{"id":33682,"date":"2014-11-20T18:37:01","date_gmt":"2014-11-20T15:37:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=33682"},"modified":"2014-11-20T18:37:01","modified_gmt":"2014-11-20T15:37:01","slug":"kose-yazisi-petrol-fiyatlarinin-dusmesi-ekonomiyi-nasil-etkiler","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/kose-yazisi-petrol-fiyatlarinin-dusmesi-ekonomiyi-nasil-etkiler\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131: Petrol Fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n D\u00fc\u015fmesi Ekonomiyi Nas\u0131l Etkiler?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

<\/p>\n

Petrol \u00fcreten ba\u015fl\u0131ca \u00fclkeler olarak kabul edilen Rusya, \u0130ran, Suudi Arabistan ve son d\u00f6nemde\u00a0 kaya gaz\u0131 rezervlerini ortaya \u00e7\u0131kararak b\u00fcy\u00fck bir enerji potansiyeli elde eden ABD aras\u0131nda gizli bir enerji sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n\u00a0oldu\u011fu\u00a0 konu\u015fulmaktad\u0131r.<\/span>\u00a0Bu konuda kesin bir a\u00e7\u0131klama yok veya taraflar herhangi bir pozisyon alm\u0131\u015f durumda da de\u011filler. Ancak, ortada bir ger\u00e7ek var, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda 112 dolar civar\u0131nda olan\u00a0brent\u00a0petrol fiyat\u0131, i\u00e7inde bulundu\u011fumuz ayda 78 dolara kadar geriledi.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Petrol\u00a0\u00fcreticisi\u00a0\u00fclkeler i\u00e7in, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re petrol fiyat\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 30\u2019luk d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f,\u00a0bu \u00fclkeler i\u00e7in kritik bir durum olu\u015fturmaktad\u0131r. Buna ra\u011fmen,\u00a0 petrol arz\u0131n\u0131n azalmayarak devam et\"kose-yazisi-petrol-fiyatlarinin-dusmesi-ekonomiyi-nasil-etkiler\"mesi, fiyattaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn bir s\u00fcre daha s\u00fcrece\u011fini g\u00f6stermektedir.<\/p>\n

PEK\u0130 PETROL F\u0130YATLARI\u00a0NEDEN D\u00dc\u015e\u00dcYOR?<\/strong><\/p>\n

D\u00fcnya ekonomisindeki yava\u015f b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin talebi azaltt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve 2015 y\u0131l\u0131nda da ekonomideki iyile\u015fmenin talebi besleyecek d\u00fczeyde olmayaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fleri de, fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn\u00a0sebepleri aras\u0131nda sayabiliriz. Hafta sonu G20 Zirvesi\u2019nin de g\u00fcndem maddesi olan k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin yava\u015f seyretmesi, \u00fcretim girdilerinden en \u00f6nemlisi olarak say\u0131lan petrole olan talebi\u00a0azaltmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Ekonomik nedenlerinin yan\u0131nda, \u00f6zellikle petrol ihracat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 \u00fclkeler aras\u0131ndaki g\u00fc\u00e7 sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n, talebin d\u00fc\u015fmesine ra\u011fmen arz\u00a0miktar\u0131nda bir de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fe gitmeyerek fiyatlar\u0131n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 do\u011fru y\u00f6nelmesinde \u00f6nemli bir fakt\u00f6r oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. Bu arada 27 Kas\u0131m 2015 tarihinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek OPEC toplant\u0131s\u0131na kadar\u00a0da\u00a0fiyatlardaki\u00a0d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn devam etmesi beklenmektedir.<\/p>\n

Rusya ve Suudi Arabistan,\u00a0petrol \u00fcreticisi \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda\u00a0ilk s\u0131ray\u0131 payla\u015f\u0131rken ayn\u0131 zamanda \u00fclke ekonomilerinin petrole ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 olmas\u0131ndan dolay\u0131, fiyatlardaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc iki \u00fclkenin de arzu etmeyece\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131kt\u0131r. Yine de, farkl\u0131 ekonomik ve siyasi senaryolar\u0131n oynand\u0131\u011f\u0131, petrol \u00fcretici \u00fclkelerinin birbirine \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fck sa\u011flama gibi bir oyunun i\u00e7ine girdi\u011fi yorumlar\u0131 yap\u0131lsa da,\u00a0hen\u00fcz hi\u00e7bir \u00fclke bu konuda net bir ad\u0131m atmad\u0131.<\/p>\n

F\u0130YAT D\u00dc\u015e\u00dc\u015e\u00dc, PETROL\u00a0\u0130THALAT\u00c7ISI \u00dcLKELER \u0130\u00c7\u0130N FIRSAT\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

Petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki de\u011fi\u015fim yani fiyat\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesi, petrol \u00fcreticisi \u00fclkeleri olumsuz y\u00f6nde etkilerken, T\u00fcrkiye gibi petrol ithal eden \u00fclkeler i\u00e7in de\u00a0ekonomik g\u00f6stergeleri pozitif y\u00f6nl\u00fc etkilemektedir.<\/p>\n

Bir taraftan 2002-2014 y\u0131llar\u0131 aras\u0131nda ula\u015f\u0131lan y\u00fcksek b\u00fcy\u00fcme oranlar\u0131, di\u011fer yandan b\u00fcy\u00fcme potansiyelinin devam ettirilmesi iste\u011fi kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda artan enerji maliyeti ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ne yaz\u0131k ki petrol y\u00f6n\u00fcnden d\u0131\u015fa ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 olmas\u0131, \u00fclkenin ithalat faturas\u0131n\u0131 ciddi oranda art\u0131rmaktad\u0131r.\u00a0 Hat\u0131rlanaca\u011f\u0131 \u00fczere, 2011 y\u0131l\u0131nda, ithalat\u0131n y\u00fczde 25\u2019ni temsil eden enerji\u00a0 kaleminden dolay\u0131 artan cari a\u00e7\u0131k, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisini cari a\u00e7\u0131k-b\u00fcy\u00fcme ikilemiyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya b\u0131rakm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bu noktada, \u00fcretimde en y\u00fcksek maliyet kalemi olan petroldeki fiyat d\u00fc\u015fmesi, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n azalmas\u0131yla beraber, \u00fcretimin devam ettirilmesi f\u0131rsat\u0131n\u0131 sunmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n

2013 y\u0131l\u0131 ilk 9 ay\u0131nda ithal edilen ham petrole 11 milyar 314 milyon dolar \u00f6deyen T\u00fcrkiye, 2014 y\u0131l\u0131 Ocak-Eyl\u00fcl aras\u0131nda toplam 9 milyar 814 milyon dolar \u00f6dedi. \u00dcretimde girdi olarak kullan\u0131lan enerji kalemindeki maliyet azal\u0131\u015f\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin\u00a02014 y\u0131l\u0131 Cari a\u00e7\u0131k\/GSYH oran\u0131 i\u00e7in\u00a0hedefledi\u011fi\u00a0y\u00fczde 5,7\u2019lik oran\u0131n\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesini de kolayla\u015ft\u0131racakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn d\u0131\u015f ticaret ve cari a\u00e7\u0131kta olumlu etkisi an\u0131nda g\u00f6stergelere yans\u0131rken, enflasyon oran\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmesi ve \u00fcretimde girdi maliyetlerinin azalmas\u0131 dolay\u0131s\u0131yla, hem rekabet g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn art\u0131\u015f\u0131na hem de ihracatta art\u0131\u015fa \u00f6nemli katk\u0131lar sa\u011flayacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Bir anlamda, petrol zengini \u00fclkeler aras\u0131ndaki stratejiler, T\u00fcrkiye gibi petrol ithal eden \u00fclkelerin ekonomisine \u00f6nemli katk\u0131 sunacakt\u0131r. \u00d6zellikle bu d\u00f6nemde, yani Irak ve Suriye gibi s\u0131n\u0131r topraklar\u0131nda jeopolitik risklerin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir zamanda, petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki ciddi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin b\u00f6lgesel risk fakt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fc hafifletmesini sa\u011flamaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Haberin Devam\u0131 i\u00e7in\u00a0t\u0131klay\u0131n\u0131z>>><\/a><\/p>\n

Kaynak: Yeni \u015eafak<\/p>\n

<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language. Petrol \u00fcreten ba\u015fl\u0131ca \u00fclkeler olarak kabul edilen Rusya, \u0130ran, Suudi Arabistan ve son d\u00f6nemde\u00a0 kaya gaz\u0131 rezervlerini ortaya \u00e7\u0131kararak b\u00fcy\u00fck bir enerji […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":33683,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53,44],"tags":[1198,19545,63,67,1009,19662,165,1333,16808,1377,59,2451,79,347,19663,17331,885,1463],"views":634,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33682"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=33682"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33682\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":33684,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33682\/revisions\/33684"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/33683"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=33682"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=33682"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=33682"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}