{"id":36495,"date":"2015-02-18T12:43:33","date_gmt":"2015-02-18T09:43:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=36495"},"modified":"2015-02-18T12:43:33","modified_gmt":"2015-02-18T09:43:33","slug":"kuresel-enerji-talebi-2035e-kadar-yuzde-37-artacak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/kuresel-enerji-talebi-2035e-kadar-yuzde-37-artacak\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) K\u00fcresel Enerji Talebi 2035\u2019e Kadar Y\u00fczde 37 Artacak!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

<\/p>\n

BP Enerji G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc 2035 Raporu\u2019na g\u00f6re \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 20 y\u0131lda en h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcyen fosil yak\u0131t do\u011falgaz olacak.<\/strong>\u00a0Enerji ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 bat\u0131daki art\u0131\u015f ve enerji verimlili\u011findeki y\u00fckselme nedeniyle ise bat\u0131dan do\u011fuya kayacak.<\/strong><\/p>\n

BP Enerji G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc 2035 raporu Londra\u2019da kamuoyu ile payla\u015f\u0131ld\"petrol-gaz-enerji-talebi-g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc-349785985443\"<\/a>\u0131. Yay\u0131mlanan rapora g\u00f6re, k\u00fcresel enerji piyasalar\u0131ndaki zay\u0131flamaya ra\u011fmen, Asya k\u0131tas\u0131nda \u00c7in ve Hindistan\u2019\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7ekti\u011fi ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 20 y\u0131lda d\u00fcnyan\u0131n enerji talebini art\u0131racak. K\u00fcresel enerji talebinin, 2013\u2019ten 2035\u2019e kadar y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalama y\u00fczde 1,4 artarak toplamda y\u00fczde 37 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Her y\u0131l yay\u0131mlanan BP Enerji G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc raporunda, uzun d\u00f6nemli enerji trendleri de\u011ferlendirilerek k\u00fcresel enerji piyasalar\u0131nda ilerideki 20 y\u0131l\u0131n beklentileri yans\u0131t\u0131l\u0131yor. Bu y\u0131lki raporun lansman\u0131,\u00a0BP Grubu Ba\u015f Ekonomisti Spencer Dale<\/strong>\u00a0ve\u00a0BP Grubu CEO\u2019su Bob Dudley<\/strong>\u2019nin kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 ile Londra\u2019da ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirildi.<\/p>\n

Raporu de\u011ferlendiren\u00a0Spencer Dale<\/strong>, \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yledi:\u00a0\u201c\u00dc\u00e7 y\u0131ld\u0131r istikrarl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde y\u00fcksek olan petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndan sonra, son aylarda ya\u015fanan ciddi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, enerji piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrekli de\u011fi\u015fkenlik i\u00e7erisinde oldu\u011funun \u00f6nemli bir g\u00f6stergesi. K\u0131sa<\/span>\u00a0d\u00f6nemli hareketlere bakmak yerine, uzun d\u00f6nemde arz ve talep dengesindeki trendleri dikkate almak gerekiyor, zira bu trendler \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 20 y\u0131l\u0131 \u015fekillendirecek ve gerek sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn, gerekse devletlerin stratejik kararlar alabilmesi i\u00e7in bilgi\u00a0sa<\/span>\u011flayacak.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

ABD\u2019de kaya petrol\u00fcn\u00fcn b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi<\/strong><\/p>\n

BP Enerji G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc 2035 raporuna g\u00f6re, petrole olan talep 2035\u2019e kadar OECD d\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00fclkelerden gelen taleple y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 0,8 artacak. OECD \u00fclkelerinde petrol t\u00fcketimi 2005\u2019de zirveye ula\u015ft\u0131 ve 2035\u2019de ise 1986 y\u0131l\u0131ndan beri g\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015f seviyelere d\u00fc\u015fecek. 2035\u2019e kadar \u00c7in, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck petrol t\u00fcketicisi olarak ABD\u2019yi ge\u00e7ecek.<\/p>\n

Raporda, petrol piyasalar\u0131nda yak\u0131n zamanda g\u00f6r\u00fclen zay\u0131flaman\u0131n, b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ABD\u2019deki kaya petrol \u00fcretiminden kaynakland\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve bir ka\u00e7 y\u0131l daha s\u00fcrmesinin beklendi\u011fi belirtiliyor. 2014\u2019de kaya petrol\u00fc ABD\u2019nin petrol \u00fcretimini yakla\u015f\u0131k g\u00fcnl\u00fck 1,5 milyon varil kadar art\u0131rd\u0131. Ancak zaman i\u00e7erisinde kaya petrol\u00fcndeki b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin yava\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131 ve Orta Do\u011fu \u00fclkelerindeki \u00fcretimin tekrar artaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. 2030\u2019lu y\u0131llara gelindi\u011finde ise, ABD\u2019nin petrol a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kendine yetmesi bekleniyor. ABDbundan 10 y\u0131l \u00f6nce 2005\u2019de, petrol talebinin y\u00fczde 60\u2019\u0131n\u0131 ithal ediyordu.<\/p>\n

Do\u011falgazda h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme, k\u00f6m\u00fcr t\u00fcketiminde yava\u015flama<\/strong><\/p>\n

BP Enerji G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc 2035 raporuna g\u00f6re, 2035\u2019e kadar fosil yak\u0131tlar aras\u0131nda en h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin do\u011falgaz talebinde olaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Do\u011falgaz talebi, Asya k\u0131tas\u0131ndaki talebin etkisiyle, y\u0131lda y\u00fczde 1,9 artacak.<\/p>\n

Artan bu t\u00fcketimin yar\u0131s\u0131 Rusya ve Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki konvansiyonel gaz \u00fcretimi ile kar\u015f\u0131lanacak, di\u011fer yar\u0131s\u0131 ile kaya gaz\u0131ndan gelecek. 2035\u2019e gelindi\u011finde ise, \u015fu anda d\u00fcnyadaki kaya gaz\u0131 arz\u0131n\u0131n neredeyse t\u00fcm\u00fcne sahip olan Kuzey Amerika, hala toplam\u0131n d\u00f6rtte \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn\u00fc \u00fcretiyor olacak.<\/p>\n

Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz son 10 y\u0131l i\u00e7erisinde k\u00f6m\u00fcr, \u00c7in\u2019deki talep art\u0131\u015f\u0131 nedeniyle en h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcyen fosil yak\u0131t oldu. Ancak, rapora g\u00f6re \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 20 y\u0131lda, ortalama y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 0,8 b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyle, k\u00f6m\u00fcr\u00fcn en yava\u015f artan fosil yak\u0131t olmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu de\u011fi\u015fimde \u00fc\u00e7 ana neden g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor: \u00c7in\u2019deki b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin daha az enerji yo\u011funluklu olmas\u0131, ABD ve \u00c7in\u2019de k\u00f6m\u00fcr kullan\u0131m\u0131 ile ilgili d\u00fczenleme ve politikalar\u0131n etkisi, ve elektrik \u00fcretiminde kullan\u0131lan do\u011falgaz arz\u0131ndaki b\u00fcy\u00fcme.<\/p>\n

LNG\u2019de ve LNG ticaretinde b\u00fcy\u00fcme<\/strong><\/p>\n

BP Enerji G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc 2035 raporuna g\u00f6re, do\u011falgaz talebinin artmas\u0131yla, b\u00f6lgeler aras\u0131nda gaz ticaretinin gittik\u00e7e b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi ve 2020\u2019lere gelindi\u011finde Asya Pasifik \u00fclkelerinin en \u00e7ok gaz ithal eden b\u00f6lge olarak Avrupa\u2019y\u0131 ge\u00e7mesi bekleniyor. Kaya gaz\u0131ndaki b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin devam etmesi ile, Kuzey Amerika\u2019n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131llarda gaz ithal eden bir \u00fclke konumundan gaz ihra\u00e7 eden bir \u00fclke konumuna gelece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Rapora g\u00f6re, gaz ticaretindeki b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck bir k\u0131sm\u0131, artan LNG arz\u0131ndan kaynaklanacak. LNG \u00fcretimi, i\u00e7inde bulundu\u011fumuz 10 y\u0131lda ciddi bir art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterecek ve 2020\u2019ye kadar y\u0131ll\u0131k neredeyse y\u00fczde 8 b\u00fcy\u00fcyecek. 2035\u2019e gelindi\u011finde ise, LNG, uluslararas\u0131 gaz ticaretinde boru hatlar\u0131n\u0131 ge\u00e7mi\u015f olacak.<\/p>\n

Artan LNG ticaretinin piyasalar \u00fczerinde ba\u015fka etkilerinin de olaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor ve zaman i\u00e7erisinde, k\u00fcresel olarak daha ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 ve entegre gaz piyasalar\u0131 ve fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n olmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Artan LNG ticaretinin ayn\u0131 zamanda da Avrupa ve \u00c7in gibi t\u00fcketim b\u00f6lgelerinde artan arz \u00e7e\u015fitlili\u011fine yol a\u00e7mas\u0131 da beklentiler aras\u0131nda.<\/p>\n

Do\u011fu\u2019ya akan enerji<\/strong><\/p>\n

BP Enerji G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc 2035 raporuna g\u00f6re Kuzey Amerika bu y\u0131l i\u00e7erisinde net enerji ihracat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 haline gelecek. Kuzey Amerika\u2019n\u0131n enerji a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kendi kendine yetmesi ve LNG ticaretinin artmas\u0131 ile zaman i\u00e7erisinde k\u00fcresel enerji ak\u0131\u015f\u0131nda ciddi etkiler olmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

ABD\u2019deki petrol ve do\u011falgaz arz\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesi, hem ABD, hem de Avrupa\u2019da enerji verimlili\u011finin art\u0131\u015f\u0131 sebebiyle bu b\u00f6lgelerde talebin azalmas\u0131 ve Asya\u2019daki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin devam etmesi nedeniyle enerji ak\u0131\u015flar\u0131 \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde, bat\u0131dan do\u011fuya kayacak.<\/p>\n

Karbon\u00a0sal<\/span>\u0131n\u0131mlar\u0131<\/span> artmaya devam edecek<\/strong><\/p>\n

BP Enerji G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc 2035 raporu, ayn\u0131 zamanda k\u00fcresel karbon dioksit (CO2<\/sub>)\u00a0sal<\/span>\u0131n\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 da enerji piyasalar\u0131ndaki trendler ve karbon politikalar\u0131 \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ele al\u0131yor. Rapordaki beklentilere g\u00f6re, karbon\u00a0sal<\/span>\u0131n\u0131mlar\u0131 2035\u2019e kadar y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 1 art\u0131\u015f ile toplamda y\u00fczde 25 artacak. Bu art\u0131\u015f, Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131 (IEA)\u2019n\u0131n \u201c450 Senaryosu\u201d gibi belgelerde belirtilen bilim insanlar\u0131n\u0131n tavsiyelerinin bir hayli \u00fczerinde kal\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Karbon\u00a0sal<\/span>\u0131n\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 daha fazla azaltmak i\u00e7in, politika \u00fcretenlerin \u00f6nemli yeni ad\u0131mlar atmalar\u0131na ihtiya\u00e7 duyuluyor. Enerji G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc Raporu\u2019nda, bu anlamda farkl\u0131 se\u00e7enekleri ve bunlar\u0131n emisyonlara olan etkilerini de de\u011ferlendiriyor ve tek tek se\u00e7eneklerin yeterli olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, birden fazla se\u00e7ene\u011fin kullan\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fi sonucuna var\u0131l\u0131yor. Bu da, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n enerji ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir bir \u015fekilde b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi i\u00e7in k\u00fcresel \u00e7apta bir karbon fiyatlamas\u0131 sistemi gibi \u00f6nemli te\u015fviklerin yap\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n gerekti\u011fini ortaya \u00e7\u0131kart\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

BP Enerji G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc 2035 raporu hakk\u0131nda konu\u015fan\u00a0BP Grubu CEO\u2019su Bob Dudley<\/strong>, \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yledi:\u00a0\u201cEnerji end\u00fcstrisi, \u00f6mr\u00fc 10 y\u0131llarla \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclen stratejiler ve yat\u0131r\u0131mlar ile \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Bu nedenle de uzun d\u00f6nemde piyasalar\u0131 \u015fekillendirecek olan trendleri ve hareketleri g\u00f6rmemiz gerekiyor. Bunun da Enerji G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc raporumuzu ger\u00e7ekten \u00e7ok de\u011ferli k\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131na inan\u0131yorum.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

Yay\u0131nc\u0131: Enerji Gazetesi<\/a><\/p>\n

<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language. BP Enerji G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc 2035 Raporu\u2019na g\u00f6re \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 20 y\u0131lda en h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcyen fosil yak\u0131t do\u011falgaz olacak.\u00a0Enerji ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 bat\u0131daki art\u0131\u015f ve enerji verimlili\u011findeki […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":32614,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53],"tags":[5964,21471,92,63,67,1009,2698,165,12,516,3297,2037,14822,19400,2012,15781,793],"views":785,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36495"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=36495"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36495\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":36496,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36495\/revisions\/36496"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/32614"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=36495"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=36495"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=36495"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}