{"id":48555,"date":"2015-12-31T15:09:47","date_gmt":"2015-12-31T12:09:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=48555"},"modified":"2015-12-31T15:09:47","modified_gmt":"2015-12-31T12:09:47","slug":"yorum-petrol-ihrac-eden-ulkelerin-petrolle-imtihani","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/yorum-petrol-ihrac-eden-ulkelerin-petrolle-imtihani\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) Yorum: Petrol \u0130hra\u00e7 Eden \u00dclkelerin Petrolle \u0130mtihan\u0131!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

<\/p>\n

Enerji konusunda 2015 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n en \u00f6nemli olay\u0131 nedir\u00a0diye sorarsak, ku\u015fkusuz bu sorunun cevab\u0131, \u201cpetrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki dramatik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u201d olacakt\u0131r.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Bu durumdan olumsuz etkilenen as\u0131l akt\u00f6r tabii ki petrol arz eden \u00fclkeler. \u00d6zellikle de \u00fclke ekonomilerini petrolle ayakta tutan \u00fclkeler. \u00dcstelik petro\"yorum-petrol-ihrac-eden-ulkelerin-petrolle-imtihani\"<\/a>l ihra\u00e7 eden \u00fclkeler grubu olan OPEC \u00fclkeleri, d\u00fcnyada en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyetle petrol \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yorlar.<\/p>\n

OPEC \u00fclkeleri i\u00e7erisinde Kuveyt\u2019in 1 varil petrol \u00e7\u0131karma maliyeti 8.50 dolar, Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n 9.90 dolar, Irak\u2019\u0131n 10.70 dolar iken, Birle\u015fik Arap Emirlikleri\u2019nde bu rakam 12.30 dolar ve \u0130ran\u2019da ise 12.60 dolar.<\/p>\n

Petrol \u00e7\u0131karma maliyetleri bu denli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, petrol fiyat\u0131n\u0131n 35 dolara do\u011fru gitmesi, b\u00fcy\u00fck risk bu \u00fclkeler i\u00e7in. IMF taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rlanan Suudi Arabistan raporu da bu riski ilan etmi\u015f oldu.<\/p>\n

Hem 13 OPEC \u00fclkesi i\u00e7inde hem de d\u00fcnyada petrol \u00e7\u0131karma maliyeti en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olan Suudi Arabistan\u2019da, petrol gelirlerinin d\u00fc\u015fmesi b\u00fct\u00e7ede de ciddi bir a\u00e7\u0131k getirdi. Hatta petrol fiyatlar\u0131 bu \u015fekilde devam ederse, Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n 5 y\u0131l i\u00e7erisinde iflas noktas\u0131na gelece\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131 IMF.<\/p>\n

Suudi Arabistan iflas eder mi etmez mi \u015fimdiden kestirmek zor, ancak bug\u00fcnden \u015fu \u00e7\u0131karsamay\u0131 rahatl\u0131kla yapabiliriz.\u00a02015 y\u0131l\u0131nda oldu\u011fu gibi 2016\u2019da da petrol arz\u0131 bu \u015fekilde devam ederse, varil ba\u015f\u0131na petrol fiyat\u0131 20 dolar\u0131 bile g\u00f6rebilir. 80 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131 i\u00e7in felaket senaryolar\u0131 yaz\u0131lan \u00fclkeler i\u00e7in, anla\u015f\u0131lan o ki, 2016 y\u0131l\u0131 da petrolde zor ge\u00e7ecek.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00d6zellikle de petrol \u00e7\u0131karma maliyeti y\u00fcksek olan \u00fclkelerin uzun d\u00f6nemde bu fiyatlara dayanmalar\u0131 \u00e7ok zor. \u00d6rne\u011fin petrol \u00e7\u0131karma maliyeti 35 dolar\u0131n \u00fcst\u00fcnde olan \u00fclkelerden\u00a0Kolombiya, Norve\u00e7, ABD, Kanada, Brezilya ve\u00a0<\/strong>\u0130ngiltere petrolden vazge\u00e7ebilirler. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc petrol \u00e7\u0131karma maliyetini bile kar\u015f\u0131layamayan bir \u00fcretimi devam ettirmenin bir anlam\u0131 yok.<\/p>\n

Yani, petrol \u00fcreten, petrol gelirlerine ba\u011fl\u0131 ekonomileri olan \u00fclkeleri 2016 y\u0131l\u0131, 2015\u2019den daha fazla zorlayacak. Ayr\u0131ca \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n petrol piyasalar\u0131na girme haz\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131 da var. Tabii ki bir de petrol ihra\u00e7 eden \u00fclkelerin i\u00e7inde debelendikleri k\u0131s\u0131r d\u00f6ng\u00fc:Zaten petrol gelirlerine ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131 var, gelirin azalmas\u0131yla daha fazla petrol arz\u0131na y\u00f6nelecekler<\/strong>. Petrol arz\u0131n\u0131n azalt\u0131lmas\u0131 konusunda farkl\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fler de, \u201carz\u0131 k\u0131sal\u0131m, petrol fiyat\u0131 y\u00fckselsin<\/strong>\u201d y\u00f6ntemini uygulamaz k\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

HOLLANDA<\/strong>\u00a0HASTALI\u011eI MI?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Petrol kaynaklar\u0131 bak\u0131m\u0131ndan zengin olan \u00fclkeler, y\u0131llarca petrolden elde ettikleri kazanc\u0131n keyfini s\u00fcrd\u00fcler. Ekonomik \u00fcretim i\u00e7in farkl\u0131 sekt\u00f6rleri \u00f6nemsemeyerek, tek bir sekt\u00f6rden gelen kolay geliri \u00f6ncelediler. Hollanda\u2019n\u0131n do\u011falgaz ke\u015ffetmesiyle, kaynaklar\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc do\u011falgaz sekt\u00f6r\u00fcne aktar\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. \u0130hracatta tek bir \u00fcr\u00fcne odaklan\u0131lmas\u0131, bu \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fcn fiyat\u0131ndaki ani bir de\u011fi\u015fme sonucunda ekonomide t\u00fcm dengeleri alt\u00fcst etmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n

\u201cHollanda Hastal\u0131\u011f\u0131<\/strong>\u201d olarak bilinen bu durum, petrol arz eden \u00fclkeleri de i\u00e7ine \u00e7ekecek gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.\u00a0Suudi Arabistan ve Rusya, Hollanda hastal\u0131\u011f\u0131na yakaland\u0131klar\u0131 takdirde, bu hastal\u0131ktan kolay kurtulamayacaklar\u0131 belli<\/strong>. E\u011fer bug\u00fcn Suudi Arabistan denilince petrol, Rusya denilince do\u011falgaz akla geliyorsa, bu iki \u00fclkenin \u201cHollanda hastal\u0131\u011f\u0131<\/strong>\u201dndan fazlas\u0131yla zarar g\u00f6recekleri ortada.
\nPeki petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisini nas\u0131l etkiliyor?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Enerji ithal eden bir \u00fclke olarak petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesi, \u00fclke ekonomisi i\u00e7in enerji ithalat\u0131na \u00f6denen faturan\u0131n azalmas\u0131 ve cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesi demek. Ekonomik \u00fcretim s\u00fcrecinde en y\u00fcksek maliyeti olu\u015fturan enerji kaleminde bir rahatlama olacak. Enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n pahal\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n enflasyon \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturma riski de azalacak.<\/p>\n

\u0130\u00e7inde bulundu\u011fumuz d\u00f6nem, petrole sahip olman\u0131n avantaj oldu\u011fu de\u011fil, risk oldu\u011fu bir d\u00f6nem. Bu nedenle petrol ithal eden \u00fclkeler, T\u00fcrkiye gibi, bu d\u00f6nemde olu\u015fan f\u0131rsatlar\u0131 iyi de\u011ferlendirmek zorunda.<\/p>\n

Kaynak: Enerji Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc<\/p>\n

<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language. Enerji konusunda 2015 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n en \u00f6nemli olay\u0131 nedir\u00a0diye sorarsak, ku\u015fkusuz bu sorunun cevab\u0131, \u201cpetrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki dramatik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u201d olacakt\u0131r. Bu durumdan olumsuz etkilenen […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":48556,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53,44],"tags":[63,67,1009,2698,165,10084,1377,59,79,8805,2388,20750,2522,27746],"views":887,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48555"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48555"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48555\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":48557,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48555\/revisions\/48557"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/48556"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48555"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48555"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48555"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}