{"id":44275,"date":"2015-09-16T14:04:17","date_gmt":"2015-09-16T11:04:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=44275"},"modified":"2015-09-16T14:04:17","modified_gmt":"2015-09-16T11:04:17","slug":"petrolde-yasanan-dalgalanmanin-henuz-basindayiz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/petrolde-yasanan-dalgalanmanin-henuz-basindayiz\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) \u201cPetrolde Ya\u015fanan Dalgalanman\u0131n Hen\u00fcz Ba\u015f\u0131nday\u0131z…\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

Vadeli \u0130\u015flem ve Emtia Piyasalar\u0131 Uzman\u0131 Zafer Ergezen, petrol \u00fccretlerinde ya\u015fanan fiyat de\u011fi\u015fiminin bir k\u0131r\u0131lma d\u00f6nemine i\u015faret etti\u011fini belirterek, \u201cPetrolde ya\u015fanan dalgalanman\u0131n daha daha ba\u015f\u0131nda oldu\u011fumuzu s\u00f6yleyebiliriz\u201d dedi.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

muhabirine petrol \u00fccretlerinde nihai d\u00f6nemde g\u00f6zlenen sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flere ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmelerde bulunan Ergezen, petrol \u00fccretlerindeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi \u00fczerindeki tesirinin d\u00f6viz kurundaki art\u0131\u015fa ra\u011fmen nihai 1 senede yakla\u015f\u0131k 7 milyar dolar meydana gelmesinin beklendi\u011fini kaydetti.\"petrolde-yasanan-dalgalanmanin-henuz-basindayiz\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Ergezen, petrol \u00fccretlerinde ya\u015fanan fiyat de\u011fi\u015fiminin, 1980 ve 1998 senelerinde ya\u015fanan kriz zamanlar\u0131 gibi bir k\u0131r\u0131lma d\u00f6nemine i\u015faret etti\u011fini belirterek, 1970 y\u0131l\u0131nda ba\u015flayan ve 10 y\u0131l devam eden s\u00fcre\u00e7te, petrol \u00fccretinin yakla\u015f\u0131k 5 kat art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi\u011fini an\u0131msatt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Ayn\u0131 \u015fekilde 1998 y\u0131l\u0131nda ba\u015flayan ve 10 y\u0131l devam eden y\u00fckseli\u015fte petrol \u00fccretinin yakla\u015f\u0131k 7 kat de\u011fer kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 aktaran Ergezen, \u201cFakat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerde ayn\u0131 \u015fekilde uzun d\u00f6nemli ve sert oldu. 1980 y\u0131l\u0131nda ba\u015flayan ilk d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendi 1998 seneye kadar, yakla\u015f\u0131k 18 y\u0131l s\u00fcrd\u00fc. \u0130kinci D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131 ertesi ba\u015flayan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendi ise yakla\u015f\u0131k 15 y\u0131l s\u00fcrm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. K\u0131saca petrolde ya\u015fanan ana trendler yakla\u015f\u0131k 15-20 y\u0131l vadeli olmaktad\u0131r. Ayn\u0131 fiyat hareketini alt\u0131n i\u015flemlerinde de g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz\u201d diye konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n

Alt\u0131ndaki fiyat hareketlerinin de ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde benzer davran\u0131\u015flar g\u00f6sterdi\u011fini kaydeden Ergezen, \u201cBu a\u00e7\u0131dan bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda petrolde ya\u015fanan dalgalanman\u0131n daha daha ba\u015f\u0131nda oldu\u011fumuzu s\u00f6yleyebiliriz\u201d de\u011ferlendirmesinde bulundu.<\/p>\n

Ergezen, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de Gayrisafi Yurti\u00e7i Has\u0131la\u2019n\u0131n (GSYH) y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011finde ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re sabit \u00fccretlerle y\u00fczde 3,8 artt\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ederek, s\u00f6zlerini \u015f\u00f6yle s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc:<\/p>\n

\u201cDolar\u0131n de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131 ile b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin beklentileri a\u015fmas\u0131 piyasa taraf\u0131ndan beklenmiyordu. Lakin nihai bir senede emtialar\u0131n genelinde ya\u015fanan fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fleri, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine olumlu olarak yans\u0131yor. Bu d\u00f6nemde Brent petrol fiyat\u0131 nihai bir senede yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 53 de\u011fer kaybederken, kahve ve bak\u0131r gibi pek \u00e7ok emtia evvelki yila g\u00f6re d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6stermi\u015fti. Enerji ve ara mal giri\u015finin b\u00fcy\u00fck bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc d\u0131\u015fal\u0131m ile kar\u015f\u0131layan T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de, emtia \u00fccretlerindeki gerilemenin arz ve gelir tesiri bulunuyor. Fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fleri nedeniyle daha fazla \u00fcr\u00fcn al\u0131nabilmekte veya elde kalan gelir, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyet nedeniyle daha fazla olmaktad\u0131r. Bu da kur kaynakl\u0131 negatif etkiyi azaltm\u0131\u015f oldu. B\u00f6ylece y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011findeki b\u00fcy\u00fcme rakam\u0131 beklentilerin \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cSon ya\u015fanan geli\u015fmeler, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin enerji k\u00f6pr\u00fcs\u00fc olma hayallerini de vurdu\u201d<\/p>\n

Zafer Ergezen, TL\u2019nin dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda y\u0131l ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 30 de\u011fer kaybetti\u011fini belirterek, nihai iki aydaki de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131n ise y\u00fczde 40 meydana geldi\u011fini ifade etti. Brent petrol \u00fccretindeki de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131n ise yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 12 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini aktaran Ergezen, evvelki yila g\u00f6re ise de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 53 meydana geldi\u011fini dile getirdi.<\/p>\n

Ergezen, nihai iki y\u0131ldaki d\u00f6viz kuru ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131 g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, petrol \u00fccretinin yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 13 de\u011fer kaybetti\u011fini belirterek, \u201cB\u00f6ylece petrol \u00fccretlerindeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi \u00fczerindeki tesirinin d\u00f6viz kurundaki art\u0131\u015fa ra\u011fmen nihai 1 senede yakla\u015f\u0131k 7 milyar dolar olmas\u0131 beklenmektedir. Bu hesaplamada enerji ithalat\u0131nda uzun d\u00f6nemli s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler olsa bile, petrol\u00fcn plastikten temizli\u011fe bir\u00e7ok alanda kullan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nmas\u0131 gerekir\u201d \u015feklinde konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n

Enerji sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde b\u00fct\u00fcn bunlar ya\u015fan\u0131rken, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin yeni enerji merkezi olma hayalleri oldu\u011funa i\u015faret eden Ergezen, \u201cHatta Rusya ve Avrupa ile ya\u015fanan kriz ve \u0130ran\u2019a uygulanan ambargolar\u0131n hafifletilmesiyle, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin enerji k\u00f6pr\u00fcs\u00fc olma yolunda \u00f6n\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131. Bu d\u00f6nemde en \u00f6nemli geli\u015fme ise T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7erisinde ya\u015fanan ter\u00f6r\u00fcn ve istikrars\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n azalm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131yd\u0131. B\u00f6ylece pek \u00e7ok analist T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin yeni enerji merkezi olma g\u00fcc\u00fcne dikkati \u00e7ekiyordu. Lakin nihai ya\u015fanan geli\u015fmeler, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin enerji k\u00f6pr\u00fcs\u00fc olma hayallerini de vurmu\u015f oldu. Ayn\u0131 zamanda Suriye ve Irak\u2019\u0131n kuzeyinde ya\u015fanan istikrars\u0131zl\u0131k da bu endi\u015feleri destekliyor\u201d ifadelerini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n

Kaynak: Enerji Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.Vadeli \u0130\u015flem ve Emtia Piyasalar\u0131 Uzman\u0131 Zafer Ergezen, petrol \u00fccretlerinde ya\u015fanan fiyat de\u011fi\u015fiminin bir k\u0131r\u0131lma d\u00f6nemine i\u015faret etti\u011fini belirterek, \u201cPetrolde ya\u015fanan dalgalanman\u0131n daha […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":44276,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53,44],"tags":[19545,18768,25689,63,67,1009,12530,2698,165,59,79,347,2388,887,2522,25690,25691,8777],"views":948,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44275"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44275"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44275\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":44277,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44275\/revisions\/44277"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/44276"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44275"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44275"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44275"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}