131r\u0131lar d\u00fczenlemesi \u00fclkenin petrol \u00fcretimine b\u00fcy\u00fck darbe vurdu.<\/p>\n

Son yirmi y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

Capital Economics\u2019ten Ekonomist John Ashbourne, \u201cMilitanlar\u0131n Nijer Deltas\u0131\u2019ndaki birka\u00e7 petrol tesisine sald\u0131rmas\u0131 nedeniyle Nijerya\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fcnl\u00fck ham petrol \u00fcretimi 1.4 milyon varile d\u00fc\u015ferek son 20 y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne geriledi\u201d dedi. Ashbourne ayr\u0131ca ter\u00f6r sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n \u015fubat ay\u0131ndan sonra t\u0131rman\u0131\u015fa ge\u00e7ti\u011finin alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7iziyor. Bu arada petrol traderlar\u0131 Venezuela\u2019daki arz kesintilerinde derin endi\u015fe duyuyor. Ekonomik krizin pen\u00e7esindeki Venezuela, siyasi \u00e7eki\u015fmeler, elektrik kesintileri, g\u0131da-ila\u00e7 s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131 ve Zika virs\u00fcyle bo\u011fu\u015fuyor.<\/p>\n

Petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k bir bu\u00e7uk y\u0131ld\u0131r tarihi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerde seyretmesi petrole g\u00f6be\u011finden ba\u011fl\u0131 Venezuela ekonomisini \u00e7\u00f6kme noktas\u0131na getirdi. Tulane Energy\u2019den Profes\u00f6r Eric Smith, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kaliteli petrol \u00fcretimi nedeniyle Venezuela\u2019n\u0131n varil ba\u015f\u0131na piyasa oranlar\u0131ndan daha az kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

Ancak baz\u0131 analistler di\u011fer ham petrol \u00fcreticisi \u00fclkelerin arz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n petrolde fiyatlar\u0131 dengeleyebilece\u011fi konusunda uyar\u0131yor. JBC Energy m\u00fc\u015fterilerine g\u00f6nderdi\u011fi notta, \u201c \u00d6zellikle \u0130ran\u2019da ve ba\u015fka yerlerde arz bollu\u011fu var\u201d diye yazd\u0131.<\/p>\n

Petrolde yeni d\u00fczeni belirleyen 3 fakt\u00f6r<\/strong><\/p>\n

1- Kanada: Kanada\u2019da g\u00fcnlerdir kontrol alt\u0131na al\u0131namayan orman yang\u0131n\u0131 petrol b\u00f6lgesi Alberta\u2019y\u0131 tehdit edince b\u00f6lgedeki major petrol \u015firketleri \u00fcretimi durdurdu. Vanalar\u0131n kapat\u0131lmas\u0131yla \u00fclkenin g\u00fcnl\u00fck petrol \u00fcretimi 1,2 milyon varil azald\u0131.<\/p>\n

2- Nijerya: Afrika\u2019n\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen petrol \u00fcretici \u00fclkesi Nijerya\u2019da petrol \u00fcretimi Nijer Deltas\u0131 \u0130ntikamc\u0131lar\u0131 militanlar\u0131n\u0131n petrol tesisleri ve boru hatlar\u0131na sald\u0131r\u0131lar d\u00fczenlemesiyle yar\u0131 yar\u0131ya d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Sald\u0131r\u0131lar nedeniyle normal ko\u015fullarda g\u00fcnl\u00fck 2,2 milyon varil olan ham pertrol \u00fcretimi 1 milyon varile d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n

3- Venezuela: Analistlere g\u00f6re g\u00fcnl\u00fck 2,3 milyon varil ham petrol \u00fcreten Venezuela\u2019da arzda b\u00fcy\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Citigroup Analisti Eric Lee \u00fclkedeki olumsuz tabloyu, \u201cPetrol sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde b\u00fcy\u00fck s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar ya\u015fan\u0131yor. \u00c7al\u0131\u015fanlara \u00f6demeler yap\u0131lam\u0131yor. Gerekli ekipmanlar sat\u0131n al\u0131nam\u0131yor. T\u00fcm bunlar da \u00fcretimi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcyor neden oluyor \u201cdiye \u00f6zetledi.<\/p>\n

Yazan: Ayd\u0131n \u015eAH\u0130NALP<\/p>\n

Kaynak: D\u00fcnya<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language. Analistler 2016 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n zirvesini g\u00f6ren petrolde \u00fc\u00e7 yeni riskin ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtiyor. D\u00fcnya petrol piyasas\u0131 \u00fcretimdeki ciddi kesintiler nedeniyle beklenenden daha h\u0131zl\u0131 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":53695,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53,44],"tags":[63,67,1009,2698,165,1928,6634,59,79,2388,887,2522,16731],"views":811,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53694"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=53694"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53694\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":53696,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53694\/revisions\/53696"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/53695"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=53694"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=53694"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=53694"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}