{"id":29451,"date":"2014-07-17T09:14:51","date_gmt":"2014-07-17T06:14:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=29451"},"modified":"2014-07-17T09:14:51","modified_gmt":"2014-07-17T06:14:51","slug":"analiz-petrolde-iran-gozden-irak-degil","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/analiz-petrolde-iran-gozden-irak-degil\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) Analiz: Petrolde \u0130ran G\u00f6zden Irak De\u011fil…"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

\u00d6.Faruk Bing\u00f6l \/ T\u00fcrkiye Gazetesi<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

\u00c7ok de\u011fil, bundan 2-3 sene \u00f6nce \u201c\u0130ran H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 kapat\u0131rsa, petrol fiyatlar\u0131 200 dolar\u0131 a\u015far\u201d tarz\u0131nda haberler okuyorduk.<\/strong>Son aylarda da M\u0131s\u0131r, Suriye, Ukrayna, Irak gibi gerilimler petrolde \u201csuni\u201d y\u00fckseli\u015flere sebep oldu. Bu konuda en yak\u0131n hadise, Irak\u2019ta ya\u015fananlar\u2026<\/strong><\/p>\n

Haziran ba\u015f\u0131nda 107-108 dolar band\u0131nda bulunan petrol fiyatlar\u0131, I\u015e\u0130D gerilimiyle ay ortas\u0131nda 115 dolar\u0131 a\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Ancak bug\u00fcn \"iran-petrol\"<\/a>benzer riskler devam etmesine ra\u011fmen petrol fiyatlar\u0131 106 dolar s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131na kadar geriledi. T\u0131pk\u0131 M\u0131s\u0131r, Suriye ve Ukrayna gerilimlerinde oldu\u011fu gibi, Irak meselesinde de petrol\u00fcn y\u00fckseli\u015fi kal\u0131c\u0131 olmad\u0131. S\u00f6z konusu gerilimlerin tamam\u0131nda brent petrol\u00fcn\u00fcn fiyat\u0131, a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olarak 103-118 gibi 15 dolarl\u0131k dar bir aral\u0131kta hareket etti.<\/p>\n

G\u00f6zler Viyana\u2019da<\/h3>\n

Petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki her y\u00fckseli\u015fin \u201csaman alevi\u201d gibi kalmas\u0131n\u0131n arkas\u0131nda ise, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda ya\u015fanan \u00f6nemli bir geli\u015fme yat\u0131yor. ABD\u2019deki BM zirvesinde \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n yeni Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Ruhani\u2019nin, \u201cyeni bir ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 yapmak\u201d ve \u00fclkesinin n\u00fckleer program\u0131 konusunda \u201cbat\u0131 ile anla\u015fmaya varmak\u201d istedi\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131, d\u00fcnya petrol piyasas\u0131nda yeni dengelerin ilk habercisi oldu. O tarihten sonra \u0130ran, BM G\u00fcvenlik Konseyi\u2019nin 5 daimi \u00fcyesi (ABD, \u00c7in, \u0130ngiltere, Fransa, Rusya) ve Almanya (5+1) ile n\u00fckleer program\u0131na kapsaml\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm bulunmas\u0131 amac\u0131yla m\u00fczakerelere ba\u015flad\u0131. Viyana\u2019da y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen m\u00fczakerelerin alt\u0131nc\u0131 turu da 3 Temmuz\u2019da ba\u015flad\u0131. \u0130ran ile 5+1 \u00fclkeleri aras\u0131nda 24 Kas\u0131m 2013\u2032te Cenevre\u2019de var\u0131lan ge\u00e7ici anla\u015fmaya g\u00f6re, 20 Temmuz\u2019a kadar nihai bir anla\u015fma sa\u011flanmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. S\u00f6z konusu tarihe kadar bir anla\u015fma sa\u011flanamamas\u0131 durumunda m\u00fczakereler 6 ay daha uzat\u0131labilecek.<\/p>\n

Rezervde D\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc<\/h3>\n

Suudi Arabistan, Kanada ve Venezuela\u2019dan sonra d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en zengin petrol rezervlerine sahip \u0130ran, yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar sebebiyle bu petrol\u00fc uluslararas\u0131 pazarlara satam\u0131yor. Temmuz 2012\u2032de ba\u015flayan yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar \u00f6ncesinde g\u00fcnl\u00fck 3.6 milyon varil petrol \u00fcreten \u0130ran, bug\u00fcn 1 milyon varil civar\u0131nda petrol satabiliyor. \u0130ran ekonomisi de bu durumdan olumsuz etkileniyor. Viyana\u2019da bir anla\u015fma sa\u011flan\u0131rsa, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n petrol\u00fcn\u00fc rahatl\u0131kla satabilmesinin \u00f6n\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131lacak. K\u00fcresel petrol piyasas\u0131nda da g\u00fcnl\u00fck 2 milyon varile kadar arz fazlas\u0131 olu\u015facak. Bu beklentiler, fiyatlar \u00fczerinde \u201ca\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc\u201d bask\u0131ya sebep oluyor.<\/p>\n

100 Dolar\u0131 K\u0131rar M\u0131?<\/h3>\n

Suudi Arabistan, Rusya, \u0130ran, Irak, Cezayir, Nijerya, Libya, Venez\u00fcela gibi \u00fclkelerin ekonomisi petrol ihrac\u0131ndan kaynaklanan gelirlere ba\u011fl\u0131. Bu \u00fclkelerin \u00e7o\u011fu petrol\u00fc en az 90-100 dolar band\u0131nda satt\u0131klar\u0131 takdirde ekonomilerini canl\u0131 tutabiliyor. Bu sebeple \u00fcretici \u00fclkeler arz\u0131 dengede tutarak ya da muhtemel yeni jeopolitik gerilimlerin de etkisiyle \u201cfiyatlar\u0131 100 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde tutma \u00e7abas\u0131\u201d devrede olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

10 Dolarl\u0131k D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f 5 Milyar Dolar Katk\u0131<\/h3>\n

Petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n gerilemesi, \u015f\u00fcphesiz T\u00fcrkiye gibi enerji ithalat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 \u00fclkeleri olumlu etkiliyor. Her 10 dolarl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131na 5 milyar dolar y\u00fck getirdi\u011fi dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, fiyatlardaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn \u00fclke ekonomisine katk\u0131s\u0131 da ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. \u0130thalat giderlerinin azalmas\u0131 b\u00fct\u00e7e konusunda ekonomi y\u00f6netimini, benzin fiyatlar\u0131nda ya\u015fanacak muhtemel d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler ise vatanda\u015f\u0131 rahatlatacak.<\/p>\n

Kaynak: T\u00fcrkiye Gazetesi<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.\u00d6.Faruk Bing\u00f6l \/ T\u00fcrkiye Gazetesi \u00c7ok de\u011fil, bundan 2-3 sene \u00f6nce \u201c\u0130ran H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 kapat\u0131rsa, petrol fiyatlar\u0131 200 dolar\u0131 a\u015far\u201d tarz\u0131nda haberler okuyorduk.Son […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":29452,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53,44],"tags":[1736,16728,10201,16729,945,1928,3352,16730,4731,1463,2584,16731],"views":554,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29451"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29451"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29451\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":29453,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29451\/revisions\/29453"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/29452"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29451"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29451"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29451"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}