{"id":2709,"date":"2012-10-10T09:03:35","date_gmt":"2012-10-10T06:03:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=2709"},"modified":"2012-10-10T09:03:35","modified_gmt":"2012-10-10T06:03:35","slug":"dunya-ekonomisinin-sagligi-irak-petrol-uretimine-bagli","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/dunya-ekonomisinin-sagligi-irak-petrol-uretimine-bagli\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) D\u00fcnya Ekonomisinin Sa\u011fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 Irak Petrol \u00dcretimine Ba\u011fl\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

SUR\u0130YE kriziyle Ortado\u011fu\u2019nun yeniden belirsizliklere s\u00fcr\u00fcklendi\u011fi g\u00fcnlerde merkezi Paris\u2019teki Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131 ilk kez bir Irak Enerji Raporu yay\u0131nlad\u0131.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"Rapora g\u00f6re, enerji sekt\u00f6r\u00fc Irak\u2019\u0131n gelecekteki refah d\u00fczeyini belirleyecek en \u00f6nemli oyuncu.
\n\u00dclkenin petrol ve do\u011fal gelirleri sosyal ve ekonomik geli\u015fiminin anahtar\u0131.
\nGe\u00e7ti\u011fimiz mart ay\u0131nda Ba\u011fdat H\u00fck\u00fcmeti\u2019yle Irak\u2019\u0131n enerji stratejisiyle ilgili \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar yapmak konusunda anla\u015fan Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131 ba\u015f ekonomisti Dr. Fatih Birol ile raporun ana hatlar\u0131n\u0131 konu\u015ftuk.<\/p>\n

D\u00dcNYANIN EN UCUZ PETROL\u00dc<\/strong><\/p>\n

Irak \u015fu anda d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en zengin petrol ve do\u011fal gaz rezervlerine sahip. En \u00f6nemlisi petrol\u00fc en ucuza mal eden \u00fclke. Petrol\u00fcn varili 110 dolar. Irak varili 1,5 dolara mal ediyor. D\u00fcnyada bu kadar k\u00e2rl\u0131 bir i\u015f yok. ABD, Brezilya, Rusya ile kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda\u00a0 Irak petrol\u00fc 30 ila 50 kat daha ucuz. Rezervleri fazla, maliyeti d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck.<\/p>\n

2020 YILINDA ALTI M\u0130LYON VAR\u0130L<\/strong><\/p>\n

Irak\u2019\u0131n bug\u00fcnk\u00fc \u00fcretimi g\u00fcnde 3 milyon varil. Bizim Ba\u011fdat H\u00fck\u00fcmeti\u2019ne oranla \u00e7ok ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i, ayaklar\u0131 yere basan senaryomuza g\u00f6re Irak, 2020 y\u0131l\u0131na gelince g\u00fcnde 6 milyon varil \u00fcretebilecek. 2035 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise 8.3 milyon varil \u00fcretmesini bekliyoruz. D\u00fcnyadaki toplam petrol \u00fcretim art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 45\u2019i Irak\u2019tan sa\u011flanacak. Yani Irak \u00fcretimde Suudi Arabistan, Brezilya, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7ecek. Enerji Ajans\u0131\u2019n\u0131n Irak\u2019ta bug\u00fcnk\u00fc ko\u015fullar devam etti\u011fi takdirde beklentileri bu y\u00f6nde.<\/p>\n

\u00dcRET\u0130M\u0130N Y\u00dcZDE 10\u2019U KUZEYDEN<\/strong><\/p>\n

Irak petrol \u00fcretimini hangi kaynaklardan sa\u011flayacak? \u00dcretimin y\u00fczde 80\u2019i 4 dev petrol sahas\u0131n\u0131n oldu\u011fu Basra\u2019dan gelecek. Kuzeyde, K\u00fcrdistan B\u00f6lgesel Y\u00f6netimi\u2019nin kontrol\u00fcndeki sahalardan gelece\u011fi hesaplanan petrol toplam \u00fcretimin y\u00fczde 10\u2019u.\u00a0 Bu oran kimi zaman fazla abart\u0131ld\u0131. Ancak ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131m\u0131z Irak\u2019\u0131n gelecekteki petrol \u00fcretiminin y\u00fczde 90\u2019n\u0131n\u0131n Basra ve merkezi h\u00fck\u00fcmetin kontrol\u00fcndeki sahalardan, geriye kalan y\u00fczde 10\u2019unun ise K\u00fcrdistan B\u00f6lgesel Y\u00f6netimi\u2019nden gelece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

IRAK\u2019IN ZENG\u0130NLE\u015eMES\u0130<\/strong><\/p>\n

Bizim senaryomuza g\u00f6re, Irak\u2019\u0131n ekonomisi enerji sekt\u00f6r\u00fc sayesinde b\u00fcy\u00fck bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcmden ge\u00e7ecek. Irak ekonomisinin b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc 20 y\u0131lda Suudi Arabistan ekonomisine e\u015fit olacak. \u015eu anda 100 milyar dolarl\u0131k bir ekonomi iken 600 milyar dolar\u0131 ge\u00e7en bir ekonomi haline d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fecek. Gayri safi milli has\u0131las\u0131 5 kat b\u00fcy\u00fcyecek. Bu d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm T\u00fcrkiye a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan son derece \u00f6nemli. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Suudi Arabistan gibi zengin bir kom\u015fusu olacak. Irak\u2019\u0131n t\u00fcm b\u00f6lgelerinden T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin enerji, in\u015faat sekt\u00f6rleri ba\u015fta t\u00fcm sekt\u00f6rlerine talep artacak. Irak\u2019\u0131n refah d\u00fczeyinin y\u00fckselmesi Ortado\u011fu\u2019daki di\u011fer \u00fclkeleri i\u00e7in de \u00f6nemli.<\/p>\n

K\u00d6T\u00dcMSER SENARYO<\/strong><\/p>\n

Bir de \u201ck\u00f6t\u00fcmser senaryomuz\u201d var. E\u011fer Irak\u2019ta siyasi istikrar sa\u011flanmaz ve merkezi h\u00fck\u00fcmetle K\u00fcrdistan B\u00f6lgesel Y\u00f6netimi aras\u0131nda ciddi huzursuzluklar olursa beklenen \u00fcretim art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmez. Oysa d\u00fcnya ekonomisinin sa\u011fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu petrol \u00fcretiminin art\u0131\u015f\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131. K\u00f6t\u00fcmser senaryoda \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 10 y\u0131l zarf\u0131nda petrol\u00fcn varilinde 15 dolarl\u0131k bir art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6rmek de m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. T\u00fcrkiye gibi petrol ihracat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 bir \u00fclke bu k\u00f6t\u00fc senaryodan fena etkilenir.<\/p>\n

Rapor nas\u0131l haz\u0131rland\u0131<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

ULUSLARARASI Enerji Ajans\u0131, Irak raporunu \u00f6nceki g\u00fcn Londra\u2019da a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.
\nDr. Birol ve ekibi raporu bug\u00fcn Ba\u011fdat\u2019ta, enerjiden sorumlu Ba\u015fbakan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 H\u00fcseyin \u015earistani\u2019nin de kat\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 \u00fcst d\u00fczey toplant\u0131da raporu Irak kamuoyuna a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yor.
\n150 sayfal\u0131k rapor i\u00e7in Fatih Birol ve aralar\u0131nda Irakl\u0131lar\u0131n da oldu\u011fu 40 ki\u015filik ekibi hem merkezi h\u00fck\u00fcmet, hem K\u00fcrdistan B\u00f6lgesel Y\u00f6netimi\u2019yle birlikte 6 ay boyunca \u00e7al\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f.<\/p>\n

Kaynak: H\u00fcrriyet<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.SUR\u0130YE kriziyle Ortado\u011fu\u2019nun yeniden belirsizliklere s\u00fcr\u00fcklendi\u011fi g\u00fcnlerde merkezi Paris\u2019teki Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131 ilk kez bir Irak Enerji Raporu yay\u0131nlad\u0131. Rapora g\u00f6re, enerji sekt\u00f6r\u00fc […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2710,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53,44],"tags":[67,745,746],"views":731,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2709"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2709"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2709\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2711,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2709\/revisions\/2711"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2710"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2709"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2709"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2709"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}