{"id":174390,"date":"2023-05-09T10:52:00","date_gmt":"2023-05-09T07:52:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=174390"},"modified":"2023-05-09T10:56:30","modified_gmt":"2023-05-09T07:56:30","slug":"egiaddan-ekonomi-degerlendirme-toplantisi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/egiaddan-ekonomi-degerlendirme-toplantisi\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) ’EG\u0130AD’dan Ekonomi De\u011ferlendirme Toplant\u0131s\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

<\/p>\n

EG\u0130AD Dernek Merkezinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen etkinli\u011fe, i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nemli isimleri kat\u0131l\u0131m g\u00f6sterdi. Ekonomideki g\u00fcncel geli\u015fmelerin de\u011ferlendirildi\u011fi etkinli\u011fin a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f konu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftiren EG\u0130AD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Alp Avni Yelkenbi\u00e7er ekonomik de\u011ferlendirmede bulundu.<\/h2>\n

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D\u00fcnyada Kullan\u0131lan Ekonomi Politikalar\u0131na D\u00f6nmeliyiz<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Faiz, kur ve enflasyon sarmal\u0131, deprem ekonomisi ve kurumun ge\u00e7en ay yay\u0131nlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u0130zmir Giri\u015fimcilik \"\"Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Raporu\u2019na de\u011finen Yelkenbi\u00e7er, konu\u015fmas\u0131na \u201cHepimizin kafas\u0131ndaki sorulardan birisi se\u00e7imden sonra dolar ve euro kurunun ne olaca\u011f\u0131 ama bunu se\u00e7imden sonra T\u00fcrk Liras\u0131 daha da de\u011fer kaybeder mi \u015feklinde diye ifade etmek kan\u0131mca daha anlaml\u0131 bir bak\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 olacakt\u0131r. D\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131n\u0131n se\u00e7ime yakla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a y\u00fckselmeye ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fck ama bunu normal kar\u015f\u0131lamak gerekir. Se\u00e7imden sonra TL\u2019nin yabanc\u0131 paralara kar\u015f\u0131 de\u011fer kaybedip kaybetmeyece\u011fi sorusunun yan\u0131t\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde se\u00e7imden sonra nas\u0131l bir yol izlenece\u011fine ba\u011fl\u0131; s\u0131k s\u0131k iktisat teorisi bak\u0131m\u0131ndan yanl\u0131\u015f oldu\u011funu belirtti\u011fimiz ekonomi politikas\u0131ndan vazge\u00e7ip do\u011fru politikalara d\u00f6nmemiz gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.\u201d<\/em> S\u00f6zleriyle ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Se\u00e7im Sonras\u0131 Sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 ve S\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir Bir B\u00fcy\u00fcme Ortam\u0131na \u0130htiya\u00e7 Duyuyoruz<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Se\u00e7im sonras\u0131 atamalar ve yap\u0131sal reformlar konusundaki giri\u015fimlerin belirleyici olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 dile getiren Yelkenbi\u00e7er, \u201cSe\u00e7im sonras\u0131 sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 ve s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme ortam\u0131na<\/strong> ihtiya\u00e7 duyuyoruz. Fiyat istikrar\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamadan da dengeli bir b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye<\/strong> ge\u00e7menin m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Bu y\u00fczden ilk \u00f6nceli\u011fimiz enflasyonla m\u00fccadele olmal\u0131\u201d<\/em> dedi.<\/p>\n

Tam Anlam\u0131yla Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z K\u0131l\u0131nm\u0131\u015f Bir Merkez Bankas\u0131 ve Yeni Bir Kadro \u0130htiyac\u0131<\/strong><\/h3>\n

T\u00fcm bu beklentilerin ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z bir \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmayla ger\u00e7ekle\u015febilece\u011fine de\u011finen Yelkenbi\u00e7er s\u00f6zlerini \u015fu \u015fekilde s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc: \u201cKu\u015fkusuz bunlar\u0131 tam anlam\u0131yla ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z k\u0131l\u0131nm\u0131\u015f bir Merkez Bankas\u0131 ve yeni bir kadroyla yapmak gerekir. Bu t\u00fcr kararlar\u0131 al\u0131p uygularken ki\u015filerin ve kurumlar\u0131n itibar sorunu olmamas\u0131n\u0131 temenni ediyoruz.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

Deprem Felaketinin Ekonomiye Etkileri<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Deprem felaketinin ekonomiye etkilerini de de\u011ferlendiren EG\u0130AD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Alp Avni Yelkenbi\u00e7er,<\/strong> depremin a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131 yaralar\u0131 unutmamak gerekti\u011fini dile getirerek, \u201cSosyal ve toplumsal olarak da desteklenmesi gereken deprem b\u00f6lgesi T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinde \u00f6nemli bir yer ediniyor. Milli gelirin % 10\u2019a<\/strong> yak\u0131n\u0131n\u0131 ve ihracat\u0131n % 8\u2019ini<\/strong> ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftiren \u015fehirlerimiz felaketten etkilendiler. 3 milyona yak\u0131n istihdam\u0131n oldu\u011fu 11 \u015fehir i\u00e7 ticaret<\/strong> ve enerji tedarikinde<\/strong> kritik pozisyonda bulunuyor. 100 milyar dolar\u0131 a\u015fan milli geliriyle 11<\/strong> \u015fehir ihracatta 20 milyar dolarl\u0131k<\/strong> kapasiteye sahip. Bu y\u0131l 11 \u015fehrin 22 milyar dolar ihracat yapmas\u0131 ve 110 bine yak\u0131n yeni istihdam yaratmas\u0131 bekleniyordu. Deprem nedeniyle \u00fcretim, istihdam ve ihracatta<\/strong> k\u0131smi bir d\u00fc\u015fme beklenebilir. Ayr\u0131ca b\u00f6lgeden ayr\u0131lanlar g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda gelecek y\u0131llarda b\u00f6lgenin ek yat\u0131r\u0131m ve te\u015fviklere ihtiya\u00e7 duyaca\u011f\u0131 s\u00f6ylenebilir. Se\u00e7im sonras\u0131 ekonomik politika rotas\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izerken<\/strong> bu hususlara mutlaka dikkate etmemiz gerekecektir\u201d<\/em> dedi.<\/p>\n

D\u00fcnya Konjonkt\u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fc de D\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnerek Bizi Zor G\u00fcnler Bekliyor<\/strong><\/h3>\n

\u0130zmir Giri\u015fimcilik Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Raporu \u00fczerinden giri\u015fimcilik ekosistemine de ba\u015fl\u0131k a\u00e7an Yelkenbi\u00e7er, giri\u015fimcilik faaliyetlerinin geli\u015fimine d\u00fcnyadaki ikiz d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm<\/strong>; yani ye\u015fil<\/strong> ve dijital d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm<\/strong> penceresinden bak\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini belirterek, \u201c\u00dclkemizin orta gelir tuza\u011f\u0131ndan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f noktas\u0131 olarak g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz giri\u015fimcilik faaliyetleridir. Raporumuzun bulgular\u0131 sonucu \u00fclkemizdeki giri\u015fimcilerin, kurumlar\u0131n ye\u015fil ve dijital d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcnde liderler olaca\u011f\u0131, firmalar\u0131n uluslararas\u0131 alanda rekabet avantaj\u0131 sa\u011flamas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 olabilece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131 milli geliri; 2013 y\u0131llar\u0131nda 12bin ABD dolar\u0131<\/strong> seviyelerine kadar \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f, fakat teknolojik at\u0131l\u0131mlar\u0131 yapamad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z ve yat\u0131r\u0131m tercihlerimizde ba\u015fka alanlar\u0131 se\u00e7ti\u011fimiz i\u00e7in bug\u00fcn 9500 ABD dolar\u0131<\/strong> civarlar\u0131nda seyretmektedir. \u00dclkemizdeki f\u0131rsat giri\u015fimcilerini destekleyerek, be\u015fer\u00ee sermayemizi beyin g\u00f6\u00e7\u00fc olarak kaybetmemizin \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7ebilece\u011fimiz, hukukun \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fcn tahsis edildi\u011fi bir g\u00fcven ortam\u0131 yaratmam\u0131z gerekiyor. Se\u00e7imin sonucu ne olursa olsun d\u00fcnya konjonkt\u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fc de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnerek bizi zor g\u00fcnler bekledi\u011fini \u00f6n g\u00f6r\u00fcyorum. Bunu bir karamsarl\u0131k olarak de\u011fil bilimsel y\u00f6ntemler kullanarak m\u00fccadele bak\u0131m\u0131ndan haz\u0131r olmam\u0131z temennisi olarak payla\u015f\u0131yorum\u201d<\/em> dedi.<\/p>\n

Ekonomi Gazetesi\u2019deki yaz\u0131lar\u0131yla dikkat \u00e7eken \u0130\u015f Yat\u0131r\u0131m Uluslararas\u0131 Piyasalar Direkt\u00f6r\u00fc \u015eant Manukyan<\/strong> ise, krizin 2008\u2019e d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fmesinin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir ihtimal oldu\u011funu belirterek, \u201cAncak ekonomiye hi\u00e7 bir etkisi olmayacak demek de do\u011fru olmaz. K\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bankalardan b\u00fcy\u00fcklere do\u011fru bir mevduat ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f durumda. K\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bankalar hem mevduat oranlar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmaya gitmekte hem de kredilerini daraltma yolunda. \u015eayet mevduat oranlar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f olmaz ise alternatif piyasalara yani para piyasas\u0131 fonlar\u0131na vs kaymalar s\u00f6z konusu olacak. Dolay\u0131s\u0131 ile Fed\u2019in d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda etkenlerle bir s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma g\u00f6rece\u011fiz. Pek \u00e7ok banka sermayesini kuvvetlendirmek i\u00e7in hisse satmay\u0131 tercih edebilir ki bu durum cari hissedarlar\u0131 mutlu etmeyecektir. \u00d6nceki 10 y\u0131llarda enflasyon tehdidi ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya olmayan Fed piyasalar\u0131n yard\u0131m\u0131na ko\u015fmakta acele ediyordu. Bu kez b\u00f6yle bir l\u00fckse sahip de\u011fil. Bu nedenle enflasyon ise m\u00fccadelenin sona erdi\u011fini ilan etmeyeceklerdir. Ancak faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n art\u0131k yava\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kesin bir \u015fekilde s\u00f6yleyebiliriz\u201d<\/em> dedi.<\/p>\n

\u0130\u015f Yat\u0131r\u0131m Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Direkt\u00f6r\u00fc Serhat G\u00fcrleyen<\/strong> ise, \u201cABD bankalar\u0131nda ya\u015fanan sorunlar finansal sistemi tehdit eden bir boyuta ula\u015fmadan kontrol alt\u0131na al\u0131nd\u0131. Bankac\u0131l\u0131k sisteminden mevduat \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bankalardan b\u00fcy\u00fck bankalara mevduat ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u0131 durdu. B\u00f6lgesel banka hisseleri uzun bir aradan sonra tekrar y\u00fckseliyor. Ya\u015fanan \u015fokun finansal ko\u015fullar\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131 ve b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekmesi bekleniyor\u201d dedi. Son depremin etkilerini ve Marmara depreminin olas\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendiren G\u00fcrleyen, \u201cYa\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z afet T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya oldu\u011fu deprem riskinin ne kadar b\u00fcy\u00fck oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. PwC analizine g\u00f6re T\u00fcrkiye\u2019deki sanayi \u00fcretiminin \u00fc\u00e7te ikisi deprem riski y\u00fcksek b\u00f6lgelerde yap\u0131l\u0131yor. Marmara b\u00f6lgesinde ya\u015fanabilecek bir depremin yarataca\u011f\u0131 insan kayb\u0131 ve ekonomik maliyeti Mara\u015f depreminin \u00fc\u00e7 kat\u0131n\u0131 a\u015fabilir. S\u00f6z konusu afet riskine kar\u015f\u0131 haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmak i\u00e7in devletin \u00f6nderli\u011finde t\u00fcm payda\u015flar\u0131n kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131yla orta vadeli bir deprem plan\u0131n\u0131n haz\u0131rlanmas\u0131 ve uygulanmaya ba\u015flanmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Uzun vadede Marmara B\u00f6lgesinde yap\u0131lacak yeniden in\u015fa ve g\u00fc\u00e7lendirme \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131n 100 milyar dolar \u00fczerinde kaynak gerektirece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz\u201d diye konu\u015ftu. Yurt i\u00e7i geli\u015fmelere de de\u011finen G\u00fcrleyen, \u201c2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 milli gelirin %0,9\u2019una gerilerken, 2017\u2019den bu yana ilk defa faiz d\u0131\u015f\u0131 fazla veriyoruz. 2023 y\u0131l\u0131nda b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 yeniden in\u015fa faaliyetlerine y\u00f6nelik harcamalar, depremzede n\u00fcfusa yard\u0131m, depremden etkilenen \u015firketlere vergi kesintileri ve EYT sebebiyle milli gelirin %5,0\u2019ini ge\u00e7ecek. 2022 y\u0131l\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc b\u00fct\u00e7e performans\u0131 2023 y\u0131l\u0131nda maliye politikas\u0131nda depreme y\u00f6nelik gev\u015feme alan\u0131 sa\u011fl\u0131yor. \u0130lk \u00fc\u00e7 ayda g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz 250 milyar liral\u0131k b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 se\u00e7ime y\u00f6nelik harcamalar, deprem b\u00f6lgesine yap\u0131lan harcamalar ve vergi ertelemelerinden kaynaklan\u0131yor\u201d<\/em> dedi.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language. EG\u0130AD Dernek Merkezinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen etkinli\u011fe, i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nemli isimleri kat\u0131l\u0131m g\u00f6sterdi. Ekonomideki g\u00fcncel geli\u015fmelerin de\u011ferlendirildi\u011fi etkinli\u011fin a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f konu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftiren EG\u0130AD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Alp […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":174392,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53],"tags":[88252,31910,59515,1893,104357,98543,2482],"views":28,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/174390"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=174390"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/174390\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/174392"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=174390"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=174390"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=174390"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}