{"id":43394,"date":"2015-08-25T23:25:53","date_gmt":"2015-08-25T20:25:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=43394"},"modified":"2015-08-25T23:25:53","modified_gmt":"2015-08-25T20:25:53","slug":"kose-yazisi-petrol-42-dolar-olmus-bize-ne","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/kose-yazisi-petrol-42-dolar-olmus-bize-ne\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131: Petrol 42 Dolar Olmu\u015f Bize Ne!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

<\/p>\n

Petrol 1 y\u0131lda 112 dolar seviyesinden 43 dolar seviyesine \u00e7ekildi. Dolar\u0131n TL kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki de\u011fer art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ile beraber de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde bile y\u00fczde 47\u2019lik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f s\u00f6z konusu. Ancak benzin fiyatlar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f sadece y\u00fczde 10.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Tarih 3 Haziran 2014.<\/strong><\/p>\n

O tarihte uluslararas\u0131 piyasada 1 varil petrol 112 dolardan sat\u0131l\u0131yordu. Dolar 2.15 TL seviyesindeydi. Yani T\u00fcrkiye 1 varil petrol ithal edebilmek i\u00e7in 240 TL \u00f6demek zorunda kal\u0131yordu.<\/p>\n

D\u00fcn itibar\u0131yla 1 varil petrol 42.80 dolara kadar geriledi. Dolar ise o tarihten bu yana 2.95 TL\u2019ye \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bug\u00fcn itibar\u0131yla 1 varil \"kose-yazisi-petrol-42-dolar-olmus-bize-ne\"<\/a>petrol ithal edebilmek i\u00e7in \u00f6dedi\u011fimiz bedel 126 TL.<\/p>\n

TL\u2019nin dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki de\u011fer kayb\u0131 da hesab\u0131n i\u00e7ine kat\u0131lsa dahi (Ki do\u011frusu o) y\u00fczde 47.5\u2019lik bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131. Peki o tarihten bu yana bizim ara\u00e7lar\u0131m\u0131za koydu\u011fumuz benzinde ne kadar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f oldu?<\/p>\n

Petrol\u00fcn varilinin 112 dolar oldu\u011fu g\u00fcnlerde 1 litre kur\u015funsuz benzin 5.02 TL\u2019den sat\u0131l\u0131yormu\u015f. D\u00fcn itibar\u0131yla 1 litre benzinin sat\u0131\u015f fiyat\u0131 4.55 TL. Yani kur\u015funsuz benzindeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00fczde 9.37 ile s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bir tarafta y\u00fczde 48\u2019e varan bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f var, ancak nihai \u00fcr\u00fcndeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00fczde 10 bile de\u011fil.<\/p>\n

Bunun sebebi malum. 5.02\u2019lik fiyat\u0131n da 4.55\u2019lik fiyat\u0131n da asl\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc vergi ve dolay\u0131s\u0131yla vergilerde herhangi bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 takdirde petrol isterse 10 dolara d\u00fc\u015fs\u00fcn hatta bedava da\u011f\u0131t\u0131ls\u0131n, pompa fiyat\u0131na yans\u0131mas\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 oluyor.<\/p>\n

1 lt petrol 0.81 kuru\u015f<\/strong><\/p>\n

1 varil petrol 159 litreden olu\u015fuyor. Yani \u015fu an 0.81 TL\u2019den sat\u0131l\u0131yor. 0.81 TL\u2019den sat\u0131lan 1 litre ham petrol rafineriye geliyor, i\u015fleniyor ve nihai \u00fcr\u00fcn haline geldi\u011finde 1.27 liral\u0131k fiyata ula\u015f\u0131yor. Bunun \u00fczerine bayi ve da\u011f\u0131t\u0131c\u0131 kar\u0131n\u0131, navlunu, \u00d6TV ile KDV\u2019yi ekleyince fiyat 4.55 TL\u2019ye y\u00fckseliyor. Yani petroldeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya da \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f bu fiyat olu\u015fumunun sadece \u015fu an 1.27 TL olan rafineri \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc \u00fczerinde etkili.<\/p>\n

Bir i\u015fe yarad\u0131 m\u0131?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Hadi petroldeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00fcksek vergilerden dolay\u0131 pompa fiyat\u0131na yans\u0131mad\u0131. Hi\u00e7 olmazsa T\u00fcrk ekonomisine pozitif bir katk\u0131s\u0131 oldu mu?<\/p>\n

Bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z zaman oradaki hikayenin de i\u00e7inin bo\u015f oldu\u011funu, yap\u0131lan hesaplar\u0131n ka\u011f\u0131t \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrecekti<\/strong><\/p>\n

Petroldeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye \u00e7ok olumlu etkileri olaca\u011f\u0131 konu\u015fuluyordu. Ne deniyordu?<\/p>\n

Varil fiyat\u0131ndaki her 10 dolarl\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011fa 5 milyar dolar katk\u0131 sa\u011flayaca\u011f\u0131 iddia ediliyordu. Peki oldu mu?<\/p>\n

Son a\u00e7\u0131klanan veriye g\u00f6re y\u0131ll\u0131k miktarda cari a\u00e7\u0131k 45 milyar dolarlar seviyesinde. 70 dolara yak\u0131n bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f oldu\u011funa g\u00f6re petrolde, normal \u015fartlarda 35 milyar dolarl\u0131k bir pozitif katk\u0131 olmas\u0131 laz\u0131md\u0131 cari a\u00e7\u0131kta. Ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti mi hay\u0131r. Cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n en y\u00fcksek noktas\u0131 y\u0131ll\u0131k 65 milyar dolarlar seviyesiydi. T\u00fcketim k\u0131s\u0131ld\u0131, baz\u0131 tedbirler al\u0131nd\u0131, 55 milyar dolarlara kadar geriledi. Bug\u00fcn geldi\u011fimiz noktada da 45 milyar dolar. Yani petrol\u00fcn sa\u011flayabilece\u011fi \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck bir f\u0131rsat tepilmi\u015f vaziyette.<\/p>\n

Milli geliri y\u00fckseltecekti<\/strong><\/p>\n

Petroldeki 40 dolarl\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn, milli gelire y\u00fczde 2\u2019ye yak\u0131n katk\u0131 sa\u011flayaca\u011f\u0131 iddia ediliyordu. Petrol 70 dolara yak\u0131n d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc, yani hadi yuvarlayal\u0131m milli gelire 3 puanl\u0131k katk\u0131 yapmas\u0131 beklenebilirdi, o da olmad\u0131. Milli gelire b\u0131rak\u0131n 3 puanl\u0131k katk\u0131y\u0131, total milli gelir b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin y\u00fczde 3 gelmesi bug\u00fcnk\u00fc \u015fartlarda kolay g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Petroldeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn enflasyona da katk\u0131s\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131 iddia ediliyordu. Zaten akaryak\u0131t fiyat\u0131 i\u00e7inde hammadde pay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in ve yans\u0131mas\u0131 da y\u00fczde 10\u2019u bulmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in enflasyon \u00fczerinde de enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn bir katk\u0131s\u0131 olmad\u0131. Petrol enflasyonu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmedi ancak dolardaki art\u0131\u015f, ge\u00e7i\u015fgenlik ambalaj\u0131 alt\u0131nda enflasyona katk\u0131 yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Yazan: <\/em><\/strong>Ercan \u0130nan<\/em><\/p>\n

Kaynak:\u00a0Vatan<\/a><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language. Petrol 1 y\u0131lda 112 dolar seviyesinden 43 dolar seviyesine \u00e7ekildi. Dolar\u0131n TL kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki de\u011fer art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ile beraber de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde bile y\u00fczde 47\u2019lik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":43395,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53,44],"tags":[2725,734,1903,63,67,1009,2698,165,2254,1538,25197,59,20843,79,347,887,18929,25198],"views":1204,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43394"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43394"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43394\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":43396,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43394\/revisions\/43396"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/43395"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43394"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43394"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43394"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}