{"id":30946,"date":"2014-08-29T18:51:32","date_gmt":"2014-08-29T15:51:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=30946"},"modified":"2021-02-07T11:17:46","modified_gmt":"2021-02-07T08:17:46","slug":"kose-yazisi-enerji-arzinin-onemi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/kose-yazisi-enerji-arzinin-onemi\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131: Enerji Arz\u0131n\u0131n \u00d6nemi!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

<\/p>\n

Yak\u0131n zamanda enerji pazar\u0131nda \u00f6nemli geli\u015fmelerin ve de\u011fi\u015fikliklerin ya\u015fanmas\u0131 beklenirken, buna paralel olarak \u00fclkelerin gerek enerji gerekse d\u0131\u015f politikas\u0131nda petrol arz g\u00fcvenli\u011fi, fosil enerji kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n kullan\u0131m\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi sorunu, enerji yoksullu\u011fu, yenilenebilir enerji teknolojilerinin gelece\u011fi ve do\u011fal gaz gibi parametreleri ihtiva eden kal\u0131tsal de\u011fi\u015fiklikler yap\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/strong><\/h1>\n

D\u00fcnya\u2019n\u0131n simetrik da\u011f\u0131l\u0131ml\u0131<\/strong> enerji kayna\u011f\u0131 k\u00f6m\u00fcrden asimetrik da\u011f\u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 petrole ge\u00e7i\u015f<\/strong>inden sonra ba\u015fta \u00c7in ve Hindistan olmak \u00fczere, \u00fclkelerin y\u00fcksek petrol ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131, petrol rezervlerinin<\/strong> son raddeye ula\u015fmas\u0131 ve Ortado\u011fu\u2019da ya\u015fanan jeopolitik de\u011fi\u015fimlerin sonucunda k\u00fcresel anlamda enerji arz g\u00fcvenli\u011fi riski hale gelmi\u015f durumdad\u0131r.<\/p>\n

D\u00fcnyada yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,3 milyar insan elektri\u011fe ula\u015famamaktad\u0131r. Tabiri caizse enerji yoksullu\u011fu i\u00e7inde ya\u015famaktad\u0131rlar. Afrika\u2019da ya\u015famakta olan 800 milyon<\/strong> insan\u0131n elektrik t\u00fcketimi<\/strong> sadece New York \u015fehrinin elektrik t\u00fcketime e\u015fittir. K\u00fcresel GSY\u0130H\u2019n\u0131n(Gayri Safi Yurti\u00e7i Has\u0131la) sadece % 3<\/strong>\u2019n\u00fcn e\"enerji\"<\/a>nerji altyap\u0131s\u0131na ayr\u0131lmas\u0131yla 1,3 milyar insan<\/strong> elektri\u011fe kavu\u015fma imk\u00e2n\u0131 bulunmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Enerji talebinde g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczdeki art\u0131\u015f e\u011filiminin devam etmesi halinde 2035 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar<\/strong> enerji yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 i\u00e7in gerekli olan tutar\u0131n 38 trilyon $<\/strong> olmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Bu yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 elektrik \u00fcretimi di\u011fer yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131ysa petrol ve do\u011fal gaz yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 olu\u015fturacakt\u0131r. Mevcut enerji talebiyle ilgili e\u011filimler dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda toplam yat\u0131r\u0131m tutar\u0131n\u0131n % 65\u2019lik b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcne OECD(Ekonomik Kalk\u0131nma ve \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc) d\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00fclkelerin ihtiya\u00e7 duyaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir ki bu tutarda yakla\u015f\u0131k 25 trilyon $ civar\u0131ndad\u0131r. Bu noktada s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilirlikle ilgili en \u00f6nemli soru bu yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n OECD d\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00fclkeler taraf\u0131ndan mevcut ekonomik dinamikler alt\u0131nda nas\u0131l finanse edilebilece\u011fidir.<\/p>\n

Petrol<\/strong> ve do\u011falgaz t\u00fcketimi<\/strong>ndeki art\u0131\u015fta da en b\u00fcy\u00fck pay OECD \u00fcyesi olmayan \u00fclkelere<\/strong> aittir. 2030 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar petrol talebinin her y\u0131l ortalama % 1<\/strong> b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir bu varsay\u0131ma g\u00f6re 2030 y\u0131l\u0131na<\/strong> gelindi\u011finde g\u00fcnl\u00fck petrol talebi<\/strong>nin 105 milyon varile y\u00fckselmesi<\/strong> beklenmektedir. G\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde k\u00fcresel petrol kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n tepe noktas\u0131na ula\u015fmas\u0131 nedeniyle petrol \u00fcretiminde ya\u015fan\u0131lan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda artan petrol talebinin kar\u015f\u0131lanabilmesi<\/strong> i\u00e7in g\u00fcnl\u00fck 60 milyon varil<\/strong> civar\u0131nda ekstra \u00fcretime ihtiya\u00e7 duyulacakt\u0131r ki bu de\u011fer Suudi Arabistan\u2019daki mevcut \u00fcretimin 7 kat\u0131na e\u015fittir. Bu noktadaki as\u0131l problem 2030 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar Suudi Arabistan<\/strong>\u2019\u0131n 7 kat\u0131<\/strong> b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcndeki bir petrol rezervine ula\u015fman\u0131n m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Evrensel bir sorun haline gelmi\u015f olan enerji yoksullu\u011fu sorunu k\u00fcresel GSY\u0130H\u2019n\u0131n sadece % 3<\/strong>\u2019n\u00fcn b\u00f6lgesel potansiyeller d\u00e2hilinde \u00f6ncelikle r\u00fczgar ve g\u00fcne\u015f enerji sistemleri olmak \u00fczere enerji yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131na ayr\u0131lmas\u0131yla enerji yoksullu\u011fu sorununda \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcme ula\u015fabilir. Ayr\u0131ca fosil enerji kaynaklar\u0131na uygulanan y\u00fcksek orandaki te\u015fviklerin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesiyle<\/strong> fosil enerji kaynaklar\u0131na dayal\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n ger\u00e7ek maliyetleri ortaya \u00e7\u0131kabilecektir b\u00f6ylece yenilenebilir enerji kaynaklar\u0131<\/strong>n\u0131n fosil enerji teknolojileriyle rekabet edebilece\u011fi ve daha h\u0131zl\u0131 geli\u015fim g\u00f6sterebilece\u011fi bir ortam olu\u015fabilir.<\/p>\n

Uzay tabanl\u0131 g\u00fcne\u015f enerjisi sistemleri<\/strong>nin devreye girmesi<\/strong> ve hidrojen teknolojisi<\/strong> ile b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fmi\u015f olarak kullan\u0131lmas\u0131 sonucu Ortado\u011fu b\u00f6lgesindeki<\/strong> enerji kaynaklar\u0131 \u00f6nemlerini k\u0131smen kaybetmeleri olas\u0131 g\u00f6z\u00fckmektedir. Her iki teknolojinin geli\u015fmesiyle d\u00fcnyadaki k\u00fcresel enerji paradigmas\u0131nda k\u00f6kl\u00fc de\u011fi\u015fiklikler olmas\u0131 olas\u0131 g\u00f6z\u00fckmektedir. Bu teknolojilerle d\u00fcnya\u2019da beklenen\u00a0yenilenebilir enerji \u00e7a\u011f\u0131na<\/strong> ger\u00e7ek anlamda bir ge\u00e7i\u015f sa\u011flanabilir. Di\u011fer yandan uzay tabanl\u0131 g\u00fcne\u015f enerjisi teknolojisinin<\/strong> hayata ge\u00e7mesi halinde bu sisteme sahip olan \u00fclke veya \u00fclkeler jeopolitik a\u00e7\u0131dan \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck bir avantaj elde edeceklerdir. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu teknolojiye sahip olan \u00fclkeler \u00f6ncelikle rakiplerinin eri\u015fimine olduk\u00e7a uzak bir b\u00f6lgede enerji \u00fcretimi yap\u0131p bu enerjiyi di\u011fer \u00fclkelere ihra\u00e7 edebileceklerdir. Bu sebeple uzay tabanl\u0131 g\u00fcne\u015f enerjisi teknolojisi<\/strong>ne sahip \u00fclkeler kendi enerji arz g\u00fcvenliklerini sa\u011flarlarken<\/strong> bu teknolojiye sahip olmayan ve sadece enerji sat\u0131n alan \u00fclkelerde enerji arz g\u00fcvenli\u011fi sorunlar\u0131 ya\u015fanmas\u0131 olas\u0131d\u0131r. Mevcut enerji e\u011filimleri<\/strong> gerek \u00e7evresel, gerek ekonomik ve gerekse enerji g\u00fcvenli\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclemez bir duruma gelmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n

Mevcut enerji paradigmas\u0131ndan kaynakl\u0131 y\u00fcksek karbon<\/strong> i\u00e7eren enerji sebebiyle orta vadede d\u00fcnya bir karbon kilitlenmesinin ya\u015fanmas\u0131 olas\u0131d\u0131r. Artan enerji talebi<\/strong> sadece sera gaz\u0131 emisyonlar\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131na<\/strong> neden olmayacak bunun yan\u0131 s\u0131ra artan enerji talebi daha fazla yat\u0131r\u0131ma ihtiya\u00e7 duyulmas\u0131na, enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesine, OPEC (Petrol \u0130hra\u00e7 Eden \u00dclkeler \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc) \u00fclkeleri<\/strong>ne ve Rusya\u2019ya daha fazla ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 hale gelinmesine neden olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Engin DEN\u0130Z \/\u00a0<\/strong>Enerji Sistemleri M\u00fchendisi –\u00a0benengindeniz@gmail.com<\/a><\/p>\n

A\u011fustos 2014<\/strong><\/p>\n

Yay\u0131nc\u0131: Enerji Gazetesi<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language. Yak\u0131n zamanda enerji pazar\u0131nda \u00f6nemli geli\u015fmelerin ve de\u011fi\u015fikliklerin ya\u015fanmas\u0131 beklenirken, buna paralel olarak \u00fclkelerin gerek enerji gerekse d\u0131\u015f politikas\u0131nda petrol arz g\u00fcvenli\u011fi, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":30895,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[46,51,53,44],"tags":[92,63,1238,17724,67,1009,165,9674,13064,16002,1377,86108,59,2415,17725,105],"views":1265,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30946"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30946"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30946\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":30947,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30946\/revisions\/30947"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/30895"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30946"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30946"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30946"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}