{"id":36745,"date":"2015-02-26T17:36:15","date_gmt":"2015-02-26T14:36:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=36745"},"modified":"2015-02-26T17:36:15","modified_gmt":"2015-02-26T14:36:15","slug":"oecd-ulkelerindeki-petrol-stoklari-son-5-yilin-en-yuksek-seviyesinde","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/oecd-ulkelerindeki-petrol-stoklari-son-5-yilin-en-yuksek-seviyesinde\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) OECD \u00dclkelerindeki Petrol Stoklar\u0131 Son 5 Y\u0131l\u0131n En Y\u00fcksek Seviyesinde!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

<\/p>\n

2014 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131 petrol ihra\u00e7 eden \u00fclkeler i\u00e7in ne kadar zorlu ge\u00e7tiyse, petrol ithal eden \u00fclkeler a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bir o kadar avantajl\u0131yd\u0131. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n h\u0131zla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe ge\u00e7ti\u011fi bu d\u00f6nemde petrol ithalat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 \u00fclkelerin ekonomisinde bir\u00e7ok sekt\u00f6r bu durumun olumlu etkisini ya\u015fad\u0131.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Bunun yan\u0131nda bu \u00fclkelerde petrol stoklama e\u011filimi de \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde geli\u015fti. Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale\u2019nin verilerine g\u00f6re 2014 y\u0131l\u0131nda d\u00fcnya petrol stoklar\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k olarak 265 milyon varil artt\u0131. Stoklar son y\u0131llara k\u0131yasla \u00f6ze\"oecd-ulkelerindeki-petrol-stoklari-son-5-yilin-en-yuksek-seviyesinde\"<\/a>llikle fiyatlar\u0131n iyiden iyiye geriledi\u011fi y\u0131l\u0131n son aylar\u0131nda h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131\u2019n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 verilere g\u00f6re 2014\u2019\u00fcn Ekim ay\u0131nda OECD \u00fclkelerindeki petrol stoklar\u0131 son 5 y\u0131l\u0131n stok ortalamas\u0131yla ayn\u0131 d\u00fczeydeydi.<\/p>\n

Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda ise son 5 y\u0131l\u0131n ortalama stok b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne g\u00f6re 50 milyon varilin \u00fczerinde art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi. \u0130ntegral Menkul De\u011ferler Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Uzman Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Vahap Ta\u015ftan stoklardaki bu art\u0131\u015f\u0131n iki nedeni oldu\u011funu belirtiyor. Birincisi, OECD i\u00e7erisindeki \u00fclkelerin petrol t\u00fcketimini \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde art\u0131rabilmesi. Di\u011feri ise Haziran ay\u0131ndan bu yana d\u00fc\u015fen petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndan faydalan\u0131labilme ihtimali.<\/p>\n

2015\u2019te de \u00fclkelerin stoklama e\u011filiminin devam etti\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. ABD\u2019de, ham petrol stoklar\u0131 20 \u015eubat haftas\u0131nda 8,4 milyon varil artt\u0131. Beklentiler, 4 milyon varillik bir art\u0131\u015f olaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeydi. Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale\u2019nin projeksiyonlar\u0131 stoklaman\u0131n \u00f6zellikle y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda s\u00fcrece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

Buna g\u00f6re y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda d\u00fcnya genelinde g\u00fcnde yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,6 milyon ile 1,8 milyon aras\u0131nda petrol stoklamas\u0131 yap\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu, y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda d\u00fcnya petrol stoklar\u0131na 300 milyon varillik kapasitenin eklenece\u011fini anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/p>\n

Fiyatlar\u0131 bast\u0131r\u0131yor<\/h2>\n

Bu durum petrol fiyatlar\u0131 \u00fczerinde de yeni bir bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 etkileyen Libya\u2019daki yeni kar\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131k ortam\u0131 gibi siyasi geli\u015fmelerin yan\u0131nda stoklama e\u011filimi dolay\u0131s\u0131yla \u00fclkelerin g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi talep do\u011frultusunda fiyatlarda yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir hareket ya\u015fand\u0131. 2014\u2019\u00fcn Haziran ay\u0131ndan bu yana yakla\u015f\u0131k olarak y\u00fczde 60 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6steren brent petrol fiyatlar\u0131, Ocak ay\u0131nda 47 dolarlar seviyesine indikten sonra y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7ti ve 25 \u015eubat\u2019ta 59 dolar seviyesinden kapand\u0131. Bu bak\u0131mdan \u00fclkelerin stoklama e\u011filimleri kadar kapasiteleri de 2015 y\u0131l\u0131nda petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n seyrini etkileyecek. Bu konuda en aktif \u00fclkelerden birisi ABD. \u0130stanbul Teknik \u00dcniversitesi Petrol ve Do\u011fal Gaz M\u00fchendisli\u011fi B\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc \u00d6\u011fretim \u00dcyesi Prof. Dr. Abdurrahman Satman, ABD\u2019de \u00f6zellikle yer alt\u0131nda, tuz ocaklar\u0131nda petrol\u00fcn de stoklanabildi\u011fini ifade ediyor. Satman ABD\u2019nin stoklar\u0131n 3-4 ayl\u0131k t\u00fcketimini kar\u015f\u0131layacak seviyede oldu\u011funu ifade ediyor ve stoklar\u0131 dolay\u0131s\u0131yla ABD\u2019nin piyasadaki dengeyi kontrol edebildi\u011fini ekliyor. Satman\u2019a g\u00f6re T\u00fcrkiye ise yeralt\u0131nda de\u011fil rafinerilerin tanklar\u0131nda stoklama yap\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Avrupa genelinde de stoklamada bu y\u00f6ntem yayg\u0131n olarak kullan\u0131l\u0131yor. Avrupa\u2019da bu stoklar\u0131n y\u00fczde 80-85\u2019inin dolu oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Stoklamak i\u00e7in ne kadar \u00e7ok yeni alan yarat\u0131labilirse fiyatlar \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131n\u0131n da o denli yo\u011fun olaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

2015\u2019te petrol fiyatlar\u0131 \u00e7ok gerilemez<\/h2>\n

D\u00fcnyada petrol stoklama konusunda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan bu tablonun y\u0131l\u0131n geri kalan\u0131nda petrol fiyatlar\u0131 \u00fczerinde ne denli etkili olaca\u011f\u0131 soru i\u015fareti. Uzmanlar stoklar\u0131n \u00f6nemli bir etken oldu\u011funa fakat fiyatlar\u0131n seyri i\u00e7in di\u011fer etkenlere odaklanmak gerekti\u011fine dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. Eczac\u0131ba\u015f\u0131 Menkul De\u011ferler Ba\u015fekonomisti Sertan Karg\u0131n, bu kapsamda b\u00fcy\u00fcme verilerinin de dikkate al\u0131nmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Karg\u0131n, \u201cD\u00fcnyada ABD d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcmede etkili bir performansa imza atacak \u00fclke yok. Fakat d\u00fcnyan\u0131n geneline bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda bir daralma s\u00f6z konusu de\u011fil.<\/p>\n

Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla b\u00fcy\u00fcyen d\u00fcnyada petrolde fiyatlar\u0131n 40 dolarlar seviyesine gelece\u011fini beklemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil\u201d ifadelerini kullan\u0131yor. Vahap Ta\u015ftan ise \u00fcretim taraf\u0131na da dikkat \u00e7ekiyor: \u201cFiyat konusunda 2015 ilk yar\u0131s\u0131 i\u00e7in petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda ciddi manada toparlanma beklenmiyor. 2015 ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131 i\u00e7in ise OPEC\u2019ten arz kesintisi gelmedi\u011fi ve\/veya ABD\u2019de \u00fcretimi olumsuz etkileyebilecek bir geli\u015fme olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 takdirde, talebin de zay\u0131f seyrini korumas\u0131 durumunda ABD ham petrol fiyat\u0131nda 47-54 dolar band\u0131nda fiyatlama devam edebilir.\u201d<\/p>\n

Kaynak:\u00a0Deutsche Welle<\/a><\/p>\n

<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language. 2014 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131 petrol ihra\u00e7 eden \u00fclkeler i\u00e7in ne kadar zorlu ge\u00e7tiyse, petrol ithal eden \u00fclkeler a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bir o kadar avantajl\u0131yd\u0131. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":36746,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53,44],"tags":[21615,63,67,1009,2698,165,3537,1377,59,79,347,20750,18892,6524],"views":660,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36745"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=36745"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36745\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":36747,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36745\/revisions\/36747"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/36746"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=36745"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=36745"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=36745"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}