{"id":18233,"date":"2013-11-26T18:56:14","date_gmt":"2013-11-26T15:56:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=18233"},"modified":"2013-11-26T18:56:14","modified_gmt":"2013-11-26T15:56:14","slug":"yorum-iran-uzlasmasi-petrol-piyasalarini-nasil-etkiler","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/yorum-iran-uzlasmasi-petrol-piyasalarini-nasil-etkiler\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) Yorum: \u0130ran Uzla\u015fmas\u0131 Petrol Piyasalar\u0131n\u0131 Nas\u0131l Etkiler?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n n\u00fckleer program\u0131na Bat\u0131l\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7ler taraf\u0131ndan y\u0131llard\u0131r uygulanan yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n sonunda, haftasonu Cenevre\u2019de ge\u00e7ici de olsa bir anla\u015fmaya var\u0131ld\u0131. Anla\u015fma, ilk etapta 6 ayl\u0131k bir s\u00fcre i\u00e7inde \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n uranyum zenginle\u015ftirmesine ve n\u00fckleer santrallerdeki \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131na s\u0131n\u0131rlamalar getirirken, P5+1 (ABD, Rusya, \u00c7in, \u0130ngiltere, Fransa ve Almanya) taraf\u0131 da \u0130ran\u2019a uygulanan yapt\u0131r\u0131mlarda belirli hafiflemeleri taahh\u00fct ediyor.<\/strong><\/p>\n

D\u00fcn petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda \u201csert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u201d diye man\u015fetlere \u00e7\u0131kan psikolojik rahatlama piyasalar kapan\u0131rken tamamen kaybolmu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n

Bu, her \u015feyden \u00f6nce, anla\u015fman\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n d\u00fcnya piyasalar\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131\u011f\u0131 petrol\u00fcn miktar\u0131nda bir de\u011fi\u015fime yol a\u00e7mayacak olmas\u0131ndan kaynaklan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Anla\u015fmaya g\u00f6re P5+1, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n halihaz\u0131rdaki petrol ihrac\u0131na kar\u0131\u015fmayacak.<\/p>\n

\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n A\u011fustos 2011\u2019de, yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar ba\u015flamadan evvel g\u00fcnl\u00fck 2,5 milyon varile yakla\u015fan petrol ihrac\u0131, AB\u2019nin al\u0131mlar\u0131 durdurmas\u0131 ve \u0130ran petrol\u00fcn\u00fcn %60\u2019\u0131ndan fazlas\u0131n\u0131 alan Asya \u00fclkelerinin al\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 %50 oran\u0131nda azaltmalar\u0131 sonucu 2012 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ortalar\u0131ndan beri g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalama 1 milyon varile d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Anla\u015fman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Beyaz Saray\u2019\u0131n internet sayfas\u0131nda yay\u0131nlanan bir metin de \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n petrol ihrac\u0131n\u0131n bu miktar\u0131 a\u015fmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 teyit ediyor.<\/p>\n

\u00d6te yandan bu, tam da do\u011fru de\u011fil.<\/p>\n

Sigorta problemi<\/h2>\n

\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n, bilhassa Asya\u2019ya, \u00f6zellikle de Hindistan\u2019a yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ihracatta ba\u015f\u0131n\u0131 a\u011fr\u0131tan sigorta problemlerinin \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesi, yap\u0131lan anla\u015fmada yer alan \u201cmuhtelif sigorta ve ula\u015f\u0131m hizmetleri\u201d maddesinde \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar sonucunda \u0130ran petrol\u00fc ta\u015f\u0131yan tank\"\"<\/a>erleri sigortalamakta ya\u015fanan sorunlar ile Avrupal\u0131 \u015firketlerin \u0130ran petrol\u00fc i\u015flenmesini sigortalamay\u0131 reddetmeleri nedeniyle piyasaya \u00e7\u0131kamayan \u00fcr\u00fcn, sigorta i\u015flemlerinin tekrar yap\u0131lmaya ba\u015flanmas\u0131yla \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n petrol ihrac\u0131na g\u00fcnl\u00fck 200 bin varil civar\u0131nda bir ek getirecek.<\/p>\n

Fakat \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar s\u00fcresinceki ihrac\u0131n\u0131n ortalama g\u00fcnl\u00fck 800 bin ve 1,2 milyon varil aras\u0131nda dalgaland\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde, bu miktar\u0131n d\u00fcnya petrol piyasalar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u015fikar.<\/p>\n

Bu ba\u011flamda \u00f6nemli bir nokta da 6 ay sonra ne olaca\u011f\u0131.<\/p>\n

Anla\u015fman\u0131n iki taraf a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan da memnuniyet verici \u015fekilde netice vermesi \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n bir nebze daha yumu\u015fat\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayabilir.<\/p>\n

Ancak \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n tekrar yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar \u00f6ncesi petrol ihra\u00e7 seviyelerine d\u00f6nmesi 2015 y\u0131l\u0131ndan \u00f6nce m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00f6z\u00fckm\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

A\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 S.Arabistan kapat\u0131yor<\/h2>\n

D\u00fcnya petrol arz\u0131nda \u0130ran\u2019a yapt\u0131r\u0131mlarla kaybolan g\u00fcnl\u00fck 1,5 milyon varil, bilhassa Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n \u00fcretimini g\u00fcnl\u00fck 9,5-10 milyon varile kadar \u00e7\u0131karmas\u0131 sayesinde kar\u015f\u0131lanm\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n

Buna ek olarak, ABD\u2019nin yerel \u00fcretimindeki etkileyici art\u0131\u015f\u0131n, hem psikolojik a\u00e7\u0131dan, hem de ABD\u2019nin ithalini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmesi nedeniyle piyasalar\u0131 rahatlat\u0131c\u0131 etkisinden bahsedilebilir.<\/p>\n

Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla \u0130ran ile ilgili bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede y\u00fcr\u00fcyecek geli\u015fmelerin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda d\u00fcn ya\u015fanan\u0131n benzeri birka\u00e7 dolarl\u0131k bir psikolojik etki d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda bir oynamaya yol a\u00e7mas\u0131n\u0131 beklemek g\u00fc\u00e7.<\/p>\n

Anla\u015fma T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in de \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli.<\/p>\n

Her\u015feyden \u00f6nce yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar ba\u015flamadan 2011 y\u0131l\u0131nda \u0130ran T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin petrol ithalinin yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131yordu.<\/p>\n

Yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar, hem ithal edilen petrol miktar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc, hem \u00f6deme i\u015flemlerinde b\u00fcy\u00fck sorunlara yol a\u00e7t\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u00d6demelerin arac\u0131 kurumu Halkbank\u2019\u0131n i\u015flemleri durdurmas\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u0130ran petrol\u00fcn\u00fc k\u0131smen alt\u0131n ile \u00f6demesiyle sonu\u00e7lanm\u0131\u015f, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019den \u0130ran\u2019a ihra\u00e7 edilen alt\u0131n\u0131n de\u011feri 2011 y\u0131l\u0131nda 54 milyon dolardan 2012 y\u0131l\u0131nda 6.5 milyar dolara \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u015eimdi yap\u0131lan anla\u015fma sayesinde \u0130ran\u2019dan petrol ithali yine artabilir.<\/p>\n

\u2018\u0130ran nefes alacak\u2019<\/h2>\n

Nitekim Enerji ve Tabii Kaynaklar Bakan\u0131 Taner Y\u0131ld\u0131z, anla\u015fman\u0131n hemen ertesinde Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 itibariyle g\u00fcnl\u00fck 105 bin varil civar\u0131nda olan \u0130ran petrol\u00fcn\u00fcn, g\u00fcnl\u00fck 140 bin varile \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

D\u00fcnya petrol piyasalar\u0131nda bir de\u011fi\u015fim sa\u011flamayacak olsa da, anla\u015fma \u0130ran i\u00e7in \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli.<\/p>\n

Anla\u015fman\u0131n \u00f6nemli bir maddesi, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n uluslararas\u0131 hesaplarda dondurulmu\u015f paralara eri\u015fiminin sa\u011flanmas\u0131yla ilgili.<\/p>\n

4 milyar dolar\u0131 petrol sat\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan olmak \u00fczere 7 milyar dolar olarak zikredilen bu mebla\u011f, yine anla\u015fman\u0131n bir par\u00e7as\u0131 olan petrokimya sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki rahatlamalar sayesinde 10 milyar dolar\u0131 ge\u00e7ebilir.<\/p>\n

Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l ve bu y\u0131l ekonomisi daralan, enflasyonun %40\u2019lar\u0131 ge\u00e7ti\u011fi, toplam ihracat\u0131n %80\u2019ini olu\u015fturan petrol sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131ndaki \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f nedeniyle b\u00fct\u00e7esi s\u00fcrekli a\u00e7\u0131k verdi\u011fi ve bilhassa orta s\u0131n\u0131f\u0131n \u00e7ok s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 \u00e7ekti\u011fi \u0130ran, bu sayede bir nebze nefes alabilir.<\/p>\n

\u0130kinci \u00f6nemli fakt\u00f6r ise siyasi a\u00e7\u0131dan Hasan Ruhani\u2019nin ve elbette d\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri bakan\u0131 Cevad Zarif\u2019in ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131.<\/p>\n

3 A\u011fustos\u2019ta resmen cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6revine ba\u015flayan Ruhani, \u201c\u0130ktidardaki ilk 100 g\u00fcn\u00fcnde \u0130ranl\u0131lar\u0131n hayat standard\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltece\u011fi\u201d taahh\u00fct\u00fcnde bulunmu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n

\u015eimdi yap\u0131lan anla\u015fma, Ruhani\u2019nin s\u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc tutmas\u0131na f\u0131rsat verirken, \u00fclkedeki radikal ABD kar\u015f\u0131tlar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 da elini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. \u00dclkedeki yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 rahatlama ise, Cevad Zarif\u2019in Facebook sayfas\u0131nda kendini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

Zarif\u2019in anla\u015fman\u0131n yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 duyurusu, d\u00fcn itibariyle 170 bin \u201clike\u201d alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Yazan: C\u00fcneyt Kazoko\u011flu \/\u00a0Petrol piyasasi analisti<\/p>\n

Kaynak: Enerji Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n n\u00fckleer program\u0131na Bat\u0131l\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7ler taraf\u0131ndan y\u0131llard\u0131r uygulanan yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n sonunda, haftasonu Cenevre\u2019de ge\u00e7ici de olsa bir anla\u015fmaya var\u0131ld\u0131. Anla\u015fma, ilk etapta 6 ayl\u0131k […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":18234,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53,44],"tags":[1198,886,63,67,1009,165,10685,1092,1333,10683,59,79,887,885,10682,10684],"views":411,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18233"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=18233"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18233\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":18236,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18233\/revisions\/18236"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/18234"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=18233"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=18233"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=18233"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}