{"id":17945,"date":"2013-11-21T13:04:18","date_gmt":"2013-11-21T10:04:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=17945"},"modified":"2013-11-21T13:04:18","modified_gmt":"2013-11-21T10:04:18","slug":"kose-yazisi-petrol-ve-casuslar-savasi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/kose-yazisi-petrol-ve-casuslar-savasi\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) K\u00f6\u015fe Yaz\u0131s\u0131: Petrol ve Casuslar Sava\u015f\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

Yakla\u015f\u0131k bir hafta \u00f6nce ge\u00e7en bir haber, kamuoyunun fazla dikkatini \u00e7ekmedi, ama \u00f6zellikle ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z b\u00f6lgeyi yak\u0131ndan ilgilendiren \u00f6nemdeydi: Amerika, ekim ay\u0131nda, 1995 y\u0131l\u0131ndan bu yana ilk kez, ithal etti\u011finden daha fazla petrol \u00fcretti!.. <\/strong><\/p>\n

Bu tabii ki, s\u00fcrpriz bir sonu\u00e7 de\u011fil: Amerika\u2019n\u0131n son 10 y\u0131lda, yeni arama ve \u00e7\u0131karma teknolojilerinin de katk\u0131s\u0131yla y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc Ulusal Enerji Plan\u0131\u2019<\/em>n\u0131n ba\u015far\u0131 \u00f6yk\u00fcs\u00fcyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131yay\u0131z. Amerikan Enerji Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131<\/strong>, \u00fclkenin petrol ve do\u011falgaz ithalat\u0131n\u0131n 1991 y\u0131l\u0131 seviyesine geriledi\u011fini, 2035 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise, b\u00fct\u00fcn enerji ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131 kendi \u00fcretimiyle kar\u015f\u0131layaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 duyurdu.<\/p>\n

Amerika\u2019n\u0131n \u015fu anda bilinen petrol rezervi 26.5 milyar varil, \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmay\u0131 bekleyen rezervinin ise 198 m\"\"<\/a>ilyar varil oldu\u011fu belirtiliyor. Bitmedi. Kanada, 173 milyar varillik bilinen rezerviyle Venezuella ve Suudi Arabistan\u2019dan sonra d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc petrol\/do\u011falgaz yataklar\u0131na sahip. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u00f6nemli enerji kayna\u011f\u0131 olan Rusya o listede sekizinci, \u0130ran ve Irak ise d\u00f6rt ve be\u015finci s\u0131ralarda yer al\u0131yorlar.<\/p>\n

Yani, ekonomisinin enerji ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131 i\u00e7in art\u0131k Suudi Arabistan ba\u015fta K\u00f6rfez \u00fclkelerine ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 olmayan, \u0130ran ve Irak petrol\u00fcn\u00fcn gelece\u011fiyle hayati ili\u015fkisi bulunmayan bir Amerika ile birlikte ya\u015f\u0131yoruz.<\/strong> Bu, \u015faka de\u011fil, Beyazsaray\u2019a 1969 y\u0131l\u0131nda yerle\u015fmi\u015f Richard Nixon\u2019<\/strong>dan bu yana t\u00fcm Amerikan ba\u015fkanlar\u0131n\u0131n ula\u015fmay\u0131 hedefledi\u011fi bir hayaldi, Obama ve devamc\u0131lar\u0131na nasip oldu.<\/p>\n

Geli\u015fme, Ortado\u011fu\u2019daki t\u00fcm dengeleri sarsacak d\u00fczeyde, zaten sars\u0131yor da\u2026 <\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0130srail-Suudi yaln\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131 <\/strong><\/p>\n

Obama <\/strong>y\u00f6netiminin \u00a0\u0130srail\u2019in sert tepkilerine, Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n derin kayg\u0131lar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019la geli\u015ftirdi\u011fi yak\u0131n ili\u015fkinin temelinde, bu rahatl\u0131k var. Enerji ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131 i\u00e7in Ortado\u011fu\u2019daki dengelerin yak\u0131n takip\u00e7isi olmak zorunda kalan Amerika\u2019dan, b\u00f6lgeye d\u00f6n\u00fck stratejilerinde eli rahatlam\u0131\u015f Amerika\u2019ya do\u011fru geldik. <\/strong>Ne, enerji kayna\u011f\u0131 Suudi Arabistan, ne de Ortado\u011fu petrollerine d\u00f6n\u00fck stratejinin ileri karakolu \u0130srail, Washington a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan eski \u00f6nemi ta\u015f\u0131m\u0131yor. Kahire\u2019deki askeri y\u00f6netim de Amerika\u2019daki bu de\u011fi\u015fimin fark\u0131na varm\u0131\u015f durumda, Rusya ile savunma i\u015fbirli\u011fi anla\u015fmalar\u0131 gibi eskinin diplomatik santaj metotlar\u0131na y\u00f6neldi ama, Washington, M\u0131s\u0131r-Rusya yak\u0131nla\u015fmas\u0131na beklenen tepkiyi g\u00f6stermedi.<\/p>\n

Avrupa-Japonya <\/strong>huzursuz<\/strong><\/p>\n

Amerika\u2019n\u0131n Ortado\u011fu stratejisinin, Bat\u0131\u2019n\u0131n iki kanad\u0131ndaki iki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ekonomik alan\u0131 ayakta tutma ama\u00e7l\u0131 hale geldi\u011fi dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. Biri Avrupa, di\u011feri Japonya \u00f6nderli\u011findeki Uzakdo\u011fu ekonomileri. B\u00f6lgenin enerji kaynaklar\u0131na as\u0131l ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 olan ekonomiler bunlar. Washington\u2019un enerji a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kendine yeterli hale gelmesi ve askeri g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc \u201cuzak diyarlardan\u201d<\/em>\u00a0geri \u00e7ekme e\u011filimi, Avrupa ile Japonya\u2019y\u0131 huzursuz eden noktaya varm\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n

Pekiyi, ne oluyor? <\/strong><\/p>\n

B\u00f6lge \u00fclkeleri aras\u0131ndaki kap\u0131\u015fma ise, s\u00fcper g\u00fc\u00e7 \u015femsiyesinin ortadan kalkmas\u0131yla k\u0131z\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Suudi-M\u0131s\u0131r hatt\u0131nda olu\u015fturulan S\u00fcnni Cephe<\/strong> ile, \u0130ran-Suriye \u00e7izgisinde bulu\u015fan \u015eii Cephe<\/strong>\u00a0aras\u0131ndaki kanl\u0131 bir hesapla\u015fma bu. Casuslar\u0131n \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131, art\u0131k yaln\u0131z sava\u015f b\u00f6lgelerinin de\u011fil, Beyrut ba\u015fta kent sokaklar\u0131n\u0131n da tekin olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmadan s\u00f6z ediyoruz.<\/p>\n

\u015eu anda g\u00f6z\u00fcken, b\u00f6lgenin istihbarat \u015fefleri Bandar bin Sultan<\/strong> (Suudi Arabistan), Kas\u0131m S\u00fcleymani<\/strong> (\u0130ran), Tamir Pardo<\/strong> (\u0130srail), Muhammed Ahmet Ferid<\/strong> (M\u0131s\u0131r), Refik \u015eahahadah<\/strong>\u00a0(Suriye) aras\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck bir hesapla\u015fma var.<\/p>\n

Hizbullah lideri Nasrallah<\/strong>\u2019\u0131n, \u201cKuvvetlerimiz ihtiya\u00e7 oldu\u011fu s\u00fcrece Suriye\u2019de sava\u015fmaya devam edecek\u201d <\/strong>demesinden d\u00f6rt g\u00fcn sonra Beyrut\u2019taki \u0130ran B\u00fcy\u00fckel\u00e7ili\u011fi\u2019nin S\u00fcnni radikal bir grup taraf\u0131ndan bombalanmas\u0131 bir tesad\u00fcf olabilir mi?..<\/p>\n

\u0130stihbarat \u00f6rg\u00fctleriyle ter\u00f6r gruplar\u0131n\u0131n birlikteli\u011finde Irak-Suriye-L\u00fcbnan hatt\u0131nda bir S\u00fcnni-\u015eii Sava\u015f\u0131 ya\u015f\u0131yoruz, \u0130srail de bu geli\u015fmeyi kendi g\u00fcvenli\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kullanma ve hatta y\u00f6nlendirme \u015fans\u0131 yakal\u0131yor\u2026<\/strong><\/p>\n

Bu nedenle\u2026<\/p>\n

M\u0130T M\u00fcste\u015far\u0131 Hakan Fidan <\/strong>ve kurum \u00e7al\u0131\u015fanlar\u0131n\u0131n i\u015finin \u00e7ok zor oldu\u011funu kabul etmeliyiz\u2026 M\u0130T, art\u0131k tipik bir kar\u015f\u0131 istihbarat kurumu olman\u0131n \u00f6tesinde, TSK ile birlikte b\u00f6lgesel hesapla\u015fman\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131m\u0131z i\u00e7ine girmesini \u00f6nleyici bir \u201csavunma kurumuna\u201d, <\/strong>hatta \u201c kar\u015f\u0131 operasyon g\u00fcc\u00fcne\u201d<\/strong>\u00a0d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fmek zorunda\u2026<\/p>\n

Belki de Hakan Fidan\u2019<\/strong>la bu kadar u\u011fra\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n temelinde bir \u201chareketsiz b\u0131rakma\u201d<\/strong>\u00a0stratejisi vard\u0131r\u2026<\/p>\n

Aman\u2026 Dikkat!..<\/p>\n

Yazan: Ardan Zent\u00fcrk<\/p>\n

Yay\u0131nc\u0131: Enerji Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.Yakla\u015f\u0131k bir hafta \u00f6nce ge\u00e7en bir haber, kamuoyunun fazla dikkatini \u00e7ekmedi, ama \u00f6zellikle ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z b\u00f6lgeyi yak\u0131ndan ilgilendiren \u00f6nemdeydi: Amerika, ekim ay\u0131nda, 1995 y\u0131l\u0131ndan […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":17946,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53,44],"tags":[3512,63,67,1009,165,59,79,1369],"views":502,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17945"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17945"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17945\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":17947,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17945\/revisions\/17947"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17946"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17945"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17945"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17945"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}