{"id":184245,"date":"2024-02-07T16:15:26","date_gmt":"2024-02-07T13:15:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=184245"},"modified":"2024-02-07T16:15:26","modified_gmt":"2024-02-07T13:15:26","slug":"prof-dr-haluk-ozener-123-yilda-olan-deprem-sadece-bir-yilda-yasandi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/prof-dr-haluk-ozener-123-yilda-olan-deprem-sadece-bir-yilda-yasandi\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) Prof. Dr. Haluk \u00d6zener: “123 Y\u0131lda Olan Deprem Sadece Bir Y\u0131lda Ya\u015fand\u0131”"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

<\/p>\n

Bo\u011fazi\u00e7i \u00dcniversitesi Kandilli Rasathanesi ve Deprem Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc\u2019n\u00fcn (KRDAE) 6 \u015eubat Kahramanmara\u015f depremlerinin y\u0131l d\u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fcnde d\u00fczenledi\u011fi bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131nda konu\u015fan KRDAE M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc Prof. Dr. Haluk \u00d6zener, \u201c1900 y\u0131l\u0131ndan 5 \u015eubat 2023\u2019e kadar b\u00f6lgede 4\u2019ten b\u00fcy\u00fck deprem say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n 672 oldu\u011funu tespit ediyoruz. Ayn\u0131 zaman aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fck g\u00f6zetmeksizin ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen toplam deprem say\u0131s\u0131 ise 40 bin civar\u0131nda. 6 \u015eubat 2023\u2019ten g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcze bu b\u00f6lgede 4\u2019ten b\u00fcy\u00fck 670 deprem oldu. Geride kalan bir y\u0131l i\u00e7inde b\u00f6lgede \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc yap\u0131lan deprem say\u0131s\u0131 da 45 binin \u00fczerinde. Yani, 123 y\u0131lda ya\u015fananlar\u0131 sadece bir y\u0131lda kaydetti\u011fimizi s\u00f6yleyebiliriz\u201d<\/em> dedi.<\/strong><\/h2>\n

6 \u015eubat Kahramanmara\u015f depremlerinin y\u0131l d\u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fcnde KRDAE M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc Prof. Dr. Haluk \u00d6zener, KRDAE B\u00f6lgesel Deprem-Tsunami \u0130zleme ve De\u011ferlendirme Merkezi (BDT\u0130M) M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc Do\u00e7. Dr. Do\u011fan Kalafat ile KRDAE M\u00fcd\u00fcr Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Dr. \u00d6\u011fr. \u00dcyesi T\u00fclay Kaya Eken<\/em> geride kalan bir y\u0131lda b\u00f6lgedeki sismik hareketlilikle ilgili g\u00fcncel verileri de\u011ferlendirdi.<\/p>\n

\u201cB\u00d6LGEDE B\u0130R YILDA 45 B\u0130N DEPREM OLDU\u201d<\/strong><\/h3>\n

KRDAE M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc Prof. Dr. Haluk \u00d6zener<\/strong>, ge\u00e7en y\u0131lki b\u00fcy\u00fck depremlerin ard\u0131ndan b\u00f6lgedeki sismik aktivitenin h\u0131z kaybetse de \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fckleri gibi devam etti\u011fini ifade etti. \u00c7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck felaket\"\" ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n verilere bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda daha da net anla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurgulayan Prof. Dr. \u00d6zener, \u201c1900 y\u0131l\u0131ndan 5 \u015eubat 2023\u2019e kadar b\u00f6lgede 4\u2019ten b\u00fcy\u00fck deprem say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n 672 oldu\u011funu tespit ediyoruz. Ayn\u0131 zaman aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fck g\u00f6zetmeksizin ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen toplam deprem say\u0131s\u0131 ise 40 bin civar\u0131nda. 6 \u015eubat 2023\u2019ten g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcze bu b\u00f6lgede 4\u2019ten b\u00fcy\u00fck 670 deprem oldu. Geride kalan bir y\u0131l i\u00e7inde b\u00f6lgede \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc yap\u0131lan deprem say\u0131s\u0131 da 45 binin \u00fczerinde. Yani, 123 y\u0131lda ya\u015fananlar\u0131 sadece bir y\u0131lda kaydetti\u011fimizi s\u00f6yleyebiliriz. \u00dcstelik bunlar aras\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck art\u00e7\u0131lar da var. 48 tane 5.0-5.9; \u00fc\u00e7 tane de 6.0-6-9 b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde art\u00e7\u0131 \u015fok ya\u015fand\u0131. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla ne kadar b\u00fcy\u00fck bir afetle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya oldu\u011fumuzu g\u00f6rebiliyorsunuz. 6 \u015eubat 2023\u2019ten sonra haftada yakla\u015f\u0131k 4 bin deprem \u00e7\u00f6zerken, bu say\u0131 son zamanlarda 300\u2019lere gerilese de uzmanlar\u0131m\u0131z deprem aktivitesinin bir y\u0131ldan uzun s\u00fcrebilece\u011fini ifade etmi\u015fti. Elde etti\u011fimiz veriler bizi do\u011fruluyor. B\u00f6lgede sismik aktivite bir s\u00fcre daha devam edecek.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

\u201cT\u00dcRK\u0130YE\u2019DE 5.5 VE \u00dcZER\u0130NDE DEPREM \u00dcRETEB\u0130LECEK 500 FAY VAR\u201d<\/strong><\/h3>\n

KRDAE M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc Prof. Dr. Haluk \u00d6zener sunumunda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de 5.5 ve \u00fczerinde deprem \u00fcretilebilecek 500 civar\u0131nda fay oldu\u011funu bilgisini de payla\u015ft\u0131. B\u00fcy\u00fck depremlerin analizinde, \u00f6zellikle depremlerin tekrarlanma periyodlar\u0131na bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirten Prof. Dr. \u00d6zener s\u00f6zlerini \u015f\u00f6yle s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc:\u00a0\u201cT\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin genel yap\u0131s\u0131na bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda 5.5 \u00fczerinde deprem \u00fcretilebilecek 500 fay var. Ancak, ayn\u0131 uzunluktaki fay, farkl\u0131 b\u00f6lgelerde ayn\u0131 s\u00fcre i\u00e7inde ayn\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fckte deprem \u00fcretmeyebilir. Yani, bir fay\u0131n 7.5\u2019lik bir deprem \u00fcretebilece\u011fini s\u00f6ylemek do\u011fru olabilir, ancak bu tam bir bilgi de\u011fil. GPS verilerinden yola \u00e7\u0131karak bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda \u00fclkemizde yer kabu\u011funun yer de\u011fi\u015ftirme h\u0131z\u0131 her b\u00f6lge i\u00e7in ayn\u0131 de\u011fildir. Ege\u2019de y\u0131ll\u0131k 35-40 mm, Anadolu\u2019da ortalama 20-25 mm, Do\u011fu ve G\u00fcneydo\u011fu\u2019da baz\u0131 b\u00f6lgelerde ise 5-7 milimetrelik y\u0131llar h\u0131zlar kar\u015f\u0131m\u0131za \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Yani her fay ayn\u0131 h\u0131zda enerji biriktirmiyor. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla, deprem tekrarlama aral\u0131klar\u0131 da ayn\u0131 de\u011fil. Bir fay\u0131n 7.5 b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde bir deprem \u00fcretebilece\u011fini s\u00f6ylemek o fay\u0131n uzunlu\u011funa bakarak do\u011fru olabilir. Ancak son depremden bu yana ge\u00e7en s\u00fcre, o fay\u0131n hangi h\u0131zla enerji biriktirdi\u011fini bilmek laz\u0131m. \u00d6rne\u011fin; bir fay\u0131n 7.5 b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde deprem \u00fcretmesi i\u00e7in 1500 y\u0131ll\u0131k bir s\u00fcreye ihtiyac\u0131 varsa ve en son deprem 1000 y\u0131l \u00f6nce ya\u015fand\u0131ysa, 7.5\u2019lik bir depremin meydana gelmesi i\u00e7in daha 500 seneye daha ihtiya\u00e7 var demektir. Bu nedenle bu bilgileri tam bir \u015fekilde payla\u015fmak, toplumu do\u011fru y\u00f6nlendirmek anlam\u0131na gelir. H\u0131zlar\u0131 buluyoruz, bunlardan gerilim analizi yap\u0131yoruz, ard\u0131ndan depremlerin tekrarlanma periyodlar\u0131n\u0131 inceliyoruz.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de bir\u00e7ok b\u00f6lgede b\u00fcy\u00fck deprem \u00fcretebilecek sismik bo\u015fluklar\u0131n da oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yleyen Prof. Dr. \u00d6zener, bu depremlerin nerede ve hangi b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fcklerde olabilece\u011fini ancak zaman\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemenin m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da hat\u0131rlatt\u0131:\u00a0<\/em><\/strong>\u201cKuzey Anadolu Fay\u0131 boyunca sismik bo\u015fluklar var. 1939 Erzincan Depremi\u2019nden bu yana bat\u0131ya do\u011fru bir deprem g\u00f6\u00e7\u00fc ya\u015f\u0131yoruz. Bu deprem g\u00f6\u00e7\u00fc Marmara’n\u0131n ortas\u0131nda duruyor. Yani deprem potansiyeli var ve bizi bekliyor. Ne zaman olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bilmiyoruz ama 7 ve \u00fczerinde bir b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fckte ya\u015fanabilece\u011fini biliyoruz. Enerji birikmeye devam ediyor ve biriktik\u00e7e de depreme do\u011fru yakla\u015f\u0131yoruz. Yine benzer \u015fekilde Erzincan\u2019\u0131n do\u011fusunda Yedisu b\u00f6lgesi var. Orada da deprem potansiyeli s\u00f6z konusu.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

Bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131nda konu\u015fan BDT\u0130M M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc Do\u00e7. Dr. Do\u011fan Kalafat<\/strong> ise Marmara 0.5\u2019den b\u00fcy\u00fck, t\u00fcm T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de ise 1.7\u2019den b\u00fcy\u00fck t\u00fcm depremleri geli\u015fmi\u015f istasyon ile deprem izleme merkezinde 7\/24 takip ve analiz ettiklerini ifade ederken, KRDAE M\u00fcd\u00fcr Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Dr. \u00d6\u011fr. \u00dcyesi T\u00fclay Kaya Eken<\/strong> ise afete haz\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n ve bu alanda at\u0131lacak ad\u0131mlar\u0131n \u00f6nemine vurgu yapt\u0131.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language. Bo\u011fazi\u00e7i \u00dcniversitesi Kandilli Rasathanesi ve Deprem Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc\u2019n\u00fcn (KRDAE) 6 \u015eubat Kahramanmara\u015f depremlerinin y\u0131l d\u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fcnde d\u00fczenledi\u011fi bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131nda konu\u015fan KRDAE M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc Prof. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":184248,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53],"tags":[112399,112400,112401],"views":16,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/184245"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=184245"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/184245\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/184248"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=184245"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=184245"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=184245"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}