{"id":17750,"date":"2013-11-18T19:02:49","date_gmt":"2013-11-18T16:02:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=17750"},"modified":"2013-11-18T19:02:49","modified_gmt":"2013-11-18T16:02:49","slug":"dunya-nin-2100-yilina-kadar-4-derece-isinmamasi-icin-cozum-enerji-verimliligi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/dunya-nin-2100-yilina-kadar-4-derece-isinmamasi-icin-cozum-enerji-verimliligi\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) D\u00fcnya’n\u0131n 2100 Y\u0131l\u0131na Kadar 4\u00b0C Is\u0131nmamas\u0131 \u0130\u00e7in \u00c7\u00f6z\u00fcm Enerji Verimlili\u011fi!…"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

IPCC taraf\u0131ndan 2100 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar kullan\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen 2\u00b0C karbon b\u00fct\u00e7esi 2034 y\u0131l\u0131nda tamamen kullan\u0131lm\u0131\u015f olacak ve bu geli\u015fme d\u00fcnyan\u0131n 2100 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar 4\u00b0C k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalmas\u0131na neden olabilecek.<\/strong><\/p>\n

PwC taraf\u0131ndan ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen \u201c5. y\u0131ll\u0131k PwC D\u00fc\u015f\u00fck Karbon Ekonomi Endeksi\u201d analizine g\u00f6re d\u00fcnya, IPCC (H\u00fck\u00fcmetleraras\u0131 \u0130klim De\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi Paneli) taraf\u0131ndan \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 89 y\u0131l i\u00e7inde kullan\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen 2\u00b0C karbon b\u00fct\u00e7esini alt \u00fcst ederek 21 y\u0131l i\u00e7inde t\u00fcketme yolunda ilerliyor. T\u00fcm d\u00fc\"\"<\/a>nyada bu oranda dekarbonizasyona devam edilirse, IPCC taraf\u0131ndan 2012 ila 2100 d\u00f6nemi i\u00e7in \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen karbon b\u00fct\u00e7esi bu s\u00fcrenin d\u00f6rtte birinden k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede harcanm\u0131\u015f ve 2034 y\u0131l\u0131nda tamamen kullan\u0131lm\u0131\u015f olacak.<\/p>\n

Analiz sonucuna g\u00f6re, IPCC taraf\u0131ndan \u00f6nerilen s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 a\u015fan d\u00fczeyde emisyon, tehlikeli iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rarak y\u00fczey s\u0131cakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n ortalama olarak 2\u00b0C`den fazla \u0131s\u0131nmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilir. IPCC 5. De\u011ferlendirme Raporu`nda sunulan ve iklim bilimi \u00fczerine haz\u0131rlanan en k\u00f6t\u00fc senaryoya g\u00f6re ise bu durum d\u00fcnyan\u0131n 2100 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar 4\u00b0C k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalmas\u0131na neden olabilir.<\/p>\n

\u201c5. y\u0131ll\u0131k PwC D\u00fc\u015f\u00fck Karbon Ekonomi Endeksi\u201dnde, k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nmay\u0131 2\u00b0C ile s\u0131n\u0131rlamak \u00fczere gerekli olan GSY\u0130H birimi ba\u015f\u0131na enerjiyle ili\u015fkili karbon emisyonu miktar\u0131 da inceleniyor.<\/p>\n

BU D\u00dcZEYDE ISINMANIN C\u0130DD\u0130 VE KAPSAMLI ETK\u0130LER\u0130 OLACAK<\/strong>
\nEndeks, bu d\u00fczeyde \u0131s\u0131nman\u0131n “ciddi ve kapsaml\u0131 etkileri” olaca\u011f\u0131 konusunda uyar\u0131yor veb\u00fcy\u00fck i\u015f ve altyap\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik ge\u00e7erli yat\u0131r\u0131m planlama d\u00f6ng\u00fclerinde bu durumun da karar alma a\u015famalar\u0131na dahil edilmesi gerekti\u011finin alt\u0131 \u00e7iziliyor. Ayr\u0131ca, politikalar\u0131n ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck karbon teknolojilerinin, k\u00fcresel ekonomideki b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile karbon emisyonu aras\u0131ndaki ba\u011f\u0131 koparmada ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z olduklar\u0131 da endeksin \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan sonu\u00e7lar\u0131ndan biri.<\/p>\n

D\u00fcnyadaki enerji \u00e7e\u015fitlili\u011fine fosil yak\u0131tlar\u0131n hakim olmaya devam etti\u011fini vurgulayan endeksteki di\u011fer baz\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar ise \u015f\u00f6yle;<\/p>\n

\u2022 Karbon yo\u011funlu\u011funda k\u00fcresel olarak g\u00f6zlemlenen d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f de\u011feri, son be\u015f y\u0131l i\u00e7inde her y\u0131l ortalama y\u00fczde 0,7 oldu. Bug\u00fcnden itibaren 2100 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar her y\u0131l y\u00fczde 6`l\u0131k bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f sa\u011flanmas\u0131 gerekli.
\n\u2022 G7 \u00fclkeleri, ortalama y\u00fczde 2,3 oran\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f sa\u011flarken, k\u00fcresel ekonominin \u00fcretim taban\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturan E7 \u00fclkeleri (\u00c7in, Hindistan, Brezilya, Rusya, Meksika, Endonezya ve T\u00fcrkiye)yaln\u0131zca y\u00fczde 0.4 oran\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f sa\u011flad\u0131lar.
\n\u2022 ABD, Avustralya ve Endonezya, 2012 y\u0131l\u0131nda karbon yo\u011funlu\u011fu bak\u0131m\u0131ndan \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f sa\u011flamay\u0131 ba\u015fard\u0131 ancak hi\u00e7bir \u00fclke y\u0131llara yay\u0131lan \u00f6nemli oranlarda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftiremedi.
\n\u2022 Hidrolik k\u0131r\u0131lma (kaya gaz\u0131 \u00e7\u0131karmada kullan\u0131lan teknik) devrimi ABD`de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck emisyon sa\u011flanmas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 olurken, di\u011fer yerlerde, ucuz k\u00f6m\u00fcr fiyat\u0131 y\u00fcksek k\u00f6m\u00fcr kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 te\u015fvik etti.\u00d6rne\u011fin AB\u2019de; bir \u00fclkedeki dekarbonizasyonun, emisyonun ba\u015fka bir \u00fclkeye kaymas\u0131na neden olabilece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde endi\u015feler yaratt\u0131.<\/p>\n

PwC S\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilirlik ve \u0130klim De\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi Direkt\u00f6r\u00fc Jonathan Grant konuyla ilgili de\u011ferlendirmesinde \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yledi:<\/p>\n

“G20 \u00fclkeleri, gelece\u011fi hi\u00e7 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmeden fosil yak\u0131tlar\u0131 t\u00fcketmeye devam ediyor. Yenilenebilir enerji sekt\u00f6r\u00fc h\u0131zl\u0131 bir bi\u00e7imde b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6stermi\u015f olsa da, yenilenebilir enerji, enerji kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n yaln\u0131zca k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor ve k\u00f6m\u00fcr t\u00fcketimindeki art\u0131\u015f nedeniyle g\u00f6lgede kal\u0131yor. Sonu\u00e7lar, geni\u015f fosil yak\u0131t rezervlerimizin kapasitesi ve ekonomimizin g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc nereden ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 konusunda ger\u00e7ek birtak\u0131m sorular\u0131 g\u00fcndeme getiriyor. 2 derece karbon b\u00fct\u00e7esi, bu rezervlerin azalmayan t\u00fcketimiyle ba\u015fa \u00e7\u0131kmaya yetecek kadar b\u00fcy\u00fck de\u011fil.”<\/p>\n

OLUMLU NOKTALARDAN B\u0130R\u0130 ENERJ\u0130 VER\u0130ML\u0130L\u0130\u011e\u0130NDEK\u0130 \u0130LERLEME<\/strong>
\n\u201c5. y\u0131ll\u0131k PwC D\u00fc\u015f\u00fck Karbon Ekonomi Endeksi\u201dndeki olumlu noktalardan biri ise enerji verimlili\u011findeki ilerleme. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l karbon yo\u011funlu\u011funda elde edilen ufak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn y\u00fczde 92`lik k\u0131sm\u0131 enerji verimlili\u011findeki geli\u015fmelere, kalan y\u00fczde 8`lik k\u0131sm\u0131 ise daha temiz enerji \u00e7e\u015fitlerine y\u00f6nelik e\u011filime ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Elde edilen GSY\u0130H`nin her milyon dolar\u0131 i\u00e7in di\u011ferleriyle kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda daha az enerji t\u00fcketen \u0130talya, \u0130ngiltere ve T\u00fcrkiye, G20`deki en enerji verimli ekonomiler olarak biliniyor.Fakat rapor, GSY\u0130H birimi ba\u015f\u0131na enerji kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 indirebilece\u011fimiz bir s\u0131n\u0131r oldu\u011fu konusunda uyar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

PwC T\u00fcrkiye Orta\u011f\u0131 ve S\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilirlik Hizmetleri Lideri Ediz G\u00fcnsel konuyla ilgili \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yledi:<\/p>\n

\u201c T\u00fcrkiye her ne kadar enerji verimlili\u011fi konusunda G20 ekonomileri i\u00e7inde ev \u00f6devini yapan \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda g\u00f6sterilse de, k\u00fcresel resmebak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilirbir gelecek i\u00e7in karbon emisyonunu azalt\u0131c\u0131, s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir i\u015f modellerine ge\u00e7i\u015f zorunlulu\u011fu a\u015fikard\u0131r. Bu hedef do\u011frultusunda kamu, i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131 ve sivil toplum kurulu\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 bir araya getiren \u00f6rnek projelerin artarak devam etmesi ve bu y\u00f6nde stratejiler geli\u015ftirilmesi \u00f6nem arz etmektedir.\u201d<\/p>\n

KARBON YO\u011eUNLU\u011eUNUN \u00d6N\u00dcM\u00dcZDEK\u0130 ON YIL \u0130\u00c7\u0130NDE YARIYA \u0130ND\u0130R\u0130LMES\u0130 GEREK\u0130YOR<\/strong>
\nBe\u015f y\u0131l \u00f6nce dekarbonizasyon hedefi y\u0131lda y\u00fczde 3,5 iken, \u015fu anda bu hedef yakla\u015f\u0131k iki kat\u0131na \u00e7\u0131karak y\u00fczde 6 olmu\u015f durumda. Bu, \u015fu anki dekarbonizasyon oran\u0131n\u0131n sekiz kat \u00fczerinde ve y\u0131llarca korunmak \u015f\u00f6yle dursun daha \u00f6nce eri\u015filmemi\u015f bir d\u00fczey. \u0130klim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011finin \u015fiddetli etkilerini s\u0131n\u0131rlamak amac\u0131yla, IPCC taraf\u0131ndan belirlenen atmosferdeki g\u00fcvenli “karbon” miktar\u0131na ula\u015fmak i\u00e7in, karbon yo\u011funlu\u011funun \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki on y\u0131l i\u00e7inde yar\u0131ya indirilmesi ve 2050`ye kadar bug\u00fcnk\u00fc d\u00fczeylerin onda birine ula\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekiyor. 2100 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar ise k\u00fcresel enerji sisteminin neredeyse s\u0131f\u0131r karbon olmas\u0131 gerekiyor.<\/p>\n

PwC S\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilirlik ve \u0130klim De\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi Direkt\u00f6r\u00fc Jonathan Grant bu konuda \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor:<\/p>\n

“Analizimizde, geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomilerde uzun vadede ortalama ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme, geli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomilerde ise yava\u015f ve istikrarl\u0131 bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme ya\u015fanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fck. Ancak, iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fiyle ba\u015fa \u00e7\u0131k\u0131lamazsa, sonu\u00e7ta istikrarl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme gibi iyimser bir senaryo ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmayabilir. B\u00fcy\u00fck ihtimalle \u00e7ok yak\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck sorunlarla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015f\u0131lacak ve bunun, \u015fu anda planlanmakta olan ve g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde uygulanan pek \u00e7ok karbon yo\u011fun teknoloji yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 \u00fczerinde etkileri olacak.\u201d<\/p>\n

PwC S\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilirlik ve \u0130klim De\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi Orta\u011f\u0131 Leo Johnson ise de\u011ferlendirmesinde\u015funlar\u0131 \u015f\u00f6yledi:<\/p>\n

“Art\u0131k, Karbon Yakalama ve Saklama (CCS), n\u00fckleer, biyoyak\u0131t ve enerji verimlili\u011fi d\u00f6rtl\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn karbon yak\u0131tlar\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7erek b\u00fcy\u00fcmede daha etkin oldu\u011fu g\u00fcnleri yakalamam\u0131z gerekiyor. Karbon s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7oktan a\u015ft\u0131k, bizi \u00f6nceki konumumuza getirecek yollar\u0131 araman\u0131n vakti geldi. \u015eu anda sorgulamam\u0131z gereken di\u011fer bir konu da, uzun vadeli b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye y\u00f6nelik varsay\u0131mlar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fini s\u0131n\u0131rlayamad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z bir gelecekte makul ve uygun olup olmayaca\u011f\u0131 konusu.”<\/p>\n

Kaynak: Enerji G\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.IPCC taraf\u0131ndan 2100 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar kullan\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen 2\u00b0C karbon b\u00fct\u00e7esi 2034 y\u0131l\u0131nda tamamen kullan\u0131lm\u0131\u015f olacak ve bu geli\u015fme d\u00fcnyan\u0131n 2100 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar 4\u00b0C […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":17751,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53,52],"tags":[10437,3041,63,67,1009,165,12,1776,1999,4522,10436,77,1471,793],"views":769,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17750"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17750"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17750\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":17753,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17750\/revisions\/17753"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17751"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17750"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17750"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17750"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}