{"id":44804,"date":"2015-09-30T10:52:15","date_gmt":"2015-09-30T07:52:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=44804"},"modified":"2015-09-30T10:52:15","modified_gmt":"2015-09-30T07:52:15","slug":"turk-akimi-1-kasim-secimlerini-bekliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/turk-akimi-1-kasim-secimlerini-bekliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) T\u00fcrk Ak\u0131m\u0131 1 Kas\u0131m Se\u00e7imlerini Bekliyor…"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrk Ak\u0131m\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kaderi; \u00f6nce 1 Kas\u0131m se\u00e7imlerine, sonra da bu zaman zarf\u0131nda Atina Y\u00f6netimi\u2019nin ABD kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki tavr\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"T\u00fcrk-ak\u0131m\u0131-gaz-boru-hatt\u0131-2897231-696x385\"<\/a><\/strong> Ukrayna krizinde her ge\u00e7en g\u00fcn daha da s\u0131k\u0131\u015fan Rusya, T\u00fcrk Ak\u0131m\u0131 i\u00e7in T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi de, Yunanistan\u2019\u0131 da memnun etmek zorunda.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ukrayna ile Rusya aras\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcyen gerilim b\u00f6lgedeki siyasi ve ekonomik hesaplar\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirince enerji ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 da bundan derin \u015fekilde etkilendi. Kremlin\u2019le temel uyu\u015fmazl\u0131klar\u0131ndan birini do\u011falgaz sevkiyat\u0131nda ve fiyatland\u0131rmas\u0131nda ya\u015fayan Kiev y\u00f6netimi kurtulu\u015f i\u00e7in bat\u0131dan gelecek deste\u011fe umutlar\u0131n\u0131 ba\u011flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu noktada Afrika\u2019dan al\u0131nabilecek s\u0131v\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f do\u011falgazdan, ABD\u2019ye kadar; Avrupa i\u00e7in d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclen t\u00fcm se\u00e7eneklerden Ukrayna da sebeplenmeyi umuyordu.<\/p>\n

Bunun o kadar kolay olmayaca\u011f\u0131 k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Hem karl\u0131 bir se\u00e7enek de\u011fildi, hem de gereken s\u00fcre kar\u015f\u0131 hamleleri i\u00e7in Rusya\u2019ya geni\u015f bir zaman kazand\u0131racakt\u0131. Ruslar zaten K\u0131r\u0131m\u2019\u0131n ilhak\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok \u00f6ncesinde kuzeyden bir hat in\u015fa ederek y\u00fck\u00fcn\u00fc bir miktar hafifletmi\u015fti. Fakat ba\u015fta siyasi fayda umarken tarihi ba\u011flar\u0131ndan \u00f6t\u00fcr\u00fc \u00e7ok g\u00fcvendi\u011fi balkan devletleri, ayr\u0131ca k\u00f6t\u00fc g\u00fcn dostlar\u0131 \u0130talya, Macaristan, \u00c7ek Cumhuriyeti gibi \u00f6rnekler i\u00e7in sadece Kuzey Ak\u0131m\u2019\u0131n yeterli olmayaca\u011f\u0131 da bir ger\u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n

Avrupa\u2019ya do\u011falgaz sevkiyat\u0131nda Ukrayna ile a\u011f\u0131r sorunlar ya\u015fayan Kremlin, asl\u0131nda \u00e7ok \u00f6nceden \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm yollar\u0131 i\u00e7in harekete ge\u00e7mi\u015fti. Bir yandan Nabucco ve TANAP gibi rakip projeler, di\u011fer yandan Ukrayna krizinin b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi Ruslar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 ihtimaller \u00fczerinde derinlikli \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaya zorlad\u0131. Milyar dolarl\u0131k harcamayla G\u00fcney Ak\u0131m\u2019\u0131 ba\u015flatt\u0131lar. Olabildi\u011fince de Avrupal\u0131 ortak alarak hatta ait soyut bir sigorta hedeflediler. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin de verdi\u011fi izinlerle her \u015fey yolunda gidiyordu ki, Ukrayna kar\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Rusya\u2019n\u0131n bu kar\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011fa haddinden fazla m\u00fcdahil olmas\u0131, bir de fiili durumu f\u0131rsat bilerek K\u0131r\u0131m\u2019a el koymas\u0131 meseleye uyu\u015fuk bakan bat\u0131l\u0131 devletleri hareketlendirdi ve izolasyon politikas\u0131 ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Giri\u015f yasaklar\u0131, g\u0131da ambargosu, bankalar\u0131n blokaj\u0131, hava sahalar\u0131n\u0131n kapat\u0131lmas\u0131 derken s\u0131ra G\u00fcney Ak\u0131m\u2019a geldi. \u201caksi de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclemezdi zaten\u201d beklentisindeki Ruslar bile hatt\u0131n idam\u0131 i\u00e7in se\u00e7ilen cellad\u0131n Sofya y\u00f6netimi olmas\u0131na b\u00fcy\u00fck tepki duydu. \u201cBulgarlar\u0131 \u00f6nce Osmanl\u0131\u2019dan sonra Hitler\u2019den kurtaran\u201d Ruslara yap\u0131lacak hareket miydi bu? Ama oldu. Bulgaristan teknik bir p\u00fcr\u00fcz\u00fc \u00f6ne s\u00fcrerek hatt\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc kapad\u0131. Belirsizlik s\u00fcrs\u00fcn istemeyen Putin de \u201cg\u00fcney ak\u0131m bizim i\u00e7in bitmi\u015ftir\u201d diyerek son noktay\u0131 koydu.<\/p>\n

Ve hemen ard\u0131ndan yeni bir hatt\u0131n haberini verdi: T\u00fcrk Ak\u0131m\u0131. Projede kilit bir \u00f6nemi haiz Yunanistan\u2019\u0131n gen\u00e7 lideri Aleksis \u00c7ipras yeni hatt\u0131n ad\u0131na itiraz etse bile sonu\u00e7 de\u011fi\u015fmedi. D\u00f6rt ayr\u0131 hatla 63 milyar metrek\u00fcp do\u011falgaz\u0131 Rus topraklar\u0131ndan Trakya\u2019ya ta\u015f\u0131yacak olan hatt\u0131n ad\u0131 Turetsi Patok (T\u00fcrk Ak\u0131m\u0131) olarak kald\u0131. Projeye T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin s\u0131cak bakmas\u0131, AB ile papaz olan Atina Y\u00f6netimi\u2019nin de sanki bu r\u00fczgarla yapt\u0131r\u0131m kararlar\u0131n\u0131 dinlemeyecekmi\u015f gibi g\u00f6z\u00fckmesi Kremlin\u2019i yeni hatla ilgili \u00fcmitlendiriyordu.<\/p>\n

Tabii ki \u00fczerinde detayl\u0131ca konu\u015fulmayan maddeler vard\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin hatta ad\u0131n\u0131 verme jestiyle yetinmeyece\u011fini Rus yetkililer de biliyordu. Y\u00fczde 10.25\u2019lik bir indirim yap\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131lar. Ama zaten mevcut piyasa \u015fartlar\u0131nda bu do\u011fal bir indirimdi. Hatla alakas\u0131 olmayan bir\u00e7ok \u00fclkeye bu indirim zaten yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Ayr\u0131ca al ya da \u00f6de sistemi nedeniyle do\u011falgaz sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fc kesiliyordu. Do\u011falgaz depolama tesislerinin in\u015fas\u0131na h\u0131z veren Ankara y\u00f6netimi i\u00e7in Trakya\u2019da yeni hatla ili\u015fkili rekor b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fckte bir depo hayati de\u011ferdeydi. Hepsi bir yana d\u00f6rt ayr\u0131 hatt\u0131n hepsinin birden in\u015fas\u0131n\u0131 istiyordu T\u00fcrkiye, Ruslar ise \u00f6nce 15.5 milyar metrek\u00fcp ta\u015f\u0131yacak ilk hatt\u0131 bitirelim diyordu. Burada elbette Rusya\u2019n\u0131n ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ekonomik krizin de etkisi var: 11.5 milyar euro maliyetli t\u00fcm projede sadece ilk hatt\u0131n bedeli d\u00f6rt bu\u00e7uk milyar euroya yak\u0131n. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla maliyeti zamana yayma hedefiyle tek hat \u0131srar\u0131 belirmi\u015f oldu.<\/p>\n

Proje kendi i\u00e7inde bu sorunlar\u0131 a\u015fma iradesini beklerken Rusya\u2019y\u0131 teredd\u00fcde sevk eden ba\u015fka bir geli\u015fme ya\u015fand\u0131. 7 Haziran se\u00e7imlerinden sonra T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin h\u00fck\u00fcmet kurma \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131na odaklanmas\u0131, yeniden se\u00e7im tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131n ya\u015fanmas\u0131 Rusya\u2019dan farkl\u0131 seslerin y\u00fckselmesine neden oldu. Bazen ba\u015fbakan Medvedev, bazen de Gazprom yetkilileri h\u00fck\u00fcmetleraras\u0131 anla\u015fma i\u00e7in bir s\u00fcre (ama ne kadar oldu\u011fu belli de\u011fil) beklenece\u011fi mesajlar\u0131n\u0131 vermeye ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bu arada ABD ve AB Yunanistan\u2019a bask\u0131ya ba\u015flad\u0131. Atina y\u00f6netimi Suriye\u2019ye giden Rus yard\u0131m u\u00e7aklar\u0131na hava sahas\u0131n\u0131 kapatmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki bask\u0131lardan Bulgaristan\u2019\u0131n \u00f6nce davranmas\u0131yla kurtulmu\u015ftu. Fakat T\u00fcrk Ak\u0131m\u0131\u2019na prim vermemesi i\u00e7in bat\u0131l\u0131 devletlerin tazyikine ne kadar dayanabilir, belirsiz.<\/p>\n

Rusya\u2019da ya\u015fayan enerji uzmanlar\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc her \u015feye ra\u011fmen projenin ilerleyece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc Rusya i\u00e7in fazla bir alternatif yok. Gazprom defalarca 2016\u2019n\u0131n sonundan itibaren Ukrayna \u00fczerinden gaz nakliyat\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmeyece\u011fini beyan etti. Putin de AB devletlerine enerji g\u00fcvenli\u011fi vaatlerinde bulunurken Ukrayna ihtimalini hep d\u0131\u015flad\u0131. Ayr\u0131ca G\u00fcney Ak\u0131m\u2019a bug\u00fcne kadar yap\u0131lan masraflar g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda dahi T\u00fcrk Ak\u0131m\u0131 daha hesapl\u0131. Hepsi bir yana Ukrayna ile Rusya aras\u0131ndaki siyasi uyu\u015fmazl\u0131\u011f\u0131n derinle\u015ferek s\u00fcrece\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Rus bankalar\u0131n\u0131n kapanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in teklif veren, ihtilafl\u0131 b\u00f6lgelere g\u0131da yard\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 bloke eden, son olarak hava sahas\u0131n\u0131 Rus sivil u\u00e7aklar\u0131na bile kapatan Kiev y\u00f6netimi enerjiyle ilgili riskli d\u00f6neme ra\u011fmen sertle\u015fmeye devam edecek gibi. 21. y\u00fczy\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n do\u011fusunda G\u00fcney Kore-Kuzey Kore husumetine ko\u015fan iki Slav devletinin bar\u0131\u015fmak bir yana, kalan son ba\u011flar\u0131 da koparaca\u011f\u0131 inanc\u0131 siyasi uzmanlar\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde hakim. Ukrayna lideri Poro\u015fenko Rusya ile do\u011falgaz anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 2019\u2019a kadar uzatmak istediklerini belirtmi\u015fti. Fakat pratikteki ad\u0131mlar\u0131 bu beklentisini ge\u00e7ersiz k\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n ihtimaller aras\u0131ndan kald\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131, kuzey hatt\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fck\u00fcn\u00fc ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir zeminde (ger\u00e7i 2019\u2019da bitecek denilen kuzey ak\u0131m 2 g\u00fcndemde ama Rusya\u2019ya d\u00f6n\u00fck izolasyon bu hatt\u0131n \u015fans\u0131n\u0131 zay\u0131flat\u0131yor) T\u00fcrk Ak\u0131m\u0131 hala b\u00fcy\u00fck \u015fans sahibi. Kritik tarih 1 Kas\u0131m. Yani T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de yap\u0131lacak olan genel se\u00e7imler. E\u011fer bu se\u00e7imle mevcut iktidar\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda bir se\u00e7enek g\u00fc\u00e7 kazan\u0131rsa T\u00fcrk Ak\u0131m\u0131 bir ba\u015fka bahara kalabilir. Yok e\u011fer projenin \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131nda g\u00f6rev ba\u015f\u0131nda bulunan siyasi irade yola devam ederse k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede somut geli\u015fmelere \u015fahit olabiliriz. Enerji Bakan\u0131 Novak\u2019\u0131n taraflar aras\u0131ndaki anla\u015fmazl\u0131\u011f\u0131 tarif ederken h\u00fck\u00fcmetleraras\u0131 anla\u015fmalara vurguda bulunmas\u0131, se\u00e7imleri i\u015faret etmesi ve di\u011fer sorunlar\u0131 \u00f6nemsizmi\u015f gibi g\u00f6stermesi; indirimden hat say\u0131s\u0131na; do\u011falgaz depolamas\u0131na kadar bir\u00e7ok p\u00fcr\u00fcz\u00fcn a\u015f\u0131labilir nitelikte oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

O halde \u00f6nce T\u00fcrk Ak\u0131m\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kaderi; \u00f6nce 1 Kas\u0131m se\u00e7imlerine, sonra da bu zaman zarf\u0131nda Atina Y\u00f6netimi\u2019nin ABD kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki tavr\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131. Ukrayna krizinde her ge\u00e7en g\u00fcn daha da s\u0131k\u0131\u015fan Rusya, T\u00fcrk Ak\u0131m\u0131 i\u00e7in T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi de, Yunanistan\u2019\u0131 da memnun etmek zorunda. Bu zorunlulu\u011funa ne hat say\u0131s\u0131 ne de indirim oranlar\u0131 engel olabilir.<\/p>\n

Kaynak: EnerjiEnstit\u00fcs\u00fc<\/p>\n

<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language. T\u00fcrk Ak\u0131m\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kaderi; \u00f6nce 1 Kas\u0131m se\u00e7imlerine, sonra da bu zaman zarf\u0131nda Atina Y\u00f6netimi\u2019nin ABD kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki tavr\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131. Ukrayna krizinde her ge\u00e7en […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":44805,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[46,53],"tags":[26000,1192,1198,876,1277,6731,1282,4221,885,2297,20076,846,2584,255],"views":662,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44804"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44804"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44804\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":44806,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44804\/revisions\/44806"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/44805"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44804"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44804"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44804"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}