{"id":24860,"date":"2014-04-03T17:09:02","date_gmt":"2014-04-03T14:09:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=24860"},"modified":"2014-04-03T17:09:02","modified_gmt":"2014-04-03T14:09:02","slug":"kose-yazisi-onumuzdeki-bes-yil-icinde-petrol-fiyatlari-dusecek","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/kose-yazisi-onumuzdeki-bes-yil-icinde-petrol-fiyatlari-dusecek\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131: \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki Be\u015f Y\u0131l \u0130\u00e7inde Petrol Fiyatlar\u0131 D\u00fc\u015fecek…"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki be\u015f y\u0131l i\u00e7inde petrol fiyatlar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fecek. Hem de epeyce d\u00fc\u015fecek. Peki neye dayanarak s\u00f6yl\u00fcyoruz bunu? \u015euna dayanarak s\u00f6yl\u00fcyoruz: Citigroup k\u00fcresel emtia ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131s\u0131 Edward Morse artan \u00fcretim nedeniyle ham petrol varil fiyat\u0131n\u0131n 75 dolara gerileyece\u011fini ileri s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Ve bu haber \u00fcnl\u00fc Barron\u2019s dergisinin kapa\u011f\u0131nda yer ald\u0131 hafta sonunda.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Gelelim petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n nas\u0131l gerileyece\u011fine\u2026 Bildi\u011finiz gibi eski senaryoda, geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerin petrol talebinin artaca\u011f\u0131, dolay\u0131s\u0131yla petrol arz\u0131n\u0131n yetersiz kalaca\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcyordu. Oysa son be\u015f y\u0131lda yap\u0131lan yeni tespitlerle mevcut petrol rezervlerine 1 trilyon varil yeni arz ilave oldu. Bu yeni bulunan rezervler mevcut petrol arz\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerine 30 y\u0131l yetecek ilave petrol anlam\u0131na geliyor. Ve ABD \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki be\u015f y\u0131lda ne\"\"<\/a>t petrol ihra\u00e7 eden \u00fclkeye d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Gelelim bulunan yeni petrol rezervlerinin hangi \u00fclkeleri olumsuz etkileyece\u011fine\u2026 Tabii yeni rezervlerin bulunmas\u0131 en \u00e7ok Rusya\u2019y\u0131 olumsuz etkileyecek. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc Rusya\u2019n\u0131n ihracat\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 70\u2032ini petrol ve do\u011falgaz olu\u015fturuyor<\/strong>. Yine Rusya\u2019n\u0131n devlet b\u00fct\u00e7e gelirlerinin yar\u0131s\u0131 petrol ve do\u011falgazdan elde ediliyor. Bu arada Rusya\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fcnde 7 milyon varil ham petrol ihra\u00e7 etti\u011fini hemen belirtelim. Bu miktar petrol ihracat\u0131yla Rusya, Suudi Arabistan\u2019dan sonra en \u00e7ok petrol ihra\u00e7 eden \u00fclke oluyor. Yine belirtmekte fayda var; Rusya petrol \u00fcretiminin y\u00fczde 60\u2032\u0131n\u0131 Sibirya\u2019da yap\u0131yor. \u0130\u015fte bu nedenle petrol\u00fcn varil fiyat\u0131n\u0131n 100 dolardan 75 dolara gerilemesi Rusya\u2019n\u0131n net gelirlerini azalt\u0131yor. Fakat Suudi Arabistan petrol\u00fc \u00e7ok daha ucuza \u00fcretti\u011finden fiyat gerilemesi bu \u00fclkeyi pek fazla etkilemiyor.<\/p>\n

Gelelim do\u011falgaza\u2026<\/strong> Rusya do\u011falgaz ihracat\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 75\u2032ini Avrupa\u2019ya yap\u0131yor. Ve Rusya do\u011falgaz\u0131, ABD fiyat\u0131n\u0131n iki ya da \u00fc\u00e7 kat\u0131na sat\u0131yor. Bildi\u011finiz gibi ABD do\u011falgaz ihra\u00e7 edebilmek i\u00e7in terminal in\u015fas\u0131na ba\u015flad\u0131. Yine Avustralya, Brezilya, G\u00fcney Afrika ve Arjantin\u2019de yeni do\u011falgaz rezervleri bulundu. B\u00f6ylece petrol\u00fcn yan\u0131nda k\u00fcresel piyasalarda be\u015f y\u0131l i\u00e7inde do\u011falgaz arz\u0131 \u00e7o\u011falacak. Hal b\u00f6yle olunca Rusya\u2019n\u0131n b\u00f6lgesinde enerji tekeli olma \u00f6zelli\u011fi k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede ortadan kalkacak. Avrupa pek \u00e7ok kaynaktan do\u011falgaz ithal edebilecek.<\/strong><\/p>\n

K\u0131saca yeni petrol ve do\u011falgaz rezervleri Rusya\u2019n\u0131n ekonomik gelece\u011fini zora sokuyor. Bu arada k\u00fcresel piyasalara bir dolarl\u0131k ABD do\u011falgaz sat\u0131\u015f\u0131, Putin ekonomisine giden paray\u0131 bir dolar azaltacak. Hatta yak\u0131n ge\u00e7mi\u015fte ABD\u2019nin stratejik rezervlerinden 700 milyon varil petrol sat\u0131p fiyatlar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmesi Rusya\u2019y\u0131 epeyce sinirlendirdi. \u0130\u015fte bu nedenle Rusya\u2019n\u0131n son g\u00fcnlerde sald\u0131rganla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ileri s\u00fcrenler var.<\/p>\n

Peki niye anlatt\u0131k b\u00fct\u00fcn bunlar\u0131? Anlatt\u0131k \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc T\u00fcrkiye enerji hammaddesi ithalat\u0131na y\u0131lda 60 milyar dolar \u00f6d\u00fcyor<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Yaz\u0131n\u0131n Devam\u0131 \u0130\u00e7in TIKLAYIN>>\u00a0<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

Yazan: S\u00fcleyman Ya\u015far<\/p>\n

Kaynak: Sabah<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki be\u015f y\u0131l i\u00e7inde petrol fiyatlar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fecek. Hem de epeyce d\u00fc\u015fecek. Peki neye dayanarak s\u00f6yl\u00fcyoruz bunu? \u015euna dayanarak s\u00f6yl\u00fcyoruz: Citigroup k\u00fcresel emtia ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131s\u0131 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":24861,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53,44],"tags":[1198,9400,63,67,1009,165,14042,59,79,347,885,1463],"views":577,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24860"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24860"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24860\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24863,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24860\/revisions\/24863"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/24861"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24860"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24860"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24860"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}