{"id":51775,"date":"2016-03-18T20:06:22","date_gmt":"2016-03-18T17:06:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=51775"},"modified":"2016-03-18T20:06:22","modified_gmt":"2016-03-18T17:06:22","slug":"ieanin-hesaplamalarinda-ortaya-cikan-800-bin-varillik-petrol-acigi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/ieanin-hesaplamalarinda-ortaya-cikan-800-bin-varillik-petrol-acigi\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) IEA\u2019n\u0131n Hesaplamalar\u0131nda Ortaya \u00c7\u0131kan 800 Bin Varillik Petrol A\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

<\/p>\n

Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131 hesaplamalar\u0131nda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan 800 bin varil petrol a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u2018ufak\u2019 bir matematik hatas\u0131 m\u0131? Yoksa \u00c7in\u2019in gizli stok\u00e7uluk politikas\u0131n\u0131n sonucu mu?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Petrol piyasas\u0131 son g\u00fcnlerde b\u00fcy\u00fck bir gizem ile \u00e7alkalan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz y\u0131l Uluslararas\u0131 E\"petrol-varil-323-696x385\"<\/a>nerji Ajans\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (IEA) hesaplar\u0131nda olmayan ancak petrol piyasas\u0131 arz-talep datalar\u0131nda kendini g\u00f6steren\u00a0800 bin varil petrol ile ilgili bahisler a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

800 bin varil petrol neredeydi? Ger\u00e7ekten b\u00f6yle bir durum s\u00f6z konusu muydu? E\u011fer ger\u00e7ekten ortada 800 bin varil petrol varsa, bu arz fazlas\u0131 petrol piyasas\u0131n\u0131n i\u00e7inde bulundu\u011fu bask\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 olabilir miydi?<\/p>\n

Baz\u0131 analistlere g\u00f6re 800 bin varil \u00c7in\u2019de. Baz\u0131lar\u0131 ise \u2018ufak\u2019 bir hesaplama hatas\u0131 ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve asl\u0131nda 800 bin varil petrol\u00fcn hi\u00e7 varolmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 savunuyor.<\/p>\n

Gizemini koruyan sorunun cevab\u0131 ne olursa olsun, verilerin \u00e7eli\u015fkili durumu petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 da tart\u0131\u015fmaya a\u00e7acakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar petrol verilerine g\u00fcvenmeli mi?<\/p>\n

Hesaba kat\u0131lmay\u0131 unutulan variller asl\u0131nda yeni bir haber de\u011fil. \u00d6nceki y\u0131llarda da benzer vakalar ya\u015fanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz y\u0131l\u0131 \u00f6zel k\u0131lan ise, son 17 y\u0131l\u0131n\u00a0en b\u00fcy\u00fck hesaplama hatas\u0131n\u0131n yap\u0131lmas\u0131 oldu. Hesaplama hatalar\u0131, arz fazlas\u0131ndan yana s\u00fcrmeye devam ederse, bu piyasa i\u00e7in ciddi bir sorun olabilir.<\/p>\n

Peki bu hata nas\u0131l yap\u0131ld\u0131?<\/p>\n

IEA, ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz y\u0131l d\u00fcnya genelinde g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalama petrol \u00fcretimini, talep edilenden daha fazla bir \u015fekilde, 1,9 milyon varil olarak tahmin etmi\u015fti. Bunun yakla\u015f\u0131k 300 bin varili boru hatlar\u0131yla transit olarak aktar\u0131lmak \u00fczere 770 bin varili depolama tesislerine aktar\u0131ld\u0131. Hepsi bu. Geriye 800 bin varil hesap fazlas\u0131 petrol kald\u0131.<\/p>\n

2015 y\u0131l\u0131 son \u00e7eyrekte \u2018unutulan variller\u2019in oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 43 oran\u0131nda artarak, g\u00fcnl\u00fck 1,1 milyon varile y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n

IEA, d\u00fcnya genelindeki petrol \u00fcretim ve talep verilerini topluyor ve her ay d\u00fczenli olarak fiyat hareketleri ile ilgili raporlar haz\u0131rl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Standard Chartered petrol analisti Paul Horsnell, \u201cKay\u0131p varillerle ilgili genel a\u00e7\u0131klama, asl\u0131nda onlar\u0131n hi\u00e7 var olmad\u0131klar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde\u201d diyor.<\/p>\n

IEA, mevcut tahminlerini\u00a0stok\u00e7uluk da yapan OECD \u00fclkeleri verilerine dayand\u0131rarak yap\u0131yor. Baz\u0131 analistlere g\u00f6re bu durum, kay\u0131p varillerin \u00c7in gibi OECD \u00fcyesi olmayan \u00fclkelerde olabilece\u011fi anlam\u0131na gelebilir. Tabi t\u00fcm analistler b\u00f6yle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Ancak hepsi de tek bir ortak noktada bulu\u015fuyor: Petrol piyasas\u0131nda veri toplaman\u0131n zorlu\u011fu!<\/p>\n

125 milyar dolar de\u011ferinde varl\u0131k y\u00f6netimi ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftiren US Bank yat\u0131r\u0131m analisti Rob Haworth, \u201cPetrol verileri \u2018kusurlu bir bilim\u2019 gibi\u201d diyor.<\/p>\n

Kaynak: BusinessHT<\/a><\/p>\n

<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language. Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131 hesaplamalar\u0131nda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan 800 bin varil petrol a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u2018ufak\u2019 bir matematik hatas\u0131 m\u0131? Yoksa \u00c7in\u2019in gizli stok\u00e7uluk politikas\u0131n\u0131n sonucu […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":51776,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53,44],"tags":[28989,63,67,1009,2698,165,1023,28991,59,28990,79,2388,887,2522,21164,1022],"views":735,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51775"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51775"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51775\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":51777,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51775\/revisions\/51777"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/51776"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51775"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51775"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51775"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}