{"id":52416,"date":"2016-04-27T11:52:32","date_gmt":"2016-04-27T08:52:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=52416"},"modified":"2016-04-27T11:52:32","modified_gmt":"2016-04-27T08:52:32","slug":"yorum-gunes-enerjisi-dunyamizi-kurtaracak-mi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/yorum-gunes-enerjisi-dunyamizi-kurtaracak-mi\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) Yorum: G\u00fcne\u015f Enerjisi D\u00fcnyam\u0131z\u0131 Kurtaracak m\u0131?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

<\/p>\n

12 y\u0131l i\u00e7inde, g\u00fcne\u015f enerjisi d\u00fcnyay\u0131 domine edecek ve g\u00fcne\u015f enerjisinin pazar pay\u0131 y\u00fczde 100\u2019e ula\u015facak. Sa\u00e7ma bir iddia ya da hayal gibi bir tahmin mi?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc New York\u2019ta Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler Genel Merkezi\u2019nde bir araya gelen d\u00fcnya liderleri uzun m\u00fczakerelerin ard\u0131ndan, k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nmaya kar\u015f\u0131 Pa\"yorum-gunes-enerjisi-dunyamizi-kurtaracak-mi\"<\/a>ris Antla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019na imza att\u0131. 130\u2019un \u00fcst\u00fcnde devletin bir araya gelerek imza att\u0131\u011f\u0131 antla\u015fma heyecan verici ve \u00e7ok da \u00f6nemli.<\/p>\n

S\u0131cakl\u0131k ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n her ge\u00e7en y\u0131l daha da artt\u0131\u011f\u0131, k\u00fcresel felaketlerin giderek yay\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fcnyam\u0131z i\u00e7in bu antla\u015fma art\u0131k son viraj diyebiliriz. Antla\u015fma, alt\u0131na imza atan t\u00fcm \u00fclkelerin karbon emisyon oranlar\u0131n\u0131 hedeflenen s\u00fcreler i\u00e7inde azaltacak ad\u0131mlar atmas\u0131n\u0131 i\u00e7eriyor. Bu da \u00e7ok h\u0131zl\u0131 hareketlerle y\u00fczde y\u00fcz temiz enerji kaynaklar\u0131na ge\u00e7meyi gerektiriyor.<\/p>\n

Peki bu antla\u015fma ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i mi? Fosil yak\u0131tlardan kurtulmak bu kadar kolay olabilir mi? Asl\u0131nda d\u00fcnya b\u00fcrokrasinin bu hantal yap\u0131s\u0131nda ve fosil yak\u0131tlara s\u0131rt\u0131n\u0131 dayayan enerji lobisinin kontrol\u00fcnde radikal de\u011fi\u015fimler pek de m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor. Ama aksini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnen isimler de yok de\u011fil\u2026<\/p>\n

Pek \u00e7ok gelecek bilimcinin (F\u00fct\u00fcrist) en \u00f6nemli \u00f6zelli\u011fi gelece\u011fe umutla bakabilmesi. Bilim d\u00fcnyas\u0131n\u0131n ayk\u0131r\u0131 adamlar\u0131ndan Ray Kurzweil da gelece\u011fe umutla bakan, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en iddial\u0131 f\u00fct\u00fcristlerinden biri. 2012\u2019den beri Google\u2019\u0131n en \u00f6nemli beyinlerinden biri olan Kurzweil, yapay zeka, transh\u00fcmanizm, teknolojik tekillik \u00fczerine kafa yoran \u00e7\u0131lg\u0131n bir bilim adam\u0131.<\/p>\n

Kurzweil\u2019in \u00f6l\u00fcms\u00fczl\u00fck \u00fczerine d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncelerinden ve bu y\u00f6nde yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalardan daha \u00f6nce bahsetmi\u015ftim: Kurzweil\u2019e g\u00f6re insanl\u0131k 2029\u2019da (\u00e7ok de\u011fil 10-15 y\u0131l sonra) \u00f6l\u00fcms\u00fczl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn kap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 aralayacak teknolojiye ula\u015facak. 2045\u2019te ise \u201cTeknolojik Tekillik\u201d (Singularity) denilen noktaya ula\u015f\u0131lacak. Yani yapay zeka insan zekas\u0131n\u0131 ge\u00e7ecek ama ikisinin birlikteli\u011fi biz insanlara \u00f6l\u00fcms\u00fczl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc sa\u011flayacak.<\/p>\n

Peki biz \u00f6l\u00fcms\u00fczl\u00fc\u011fe ula\u015fsak bile \u00fczerinde ya\u015fanacak bir d\u00fcnyam\u0131z olacak m\u0131?<\/p>\n

Ray Kurzweil\u2019\u0131n Paris Antla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n imzalanmas\u0131n\u0131n arifesinde enerji \u00fczerine yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir konu\u015fmas\u0131 olduk\u00e7a \u00e7arp\u0131c\u0131yd\u0131. California\u2019da d\u00fczenlenen bir medikal teknoloji kongresinde konu\u015fan Kurzweil konuyu enerjiye getirdi ve \u015f\u00f6yle dedi;<\/p>\n

\u201cG\u00fcne\u015f enerjisi pazar\u0131 her iki y\u0131lda bir ikiye katlan\u0131yor. G\u00fcne\u015f, 2012\u2019de d\u00fcnya enerji piyasas\u0131n\u0131n %0,5\u2019i olu\u015fturuyordu. O zamanlar herkes g\u00fcne\u015f enerjisi kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n lineer artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyordu. Oysa yeni teknolojilerin k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmesi ve ucuzlamas\u0131yla bu art\u0131\u015f katlanarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fiyor. 2016\u2019da pazar pay\u0131 %2\u2019ye ula\u015ft\u0131. %100\u2019e ula\u015fmak i\u00e7in de sadece 6 katlanma kald\u0131.\u201d<\/p>\n

Bu da 12 y\u0131l i\u00e7inde g\u00fcne\u015f enerjisinin pazar pay\u0131 %100\u2019e ula\u015facak demek. G\u00fcne\u015f enerjisinin sonsuz bir kaynak oldu\u011funu belirten Kurzweil konu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 \u015f\u00f6yle tamaml\u0131yor; \u201cEnerji kaynaklar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n t\u00fckendi\u011fi do\u011fru bir yakla\u015f\u0131m de\u011fil. Sadece 19. y\u00fczy\u0131l teknolojilerine ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 kaynaklar\u0131m\u0131z t\u00fckeniyor.\u201d<\/p>\n

Asl\u0131nda Kurzweil bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncelerini ilk defa anlatm\u0131yor ama Paris Antla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n hemen \u00f6ncesine gelmesi \u00f6nemliydi.<\/p>\n

\u015e\u00fcphesiz bu \u00e7\u0131lg\u0131n bilim adam\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcleri \u015fu an size \u201csa\u00e7ma ya da ger\u00e7ek d\u0131\u015f\u0131\u201d gelebilir. Hele hele \u201cpetrol lobisi pazar\u0131 bo\u015f b\u0131rak\u0131r m\u0131?\u201d diye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebilirsiniz. Ama durun bir dakika\u2026<\/p>\n

Bahsetti\u011fimiz ki\u015fi, yani Ray Kurzweil\u2019\u0131n bu konuda bir de karnesi var. Buna g\u00f6re 1990\u2019l\u0131 y\u0131llardan 2015\u2019e kadar Kurzweil\u2019\u0131n teknolojik geli\u015fmeler ve gelecek konusunda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 147 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn 115\u2019i tam olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015f. 12 tanesinin zamanlamas\u0131 ise 1-2 y\u0131l kaym\u0131\u015f. \u0130\u015fte 20 tanesi de tutmam\u0131\u015f diyebiliriz. Ama ba\u015far\u0131 oran\u0131 %86 olmu\u015f. Art\u0131k yorum size ait.<\/p>\n

Haz\u0131rlayan: Ozan Onat<\/p>\n

Kaynak:\u00a0CNN T\u00fcrk<\/a><\/p>\n

<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language. 12 y\u0131l i\u00e7inde, g\u00fcne\u015f enerjisi d\u00fcnyay\u0131 domine edecek ve g\u00fcne\u015f enerjisinin pazar pay\u0131 y\u00fczde 100\u2019e ula\u015facak. Sa\u00e7ma bir iddia ya da hayal […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":52417,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53,49],"tags":[63,67,1009,1475,2698,165,1800,2326,21886,227,13,2569,23133,22975,4269,29358,20774],"views":963,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52416"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=52416"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52416\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":52418,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52416\/revisions\/52418"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/52417"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=52416"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=52416"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=52416"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}