{"id":45421,"date":"2015-10-15T10:32:20","date_gmt":"2015-10-15T07:32:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=45421"},"modified":"2015-10-15T10:59:03","modified_gmt":"2015-10-15T07:59:03","slug":"turkiyeye-bavulla-8-ayda-11-milyar-dolar-geldi-sahibi-ise-belirsiz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/turkiyeye-bavulla-8-ayda-11-milyar-dolar-geldi-sahibi-ise-belirsiz\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) T\u00fcrkiye’ye Bavulla 8 Ayda 11 Milyar Dolar Geldi, Sahibi \u0130se Belirsiz…"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

<\/p>\n

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\"turkiye-ye-bavulla-8-ayda-11-milyar-dolar-geldi-7779161_x_1341_300\"<\/a>Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n d\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 verilere g\u00f6re T\u00fcrkiye’nin y\u0131ll\u0131k cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u011fustos ay\u0131nda 43 milyar 47 milyon dolar oldu.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ocak-a\u011fustos d\u00f6nemine ait 8 ayl\u0131k Cari A\u00e7\u0131k 25,7 milyar dolar olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015firken sadece a\u011fustos ay\u0131ndaki cari a\u00e7\u0131k miktar\u0131 163 milyon dolar oldu.<\/p>\n

KAYNA\u011eI BEL\u0130RS\u0130Z PARA G\u0130R\u0130\u015e\u0130NDE B\u00dcY\u00dcK ARTI\u015e<\/strong><\/p>\n

Net hata ve noksan kaleminde ya\u015fanan art\u0131\u015f dikkat \u00e7ekti. Net hata ve noksan kalemi, ocak-a\u011fustos d\u00f6neminde 10,9 milyar dolar olarak a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. Di\u011fer bir ifadeyle T\u00fcrkiye’ye 8 ayda 10,9 milyar dolarl\u0131k kayna\u011f\u0131 belirsiz para giri\u015fi ya\u015fand\u0131. Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n net hata ve noksan kalemiyle ilgili daha \u00f6nce a\u00e7\u0131klama yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ancak rakamlar\u0131n h\u00e2l\u00e2 y\u00fcksek seyretti\u011fini belirten S\u00fcleyman \u015eah \u00dcniversitesi \u0130ktisat B\u00f6l\u00fcm Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Do\u00e7. Dr. Fatih Macit, “Bu noktada ciddi bir \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma yap\u0131lmas\u0131 gere\u011fi ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. A\u00e7\u0131klanan baz\u0131 rakamlarda istatistiksel olarak hata yap\u0131l\u0131yor olma ihtimali bulunabilir. B\u00fct\u00fcn bunlar detayl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde analiz edilmeli.” dedi. Macit, T\u00fcrkiye b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde bir \u00fclke i\u00e7in 10,9 milyar dolarl\u0131k net hata ve noksan kaleminin \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek oldu\u011funa dikkat \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n

TABLO T\u00dcRK\u0130YE \u0130\u00c7\u0130N \u0130Y\u0130 DE\u011e\u0130L<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda ya\u015fanan ciddi gerilemeyle birlikte ithalat rakamlar\u0131 ilk 8 ayda ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine k\u0131yasla y\u00fczde 11’den fazla azald\u0131. \u0130hracat rakamlar\u0131nda ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde g\u00f6zlenen azalma ise y\u00fczde 9,8 ile ithalat rakamlar\u0131ndaki azalman\u0131n alt\u0131nda kalarak cari a\u00e7\u0131ktaki toparlanmay\u0131 destekler bir seyir izledi. B\u00f6ylece d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 3,6 milyar dolar olarak ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu geli\u015fmeler do\u011frultusunda d\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klanan verilere g\u00f6re cari a\u00e7\u0131k, bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n a\u011fustos ay\u0131na g\u00f6re 2 milyar 58 milyon dolar azalmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen beklentilerin \u00fczerinde geldi ve 163 milyon dolara geriledi. 12 ayl\u0131k cari a\u00e7\u0131 ise 43 milyar 57 milyon dolara d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Finansman cephesinde ise sermaye hareketlerindeki yava\u015flama dikkat \u00e7ekti. ING Bank Ekonomik Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar birimine g\u00f6re sermaye hareketlerindeki yava\u015flamada uzun s\u00fcreden beri devam eden se\u00e7im s\u00fcrecinin neden oldu\u011fu siyasi belirsizlik alg\u0131s\u0131 ve k\u00fcresel piyasalarda FED’in normalle\u015fme ad\u0131mlar\u0131na ve k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye dair de\u011fi\u015fen beklentilerin neden oldu\u011fu oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n risk i\u015ftah\u0131na olumsuz yans\u0131mas\u0131 etkili oldu. Sermaye hareketlerinde a\u011fustosta 4,8 milyar dolarl\u0131k dikkate de\u011fer bir \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

“BU RAKAM T\u00dcRK\u0130YE \u0130\u00c7\u0130N \u00c7OK B\u00dcY\u00dcK”<\/strong><\/p>\n

Net hata noksan kalemi, a\u011fustosta 1,4 milyar dolar, 2015’in ilk 8 ay\u0131nda ise 10,9 milyar dolar olarak a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. Di\u011fer bir ifadeyle T\u00fcrkiye’ye bu y\u0131l\u0131n ilk 8 ay\u0131nda 10,9 milyar dolarl\u0131k kayna\u011f\u0131 belirsiz para giri\u015fi ya\u015fand\u0131. Ancak bunun illaki kara para benzeri bir giri\u015f olamayabilece\u011fini belirten S\u00fcleyman \u015eah \u00dcniversitesi \u0130ktisat B\u00f6l\u00fcm Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Do\u00e7. Dr. Fatih Macit, “Mesela biz turizm gelirlerini istatistiksel olarak tahmin etmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yoruz. Turizm gelirleri mesela 20 milyar dolar diye tahmin edilmi\u015ftir ama ger\u00e7ekte olan 23 milyar dolar ise bu 3 milyar dolar net hata noksan kalemine yans\u0131r. Bunun gibi istatistiki hatalar yap\u0131l\u0131yor olabilir. Ama her ko\u015fulda T\u00fcrkiye b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde bir \u00fclke i\u00e7in 10 milyar dolar net hata noksan kalemi \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek.” ifadelerini kulland\u0131. Cari a\u00e7\u0131kta a\u011fustos ay\u0131nda ya\u015fanan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengesindeki d\u00fczelmenin \u00f6n plana \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan bahseden Do\u00e7. Dr. Fatih Macit, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n a\u011fustos ay\u0131nda 6,2 milyar dolar olan d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n bu y\u0131l\u0131n a\u011fustos ay\u0131nda 3,6 milyar dolara geriledi\u011fini belirterek \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yledi: “Burada \u00f6zellikle ithalattaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f cari a\u00e7\u0131ktaki iyile\u015fmeye ciddi bir katk\u0131 sa\u011flam\u0131\u015f oldu. \u0130thalattaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn b\u00fcy\u00fck bir k\u0131sm\u0131 ise d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndan dolay\u0131 enerji ithalat faturas\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesinden kaynaklan\u0131yor. A\u011fustos ay\u0131nda ithalatta g\u00f6r\u00fclen 3,3 milyar dolarl\u0131k azalman\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,9 milyar dolar\u0131 enerji ithalat\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften kaynaklan\u0131yor. Bunun yan\u0131nda y\u00fckselen kurun da ithalat\u0131 genel olarak bask\u0131lad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve cari a\u00e7\u0131ktaki iyile\u015fmeye katk\u0131 yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bundan sonraki aylarda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck enerji fiyatlar\u0131, y\u00fcksek kur ve ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmedeki g\u00f6receli zay\u0131fl\u0131k cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 bask\u0131lamaya devam edecek gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.”<\/p>\n

A\u00c7I\u011eIN Y\u00dcZDE 45’\u0130 KADAR<\/strong><\/p>\n

Cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131ndaki iyile\u015fmeye kayna\u011f\u0131 belirsiz para giri\u015finin rekor seviyelere \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck etkisi oldu. Merkez Bankas\u0131 cari i\u015flemler dengesi verilerine g\u00f6re a\u011fustos ay\u0131nda net hata noksan (kaya\u011f\u0131 belirsiz para) kaleminden 1 milyar 430 milyon dolar para giri\u015fi oldu. Yine ayn\u0131 kalemde y\u0131l\u0131n ilk 8 ay\u0131nda (ocak-a\u011fustos) 10 milyar 946 milyon dolarl\u0131k bir para giri\u015fi oldu\u011fu g\u00f6zleniyor. Ekonomist Ziya Akkurt cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n y\u00fczde 45’nin bu kayna\u011f\u0131 belirsiz paradan kar\u015f\u0131land\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. Merkez Bankas\u0131 verilerine g\u00f6re 2002-2015 y\u0131llar\u0131 aras\u0131nda 39 milyar 168 milyon dolar me\u00e7hul para girdi. Akkurt, T\u00fcrkiye finans piyasalar\u0131ndan ka\u00e7an paran\u0131n yerini kayna\u011f\u0131 belirsiz paran\u0131n ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/p>\n

40 M\u0130LYAR DOLARA YAKLA\u015eTI<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00c7\u0131kar\u0131lan kanunlarla g\u00fcmr\u00fcklerden bavulla gelen paralara her hangi bir engelin olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade eden Akkurt, “Se\u00e7imlerden \u00f6nce bu t\u00fcr paralar\u0131n giri\u015fi h\u0131zlan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Se\u00e7imden sonra bu paran\u0131n \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131na inan\u0131yorum. Bu para ekonomiler i\u00e7in sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 de\u011fil. Kaliteli bir finansman kayna\u011f\u0131 olmuyor. Giri\u015fleri gibi \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131 da h\u0131zl\u0131 olur. Y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana tahvil ve bono \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131 5 milyar dolar\u0131 ula\u015ft\u0131” dedi.<\/p>\n

“S\u00dcRD\u00dcR\u00dcLEB\u0130L\u0130R \u0130Y\u0130LE\u015eME ZOR”<\/strong><\/p>\n

ALB Fo\u00adrex Ara\u015f\u00adt\u0131r\u00adma Uz\u00adma\u00adn\u0131 En\u00adver Er\u00adkan, s\u00fcr\u00add\u00fc\u00adr\u00fc\u00adle\u00adbi\u00adlir bir ca\u00adri a\u00e7\u0131k iyi\u00adle\u015f\u00adme\u00adsi\u00adnin mev\u00adcut \u015fart\u00adlar\u00adda g\u00f6\u00adr\u00fcn\u00adme\u00addi\u00ad\u011fi\u00adni be\u00adlirt\u00adti. Er\u00adkan, “T\u00fcr\u00adki\u00adye\u00ad’nin b\u00fc\u00ady\u00fc\u00adme g\u00f6\u00adr\u00fc\u00adn\u00fc\u00adm\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131\u00ads\u0131n\u00addan ih\u00adra\u00adcat ve it\u00adha\u00adla\u00adt\u0131n ay\u00adn\u0131 an\u00adda ge\u00adri\u00adli\u00adyor ol\u00adma\u00ads\u0131 da\u00adral\u00adt\u0131\u00adc\u0131 bir et\u00adki\u00adye sa\u00adhip\u00adti\u00adr” de\u00addi.<\/p>\n

KAR TRANSFERLER\u0130 YAVA\u015eLADI<\/strong><\/p>\n

Halk Ya\u00adt\u0131\u00adr\u0131m Ara\u015f\u00adt\u0131r\u00adma Di\u00adrek\u00adt\u00f6\u00adr\u00fc Ba\u00adnu K\u0131v\u00adc\u0131 To\u00adka\u00adl\u0131, ca\u00adri den\u00adge\u00adde\u00adki iyi\u00adle\u015f\u00adme g\u00f6\u00adr\u00fc\u00adn\u00fc\u00adm\u00fc\u00adn\u00fcn ko\u00adrun\u00addu\u00ad\u011fu\u00adnu s\u00f6y\u00adle\u00adye\u00adrek, “A\u00ad\u011fus\u00adtos ay\u0131n\u00adda ca\u00adri a\u00e7\u0131\u00ad\u011f\u0131n s\u0131\u00adn\u0131r\u00adl\u0131 kal\u00adma\u00ads\u0131n\u00adda, d\u0131\u015f ti\u00adca\u00adret a\u00e7\u0131\u00ad\u011f\u0131n\u00adda\u00adki sert da\u00adral\u00adma\u00adn\u0131n ya\u00adn\u0131 s\u0131\u00adra, do\u011f\u00adru\u00addan ya\u00adt\u0131\u00adr\u0131m\u00adla\u00adra ait k\u00e2r trans\u00adfer\u00adle\u00adrin\u00adde de\u00advam eden ya\u00adva\u015f\u00adla\u00adma\u00adn\u0131n da et\u00adki\u00adsi bu\u00adlu\u00adnu\u00adyor. Tu\u00adrizm ge\u00adlir\u00adle\u00adri mev\u00adsim\u00adsel ola\u00adrak kat\u00adk\u0131 sa\u011f\u00adla\u00adsa da, bek\u00adle\u00adnen\u00adden da\u00adha za\u00ady\u0131f bir per\u00adfor\u00admans g\u00f6s\u00adte\u00adri\u00adyor” de\u00addi.<\/p>\n

ADETA KAYNAK OLDU<\/strong><\/p>\n

A\u011fus\u00adtos ay\u0131n\u00adda ca\u00adri i\u015f\u00adlem\u00adler a\u00e7\u0131\u00ad\u011f\u0131n\u00adda iyi\u00adle\u015f\u00adme ya\u00ad\u015fan\u00adma\u00ads\u0131\u00adna kar\u00ad\u015f\u0131n fi\u00adnans\u00adman ta\u00adra\u00adf\u0131\u00adn\u0131n k\u00f6\u00adt\u00fc\u00adle\u015f\u00adti\u00ad\u011fi\u00adni be\u00adlir\u00adten Gold\u00adman Sachs, eko\u00adno\u00admi\u00adnin net ser\u00adma\u00adye \u00e7\u0131\u00adk\u0131\u00ad\u015f\u0131 ile kar\u00ad\u015f\u0131 kar\u00ad\u015f\u0131\u00adya ol\u00addu\u00ad\u011fu\u00adnu, bu ser\u00adma\u00adye \u00e7\u0131\u00adk\u0131\u00ad\u015f\u0131\u00adn\u0131n d\u00f6\u00adviz re\u00adzerv\u00adle\u00adrin\u00adde k\u00fc\u00ad\u00e7\u00fck d\u00fc\u00ad\u015f\u00fc\u00ad\u015fe yol a\u00e7\u00adt\u0131\u00ad\u011f\u0131\u00adn\u0131 ve fi\u00adnans\u00adman\u00adda ana kay\u00adna\u00ad\u011f\u0131n net ha\u00adta-nok\u00adsan he\u00adsa\u00adb\u0131 ol\u00adma\u00adya de\u00advam et\u00adti\u00ad\u011fi\u00adni vur\u00adgu\u00adla\u00add\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u00a0Kaynak: EnerjiRehberi<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language. Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n d\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 verilere g\u00f6re T\u00fcrkiye’nin y\u0131ll\u0131k cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u011fustos ay\u0131nda 43 milyar 47 milyon dolar oldu. Ocak-a\u011fustos d\u00f6nemine ait 8 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":45422,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53],"tags":[26338,1575,3256,26341,1893,63,26342,8811,6476,3286,26340,16146,26337,2253,59,3265,8620,25763,1295,846,26339,26343],"views":656,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45421"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45421"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45421\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":45424,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45421\/revisions\/45424"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/45422"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45421"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45421"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45421"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}