{"id":34250,"date":"2014-12-08T11:23:56","date_gmt":"2014-12-08T08:23:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=34250"},"modified":"2014-12-08T11:23:56","modified_gmt":"2014-12-08T08:23:56","slug":"kose-yazisi-petrol-neden-ucuzluyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/kose-yazisi-petrol-neden-ucuzluyor\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131: Petrol Neden Ucuzluyor?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

<\/p>\n

G\u00fcng\u00f6r Uras \/ Milliyet<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Petrol neden ucuzluyor? Bir \u2018t\u00fcketici\u2019, saf ve bakir bir Anadolu \u00e7ocu\u011fu olarak merak ediyorum. Ona soruyorum, buna soruyorum. Rivayet muhtelif. Kimi talep d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc diyor. Kimi, \u00c7in\u2019de ekonomi yava\u015flad\u0131 diyor. Kimi Avrupa\u2019da durgunluk var diyor. Kimi de ABD\u2019nin kaya gaz\u0131 \u00fcretimindeki art\u0131\u015f nedeniyle petrol talebinin azald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 anlat\u0131yor.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131 (International Energy Agency), US Energy Information Administation, OPEC, OECD gibi kurulu\u015flar d\u00fcnyada petrol arz ve talebi ile
\nilgili bilgileri yay\u0131nl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Bu kaynaklardan \u00f6\u011frendiklerimi say\u0131n okuyucular\u0131ma arz edece\u011fim:\"petrol-pp-23983<\/p>\n

\u2013 OECD verilerine g\u00f6re, d\u00fcnyada g\u00fcnl\u00fck petrol \u00fcretiminde OPEC \u00fclkelerinin toplam \u00fcretimdeki paylar\u0131 y\u00fczde 40 dolay\u0131nda. Kalan petrol\u00fc di\u011fer \u00fclkeler \u00fcretiyor.<\/p>\n

\u2013 OECD verilerine g\u00f6re, g\u00fcnl\u00fck toplam \u00fcretim 2013 y\u0131l\u0131nda 90.1 milyon varil, toplam talep 90.4 milyon varil idi. 2014 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in tahmin g\u00fcnde 91.9 milyon varil \u00fcretim, 91.3 milyon varil t\u00fcketimdi.<\/p>\n

Arz telep de\u011fi\u015fmedi (gibi!)<\/p>\n

\u2013 Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131, \u00fc\u00e7er ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemler itibariyle g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00fcretim ve t\u00fcketim rakamlar\u0131n\u0131 veriyor.<\/p>\n

2013 y\u0131l\u0131 son \u00e7eyre\u011finde \u00fcretim (arz) g\u00fcnde 91.8 milyon varil, talep (t\u00fcketim) 92.7 milyon varildi. Bu y\u0131l\u0131n 3\u2019\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde arz 93.6 milyon varile y\u00fckseldi ama talep de 93.0 milyon varil oldu. \u0130\u00e7inde bulundu\u011fumuz son \u00e7eyrekte talebin g\u00fcnde 93.5 milyon varil oldu\u011fu belirlenmi\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n

Bu verilere g\u00f6re talepte azalma yok. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l sonundan bu yana talep g\u00fcnde 92.7 milyon varilden 93.5 milyon varile y\u00fckseldi. \u00dcretimde patlama yok. \u00dcretim arz\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131layacak \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde artt\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u2013 AB kaynaklar\u0131nda, 2013 y\u0131l\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck petrol ithalat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 \u00fclkelerin g\u00fcnl\u00fck ithalat\u0131 ABD i\u00e7in 6.8 milyar varil, \u00c7in i\u00e7in 5.2 milyon varil, Japonya i\u00e7in 4.4 milyon varil, Hindistan i\u00e7in 2.7 milyon varil, G\u00fcney Kore i\u00e7in 2.3 milyon varil, Almanya i\u00e7in 2.2 milyon varil, Fransa i\u00e7in 1.8 milyon varil olarak belirtiliyor. (Bu rakamlar de\u011fi\u015fik kaynaklarda farkl\u0131l\u0131k g\u00f6steriyor.)<\/p>\n

\u2013 ABD\u2019nin federal verilerine g\u00f6re (US Energy Information Agency) 2014 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde ABD\u2019nin ham petrol \u00fcretimi g\u00fcnde 8.8 milyon varil, ithalat\u0131 7.1 milyon varil.<\/p>\n

Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 ham petrol(crude oil) \u00fcretimi 8.8 milyon varil, ithalat\u0131 7.5 milyon varil. Ge\u00e7mi\u015f eyl\u00fcl aylar\u0131na g\u00f6re art\u0131\u015f var ama ABD kaynaklar\u0131na g\u00f6re, 2012 Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda 6.5 milyon varil, 2013 Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda 7.7 milyon varil olan \u00fcretim bu eyl\u00fclde 8.8 milyon ton oldu. (The Economist\u2019in son say\u0131s\u0131nda 11 milyon varil \u00fcretimden s\u00f6z ediliyor)<\/p>\n

ABD\u2019de Talep Ayn\u0131<\/h3>\n

\u2013 ABD\u2019de akaryak\u0131t t\u00fcketiminde gerileme yok. Farkl\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcnlerde 2013 y\u0131l\u0131na g\u00f6re talep art\u0131\u015f\u0131 var. Talep d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc de fiyat ucuzlad\u0131 denilemez.<\/p>\n

\u2013 Evet ABD\u2019de \u2018kaya gaz\u0131\u2019 \u00fcretimi \u015fimdilerde do\u011falgaz \u00fcretimi ile ba\u015fa ba\u015f \u00e7izgiye ula\u015ft\u0131 ama kaya gaz\u0131 hen\u00fcz ham petrol talebini azaltacak bir geli\u015fme i\u00e7inde de\u011fil.<\/p>\n

\u2013 Geliyoruz \u00c7in\u2019in durumuna. Son verilere g\u00f6re, \u00c7in\u2019de g\u00fcnl\u00fck talep 10.7 milyon varil ham petrol. \u00c7in\u2019in \u00fcretimi g\u00fcnde 4.5 milyon varil. Bu durumda ithalat ihtiyac\u0131 6.2 milyon varil.<\/p>\n

D\u00fcnya Enerji Ajans\u0131, \u00c7in\u2019in 2014 ortalama petrol ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fcnde 11.1 milyon varil olarak tahmin ediyor. G\u00fcnde 6.6 milyon varil ithalat ihtiyac\u0131 oldu\u011funu belirtiyor. A\u00e7\u0131k anlat\u0131m\u0131yla \u00c7in\u2019in talebi de daralma g\u00f6stermiyor.<\/p>\n

DEVAMI \u0130\u00c7\u0130N\u00a0TIKLAYINIZ>>><\/a><\/p>\n

Kaynak: Enerji Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc<\/p>\n

<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language. G\u00fcng\u00f6r Uras \/ Milliyet Petrol neden ucuzluyor? Bir \u2018t\u00fcketici\u2019, saf ve bakir bir Anadolu \u00e7ocu\u011fu olarak merak ediyorum. Ona soruyorum, buna soruyorum. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":34251,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53,44],"tags":[468,1198,63,3136,1009,3380,2041,347,1022],"views":690,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34250"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=34250"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34250\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":34252,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34250\/revisions\/34252"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/34251"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=34250"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=34250"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=34250"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}