{"id":47743,"date":"2015-12-11T13:13:31","date_gmt":"2015-12-11T10:13:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=47743"},"modified":"2015-12-11T13:13:31","modified_gmt":"2015-12-11T10:13:31","slug":"katar-turkiyenin-enerji-sorununa-cozum-mu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/katar-turkiyenin-enerji-sorununa-cozum-mu\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) Katar T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Enerji Sorununa \u00c7\u00f6z\u00fcm m\u00fc?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye ve Rusya aras\u0131ndaki gerilim s\u00fcrerken T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Rusya\u2019ya olan enerji ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 en b\u00fcy\u00fck sorunlardan biri. Enerji uzman\u0131 Necdet Pamir soruna k\u0131sa vadeli bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fcyor.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

SU-24 tipi Rus sava\u015f u\u00e7a\u011f\u0131n\u0131n T\u00fcrk F-16\u2019lar\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesinin ard\u0131ndan Rusya ve T\u00fcrkiye aras\u0131nda ba\u015flayan siyasi gerilim b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye deva\"katar-turkiyenin-enerji-sorununa-cozum-mu\"<\/a>m ediyor.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye, enerji ithalat\u0131nda Rusya\u2019ya a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 derecede ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 durumda. \u00dclke y\u0131ll\u0131k do\u011fal gaz t\u00fcketiminin y\u00fczde 55\u2019ini Trans-Balkan\/Bat\u0131 Hatt\u0131 ve Mavi Ak\u0131m\u2019dan gelen do\u011fal gazdan sa\u011fl\u0131yor. \u00d6zellikle Rusya\u2019dan kaynakl\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k bir kesintiye gidilmesi ihtimali bana g\u00f6re d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olsa da yayg\u0131n bir kayg\u0131 var. Nedeni ne olursa olsun, kesinti olursa, halinde yaln\u0131zca konutlar de\u011fil, elektrik \u00fcretimi ve sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fc de \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde zarar g\u00f6recek.<\/p>\n

Do\u011fal gaz\u0131n\u0131n %99\u2019unu ithal eden T\u00fcrkiye bunun y\u00fczde 48\u2019ini elektrik \u00fcretimi i\u00e7in kullan\u0131yor. \u00d6te yandan bu gaz\u0131n y\u00fczde 25,4\u2019\u00fc sanayide y\u00fczde 19,1\u2019i ise konutlarda t\u00fcketiliyor. Bu tabloya bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda Rusya\u2019dan gelen do\u011fal gazda bir kesinti olmas\u0131 halinde T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin enerji\/elektrik sistemi ve genel olarak ekonomisinin a\u011f\u0131r bir darbe alaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtmeye dahi gerek yok.<\/p>\n

En so\u011fuk g\u00fcnler\u00a0yolda<\/strong><\/p>\n

Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Recep Tayyip Erdo\u011fan bu ihtimali g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne alarak Katar\u2019\u0131 ziyaret etti. Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n Katar Emiri \u015eeyh El Tani\u2019yle \u0130ran ve Rusya\u2019dan sonra en \u00e7ok do\u011fal gaz rezervine sahip \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00fclke olan Katar\u2019dan s\u0131v\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f do\u011fal gaz (LNG) al\u0131nmas\u0131 da dahil, bir d\u00fczineden fazla anla\u015fmaya (mutabakat zapt\u0131na) imza att\u0131\u011f\u0131 bildirildi.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de \u00e7o\u011fu halihaz\u0131rda AKP iktidar\u0131n\u0131n kontrol\u00fcnde olan yay\u0131n organlar\u0131, dayanaks\u0131z bir bi\u00e7imde Katar do\u011fal gaz rezervlerinin bir alternatif olu\u015fturabilece\u011fini ve Rusya\u2019n\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye do\u011fal gaz\u0131 kesmesi durumunda bu giri\u015fimin Rusya\u2019ya bir tokat etkisi yarataca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ne s\u00fcrd\u00fcler. Baz\u0131lar\u0131 daha da ileri giderek Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye 50 y\u0131l yetecek kadar do\u011fal gaz rezervine sahip oldu\u011funu ve Rusya gaz\u0131 keserse bunun hemen devreye girece\u011fini iddia ettiler. Kuzey Irak\u2019taki do\u011fal gaz rezervleri de Rusya\u2019n\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye tedarik etti\u011fi gaz rezervlerine \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc bir alternatif olarak an\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

Her ne kadar Rusya\u2019n\u0131n (en az\u0131ndan do\u011frudan) T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 do\u011fal gaz\u0131 kesmesi olduk\u00e7a d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir ihtimal olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcnse de T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ithalat altyap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n analizi yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda b\u00f6yle bir kesinti halinde, bu \u201dse\u00e7eneklerin\u201d hi\u00e7biri, \u00f6zellikle k\u0131sa vadede ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Hen\u00fcz k\u0131\u015f\u0131n en so\u011fuk g\u00fcnlerini ya\u015fam\u0131yoruz, bu nedenle g\u00fcnl\u00fck do\u011fal gaz t\u00fcketimi yakla\u015f\u0131k 190 milyon metrek\u00fcp civar\u0131nda. S\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 miktardaki do\u011fal gaz depolama hacmi ve \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r LNG (spot piyasadan) tedarik potansiyeliyle birlikte, T\u00fcrkiye toplam gaz arz\u0131 potansiyeli ise, g\u00fcnde 196 milyon metrek\u00fcp\u00fc ancak buluyor. Bununla birlikte ge\u00e7en k\u0131\u015f en so\u011fuk g\u00fcnlerde g\u00fcnl\u00fck t\u00fcketim 230 milyon metrek\u00fcpe ula\u015fm\u0131\u015f ve sanayi tesislerinden ba\u015flay\u0131p, elektrik sekt\u00f6r\u00fcne kadar yay\u0131lan \u00f6nemli do\u011fal gaz kesintileri ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz hale gelmi\u015fti. Bir \u00fclkeye bu derece ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 olmak (do\u011falgaz ithalat\u0131nda bu oran y\u00fczde 55, petrol ve petrol \u00fcr\u00fcnleri ithalat\u0131nda y\u00fczde 16 ve k\u00f6m\u00fcr ithalat\u0131nda y\u00fczde 30) tamamen mant\u0131ks\u0131z bir enerji politikas\u0131 tercihidir. Bu ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n y\u0131llard\u0131r ele\u015ftirilmesine ra\u011fmen AKP h\u00fck\u00fcmeti bir de T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ilk n\u00fckleer santralini ihale olmaks\u0131z\u0131n Ruslara hediye etti.<\/p>\n

Katar, Azerbaycan ya da Irak?<\/b><\/p>\n

\u015eu anda ne Katar\u2019dan \u201calternatif\u201d LNG ne de Azerbaycan\u2019dan \u2019\u2019ilave do\u011fal gaz\u2019\u2019 ithal edecek boru hatt\u0131 ya da LNG tesisi mevcut. Benzer \u015fekilde Kuzey Irak\u2019tan, \u201cvar olmayan\u201d yani k\u0131sa vadede ve Federal H\u00fck\u00fcmet\u2019in onay\u0131 olmadan bir do\u011fal gaz\u0131 ithal edecek altyap\u0131 da bulunmamakta.. \u00d6zel \u015firkete ait LNG tesisinde (Egegaz) halihaz\u0131rda spot al\u0131mlar zaten rezerve edildi. \u00dcstelik bu tesisin do\u011fal gaz temini kapasitesi g\u00fcnde 16 milyon metrek\u00fcple s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131. Katar\u2019dan do\u011fal gaz sat\u0131n al\u0131nsa bile, bunu T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin do\u011fal gaz a\u011f\u0131na dahil etmek fiziki olarak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil (Zira dolu!). Bu nedenle de Katar do\u011fal gaz\u0131n\u0131n Rusya\u2019dan gelen do\u011fal gaza bir alternatif olu\u015fturaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 iddia etmek bo\u015f laftan ba\u015fka bir \u015fey de\u011fil. Yeni bir LNG tesisi kurmak ise, uzun y\u0131llar ve milyonlarca dolar yat\u0131r\u0131m demek. Ruslar\u0131n do\u011fal gaz\u0131 kesmeye karar vermesi halinde b\u00f6yle bir \u201dalternatif\u201d T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ivedi ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131na nas\u0131l cevap verebilir? \u00dcstelik Katar LNG\u2019si Rus do\u011fal gaz\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda olduk\u00e7a pahal\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin zaten k\u0131r\u0131lgan olan ekonomisi \u00fczerinde ciddi bir y\u00fck olu\u015fturacakt\u0131r. Rus do\u011fal gaz\u0131na bir alternatif bulmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131rken y\u00fcz\u00fcn\u00fc Katar\u2019a d\u00f6nen ve a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 y\u00fcksek fiyatlarla h\u00fcsrana u\u011frayan Polonya bu durumun somut bir \u00f6rne\u011fi.<\/p>\n

Azerbaycan\u2019\u0131n halihaz\u0131rdaki do\u011fal gaz ihracat potansiyeli de s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131. 2012 y\u0131l\u0131nda imzalanan Trans Anadolu Do\u011fal Gaz Boru Hatt\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (TANAP) en erken 2018\u2019de tamamlanmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Rusya\u2019n\u0131n do\u011fal gaz\u0131 kesti\u011fini varsayd\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, mevcut anla\u015fmayla bile ancak 2018\u2019de gelebilecek Azerbaycan do\u011fal gaz\u0131n\u0131n bir alternatif olu\u015fturmas\u0131n\u0131 beklemek hayalcilikten de fazlas\u0131; hatta g\u00fcl\u00fcn\u00e7! \u00d6nce \u015eahDeniz Faz 2 \u00fcretimi belli bir seviyeye gelmeli.<\/p>\n

Irak\u2019\u0131n kuzeyinde ise \u015fu anda fiziki bir do\u011fal gaz ihracat\u0131 potansiyeli bulunmamakta; k\u0131sa vadede de b\u00f6yle bir potansiyelden s\u00f6z etmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil. \u00dcstelik Irak K\u00fcrt B\u00f6lgesel Y\u00f6netimi (IKBY) bir devlet de\u011fil. Bir hidrokarbon ihracat\u0131 anla\u015fmas\u0131 b\u00f6lgesel bir y\u00f6netimle de\u011fil, Irak h\u00fck\u00fcmetiyle imzalanmal\u0131. AKP\u2019nin Irak h\u00fck\u00fcmetiyle ili\u015fkisi de AKP\u2019nin Irak\u2019\u0131n i\u00e7 politikas\u0131na m\u00fcdahalesi ve Irak\u2019\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin IKBY\u2019le i\u015fbirli\u011fi yaparak Irak petrol\u00fcn\u00fc ka\u00e7\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ne s\u00fcrmesi nedeniyle halihaz\u0131rda olduk\u00e7a k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fmi\u015f durumda. Buna bir de Musul civar\u0131na T\u00fcrk askeri sevkiyat\u0131n\u0131n, \u201cizinsiz\u201d yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 iddias\u0131 eklendi.<\/p>\n

\u201d\u00a0<\/b>Y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131<\/b>\u00a0hediyesi\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n

Rusya\u2019n\u0131n enerji sekt\u00f6r\u00fc d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n ilk faturas\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k 6,5 milyar dolar olarak hesapland\u0131. Bu buzda\u011f\u0131n\u0131n yaln\u0131zca g\u00f6r\u00fcnen k\u0131sm\u0131, zira Rusya gibi b\u00fcy\u00fck bir devletin T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye zarar vermek i\u00e7in kullanabilece\u011fi say\u0131s\u0131z y\u00f6ntem var. A\u00e7\u0131ktan do\u011fal gaz ihracat\u0131n\u0131 kesmek yerine, akla gelmeyen \u00e7ok say\u0131da y\u00f6ntem bulabilirler. \u201cI\u015e\u0130D ile petrol ticareti yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131\u201d iddias\u0131n\u0131n BM\u2019e ta\u015f\u0131nmas\u0131 ilk \u00f6rnektir. T\u00fcrkiye de bu yapt\u0131r\u0131mlara benzer bi\u00e7imde cevap vermeyi se\u00e7ebilir. Ancak bu durumda iki taraf da kaybeder ve sonu\u00e7 taraflar i\u00e7in bir \u2018\u2019yalanc\u0131 zafer\u2019\u2019 olabilir. \u201cO halde kim kazan\u0131yor?\u201d diye sormak gerekmez mi?<\/p>\n

Son olarak; Akkuyu projesinin tepki ama\u00e7l\u0131 iptali T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Rusya\u2019ya daha fazla ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 hale gelmesini engellemesinin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, vatanda\u015flar\u0131 ve gelecek nesilleri, Akkuyu N\u00fckleer Santrali\u2019nin tehlikeli sonu\u00e7lar\u0131ndan kurtarm\u0131\u015f olaca\u011f\u0131ndan T\u00fcrk vatanda\u015flar\u0131 i\u00e7in bir \u201d Y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131 hediyesi\u201d olur. \u201cT\u00fcrk Ak\u0131m\u0131\u201dn\u0131n ask\u0131ya al\u0131nmas\u0131 da T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye sorun yaratmaz.<\/p>\n

Kaynak: Deutche Welle<\/a><\/p>\n

<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language. T\u00fcrkiye ve Rusya aras\u0131ndaki gerilim s\u00fcrerken T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Rusya\u2019ya olan enerji ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 en b\u00fcy\u00fck sorunlardan biri. Enerji uzman\u0131 Necdet Pamir soruna k\u0131sa vadeli […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":47744,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53],"tags":[4319,14991,63,2308,67,1009,2698,165,19355,945,2016,27359,2012,1772,11424,846,27392],"views":636,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47743"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47743"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47743\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":47745,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47743\/revisions\/47745"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47744"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47743"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47743"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47743"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}