{"id":33619,"date":"2014-11-19T09:55:40","date_gmt":"2014-11-19T06:55:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=33619"},"modified":"2014-11-19T09:55:40","modified_gmt":"2014-11-19T06:55:40","slug":"kose-yazisi-yenilenebilir-enerji-2030da-talebin-yarisini-karsilayabilecek","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/kose-yazisi-yenilenebilir-enerji-2030da-talebin-yarisini-karsilayabilecek\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131: Yenilenebilir Enerji 2030\u2019da Talebin Yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 Kar\u015f\u0131layabilecek…"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye yenilenebilir enerjiye \u00f6nem verse \u2018yerli\u2019 kaynak sorununa, nihai olarak da y\u0131lda kabaca 50 milyar dolara patlayan enerji ithalat\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrebilse iyi olmaz m\u0131? 2018\u2019e do\u011fru T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin elektrik \u00fcretiminde yerli kaynaklara dayal\u0131 enerji \u00fcretim stratejisi, yerli kaynaklar\u0131n pay\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 27\u2019den y\u00fczde 35\u2019e getirmek olarak tan\u0131mlanm\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/strong><\/p>\n

D\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm Program\u0131\u2019na g\u00f6re, yerli k\u00f6m\u00fcrle yap\u0131lan elektrik \u00fcretiminde 2013\u2019den 2018\u2019e y\u00fczde 78\u2019lik bir art\u0131\u015f \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. 2012\u2019de kabaca 56 milyon ton yerli k\u00f6m\u00fcrle 34 Tkw\/saat elektrik \u00fcretildi\u011fi hesaba kat\u0131l\u0131rsa; \"kose-yazisi-yenilenebilir-enerji-2030da-talebin-yarisini-karsilayabilecek\"<\/a>2018\u2019de 58 Tkw\/saat\u2019lik \u00fcretime \u00e7\u0131kmak i\u00e7in 95 milyon ton k\u00f6m\u00fcr \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekecek. Cari ko\u015fullardaki i\u015f g\u00fcvenli\u011fi sorunu iki kat\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kan k\u00f6m\u00fcr \u00fcretimi ile can kayb\u0131 potansiyelini de ayn\u0131 oranda b\u00fcy\u00fct\u00fcrken, karbon emisyonu da patlayacak, \u00e7evre sorunu da g\u00fcndeme gelecek.<\/p>\n

Peki, T\u00fcrkiye yenilenebilir enerjiye (g\u00fcne\u015f, r\u00fczg\u00e2r ve hidrolik) \u00f6nem verse \u2018yerli\u2019 kaynak sorununa, nihai olarak da y\u0131lda kabaca 50 milyar dolara patlayan enerji ithalat\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrebilse iyi olmaz m\u0131? Do\u011fal Hayat\u0131 Koruma Vakf\u0131 (WWF T\u00fcrkiye), tam da bunu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor; haz\u0131rlad\u0131klar\u0131 raporu payla\u015fan WWF T\u00fcrkiye Y\u00f6netim Kurulu Ba\u015fkan\u0131 U\u011fur Bayar, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 2030 y\u0131l\u0131nda enerji talebinin yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 yenilenebilir kaynaklardan kar\u015f\u0131layabilece\u011fine dikkat \u00e7ekiyor.<\/p>\n

WWF\u2019nin Avrupa \u0130klim Vakf\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (ECF) maddi deste\u011fi ve Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF) i\u015fbirli\u011fiyle d\u00fcn yay\u0131mlanan \u201cT\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Yenilenebilir G\u00fcc\u00fc; T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in Alternatif Elektrik Enerjisi Arz Senaryolar\u0131\u201d ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 raporunda, yenilenebilir enerjiye \u00f6ncelik veren bir elektrik enerjisi politikas\u0131n\u0131n maliyetinin, k\u00f6m\u00fcre dayal\u0131 bir politikadan daha y\u00fcksek olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131, ayr\u0131ca sera gaz\u0131 emisyonlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n durdurulmas\u0131na ve d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n azalt\u0131lmas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131 savunuluyor.<\/p>\n

Raporda, elektrik piyasas\u0131 ve sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn g\u00fcncel durumu, h\u00fck\u00fcmet politikalar\u0131 ve mevcut proje stoku parametreleri \u00fczerine in\u015fa edilen Mevcut Politikalar Senaryosu\u2019nun (MPS), di\u011fer senaryolara g\u00f6re daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck sermaye maliyeti gerektirdi\u011fi, yeni kurulu g\u00fc\u00e7 in\u015fas\u0131n\u0131n daha fazla olmas\u0131 nedeniyle Yenilenebilir Enerji Senaryosu\u2019nun (YES) k\u0131sa vadede daha maliyetli g\u00f6r\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc vurgulan\u0131yor. Bu y\u00fcksek maliyete ra\u011fmen, YES\u2019teki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck yak\u0131t maliyetlerinin 2014-2030 d\u00f6neminde iki senaryo aras\u0131ndaki toplam maliyet fark\u0131n\u0131 ortadan kald\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 anlat\u0131l\u0131yor. Raporun \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fc; YES\u2019deki yak\u0131t harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n MPS\u2019ye g\u00f6re toplam 18 milyar ABD Dolar\u0131 daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde.<\/p>\n

PEK\u0130 KARBON EM\u0130SYONU NE OLACAK?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Rapor, mevcut durumda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin elektrik enerjisi \u00fcretiminden kaynaklanan y\u0131ll\u0131k sera gaz\u0131 emisyonunun 110 milyon ton Co2 (mtCo2) e\u015fde\u011feri seviyesinde bulundu\u011funu, Mevcut Politikalar Senaryosu \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde, k\u00f6m\u00fcr kullan\u0131m\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f sonucu 2030 y\u0131l\u0131na gelindi\u011finde elektrik \u00fcretimi kaynakl\u0131 emisyonlar\u0131n neredeyse ikiye katlan\u0131p, 200 milyon tonu a\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Oysa T\u00fcrkiye Yenilenebilir Enerji Senaryosu\u2019nu tercih ederse emisyonlar\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 5 y\u0131l boyunca bir nebze y\u00fckselece\u011fi, ancak sonras\u0131nda 120 milyon ton mtCo2 e\u015fde\u011feri seviyesinde sabitlenece\u011fi hesaplanm\u0131\u015f. Aradaki fark, mevcut y\u0131ll\u0131k toplam emisyonlar\u0131n\u0131n be\u015fte birine denk geliyor.<\/p>\n

Bu bulguya maliyet analizi ile birlikte bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin elektrik \u00fcretiminden kaynaklanan sera gaz\u0131 emisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 5 y\u0131l i\u00e7erisinde sabitleyebilece\u011fi ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Bunun i\u00e7in, T\u00fcrkiye yenilenebilir kaynaklara y\u00f6nelirse mevcut k\u00f6m\u00fcr odakl\u0131 politikalar\u0131n maliyetinden daha fazlas\u0131na katlanmas\u0131 gerekmiyor; 2014-2030 d\u00f6neminde her iki senaryonun toplam maliyeti neredeyse ayn\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediliyor.<\/p>\n

Haberin Devam\u0131 i\u00e7in\u00a0t\u0131klay\u0131n\u0131z>>><\/a><\/p>\n

Kaynak: Radikal<\/p>\n

<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language. T\u00fcrkiye yenilenebilir enerjiye \u00f6nem verse \u2018yerli\u2019 kaynak sorununa, nihai olarak da y\u0131lda kabaca 50 milyar dolara patlayan enerji ithalat\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrebilse iyi olmaz […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":33620,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53,49,47,50],"tags":[1827,19590,2990,63,67,1009,165,227,35370,8310,3344,69,2533,19622,1298,105,19623],"views":1320,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33619"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=33619"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33619\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":33621,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33619\/revisions\/33621"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/33620"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=33619"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=33619"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=33619"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}