{"id":32474,"date":"2014-10-15T09:27:40","date_gmt":"2014-10-15T06:27:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=32474"},"modified":"2014-10-15T10:45:00","modified_gmt":"2014-10-15T07:45:00","slug":"kose-yazisi-petrol-fiyatlari-avrupa-kagit-endustrisi-ve-iran","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/kose-yazisi-petrol-fiyatlari-avrupa-kagit-endustrisi-ve-iran\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131: Petrol Fiyatlar\u0131, Avrupa Ka\u011f\u0131t End\u00fcstrisi Ve \u0130ran\u2026"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

Cemil Ertem \/ Star Gazetesi<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Bug\u00fcn d\u00f6rt \u00f6nemli haber-geli\u015fme- \u00fczerinde duraca\u011f\u0131z. Birincisi tabii ba\u015f a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 giden petrol fiyatlar\u0131 ile ilgili; Brent petrolde 90 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fck. Bunun hem ekonomik hem de siyasi saiklerle oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum.<\/span> Yani bu fiyat d\u00fczeyi, d\u00fcnya ekonomisindeki daralma trendi sona erdikten sonra da ge\u00e7erli yeni bir denge olabilir.<\/strong> Bunun \u00fczerinde durmak gerekir, \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu fiyat ve bu fiyat\u0131n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131s\u0131 yeni bir denge haliyse bu denge, yaln\u0131z ekonomik de\u011fil, siyasi sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 da olan bir durumu bize anlat\u0131r.\"iran-petrol-23987233\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Almanya ve Finlandiya: \u00c7\u00f6k\u00fcnt\u00fc Yaln\u0131z Ekonomik De\u011fil<\/h3>\n

\u0130kinci \u00f6nemli geli\u015fme, Almanya\u2019n\u0131n giderek resesyonu g\u00f6rmeye ba\u015flamas\u0131 ve bunun somut i\u015feritlerini-verilerini- hemen hemen her g\u00fcn almaya ba\u015flamam\u0131z. Almanya ekonomisi ikinci \u00e7eyrekte daralmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan, resesyona do\u011fru ilerliyor. Fabrika sipari\u015fleri, sanayi \u00fcretimi ve ihracat A\u011fustos\u2019ta gerilerken, \u00fclkenin g\u00f6sterge endeksi DAX Temmuz ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana y\u00fczde 13 gerileyerek son bir y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerine geldi.<\/p>\n

Almanya\u2019n\u0131n yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 g\u00fcveni endeksi, yedi y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fckse\u011fine ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 Aral\u0131k ay\u0131ndan bu yana her ay d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fad\u0131. Bu veriler, hem T\u00fcrkiye hem de Avrupa\u2019dan ba\u015flayarak, Rusya dahil t\u00fcm Asya co\u011frafyas\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli bize g\u00f6re\u2026<\/p>\n

\u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc olarak bir haberden bahsedece\u011fim ki, bu haber, hem yukar\u0131da anlatt\u0131\u011f\u0131m petrol ve Almanya geli\u015fmelerinin temel nedenlerine ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 hem de bize 21. y\u00fczy\u0131l\u0131n \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli bir ger\u00e7e\u011fini anlat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Ge\u00e7en hafta, Finlandiya\u2019n\u0131n kredi notu, AAA\u2019dan AA+\u2019ya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc. Bunun \u00fczerine, Ba\u015fbakan Stubb, al\u0131\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fczere, kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 su\u00e7lamad\u0131. Stubb, kredi notlar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesinde, ge\u00e7en ay \u2018ak\u0131ll\u0131\u2019 telefon serisinin yeni modelini piyasa s\u00fcren Apple\u2019\u0131 \u015fu\u00e7lad\u0131. Stubb, Amerikal\u0131 \u015firketin, tablet ve telefon yaz\u0131l\u0131m uygulamalar\u0131 ile d\u00fcnya ka\u011f\u0131t talebinin d\u00fc\u015fmesinde \u00f6nemli bir rol oynad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirterek, Finlandiya\u2019n\u0131n en \u00f6nemli ihracat ve sanayi kalemi olan, ka\u011f\u0131t end\u00fcstrisine darbe vurdu\u011funu iddia etti. Finlandiya, Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n en \u00f6nemli ka\u011f\u0131t \u00fcreticisi ve bu sekt\u00f6r \u00e7ok eski. Stora, Enso gibi ka\u011f\u0131t \u00fcreticileri, esas\u0131nda Avrupa finans kapitalinin ( o bildik \u201cailelerin\u201d) g\u00f6z\u00fc gibi bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli stratejik firmalar. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc ka\u011f\u0131t ve matbaa sekt\u00f6r\u00fc, karl\u0131 bir alan oldu\u011fu kadar, bir uygarl\u0131\u011f\u0131n da s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcc\u00fcs\u00fc dolay\u0131s\u0131yla ideoloji ve k\u00fclt\u00fcr \u00fcreten bir alan.<\/p>\n

Bundan dolay\u0131 buran\u0131n krize girmesi \u00f6yle basit bir sekt\u00f6rel kriz de\u011fildir.<\/p>\n

\u0130ran, \u0130srail\u2019i Savundu!<\/h3>\n

Nihayet d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc stratejik geli\u015fmeye-habere- geliyoruz.<\/p>\n

Ge\u00e7en g\u00fcn \u0130ran D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 H\u00fcseyin Abdullahiyan, I\u015e\u0130D eliyle Esed rejiminin d\u00fc\u015fmesinin \u0130srail\u2019in g\u00fcvenli\u011fini yok edece\u011fini savundu.<\/p>\n

\u0130ran merkezli Farda News Haber Ajans\u0131 ge\u00e7ti bu haberi.<\/p>\n

Abdullahiyan, \u201cE\u011fer I\u015e\u0130D kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131 koalisyon g\u00fc\u00e7leri, Suriye\u2019deki y\u00f6netimi ve rejimi, I\u015e\u0130D eliyle de\u011fi\u015ftirmek isterlerse, bunun sonucunda \u0130srail\u2019in dahi g\u00fcvenli\u011fi kalmayacakt\u0131r\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n

\u0130ran, Esed\u2019i savunay\u0131m derken, \u00f6nce I\u015e\u0130D\u2019i sonra da \u0130srail\u2019i savunuyor. \u00c7ok ilgin\u00e7tir; bu bana so\u011fuk sava\u015f detant s\u00fcrecini hat\u0131rlatt\u0131. Sovyetler ve ABD, b\u00fct\u00fcn So\u011fuk Sava\u015f d\u00f6nemi boyunca birbirine \u201cd\u00fc\u015fman\u201d iki kutup gibi g\u00f6z\u00fckt\u00fc. Ama bu polarizasyon asl\u0131nda bir aldatmacadan ibaretti. Sovyetler ve ABD birbirine s\u0131rt\u0131n\u0131 dayayan iki m\u00fcttefikti asl\u0131nda. Kru\u015f\u00e7ev, 1960\u2019da BM k\u00fcrs\u00fcs\u00fcnde, ABD\u2019nin emperyalist politikalar\u0131 ele\u015ftirirken \u00f6ylesine sinirlenmi\u015f ve kendisinden ge\u00e7mi\u015fti ki, ayakkab\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131p k\u00fcrs\u00fcye vurmaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Ama bug\u00fcn anl\u0131yoruz ki, Kru\u015f\u00e7ev ger\u00e7ekten \u00e7ok iyi bir tiyatro oyuncusuymu\u015f. O zaman, tam buradan hareket ederek, \u015funu s\u00f6yleyebilir miyiz: Bug\u00fcn Ortado\u011fu\u2019da \u0130srail olmazsa \u0130ran\u2019da bu haliyle, kapal\u0131 bir molla diktat\u00f6rl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc olarak devam edemez.<\/p>\n

Dikkat ediyorsan\u0131z; \u0130srail\u2019in Gazze sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 ve I\u015e\u0130D ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmadan \u00f6nce, \u0130ran Ruhani ile birlikte hem Bat\u0131 ile ili\u015fkilerini d\u00fczetmeye ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131 hem de T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye y\u00f6nelik tehditlerini b\u0131rakm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Ama \u0130srail\u2019in Gazze ter\u00f6r\u00fc ve hemen arkas\u0131ndan, bu \u0130srail ter\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn bir par\u00e7as\u0131 olarak I\u015e\u0130D\u2019in Ortado\u011fu halklar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik ter\u00f6r\u00fc g\u00fcndeme geldi ve \u0130ran bu geli\u015fmelere parelel olarak, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye y\u00f6nelik tehditlere ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin F\u0131rsatlar\u0131\u2026<\/h3>\n

\u015eimdi bu d\u00f6rt geli\u015fmeyi-haberi- ayn\u0131 havuzda de\u011ferlendirelim; ama bu hi\u00e7 de-bir havuz problemi kadar bile- zor bir denklem de\u011fil.<\/p>\n

Petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndan ba\u015flayal\u0131m; Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131 (IEA), k\u00fcresel ekonomideki yava\u015flama ile birlikte, petrol talebinin bu y\u0131l 2009\u2019dan bu yana en yava\u015f geni\u015flemesini ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmesinin beklendi\u011fini kaydetti. Ajans ayr\u0131ca, 2015 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in tahminlerini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc.<\/p>\n

IEA, \u201cSat\u0131\u015f dalgas\u0131, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerin arkas\u0131ndaki \u00f6nc\u00fc fakt\u00f6r olarak, beklenenden daha zay\u0131f olan talebi \u00f6n plana \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor,\u201d dedi ve \u201cArzda g\u00f6r\u00fclen \u2018\u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131\u2019 art\u0131\u015f da fiyatlar\u0131 zay\u0131flatt\u0131\u201d \u015feklinde g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f bildirdi. Ajans\u2019a g\u00f6re, Brent petrol, varil ba\u015f\u0131na 80 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fse bile karl\u0131 kalmaya devam edecek.<\/p>\n

IEA\u2019n\u0131n bu tespitleri d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda biz, OPEC\u2019in, Suudi Arabistan ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere, petrol arz\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131san bir y\u00f6nde olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc bunun ABD\u2019nin Rusya\u2019ya y\u00f6nelik \u00f6rt\u00fcl\u00fc bir operasyonu oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. B\u00f6yle olunca petrolde 80 dolarlar\u0131 da g\u00f6rebiliriz. Bunun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda ABD, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcndeki G\u00fcney Gaz Koridoru\u2019nu destekleyecek. Bu iki \u00f6nemli geli\u015fme T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekecek bir dinamik.<\/p>\n

\u0130kinci olarak Almanya\u2019n\u0131n resesyon yolunda h\u0131zla ilerlemesi, AB\u2019deki etkinli\u011fi ve g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc azaltacakt\u0131r. Bu da, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin hem b\u00f6lgede hem de AB\u2019deki g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekecektir. Art\u0131k Almanya-T\u00fcrkiye bile\u015fik kaplar gibidir. Kim inerse di\u011feri yukar\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kar. Almanya bu sefer doksanlardeki gibi oyun alan\u0131 bulamayacakt\u0131r. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi Yugoslavya yapmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlara destek verdi hatta \u00f6rg\u00fctledi; ama ba\u015faramad\u0131lar.<\/p>\n

\u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fcs\u00fc Finlanda\u2019dan ba\u015flayarak Avrupa finans kapitali ve bunun tarihsel oligar\u015fisi ekonomik, siyasi, k\u00fclt\u00fcrel g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc yitiriyor. Bu, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019den ba\u015flayarak yeni bir Do\u011fu Kalk\u0131nmas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kap\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7acakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Devam\u0131 i\u00e7in TIKLAYINIZ>>><\/a><\/p>\n

Kaynak: Enerji Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.Cemil Ertem \/ Star Gazetesi Bug\u00fcn d\u00f6rt \u00f6nemli haber-geli\u015fme- \u00fczerinde duraca\u011f\u0131z. Birincisi tabii ba\u015f a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 giden petrol fiyatlar\u0131 ile ilgili; Brent petrolde 90 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":32475,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53,44],"tags":[18870,18871,1023,1333,13970,254,5366,1377,347],"views":699,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32474"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=32474"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32474\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":32476,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32474\/revisions\/32476"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/32475"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=32474"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=32474"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=32474"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}