{"id":23380,"date":"2014-03-03T16:11:36","date_gmt":"2014-03-03T13:11:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=23380"},"modified":"2014-03-03T16:11:36","modified_gmt":"2014-03-03T13:11:36","slug":"analiz-dogalgazda-12-milyar-dolar-kaybediyoruz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/analiz-dogalgazda-12-milyar-dolar-kaybediyoruz\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) Analiz: Do\u011falgazda 12 Milyar Dolar Kaybediyoruz!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

17 Aral\u0131k operasyonunun hedefinde Halkbank ve \u0130ran ile ticaret g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken as\u0131l kaybetti\u011fimiz Irak enerji i\u015f birli\u011fi. Irak\u2019tan 12 milyar$ ucuza gaz alacakt\u0131k. T\u00fcrkiye 2010\u2032dan 2013 sonuna kadar tam d\u00f6rt y\u0131lda 234 milyar dolar cari a\u00e7\u0131k vererek yabanc\u0131 sermaye ihtiyac\u0131nda s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclemez bir noktaya geldi\u011fini g\u00f6stermi\u015f oldu. Ve 2012 y\u0131l\u0131nda bu konuda daha ciddi ve \u00f6nemli ad\u0131mlar at\u0131lmaya ba\u015fland\u0131.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Enerji a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 konusunda n\u00fckleer enerjiyi g\u00fcndemine alan T\u00fcrkiye, Sinop ve Akkuyu n\u00fckleer santralleri ile enerji faturas\u0131nda y\u0131lda 7,2 milyar dolar tasarruf eder duruma gelecek. N\u00fckleer enerji neden \u00f6nemli? \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc do\u011falgaz ithalat\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 75\u2032i sanayi ve elektrik \u00fcretiminde kullan\u0131l\u0131yor. 2012 do\u011falgaz t\u00fcketim tablosu:<\/p>\n

Toplam ithalat: 45.2 milyar metrek\u00fcp Elektrik \u00fcretimine giden k\u0131s\u0131m: 21,6 metrek\u00fcp Sanayi ve di\u011fer kullan\u0131m: 14,7 milyar metrek\u00fcp Hanelerin \u0131s\u0131nma t\u00fcketimi: 8,9 milyar metrek\u00fcp<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye 2013 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise enerji fatur\"\"<\/a>as\u0131nda bu sefer ikinci ve daha b\u00fcy\u00fck ad\u0131m\u0131 Irak pazar\u0131na y\u00f6nelerek att\u0131. Bug\u00fcnlerde herkesin g\u00fcndemini me\u015fgul eden Irak Petrollerinin T\u00fcrkiye \u00fczerinden d\u00fcnya pazarlar\u0131na a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131 olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen as\u0131l b\u00fcy\u00fck kap\u0131 Irak gaz\u0131.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye Irak petrol ak\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan \u015fimdilik sadece y\u00fczde 1 pay alacak g\u00f6r\u00fclmesine kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k Irak gaz\u0131nda durum \u00e7ok daha farkl\u0131.<\/p>\n

Irak gaz\u0131 neden \u00f6nemli? \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc hemen T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin yan\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131nda. \u00c7\u0131kar\u0131lmas\u0131 ve ula\u015f\u0131m\u0131 \u00e7ok ucuz ve T\u00fcrkiye gibi bir b\u00fcy\u00fck pazar\u0131n hemen dibinde. Do\u011fal olarak T\u00fcrkiye Irak gaz\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7ok daha uygun fiyatlara alma imkan\u0131na sahip.<\/p>\n

Do\u011falgazda anla\u015fmalar uluslararas\u0131 s\u00f6zle\u015fmeler gere\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131klanam\u0131yor. Ama T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Irak gaz\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00f6deyece\u011fi fatura bin metrek\u00fcp i\u00e7in 180-250 dolar aras\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131 hesaplan\u0131yor. Bu fiyat Rus ve \u0130ran do\u011falgaz fiyat\u0131n\u0131n yar\u0131s\u0131ndan da daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oluyor.<\/p>\n

Irak gaz\u0131 2016 y\u0131l\u0131nda ilk sevkiyata ba\u015flay\u0131p (10 milyar metrek\u00fcp) ve 2018 y\u0131l\u0131nda 20 milyar metrek\u00fcp olmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Bu anla\u015fman\u0131n y\u00fcr\u00fcmesi halinde olacaklar\u0131 s\u0131ralayal\u0131m:<\/p>\n

Rusya ve \u0130ran gaz fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 mecburen \u00e7ok ciddi oranda indirmek zorunda kalacaklar. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin gaz fiyat\u0131n\u0131n bin metrek\u00fcpte 250 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131nda olmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Bunun anlam\u0131 bug\u00fcn do\u011falgaza \u00f6dedi\u011fimiz y\u0131ll\u0131k 26 milyar dolarl\u0131k faturan\u0131n 15 milyar dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na gerilemesi oluyor. Yani n\u00fckleer santraller ile y\u0131lda 7,2 milyar dolar ithalat faturas\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmeyi planlayan T\u00fcrkiye Irak gaz\u0131 ile y\u0131lda 11-12 milyar dolar daha ithalat faturas\u0131n\u0131 azaltm\u0131\u015f olacak. B\u00f6ylece yabanc\u0131 sermaye veya d\u00f6viz ihtiyac\u0131 iki b\u00fcy\u00fck proje devreye girdi\u011finde y\u0131lda 20 milyar dolar daha azalm\u0131\u015f olacak.<\/p>\n

B\u00fcy\u00fck kalk\u0131nma hamlesi ba\u015flayacakt\u0131<\/h2>\n

Irak gaz\u0131 ile as\u0131l beklenen olumlu senaryo ucuz enerji ile sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn rekabet avantaj\u0131 olacakt\u0131r. Ucuz enerji ile artacak bir sanayi \u00fcretimi ve kalk\u0131nma hamlesi T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye yeni bir kap\u0131 a\u00e7acakt\u0131r. B\u00f6lgede \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm s\u00fcrecini de kal\u0131c\u0131 k\u0131lacak olan bu projenin en \u00f6nemli g\u00fcvencesi de yine \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm s\u00fcrecinin s\u00fcrmesi ve b\u00f6lgede silahl\u0131 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n bir daha olmamas\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n

17 Aral\u0131k operasyonu ile T\u00fcrkiye asl\u0131nda bu ticaretin de hedefe al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Enerji Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n ba\u015ftan a\u015fa\u011f\u0131ya dinlenmesi ve kritik ad\u0131mlar\u0131n \u00f6nceden ba\u015fka \u00fclkelere servis edilme durumu herkesi tedirgin ediyor. Nitekim aylar \u00f6ncesinden akmas\u0131 beklenen Irak petrol\u00fc Ceyhan\u2019da depolanmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k h\u00e2l\u00e2 d\u00fcnya piyasalar\u0131na sat\u0131lamad\u0131. Operasyonun as\u0131l amac\u0131n\u0131n Irak\u2019\u0131n petrol\u00fcnden ziyade ucuz Irak gaz\u0131na y\u00f6nelik oldu\u011fu anla\u015f\u0131lmaktad\u0131r. Ucuz gaz T\u00fcrkiye ve Irak i\u00e7in tam anlam\u0131 ile kazan kazan form\u00fcl\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor. B\u00f6lgesel kalk\u0131nma ve ucuzlayan faturalar ve artan refah ile biten \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma ortam\u0131. Bu kadar y\u00fcksek fayda operasyona de\u011fmez mi?<\/p>\n

Petrol kadar faturas\u0131 var<\/h2>\n

T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin do\u011falgaz ser\u00fcveni 1984 y\u0131l\u0131nda Turgut \u00d6zal ile ba\u015flad\u0131. Rusya\u2019dan (o y\u0131llarda SSCB) 1986 y\u0131l\u0131nda yap\u0131lan gaz al\u0131m anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 di\u011fer \u00fclkeler izleyerek do\u011falgazda b\u00fcy\u00fck ithalat\u00e7\u0131 \u00fclkeler aras\u0131na kat\u0131lm\u0131\u015f olduk.<\/p>\n

Son verilere bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda do\u011falgaz ithalat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n 47 milyar metrek\u00fcp oldu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. \u0130thalat\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k 27 milyarl\u0131k (%57\u2032si) k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 Rusya \u00fczerinden ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftiriyoruz. Rusya\u2019n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan \u0130ran 8,5 milyar metrek\u00fcp (%18\u2032si) ile ikinci s\u0131rada yer al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

2013 y\u0131l\u0131nda enerji ithalat\u0131na 56 milyar dolar d\u00f6viz \u00f6demek zorunda kalan T\u00fcrkiye, bu paran\u0131n 30 milyar dolar\u0131n\u0131 petrol faturas\u0131 olarak \u00f6demi\u015ftir. Ki petrol ithalat\u0131 2012 y\u0131l\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 5 d\u00fc\u015ferek 18,5 milyon ton olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir. Do\u011falgaz faturas\u0131 ise yakla\u015f\u0131k 26 milyar dolar ile petrolden sonraki en b\u00fcy\u00fck ithalat kalemini olu\u015fturmu\u015ftur.<\/p>\n

Yazan: \u0130brahim Kahveci<\/p>\n

Haberin Devam\u0131 \u0130\u00e7in TIKLAYIN>><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

Kaynak: T\u00fcrkiye Gazetesi<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.17 Aral\u0131k operasyonunun hedefinde Halkbank ve \u0130ran ile ticaret g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken as\u0131l kaybetti\u011fimiz Irak enerji i\u015f birli\u011fi. Irak\u2019tan 12 milyar$ ucuza gaz alacakt\u0131k. T\u00fcrkiye […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":23381,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[46,53],"tags":[92,226,1028,63,67,1009,165,1333,12387,945,11420,885,846,13224],"views":483,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23380"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23380"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23380\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":23383,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23380\/revisions\/23383"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/23381"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23380"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23380"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23380"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}