{"id":32238,"date":"2014-10-08T13:27:37","date_gmt":"2014-10-08T10:27:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=32238"},"modified":"2014-10-08T13:27:37","modified_gmt":"2014-10-08T10:27:37","slug":"petrol-fiyatlarindaki-dusus-turkiyenin-enerji-faturasini-yuzde-6-azaltti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/petrol-fiyatlarindaki-dusus-turkiyenin-enerji-faturasini-yuzde-6-azaltti\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) \u201cPetrol Fiyatlar\u0131ndaki D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Enerji Faturas\u0131n\u0131 Y\u00fczde 6 Azaltt\u0131\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

Ziraat Yat\u0131r\u0131m Ekonomisti Bora Tamer Y\u0131lmaz, petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fczde 10\u2019luk d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin enerji faturas\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 6 oran\u0131nda iyile\u015ftirdi\u011fini belirtti.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Brent t\u00fcr\u00fc ham petrol\u00fcn varil fiyat\u0131n\u0131n son 2 y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine gerilemesine ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirmelerde bulunan Y\u0131lmaz, mevcut fiyat ve \u00fcretim seviyelerinde, petrol fiyat\u0131nda varil ba\u015f\u0131na 10 dolar gerilemenin \u00fclkenin y\u0131ll\u0131k enerji faturas\u0131na \"petrol-237894978234723\"<\/a>3,5 milyar dolar katk\u0131s\u0131 olabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

Y\u0131lmaz, enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki dinamikler sayesinde sene sonunda cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n 45 milyar dolar\u0131n da alt\u0131na inebilece\u011fine dikkati \u00e7ekerek, \u015funlar\u0131 kaydetti:<\/p>\n

\u201c\u015eu anda 12 ayl\u0131k hareketli toplam\u0131n 48,5 milyar dolar tutar\u0131nda oldu\u011fu cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n aral\u0131k ay\u0131ndaki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc baz etkisi g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda y\u0131l sonunda 45 milyar dolar tutar\u0131na iyile\u015fmesi m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. Oran olarak da cari a\u00e7\u0131k, Gayri Safi Yurti\u00e7i Has\u0131la\u2019n\u0131n (GSYH) y\u00fczde 5,5\u2019ine iyile\u015febilir. Dikkat etmemiz gereken, petrol tedariki \u00f6nemi y\u00fcksek alanlarda s\u00f6zle\u015fmelerin kendine has yap\u0131lar\u0131.
\nS\u00f6zle\u015fmelerdeki \u00e7e\u015fitli kat\u0131l\u0131klar piyasa dinamiklerinin hemen cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011fa yans\u0131mas\u0131n\u0131 engelleyebilir daha do\u011frusu bir s\u00fcre geciktirebilir. Yine de \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki sene sonunda petrol fiyatlar\u0131 sabit kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fcretimin de mevcut ivmesini korudu\u011fu takdirde yakla\u015f\u0131k 3,5 milyar dolar daha az a\u00e7\u0131k verebilece\u011fimizi s\u00f6yleyebiliriz. Bu da neresinden baksak yaln\u0131zca petrol fiyat\u0131 sayesinde cari a\u00e7\u0131kta yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 7,5 oran\u0131nda iyile\u015fme demek.\u201d<\/p>\n

ABD\u2019nin sondaj tekniklerindeki yeniliklerle d\u00fcnyan\u0131n lider petrol \u00fcreticisi haline d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc belirten Y\u0131lmaz, \u201cAyn\u0131 s\u00fcre\u00e7te, d\u00fcnya genelinde bireyler do\u011fal hayat\u0131 koruma, k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nma gibi g\u00fcndemlerle enerji tasarrufu konusunda bilin\u00e7li davranmaya ba\u015flad\u0131klar\u0131 i\u00e7in yak\u0131t talebi eski h\u0131z\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6stermiyor\u201d diye konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n

Hem arz taraf\u0131ndaki hem de talep taraf\u0131ndaki dinamiklerin d\u00fcnyada petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n eski cazibesini yitirmesinin nedeni oldu\u011funu vurgulayan Y\u0131lmaz, petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n art\u0131\u015f e\u011filimindeki d\u00f6nemde Norve\u00e7, Brezilya gibi hammadde ihracat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 \u00fclkelerin ekonomik gelirlerini art\u0131rd\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 an\u0131msatt\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u201cT\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Cari A\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131nda Belirgin Bir \u0130yile\u015fme Ortaya \u00c7\u0131kt\u0131\u201d<\/h3>\n

Y\u0131lmaz, T\u00fcrkiye benzeri enerji ithalat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 \u00fclkelerin ise \u00f6demeler dengelerinde cari a\u00e7\u0131k verir hale geldiklerini aktararak, yeni dinamikte, yani petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n geriledi\u011fi konjonkt\u00fcrde s\u00f6z konusu \u00fclkelerin ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme problemleriyle kar\u015f\u0131la\u015f\u0131rken T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131nda belirgin bir iyile\u015fmenin ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 dile getirdi.<\/p>\n

Bu konjonkt\u00fcr\u00fcn ge\u00e7ici kalmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, orta ve uzun vadede takip edilip ekonomik sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n de\u011ferlendirilmesi gerekti\u011fini belirten Y\u0131lmaz, \u201cBizim yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z analiz, petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fczde 10\u2019luk d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin enerji faturas\u0131na y\u00fczde 6 oran\u0131nda iyile\u015fmeye neden oldu\u011funa i\u015faret etmekte\u201d ifadelerini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye\u2019deki varl\u0131k fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ve kurun hammadde piyasas\u0131ndaki dinamiklerden tam anlam\u0131yla etkilenmedi\u011fini ve hammadde ihracat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 \u00fclkeler gibi olumsuz etkilendi\u011fini aktaran Y\u0131lmaz, bunun sebebinin, yaz aylar\u0131nda, \u00f6zellikle ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011fe ili\u015fkin veri ak\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki bozulma oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

\u201c\u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte mevsim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131p \u00e7eyrek bazda inceledi\u011fimizde \u00fcretim ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere \u00e7e\u015fitli i\u00e7 talep g\u00f6stergelerinde olumlu geli\u015fmeler s\u00f6z konusu\u201d diyen Y\u0131lmaz, y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 2,1 oran\u0131nda daralan ABD ekonomisinin ikinci \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 4,6 oran\u0131nda geni\u015flemesinin ekonomilerin esnek ve dinamik yap\u0131s\u0131na i\u015faret etti\u011fini vurgulad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Y\u0131lmaz, bu nedenle T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de y\u0131l\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin ikinci \u00e7eyrekte kaydedilen y\u00fczde 0,5 oran\u0131ndaki daralman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan geri sekece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcnde bulunarak, s\u00f6zlerini \u015f\u00f6yle tamamlad\u0131:<\/p>\n

\u201cHen\u00fcz elimizdeki veri seti tamamlanmamakla birlikte, \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte b\u00fcy\u00fcme y\u00fczde 1 oran\u0131na yakla\u015fabilir. Bunun sonucu olarak da T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin tart\u0131\u015fma konusu olmaktan \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n hammadde fiyatlar\u0131ndaki geli\u015fmeleri lira varl\u0131k fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131tmalar\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayabilir. Bahsetti\u011fimiz senaryo, ekonomi y\u00f6netimi ve Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kredibilitesini art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in Para Politikas\u0131 Kurulu\u2019nun da fiyat istikrar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcnde bulunduracak \u015fekilde ekonomiyi destekleyici ve g\u00fc\u00e7lendirici ad\u0131mlar atmaya devam etmesini sa\u011flayabilir.\u201d<\/p>\n

DEVAMI \u0130\u00c7\u0130N TIKLAYINIZ>>><\/a><\/p>\n

Kaynak: Enerji Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.Ziraat Yat\u0131r\u0131m Ekonomisti Bora Tamer Y\u0131lmaz, petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fczde 10\u2019luk d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin enerji faturas\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 6 oran\u0131nda iyile\u015ftirdi\u011fini belirtti. Brent t\u00fcr\u00fc ham petrol\u00fcn […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":32239,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53,44],"tags":[18684,18682,18683,774,7524,18685,18686,8958,18687,18071],"views":686,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32238"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=32238"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32238\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":32240,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32238\/revisions\/32240"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/32239"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=32238"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=32238"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=32238"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}