{"id":28063,"date":"2014-06-16T18:55:27","date_gmt":"2014-06-16T15:55:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=28063"},"modified":"2014-06-16T18:55:56","modified_gmt":"2014-06-16T15:55:56","slug":"makale-isidin-ilerleyisinin-petrole-ve-turkiyeye-etkisi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/makale-isidin-ilerleyisinin-petrole-ve-turkiyeye-etkisi\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) Makale: I\u015e\u0130D\u2019in \u0130lerleyi\u015finin Petrole ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye Etkisi!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

Irak \u015eam \u0130slam Devleti (I\u015e\u0130D) \u00f6rg\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fcn Irak\u2019\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck ikinci kenti Musul\u2019u ele ge\u00e7irmesinden sonra petrol piyasalar\u0131nda ham petrol\u00fcn fiyat\u0131 Eyl\u00fcl 2013\u2019ten bu yana en y\u00fcksek d\u00fczeye y\u00fckseldi. I\u015e\u0130D\u2019in hareketinin Suriye ve Irak ekseninde petrol \u00fcretimi ile t\u00fcketimi dengesine ve dolay\u0131s\u0131yla fiyatlara farkl\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131lardan etkisi olacak.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Suriye\u2019de I\u015e\u0130D<\/h2>\n

Suriye\u2019deki i\u00e7 sava\u015f \u00fclkedeki petrol \u00fcretimini de olumsuz etkiledi.\"makale-isidin-ilerleyisinin-petrole-ve-turkiyeye-etkisi\"<\/a><\/p>\n

10 y\u0131l \u00f6nce g\u00fcnde 500 bin varil petrol \u00fcreten Suriye\u2019nin toplam \u00fcretimi bug\u00fcn g\u00fcnde 20-30 bin varile d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n

Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla I\u015e\u0130D\u2019in Suriye\u2019de ele ge\u00e7irdi\u011fi petrol kuyular\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fcnyadaki petrol dengesini bozmas\u0131n\u0131 beklemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil.<\/p>\n

Fakat ufak da olsa bu petrol \u00fcretiminin I\u015e\u0130D i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli oldu\u011funu vurgulamak gerek.<\/p>\n

Fiyatlar varil ba\u015f\u0131na 100 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde seyrederken g\u00fcnl\u00fck birka\u00e7 bin varillik \u00fcretimi ve bunun \u00e7evre \u00fclkelere karayolu ile sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 bile hat\u0131r\u0131 say\u0131l\u0131r bir gelir.<\/p>\n

Irak\u2019ta I\u015e\u0130D<\/h2>\n

I\u015e\u0130D\u2019in Musul\u2019u ele ge\u00e7irmesi ve Irak\u2019\u0131n bat\u0131s\u0131nda konu\u015flanmas\u0131 da, Musul etraf\u0131ndaki petrol \u00fcretiminin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc nedeniyle b\u00fcy\u00fck bir sorun de\u011fil.<\/p>\n

Fakat I\u015e\u0130D\u2019in Musul\u2019da, K\u00fcrdistan B\u00f6lgesel Y\u00f6netimi\u2019nin s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131nda konu\u015flanmas\u0131 birka\u00e7 a\u00e7\u0131dan sorun yarat\u0131yor:<\/p>\n

I\u015e\u0130D bu konumuyla Irak-T\u00fcrkiye petrol boru hatt\u0131n\u0131n da tam \u00fczerine oturuyor. Mart ay\u0131ndan beri zaten \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmayan ve I\u015e\u0130D gelmeden \u00f6nce tamir edilen boru hatt\u0131ndan k\u0131sa vadede petrol ihrac\u0131 beklemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil.<\/p>\n

Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki aylarda Kuzey Irak\u2019tan T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye petrol sevkiyat\u0131 sadece K\u00fcrdistan B\u00f6lgesel Y\u00f6netimi arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 ile ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecek.<\/p>\n

Hafta i\u00e7inde Kerk\u00fck\u2019e de giren I\u015e\u0130D\u2019in ele ge\u00e7irdi\u011fi s\u00f6ylenen, sonra Irak y\u00f6netiminin \u201cgeri ald\u0131k\u201d dedi\u011fi Irak\u2019\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck petrol rafinerisi Baiji de (G\u00fcnl\u00fck kapasitesi 300.000 varil) stratejik \u00f6neme haiz.<\/p>\n

Rafineri, her ne kadar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kapasite ile \u00e7al\u0131\u015fsa da, merkezi Irak y\u00f6netiminin Kerk\u00fck\u2019ten \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131\u011f\u0131 petrol\u00fc i\u015flemeye yar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Rafineri kompleksinin i\u00e7inde yer alan elektrik santral\u0131 (960 MW kapasite) ise Ba\u011fdad\u2019a elektrik sa\u011fl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Kerk\u00fck, \u00fcretimi d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f de olsa Irak\u2019\u0131n en \u00f6nemli petrol sahalar\u0131n\u0131 kaps\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla I\u015e\u0130D\u2019in Kerk\u00fck\u2019teki dengeleri bozmas\u0131na ek olarak K\u00fcrdistan B\u00f6lgesel Y\u00f6netimi ve merkezi Irak y\u00f6netimi aras\u0131nda Kerk\u00fck odakl\u0131 muhtemel ihtilaf da petrol \u00fcretimini etkileyecek bir unsur.<\/p>\n

Irak\u2019\u0131n petrol \u00fcretimi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bundan sonra olabilecek en k\u00f6t\u00fc \u015fey ise I\u015e\u0130D\u2019in g\u00fcneye do\u011fru ilerlemesi olabilir.<\/p>\n

\u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fcn Baiji rafinerisinin g\u00fcneyinde, Ba\u011fdad\u2019a sadece 180 kilometre mesafedeki Tikrit\u2019i ele ge\u00e7irmesi bunun da ihtimal dahilinde oldu\u011funun habercisi gibi.<\/p>\n

Irak\u2019taki b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00fcreticilerin asayi\u015fin iyice kontrolden \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 nedeniyle \u00fclkeyi terketmelerine kadar varabilecek olan bu gidi\u015fat, g\u00fcnl\u00fck 3.3 milyon varil ile Petrol \u0130hra\u00e7 Eden \u00dclkeler Organizasyonu\u2019nun (OPEC) ikinci b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00fcreticisinin \u00fcretiminde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle sonu\u00e7lanabilir.<\/p>\n

Orta ve uzun vadede Irak\u2019in bu durumdan \u00e7\u0131kamamasi, \u00fclkeye atfedilen b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00fcretim artt\u0131rma potansiyelinin de kaybolmas\u0131 anlam\u0131na gelebilir.<\/p>\n

Petrol fiyatlar\u0131na etkisi<\/h2>\n

Petrol piyasalar\u0131nda, \u0130ran\u2019a yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar, Suriye, Libya vb. \u00fclkelerdeki \u00fcretimin k\u0131s\u0131lmas\u0131 sonucu 2012\u2019de g\u00fcnl\u00fck 2 milyon varil olan, 2013 ortalar\u0131ndan beri g\u00fcnl\u00fck 3.5 milyon varile ula\u015fan \u00fcretim kayb\u0131, petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n istikrarl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde y\u00fcksek seviyede kalmalar\u0131n\u0131n sa\u011fl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Fiyatlar\u0131n nispeten dengeli seyretmesinin nedeni ise, bir taraftan bu \u00fcretim kay\u0131plar\u0131 ya\u015fan\u0131rken, di\u011fer taraftan OPEC i\u00e7inde Suudi Arabistan ve Irak\u2019\u0131n, OPEC d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda ise Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri\u2019nin \u00fcretim artt\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 ile kay\u0131plar\u0131 dengelemesi.<\/p>\n

Petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda son olaylar neticesindeki anl\u0131k y\u00fckselme, belirgin bir \u00fcretim kayb\u0131ndan ziyade \u201c\u015fuyuu vukuundan beterdir\u201d diye \u00f6zetlenebilecek \u201cIrak\u2019ta durum ne kadar k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015febilir?\u201d korkusu nedeniyle.<\/p>\n

Fakat Irak\u2019\u0131n, en az\u0131ndan k\u0131sa vadede, petrol piyasalar\u0131nda bir istikrar kayna\u011f\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclemeyece\u011fi, bunun da fiyatlardaki risk primini artt\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 a\u015fikar.<\/p>\n

Irak\u2019\u0131n kal\u0131c\u0131 bir \u00fcretim kayb\u0131 ya\u015famas\u0131 durumunda ise petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 beklemek yanl\u0131\u015f olmaz.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye etkisi<\/h2>\n

Petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki olas\u0131 bir art\u0131\u015f net ithalat\u00e7\u0131 bir \u00fclke olan T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye \u00f6ncelikle ithalat faturas\u0131n\u0131n kabarmas\u0131 olarak etki edecek.<\/p>\n

Bu durumda haliyle, rafineri marjlar\u0131 \u00fczerinden pompa fiyatlar\u0131na yans\u0131yacak.<\/p>\n

A\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki grafik, 2013 ba\u015f\u0131ndan beri Brent tipi ham petrol (dolar ve T\u00fcrk liras\u0131 olarak) ve kur\u015funsuz benzinin pompa fiyat\u0131n\u0131 (T\u00fcrk liras\u0131) endeks olarak g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

Haberin Devam\u0131 i\u00e7in t\u0131klay\u0131n\u0131z>>><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

Kaynak: BBC<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.Irak \u015eam \u0130slam Devleti (I\u015e\u0130D) \u00f6rg\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fcn Irak\u2019\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck ikinci kenti Musul\u2019u ele ge\u00e7irmesinden sonra petrol piyasalar\u0131nda ham petrol\u00fcn fiyat\u0131 Eyl\u00fcl 2013\u2019ten bu […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":28064,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53,50],"tags":[9275,1538,13971,15922,15923,1536,1377,6402,8122,1369,15924,15925],"views":586,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28063"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=28063"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28063\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":28065,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28063\/revisions\/28065"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/28064"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=28063"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=28063"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=28063"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}