{"id":23086,"date":"2014-02-25T10:19:03","date_gmt":"2014-02-25T07:19:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=23086"},"modified":"2014-02-25T10:19:03","modified_gmt":"2014-02-25T07:19:03","slug":"analiz-turkiyede-kurakligin-faturasi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/analiz-turkiyede-kurakligin-faturasi\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) Analiz: T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de Kurakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n Faturas\u0131…"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

Bu y\u0131l k\u00fcresel anlamda hissedilecek kurakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n ekonomik a\u00e7\u0131dan da ister istemez bir faturas\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kacak. Kurakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye \u00fczerinde yarataca\u011f\u0131 riskleri ve olas\u0131 maliyetlerini s\u0131ralamadan \u00f6nce kurakl\u0131k riskinin 3 farkl\u0131 boyutuna bakmakta fayda var. Kamuoyu \u015fu an kurakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n daha \u00e7ok \u2018meteorolojik boyutu\u2019na odaklanm\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Meteorolojik kurakl\u0131k, ya\u011f\u0131\u015f miktar\u0131nda uzun y\u0131llar ortalamalar\u0131na g\u00f6re meydana gelen azalma olarak tan\u0131mlan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Ancak kurakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n iki ayr\u0131 boyutu daha var. O da tar\u0131msal kurakl\u0131k ve hidrolojik kurakl\u0131k.<\/p>\n

Tar\u0131msal kurakl\u0131kta, topraktaki bitkinin k\u00f6k b\u00f6lgesi i\u00e7inde yararlanabilece\u011fi suyun miktar\u0131-nem esas al\u0131n\u0131yor. Bitkilerin ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131layacak miktardaki suyun toprakta bulunmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcreler tar\u0131msal a\u00e7\u0131dan kurakl\u0131k olarak ifade ediliyor. \u015eu anda bu risk var ve umutlar Nisan ve May\u0131s\u2019a kadar ger\"\"<\/a>\u00e7ekle\u015fecek ya\u011f\u0131\u015flara ba\u011flanm\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n

Hidrolojik kurakl\u0131k ise uzun s\u00fcre devam eden ya\u011f\u0131\u015f eksikli\u011fi neticesinde ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan yery\u00fcz\u00fc ve yer alt\u0131 sular\u0131ndaki azalma ve eksiklikleri ifade ediyor.<\/p>\n

O y\u00fczden kurakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n olas\u0131 maliyetlerini konu\u015furken foto\u011fraf\u0131n tamam\u0131na bakmakta fayda var.<\/p>\n

Tabii burada ilk akla gelen risk, su k\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve g\u0131da \u00fcretimine yans\u0131yacak olumsuz etkileri.<\/p>\n

Ancak bunun yan\u0131nda enerji, sa\u011fl\u0131k gibi stratejik alanlarda da risklerin olu\u015ftu\u011funu unutmamak gerek.<\/p>\n

Meteoroloji verilerine g\u00f6re tar\u0131m y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131 olan 1 Ekim 2013 tarihinden 31 Ocak 2014 tarihine kadar ge\u00e7en 4 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde k\u00fcm\u00fclatif ya\u011f\u0131\u015flar\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye genelinde normale g\u00f6re %27,4 \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re %40,4 azald\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Kurakl\u0131k riskinin ekonomik maliyetini de\u011ferlendiren Marmara \u00dcniversitesi \u00d6\u011fretim \u00dcyesi Prof. Dr. Burak Arzova, riskleri 3 ayr\u0131 kategoride<\/strong> de\u011ferlendirdi.<\/p>\n

Kurakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n en belirgin olumsuz etkisinin tar\u0131msal maliyetler \u00fczerinde ya\u015fanaca\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7eken Prof. Dr. Arzova, \u201cArpa, yulaf, bu\u011fday, m\u0131s\u0131r gibi \u00fcr\u00fcnlerde kurakl\u0131\u011fa ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak ya\u015fanacak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck verim ile birlikte temel g\u0131da madde fiyatlar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6zlenebilir. Bu \u00fcr\u00fcnler hayvanc\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n da temel girdileri oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in et ve s\u00fct fiyatlar\u0131na da olumsuz yans\u0131yabilir. Bakliyat fiyatlar\u0131nda da benzer riskler var\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n

S\u00f6z konusu \u00fcr\u00fcnlerin rekoltelerindeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f nedeniyle ithalat\u0131n g\u00fcndeme gelmesinde ise y\u00fcksek kurdan dolay\u0131 ithalatta kur ge\u00e7i\u015fkenli\u011fi riskini hat\u0131rlatan Prof. Dr. Arzova, i\u00e7 pazardaki dengelerin bozulabilece\u011fini vurgulad\u0131.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcm bu riskler, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin enflasyondaki avantajlar\u0131ndan biri olan \u2018ucuz tar\u0131m \u00fclkesi\u2019 olma \u00f6zelli\u011fini de tehlikeye at\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Bu y\u00fczden tar\u0131m \u00fcretiminde y\u00fczde 13.5\u2019i a\u015fan y\u0131ll\u0131k fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131yla birlikte 2014\u2032te g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n enflasyonu yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekebilecek bir etkisini g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edemeyiz.<\/p>\n

Kurakl\u0131k y\u00fcz\u00fcnden ekilemeyen ya da beklenen verim al\u0131namayan tarla ve bah\u00e7elerin el de\u011fi\u015ftirme riski bulundu\u011funu da hat\u0131rlatan Prof. Dr. Arzova, \u201c\u0130nsanlar bor\u00e7lar\u0131ndan dolay\u0131 topraklar\u0131n\u0131 elden \u00e7\u0131karmak zorunda kalabilir ve hayvanlar\u0131n\u0131 kesime g\u00f6nderebilir\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n

Kurakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n \u015fu an bir di\u011fer maliyetinin de enerji alan\u0131nda oldu\u011funu ifade eden Prof. Dr. Arzova, ya\u015fanacak su k\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n enerji fiyatlar\u0131 \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratabilece\u011fini kaydetti.<\/p>\n

Kurakl\u0131k maliyetini konu\u015furken g\u0131da ve enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki olas\u0131 art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n enflasyon \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 hat\u0131rlatmak istedik.<\/p>\n

Prof. Dr. Arzova konunun bir de \u015fu an i\u00e7in \u00fczerinde \u00e7ok konu\u015fulmayan ancak g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilmemesi gereken sa\u011fl\u0131k \u00fczerindeki maliyetine de dikkat \u00e7ekti. Prof. Dr. Burak Arzova, ya\u015fanan kurakl\u0131k nedeniyle suyun belirli aral\u0131klarla verildi\u011fi d\u00f6nemlerde artacak hastal\u0131k riskinin de kurakl\u0131k maliyetleri aras\u0131nda bulundu\u011funu belirtti.<\/p>\n

Amac\u0131m\u0131z felaket tellall\u0131\u011f\u0131 yapmak de\u011fil ancak var olan olas\u0131 riskleri de g\u00f6rmezden gelemeyiz.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin iklim haritas\u0131na bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z zaman kurakl\u0131ktan en \u00e7ok etkilenecek b\u00f6lgelerin ba\u015f\u0131nda \u0130\u00e7 Anadolu ve Akdeniz geliyor.<\/p>\n

Ege, Do\u011fu Anadolu ve G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Anadolu B\u00f6lgesi de kurakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ortalaman\u0131n \u00fczerinde hissedecek b\u00f6lgeler aras\u0131nda g\u00f6steriliyor.<\/p>\n

Devlet Meteoroloji \u0130\u015fleri Genel M\u00fcd\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc verilerine g\u00f6re 2013 y\u0131l\u0131 sonbahar mevsimi (Eyl\u00fcl-Ekim-Kas\u0131m) ya\u011f\u0131\u015flar\u0131nda normale g\u00f6re %14 azalma g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n

2013 y\u0131l\u0131 sonbahar\u0131ndaki ya\u011f\u0131\u015ftaki azalma meteorolojik kurakl\u0131k endi\u015fesi yarat\u0131rken, Aral\u0131k ay\u0131 ya\u011f\u0131\u015flar\u0131nda da normale g\u00f6re %53, \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n Aral\u0131k ay\u0131na g\u00f6re ise %72 azalma ya\u015fand\u0131.<\/p>\n

Ocak ay\u0131nda da T\u00fcrkiye genelinde ya\u011f\u0131\u015flar normale g\u00f6re %22,2, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n Ocak ay\u0131na g\u00f6re ise %39,1 azald\u0131.<\/p>\n

Yazan: \u0130rfan Donat<\/p>\n

Haberin Devam\u0131 \u0130\u00e7in TIKLAYIN>><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

Kaynak: Bloomberg HT<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.Bu y\u0131l k\u00fcresel anlamda hissedilecek kurakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n ekonomik a\u00e7\u0131dan da ister istemez bir faturas\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kacak. Kurakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye \u00fczerinde yarataca\u011f\u0131 riskleri ve olas\u0131 maliyetlerini s\u0131ralamadan […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":23087,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53],"tags":[13057,63,67,1009,165,12313,13059,13058,846],"views":613,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23086"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23086"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23086\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":23089,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23086\/revisions\/23089"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/23087"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23086"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23086"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23086"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}