{"id":187582,"date":"2024-04-26T21:37:32","date_gmt":"2024-04-26T18:37:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=187582"},"modified":"2024-04-26T21:37:32","modified_gmt":"2024-04-26T18:37:32","slug":"komurlu-termik-santralleri-45-milyar-dolar-zarar-bekliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/komurlu-termik-santralleri-45-milyar-dolar-zarar-bekliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) K\u00f6m\u00fcrl\u00fc Termik Santralleri 45 Milyar Dolar Zarar Bekliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

<\/p>\n

S\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir Ekonomi ve Finans Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 Derne\u011fi (SEFiA) ve E3G isimli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce kurulu\u015fu, birlikte haz\u0131rlad\u0131klar\u0131 \u201cK\u00f6m\u00fcrden \u00c7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131n Finansman\u0131: T\u00fcrkiye \u00d6rne\u011fi\u201d<\/strong><\/em> raporunda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin k\u00f6m\u00fcrden \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f maliyetini ortaya koyuyor. Raporun \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan bulgular\u0131na g\u00f6re;<\/span><\/h2>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

– 2026 y\u0131l\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de karbon fiyat\u0131 uygulamas\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131yla beraber, k\u00f6m\u00fcrl\u00fc termik santraller lisans s\u00fcrelerinin sonuna kadar toplamda 45 milyar dolarl\u0131k zarar ediyor.<\/p>\n

– Karbon fiyat\u0131n\u0131n uygulanmaya ba\u015flamas\u0131yla beraber, 2026 y\u0131l\u0131ndan itibaren T\u00fcrkiye\u2019deki iki k\u00f6m\u00fcrl\u00fc termik santral d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda t\u00fcm santraller zarar etmeye ba\u015fl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

– \u00c7al\u0131\u015fma, 2026 y\u0131l\u0131ndan itibaren T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de uygulanacak karbon fiyat\u0131n\u0131, 2035\u2019e kadar Avrupa Birli\u011fi Emisyon Ticaret Sistemi\u2019ndeki (AB ETS)<\/strong> mevcut karbon fiyat\u0131n\u0131n sadece \u00fc\u00e7te biri olarak devreye al\u0131yor. 2035 sonras\u0131 i\u00e7in ise bu fiyat AB ETS\u2019sinin ancak yar\u0131s\u0131na kadar y\u00fckseliyor. Bu kadar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyede varsay\u0131lan karbon fiyat\u0131 bile santrallerin zarar etmesine neden oluyor.<\/p>\n

– K\u00f6m\u00fcrden \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f senaryosunda, 2021-2035 y\u0131llar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki d\u00f6nemde, elektrik \u00fcretiminde yerli kaynaklar\u0131n pay\u0131 y\u00fczde 51,3’ten y\u00fczde 73,6’ya y\u00fckseliyor.<\/p>\n

S\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir Ekonomi ve Finans Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 Derne\u011fi (SEFiA)<\/strong> ve E3G<\/strong> \u201cK\u00f6m\u00fcrden \u00c7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131n Finansman\u0131: T\u00fcrkiye \u00d6rne\u011fi\u201d isimli yeni rapor ile T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin k\u00f6m\u00fcrden \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n maliyetini santral \u00f6zelinde inceleyerek ortaya koyuyor. Elektrik sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde k\u00f6m\u00fcrden vazge\u00e7ilmesinin \u00f6n\u00fcndeki en b\u00fcy\u00fck engellerden biri olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclen finansman konusunu derinlemesine inceleyen rapor, a\u015famal\u0131 olarak k\u00f6m\u00fcrden yenilenebilir enerjiye ge\u00e7i\u015fin potansiyel finansman mekanizmalar\u0131n\u0131 irdeliyor.<\/p>\n

Rapor, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de bug\u00fcne kadar k\u00f6m\u00fcrden \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131n teknik olas\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 ve ekonomik boyutunu ortaya \u00e7\u0131karan \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 bir ad\u0131m \u00f6teye ta\u015f\u0131yor. Yak\u0131n zamanda uygulamaya konulmas\u0131 planan karbon fiyatlamas\u0131 sonucunda santrallerin h\u00e2lihaz\u0131rda d\u00fc\u015fmekte olan k\u00e2rl\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcremeyeceklerini ortaya koyan rapor, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 2053 net s\u0131f\u0131r patikas\u0131na eri\u015febilmesi i\u00e7in emekliye ay\u0131rmas\u0131 gereken k\u00f6m\u00fcrl\u00fc termik santrallerin muhtemel finansman ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131 da belirlemeyi ama\u00e7l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Raporda \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan bulgular: <\/strong><\/h3>\n

– Raporda, 2035 y\u0131l\u0131nda kadar elektrik \u00fcretiminde AB ETS\u2019nin mevcut karbon fiyat\u0131n\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7te biri baz al\u0131n\u0131yor, 2035 sonras\u0131 ise AB ETS karbon fiyat\u0131n\u0131n yar\u0131s\u0131na kadar y\u00fckselen a\u015famal\u0131 bir karbon fiyat\u0131 uygulanmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu durumda, 30 santralden ikisi d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda hi\u00e7bir k\u00f6m\u00fcrl\u00fc termik santralin k\u00e2rl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcremeyece\u011fi sonucuna ula\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

– Santrallerin bu ko\u015fullar alt\u0131nda \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 durumunda, zarar\u0131n boyutu 40 y\u0131ll\u0131k senaryoda 13,5 milyar dolar, lisans sonuna kadar \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 durumunda ise 44,5 milyar dolara ula\u015f\u0131yor. \u0130\u015fletmecilerin zarar eden bir operasyonu s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmeleri beklenmedi\u011finden s\u00f6z konusu santrallerin at\u0131l varl\u0131klar haline gelece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

– Santrallerin lisans s\u00fcrelerinin sonuna kadar i\u015fletmede kalacaklar\u0131 s\u00fcre boyunca ortalama y\u0131ll\u0131k sa\u011fl\u0131k maliyetinin 10 milyar dolar seviyesinde oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

\u00d6nce \u0130thal K\u00f6m\u00fcrle \u00c7al\u0131\u015fan Santraller Devre D\u0131\u015f\u0131<\/strong> Kal\u0131yor<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Rapor, y\u00fcksek marjinal maliyetleri nedeniyle, bir karbon fiyatland\u0131rma mekanizmas\u0131 uygulanmas\u0131 durumunda ithal k\u00f6m\u00fcrle \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan termik santrallerin devreden \u00e7\u0131kacak ilk santraller oldu\u011funu ortaya koyuyor. Raporda yer verilen k\u00f6m\u00fcrden \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f senaryosunda, 2021-2035 y\u0131llar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki d\u00f6nemde, elektrik \u00fcretiminde yerli kaynaklar\u0131n pay\u0131 y\u00fczde 51,3’ten y\u00fczde 73,6’ya y\u00fckseliyor ve tamam\u0131 yerli ve yenilenebilir kaynaklardan olu\u015fuyor. Ola\u011fan senaryoda ise yerli kaynaklar\u0131n (yenilenebilir ve yerli k\u00f6m\u00fcr) pay\u0131 2035 y\u0131l\u0131nda ancak y\u00fczde 59,2’ye ula\u015fabiliyor.<\/p>\n

SEFiA Direkt\u00f6r\u00fc Bengisu \u00d6zen\u00e7<\/strong>, T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in teknik olarak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn ve k\u00fcresel geli\u015fmeler do\u011frultusunda ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz olan k\u00f6m\u00fcrden a\u015famal\u0131 \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f planlar\u0131n\u0131 geciktirmenin olas\u0131 olumsuz ekonomik ve sosyal sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 \u00fcst\u00fcnde durdu:<\/p>\n

\u201cT\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 2053 net-s\u0131f\u0131r hedefi iklim hedefleri i\u00e7in oldu\u011fu kadar, de\u011fi\u015fen k\u00fcresel ticaret d\u00fczeni i\u00e7erisinde rekabet\u00e7ili\u011fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilmesi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan da \u00f6nemli bir hedeftir. Bu hedefin yakalanabilmesi i\u00e7in at\u0131lacak ilk ad\u0131m elektrik arz\u0131nda k\u00f6m\u00fcrden \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015fa y\u00f6nelik resmi bir pozisyonun a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a belirlenmesi ve bu hedefe y\u00f6nelik planlaman\u0131n yap\u0131lmas\u0131d\u0131r. Bildi\u011finiz gibi T\u00fcrkiye yak\u0131n zamanda bir ulusal emisyon ticaret sistemini uygulamaya almay\u0131 planl\u0131yor. Karbon emisyonlar\u0131n\u0131n fiyatlanmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6ren bu sistemin devreye girmesi ile k\u00f6m\u00fcrl\u00fc santrallerin finansal dengelerinin olumsuz etkileyece\u011fi a\u015fik\u00e2rd\u0131r. \u00c7al\u0131\u015fmam\u0131z, olduk\u00e7a d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck karbon fiyatlar\u0131 alt\u0131nda bile santrallerin faaliyetlerini s\u00fcrd\u00fcremeyeceklerini g\u00f6steriyor. Bu a\u00e7\u0131dan k\u00f6m\u00fcrden \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f, kay\u0131plar olu\u015fmaya ba\u015flamadan, erken a\u015famada hedeflenmelidir. B\u00f6ylelikle \u00e7ok katmanl\u0131, \u00e7ok payda\u015fl\u0131 bir planlanma yap\u0131labilir ve uygun finansman imk\u00e2nlar\u0131n\u0131n da devreye al\u0131nmas\u0131yla kapsay\u0131c\u0131 ve adil bir \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f stratejisi ortaya koymak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olabilir.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

S\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir Ekonomi ve Finans Aras\u0327t\u0131rmalar\u0131 Derneg\u0306i (SEFIA) Finansal Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar Direkt\u00f6r\u00fc \u0130brahim \u00c7ift\u00e7i ise <\/strong>T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin de faydalanabilece\u011fi k\u00f6m\u00fcrden \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f mekanizmalar\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekerek,<\/p>\n

\u201cK\u00f6m\u00fcrden \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f, net s\u0131f\u0131r hedefi do\u011frultusunda karbonsuzla\u015fman\u0131n ba\u015flayabilece\u011fi en uygun aland\u0131r. K\u00f6m\u00fcrden \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f i\u00e7in bug\u00fcn uluslararas\u0131 arenada T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin de faydalanabilece\u011fi K\u00f6m\u00fcr Emeklilik Mekanizmalar\u0131 (Coal Retirement Mechanisms – CRM) ya da K\u00f6m\u00fcr Ge\u00e7i\u015f Mekanizmalar\u0131 (Coal Transition Mechanisms – CTM) gibi bir\u00e7ok giri\u015fim bulunmaktad\u0131r. T\u00fcrkiye, yeni k\u00f6m\u00fcrl\u00fc termik santral planlamas\u0131 yapmak yerine enerjide arz g\u00fcvenli\u011fini korumak, y\u00fcksek bor\u00e7 oranlar\u0131na sahip bir sekt\u00f6r olan elektrik sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn devaml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamak ve bu sekt\u00f6rde ya\u015fanacak bir krizin bankac\u0131l\u0131k sekt\u00f6r\u00fc ile girdi sa\u011flayan ikincil sekt\u00f6rleri de etkileyerek ekonomisini tehdit etmesinin \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7mek i\u00e7in, bir an \u00f6nce net s\u0131f\u0131r hedefi ile taahh\u00fct etmi\u015f oldu\u011fu ge\u00e7i\u015fin planlamas\u0131n\u0131 yapmal\u0131d\u0131r.\u201d <\/em>dedi.<\/p>\n

Londra merkezli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce kurulu\u015fu E3G K\u0131demli Ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131s\u0131 \u00d6yk\u00fc \u015eenlen, <\/strong>k\u00f6m\u00fcrden temiz enerjiye ge\u00e7i\u015fte k\u00fcresel e\u011filimlerden ayr\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 belirterek, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin uluslararas\u0131 giri\u015fimlere veya diplomatik i\u015fbirliklerine kat\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fi \u00fczerinde durdu:<\/p>\n

\u201cT\u00fcrkiye, ekonomik zorluklara ve sosyal tepkilere ra\u011fmen yeni k\u00f6m\u00fcr kapasitesi planlayarak d\u00fcnyan\u0131n geri kalan\u0131yla ayr\u0131\u015fma riskiyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya. Yak\u0131n zamanda rafa kald\u0131r\u0131lan veya iptal edilen projelere ra\u011fmen, T\u00fcrkiye h\u00e2l\u00e2 OECD ve AB’de planlanan k\u00f6m\u00fcrl\u00fc termik santral kapasitesinin \u00fc\u00e7te ikisinden fazlas\u0131n\u0131 planl\u0131yor ve d\u00fcnya genelinde ilk onda yer alan tek OECD \u00fclkesi. T\u00fcrkiye’nin OECD, AB ve G20’deki muadillerinin bir\u00e7o\u011fu k\u00f6m\u00fcrden uzakla\u015fma y\u00f6n\u00fcnde \u00f6nemli ilerlemeler kaydetti. T\u00fcrkiye de onlar gibi iklim hedefleri do\u011frultusunda k\u00f6m\u00fcrden temiz enerjiye ge\u00e7i\u015fi desteklemek i\u00e7in uluslararas\u0131 giri\u015fimlerde yer almal\u0131 ve diplomatik i\u015fbirli\u011fi f\u0131rsatlar\u0131 aramal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/em>\u201d<\/p>\n

K\u00f6m\u00fcrden \u00c7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131n Finansman\u0131: T\u00fcrkiye \u00d6rne\u011fi<\/strong><\/em> raporu, 25 Nisan 2024<\/strong> tarihinde Ankara Assembly One Tower\u2019da yap\u0131lan toplant\u0131 ile kamuoyuyla payla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131. K\u00f6m\u00fcrden \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f i\u00e7in alternatif senaryolar\u0131n tart\u0131\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir panel ile tamamlanan toplant\u0131ya, kamu kurum ve kurulu\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi ve enerji konusunda \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan sivil toplum kurulu\u015flar\u0131 kat\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u0130lgili Rapora ula\u015fmak i\u00e7in TIKLAYIN>><\/a><\/strong><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language. S\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir Ekonomi ve Finans Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 Derne\u011fi (SEFiA) ve E3G isimli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce kurulu\u015fu, birlikte haz\u0131rlad\u0131klar\u0131 \u201cK\u00f6m\u00fcrden \u00c7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131n Finansman\u0131: T\u00fcrkiye \u00d6rne\u011fi\u201d raporunda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin k\u00f6m\u00fcrden […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":187585,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53,24649],"tags":[113645,113644,113643,4532,1221,846],"views":34,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/187582"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=187582"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/187582\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/187585"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=187582"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=187582"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=187582"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}