{"id":33547,"date":"2014-11-17T15:43:42","date_gmt":"2014-11-17T12:43:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=33547"},"modified":"2014-11-17T15:43:42","modified_gmt":"2014-11-17T12:43:42","slug":"kose-yazisi-catismalarda-yukselen-ates-ve-dusen-petrol-fiyatlari","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/kose-yazisi-catismalarda-yukselen-ates-ve-dusen-petrol-fiyatlari\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131: \u00c7at\u0131\u015fmalarda Y\u00fckselen Ate\u015f ve D\u00fc\u015fen Petrol Fiyatlar\u0131!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

<\/p>\n

Petrol ve do\u011falgaz vanalar\u0131n\u0131n yo\u011fun oldu\u011fu co\u011frafyada \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma ve i\u00e7 sava\u015flar h\u0131zla s\u00fcrerken normalde olmas\u0131 gereken enerji piyasas\u0131nda fiyatlar\u0131n y\u00fckselmesidir.<\/span>\u00a0\u00dcstelik \u00c7in ve Avrupa gibi enerji konusunda d\u0131\u015fa ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 devlerde ekonomik durgunluk nedeniyle talebin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oldu\u011fu bir d\u00f6nemde, uluslararas\u0131 piyasalarda petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda s\u00fcren a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareket, fiyatlardaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc ve arz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n nedenlerini sorgulamam\u0131z\u0131 gerektirir.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Haziran\u2019da I\u015e\u0130D\u2019in Musul\u2019u ele ge\u00e7irmesinin ard\u0131ndan, 115 dolar seviyelerindeyken d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe ge\u00e7en Brent petrol varil fiyat\u0131 bug\u00fcn itibar\u0131yla ICE\u2019de 80 dolar seviyelerine inmi\u015f durumda. T\u00fcm g\u00f6zlerin \u00e7evrildi\u011fi 27 Kas\u0131m\u2019daki OPEC toplant\u0131s\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131rken uzmanlar taraf\u0131ndan yap\u0131lan yorumlar, her \u015feye ra\u011fmen toplant\u0131dan \u00fcretim k\u0131sma karar\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kmayaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde olunca, beklenti fiyatlardaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn devam edece\u011fi \u015feklinde. OPEC \u00fclkelerinde ya\u015fanan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f Bat\u0131 Teksas petrol\u00fcn\u00fc de etkiliyor, NYMEX\u2019te varil fiyat\u0131 77 dolara inmi\u015f vaziyette.\"kose-yazisi-catismalarda-yukselen-ates-ve-dusen-petrol-fiyatlari\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Bilindi\u011fi gibi, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck petrol fiyatlar\u0131, petrol \u00fcreten ve ihra\u00e7 eden \u00fclkelerin i\u015fine gelmez. \u00d6rne\u011fin Suudi Arabistan i\u00e7in petrol fiyat\u0131n\u0131n 85 dolar\/varilin alt\u0131nda olmas\u0131, gelirinin %85\u2019inin petrole ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 oldu\u011fu krall\u0131\u011f\u0131n bu durumdan olumsuz etkilenece\u011fi anlam\u0131na gelir. G\u00fcnl\u00fck petrol \u00fcretimini son d\u00f6nemde s\u00fcrekli art\u0131ran ve killi \u015fistten elde edilen petrole yapt\u0131klar\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mla enerji piyasas\u0131nda lider olmay\u0131 kafas\u0131na koyan ABD ise, Suudi Arabistan\u2019a g\u00f6re \u00fcretim maliyetleri daha y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in y\u00fckselen petrol fiyatlar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 daha diren\u00e7siz asl\u0131nda. Varil fiyat\u0131n\u0131n 75 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fmesi baz\u0131 \u00fcreticilerin oyun d\u0131\u015f\u0131 kalmas\u0131na neden olabilir. Ve Rusya i\u00e7in fiyatlar\u0131n 100 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fmesi bile s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 olu\u015ftururken d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn devam etmesinin sars\u0131c\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131 malum. Rus Rublesi sene ba\u015f\u0131na oranla %30 oran\u0131nda de\u011fer kaybetmi\u015f durumda. Ukrayna nedeniyle yapt\u0131r\u0131mlarla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalan Rus \u015firketleri kredi bulmakta, bankalar kredi vermekte zorlan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Peki hal b\u00f6yleyken petrol fiyatlar\u0131 neden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor? Cevab\u0131n herkesin hem fikir oldu\u011fu k\u0131sm\u0131, bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn \u015fof\u00f6r koltu\u011funda Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n oldu\u011fu. \u00d6yleyse Suudi Arabistan bunu neden yap\u0131yor? Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n nedenleri konusunda g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fler ikiye ayr\u0131lm\u0131\u015f durumda. Bir gruba g\u00f6re, Suudi Arabistan petrol piyasas\u0131nda patronun kim oldu\u011funu, \u2018devrim\u2019 olarak lanse edilen killi \u015fistten elde edilen petrol sayesinde liderli\u011fe oynamak isteyen ABD\u2019ye g\u00f6stermek istiyor. \u00dcretim maliyetlerinin ABD\u2019ye g\u00f6re katbekat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olmas\u0131 nedeniyle biraz ac\u0131ya katlan\u0131r\u0131m diyor ve ABD\u2019ye bu alanda krall\u0131\u011f\u0131 b\u0131rakmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. \u0130kinci grup ise Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekmesinin esas nedeninin politik oldu\u011fu ve hedefinde Rusya ile \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnde. \u00d6zellikle Ruslar, K\u00f6rfez\u2019in fiyatlar\u0131 ABD ile yapt\u0131klar\u0131 anla\u015fma \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fcklerine inanm\u0131\u015f durumda ve olduk\u00e7a \u00f6fkeli. Suudi Arabistan Kral\u0131 Abdullah ve ABD D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 John Kerry aras\u0131nda Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda, \u0130ran ve Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Suriye\u2019de, ve yine Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Ukrayna\u2019da elini zay\u0131flatmak amac\u0131yla gizli bir anla\u015fmaya imza att\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde haberler de medyada ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz g\u00fcnlerde yank\u0131 bulmu\u015ftu. Yine bu hafta bas\u0131na s\u0131zan, Tony Blair\u2019in, Suudi i\u015fadam\u0131 Tar\u0131k Ubeyd ve Suudi Kral\u0131\u2019n\u0131n o\u011fullar\u0131ndan Prens Turki bin Abdullah\u2019\u0131n sahibi oldu\u011fu PetroSaudi \u015firketiyle imzalad\u0131\u011f\u0131 anla\u015fma, Blair\u2019in Suudi\u2019ler ve \u00c7inli \u015firketler aras\u0131nda arabuluculuk yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermesi bak\u0131m\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fck petrol fiyat\u0131, yava\u015flayan ekonomisini hareketlendirmek isteyen \u00c7in i\u00e7in bir avantajken, son y\u0131llarda \u0130ran ve Rusya\u2019yla yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 yo\u011fun enerji anla\u015fmalar\u0131na ne kadar sad\u0131k kalabilecek, bunu g\u00f6rece\u011fiz.<\/p>\n

\u00d6te yandan, bu ekonomik bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda hala Do\u011fu Ukrayna\u2019daki etkinli\u011fini azaltmaya y\u00f6nelik bir ad\u0131m atmayan Rusya Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Putin, enerji piyasas\u0131nda oynanan oyunun d\u00fcnya ekonomisindeki dengeleri alt \u00fcst edece\u011fi ve bunun neticesinde yeni bir so\u011fuk sava\u015f olaca\u011f\u0131 konusunda tehditlerine devam ediyor. Bu s\u0131rada Gorba\u00e7ov ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p Putin\u2019in tezlerine destek verirken, Ronald Reagan\u2019\u0131n o\u011flu enerji piyasas\u0131ndaki bu oyunun, ayn\u0131 babas\u0131n\u0131n 80\u2019lerde yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi so\u011fuk sava\u015f\u0131 bitirece\u011fini ve nihayetinde Putin\u2019in belini b\u00fckece\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

\u00d6yleyse 80\u2019leri bir hat\u0131rlamak gerek. Suudi Arabistan bug\u00fcn yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n bir benzerini 80\u2019lerde de yaparak petrol fiyat\u0131n\u0131 32 dolardan 10 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na \u00e7ekmi\u015fti. Sovyetler Birli\u011fi 20 milyardan fazla zarar etmi\u015f ve demir perdenin \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn en \u00f6nemli ekonomik etkenlerinden biri de bu olmu\u015ftu. Yani ABD kom\u00fcnizmi K\u00f6rfez\u2019in de yard\u0131m\u0131yla \u00e7\u00f6kertebilmi\u015fti. Ancak Suudiler\u2019in ayn\u0131 zamanda di\u011fer amac\u0131 Saddam rejimini zora sokmakt\u0131. Ve nitekim ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 da oldu. Ancak, Saddam H\u00fcseyin\u2019in petrol ihra\u00e7 eden \u00fclkelere d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclen petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckseltilmesi konusunda taleplerinin Kuveyt taraf\u0131ndan reddedili\u015fi ve yine Kuveyt\u2019in Irak\u2019\u0131n talep etti\u011fi 30 milyar dolarl\u0131k borcu silmeyi\u015fiyle devam eden geli\u015fmeler, birka\u00e7 y\u0131l sonra Saddam\u2019\u0131n Kuveyt\u2019i i\u015fgal etmesi ve onun ard\u0131ndan da K\u00f6rfez Sava\u015f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131yla sonu\u00e7land\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bug\u00fcn Suudiler ya ABD\u2019yle ortakla\u015fa \u0130ran ve Rusya\u2019ya kar\u015f\u0131 bir oyun kuruyor ya da Obama y\u00f6netimini dahi kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131na alarak Suriye konusunda Rusya, \u0130ran ve gev\u015fek davranan ABD\u2019yi k\u00f6\u015feye s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131rmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Obama ile Hamaney aras\u0131ndaki n\u00fckleer ve I\u015e\u0130D \u00fczerinden y\u00fcr\u00fcyen mektupla\u015fmay\u0131 da g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcnde bulundurunca, ikinci se\u00e7enek de g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilemezmi\u015f gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Her iki t\u00fcrl\u00fc de, bu oyunun k\u0131sa vadede sonu\u00e7lanmayaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclebiliyor. K\u0131sacas\u0131, Halep\u2019ten Kiev\u2019e, Tahran\u2019dan Moskova\u2019ya ya\u015fanan t\u00fcm geli\u015fmeleri yorumlarken petrol piyasas\u0131ndaki sava\u015f\u0131 da takip etmek gerekiyor.<\/p>\n

Yazan: Merve \u015eebnem Oru\u00e7<\/p>\n

Kaynak:\u00a0Yeni \u015eafak<\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language. Petrol ve do\u011falgaz vanalar\u0131n\u0131n yo\u011fun oldu\u011fu co\u011frafyada \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma ve i\u00e7 sava\u015flar h\u0131zla s\u00fcrerken normalde olmas\u0131 gereken enerji piyasas\u0131nda fiyatlar\u0131n y\u00fckselmesidir.\u00a0\u00dcstelik \u00c7in ve […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":33548,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53,44],"tags":[1198,19423,63,67,1009,165,13970,2558,10666,1377,59,79,347,1114,885,2584],"views":856,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33547"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=33547"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33547\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":33549,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33547\/revisions\/33549"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/33548"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=33547"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=33547"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=33547"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}