{"id":32680,"date":"2014-10-22T08:34:09","date_gmt":"2014-10-22T05:34:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=32680"},"modified":"2014-10-22T08:34:09","modified_gmt":"2014-10-22T05:34:09","slug":"ucuz-petrol-rusya-iran-ve-venezuela-gibi-ihracatci-ulkeler-zor-durumda","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/ucuz-petrol-rusya-iran-ve-venezuela-gibi-ihracatci-ulkeler-zor-durumda\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) Ucuz Petrol: Rusya, \u0130ran ve Venezuela Gibi \u0130hracat\u00e7\u0131 \u00dclkeler Zor Durumda!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

Petrol\u00fcn varil fiyat\u0131, 2008 y\u0131l\u0131nda 148 dolara kadar y\u00fckselmi\u015fti. Son haftalarda\u00a0ise, brent petrol\u00fcn varil fiyat\u0131 y\u00fczde 20 oran\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015ferek, ge\u00e7en hafta 83 dolar\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Aral\u0131k 2014 sonu endeksli Brent Petrol fiyat\u0131 bug\u00fcn itibari ile 85-86 dolar seviyesinde bulunuyor.<\/strong>
\n<\/span><\/p>\n

Uzmanlar, piyasada petrol\u00fcn gere\u011finden fazla oldu\u011funu belirterek, nedenleri \u015fu \u015fekilde \u00f6zetliyor: Amerika ve Libya\u2019daki petrol \u00fcretiminin patlamas\u0131, \"petrol-fiyatlari-brent-opec-arabistan-amerika-rusya\"<\/a>Irak\u2019taki i\u00e7 sava\u015fa ra\u011fmen petrol \u00fcretim seviyesinin korunmas\u0131, OPEC \u00fcyeleri aras\u0131ndaki kavgan\u0131n k\u0131z\u0131\u015farak pazar pay\u0131n\u0131 korumaya odaklan\u0131lmas\u0131, bunun yan\u0131nda Avrupa ekonomisinin gittik\u00e7e negatif sinyaller vermesi, \u00c7in\u2019in talebindeki gev\u015feme, ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u00dcretici taraf\u0131nda ise, talep azald\u0131\u011f\u0131nda zarar\u0131 minimize etme prensibi devreye giriyor ve \u015firketler kar elde etmese dahi \u00fcretime devam etmek zorunda kal\u0131yor. Bunun en b\u00fcy\u00fck sebeplerinden biri sabit maliyetler, \u00fcretimin durmas\u0131 halinde sabit maliyetler b\u00fcy\u00fck bir\u00a0y\u00fck olarak tek ba\u015f\u0131na ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Bu nedenle, \u00fcretime devam etmek sabit maliyetlerin oran\u0131n\u0131 azalt\u0131yor. Ayr\u0131ca,\u00a0petrol talebi tekrar artt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda k\u0131s\u0131lan \u00fcretimi k\u0131sa zamanda tekrar art\u0131rmak\u00a0pek kolay de\u011fil.<\/p>\n

Deutche Bank taraf\u0131ndan yap\u0131lan ara\u015ft\u0131rma, 12 OPEC \u00fclkesinden 7\u2019sinin petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n 100 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131nda olmas\u0131 durumunda b\u00fct\u00e7esini dengeleyemeyece\u011fini ortaya \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. B\u00fcy\u00fck petrol \u00fcreticilerine ait ekonomilerin ayakta kalmas\u0131 i\u00e7in petrolde 100 dolara ihtiya\u00e7 var. \u00a0Venezuela\u2019da ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz g\u00fcnlerde ekonomistlerin\u00a0d\u00fczenli bir temerr\u00fcd\u00fcn OPEC \u00fclkesinin ekonomisindeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc durduabilece\u011fini iddia etmesinden sonra \u00fclkenin tahvil faizi f\u0131rlam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Notu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclen ve CDS\u2019leri y\u00fckselen Venezuela\u2019n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6deyemez hale gelme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 uzmanlara g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 100. \u00d6te yandan, OPEC \u00fcyesi olmayan Rusya\u2019n\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck dertte; ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin zaten zay\u0131f oldu\u011fu \u00fclkede,\u00a0devlet b\u00fct\u00e7esi a\u00e7\u0131k veriyor. Bat\u0131\u2019n\u0131n ekonomik yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 da y\u00fczde s\u0131f\u0131r olan Rusya\u2019n\u0131n ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini frenliyor. Rusya\u2019n\u0131n ihracat\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 70\u2019lik k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 petrol ve do\u011fal gaz olu\u015ftururken, federal b\u00fct\u00e7enin yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n

B\u00fct\u00e7e giderlerini kar\u015f\u0131layabilmek i\u00e7in 125 dolarl\u0131k varil fiyat\u0131na ihtiyac\u0131 olan \u0130ran petrolden kaybetti\u011fini yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131lamay\u0131 ama\u00e7l\u0131yor.\"brent-petrol-fiyati-2014\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Peki, en b\u00fcy\u00fck petrol ihracat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 Suudi Arabistan kurtamaya gelir\u00a0mi? Bu durumdan,\u00a0Suudi Arabistan da olumsuz etkileniyor. Bu \u00fclke b\u00fct\u00e7esini 99 dolarl\u0131k varil fiyat\u0131yla dengeleyebiliyor. Ancak son aylarda 450 milyar dolar biriktirdi\u011fi i\u00e7in 85 dolarl\u0131k varil fiyat\u0131 Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131 k\u0131sa vadede etkilemiyor. Ekonomisini \u00e7e\u015fitlendirmeye ve ya\u015fam standartlar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan krall\u0131k, 2014\u2019te ge\u00e7en seneye g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 4,3 art\u0131\u015fla 228 milyar dolar harcama hedefliyor.<\/p>\n

Petrolde 60 dolar seviyelerini telaffuz etmeye ba\u015flayan uzmanlar,\u00a0fiyatlarda ne kadar daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rmenin \u00e7ok zor oldu\u011funu belirtiyor. Nitekim, Economist dergisinin \u201cDrowning in Oil\u201d ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 1999 Mart \u00f6zel say\u0131s\u0131nda, petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda yar\u0131 yar\u0131ya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f olabilece\u011fi tahmin edilmi\u015f fakat haftalar sonra ba\u015flayan art\u0131\u015f trendi ile 2008 y\u0131l\u0131nda petrol 148 dolar ile pik yapm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Son olarak, Suudi Arabistan ve ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran ile Rusya\u2019y\u0131 dize getirmek i\u00e7in petrol\u00fc ucuzlatt\u0131klar\u0131 teorisi g\u00fcndeme geldi. Uzmanlar, bunu\u00a0spek\u00fclasyon olarak nitelemekle birlikte bu noktada \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131n \u00f6rt\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc de inkar etmiyorlar. Bu konuda, tarihi hat\u0131rlamakta fayda var; 1980\u2019li y\u0131llarda petrol\u00fcn ucuzlamas\u0131 Sovyetler Birli\u011fi\u2019nin y\u0131k\u0131lmas\u0131nda etkili olmu\u015f ve komplo teorileri ortaya at\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Rusya\u2019daki Stratejik Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc son raporlar\u0131ndan birinde ABD ile Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n s\u00f6zle\u015ferek petrol\u00fc ucuzlatt\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ne s\u00fcrd\u00fc. Suudi Arabistan varil fiyat\u0131n\u0131 dengelemek i\u00e7in \u00fcretimi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek yerine eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda daha fazla petrol ihra\u00e7 etti. Ayn\u0131 zamanda ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc OPEC toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 da kas\u0131m sonlar\u0131na erteletti.<\/p>\n

Kaynak: Enerji Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc<\/p>\n

 <\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.Petrol\u00fcn varil fiyat\u0131, 2008 y\u0131l\u0131nda 148 dolara kadar y\u00fckselmi\u015fti. Son haftalarda\u00a0ise, brent petrol\u00fcn varil fiyat\u0131 y\u00fczde 20 oran\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015ferek, ge\u00e7en hafta 83 dolar\u0131 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":32683,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[46,53],"tags":[19014,19015,4846,6971,19016,19017,63,347,19018],"views":1592,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32680"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=32680"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32680\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":32684,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32680\/revisions\/32684"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/32683"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=32680"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=32680"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=32680"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}