{"id":32232,"date":"2014-10-08T09:50:01","date_gmt":"2014-10-08T06:50:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=32232"},"modified":"2014-10-08T09:50:01","modified_gmt":"2014-10-08T06:50:01","slug":"kose-yazisi-rusya-ekonomisi-zorlaniyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/kose-yazisi-rusya-ekonomisi-zorlaniyor\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131: Rusya Ekonomisi Zorlan\u0131yor!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

Deniz G\u00f6k\u00e7e \/ Ak\u015fam<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

The Economist dergisine g\u00f6re Rusya\u2019n\u0131n ekonomik sorunlar\u0131 zaten K\u0131r\u0131m\u2019a el konmas\u0131ndan veya Ukrayna\u2019da kavga ba\u015flamadan \u00f6nce su y\u00fcz\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Rusya\u2019n\u0131n temel yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131 olan petrol ve gaz sat\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan elde edilen kazanc\u0131n devlet taraf\u0131ndan t\u00fcketim ekonomisine aktar\u0131lmas\u0131 modeli Putin\u2019in ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011fa d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc 2012 y\u0131l\u0131nda asl\u0131nda sorunlar ya\u015famakta idi.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Ama Bat\u0131n\u0131n yasaklar\u0131, finansman k\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131, sermaye ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve belirsizlik ortam\u0131, mevcut problemlere eklenince Rusya\u2019n\u0131n uzun \"rusya-enerji-sekt\u00f6r\u00fc-2292308043\"<\/a>s\u00fcre s\u0131f\u0131ra yak\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye kilitlenmesi g\u00fcndeme gelir oldu. Rusya genelde d\u0131\u015f alem ile sorun ya\u015fay\u0131nca i\u00e7 ekonomi dramatik boyutta problem ya\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Petrol ve Gaz Da Cabas\u0131<\/h3>\n

Rusya\u2019n\u0131n 2014 ikinci \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi y\u00fczde 0.8 civar\u0131nda. 2014 y\u0131ll\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi i\u00e7in tahmin de y\u00fczde 0.4 kadar. A\u011fustos 2014 tarihinde sanayi \u00fcretimi b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi de sadece 0.1 olarak ilan edildi.<\/p>\n

\u00dclkede 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k kamu borcu faizi 9.39 d\u00fczeyine t\u0131rmand\u0131. D\u00f6viz kuru da 1 Ekim tarihinde bir dolar 39.7 Ruble\u2019ye geldi. Tam bir y\u0131l evvel 32.2 d\u00fczeyindeydi.<\/p>\n

\u015eu anda kamu b\u00fct\u00e7esi 2014 y\u0131l\u0131nda 0.4 fazla verecek diye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcyor ama 2015 y\u0131l\u0131nda sadece askeri harcamalar\u0131n bile bu y\u0131ldakinden 80 milyar dolar daha fazla olarak ve GSY\u0130H oran\u0131 ile y\u00fczde 4 d\u00fczeyinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek olmas\u0131 tahmini de var.<\/p>\n

Petrol ve gaz fiyatlar\u0131nda ya\u015fanan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f de Rusya\u2019n\u0131n sorunlar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda bir dolar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f Rusya\u2019ya 2.3 milyar dolar boyutunda bir b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 getiriyor. Di\u011fer taraftan petrol ve gaz geliri Rusya b\u00fct\u00e7esinin toplam gelirinin yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor. Bu say\u0131lar da Rusya\u2019n\u0131n sorunlar\u0131n\u0131n giderek daha da b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi demek. B\u00fcy\u00fck bir yat\u0131r\u0131m \u015firketi olan Blackstone\u2018un Rusya\u2019dan \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131, \u00f6nemli bir yaz\u0131l\u0131m firmas\u0131 olan Adobe\u2019nin de Rusya\u2019y\u0131 terk etmesi, 30 Eyl\u00fcl tarihinden bu yana, sermaye hareketi kontrol\u00fc gelece\u011fi dedikodular\u0131n\u0131n yay\u0131lmas\u0131na neden oldu ve kur da bu nedenle d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc deniyor.<\/p>\n

Rublede De\u011fer Kayb\u0131 S\u00fcrecek<\/h3>\n

Rusya H\u00fck\u00fcmeti 2014 eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda 2015-2017 aras\u0131 i\u00e7in yeni bir b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. H\u00fck\u00fcmete g\u00f6re 2015 y\u0131l\u0131nda enflasyon y\u00fczde 6 olacak deniyor ama analist tahminleri y\u00fczde 8 olur demekte. 2015 GSY\u0130H reel b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi y\u00fczde 1.2 olur deniyor ama D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n en iyimser tahmini y\u00fczde 0.3 . B\u00fct\u00e7ede petrol varil fiyat\u0131 100 dolar olarak al\u0131nm\u0131\u015f ama global arz bollu\u011fu nedeniyle 95 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na bile iner diyen say\u0131s\u0131 giderek art\u0131yor. Yani Rusya\u2019n\u0131n s\u0131f\u0131r b\u00fcy\u00fcme, y\u00fcksek enflasyon ve Ruble\u2019nin de\u011fer kayb\u0131n\u0131n devam\u0131n\u0131 birka\u00e7 y\u0131l ya\u015famas\u0131 senaryosu g\u00fcndemde.<\/p>\n

DEVAMI \u0130\u00c7\u0130N TIKLAYINIZ>>><\/a><\/p>\n

Kaynak: Enerji Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.Deniz G\u00f6k\u00e7e \/ Ak\u015fam The Economist dergisine g\u00f6re Rusya\u2019n\u0131n ekonomik sorunlar\u0131 zaten K\u0131r\u0131m\u2019a el konmas\u0131ndan veya Ukrayna\u2019da kavga ba\u015flamadan \u00f6nce su y\u00fcz\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":32233,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[46,53,44],"tags":[12314,18676,11485,18677,6619,18678,18679],"views":605,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32232"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=32232"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32232\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":32234,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32232\/revisions\/32234"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/32233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=32232"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=32232"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=32232"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}