{"id":165972,"date":"2022-12-27T16:04:59","date_gmt":"2022-12-27T13:04:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=165972"},"modified":"2022-12-28T10:15:33","modified_gmt":"2022-12-28T07:15:33","slug":"2023un-iki-anahtar-kavrami-secim-ekonomisi-ve-kemer-sikma-olacak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/2023un-iki-anahtar-kavrami-secim-ekonomisi-ve-kemer-sikma-olacak\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) 2023\u2019\u00fcn \u0130ki Anahtar Kavram\u0131 Se\u00e7im Ekonomisi ve Kemer S\u0131kma Olacak"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

<\/p>\n

EG\u0130AD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Alp Avni Yelkenbi\u00e7er<\/b>: 2022\u2019nin iki anahtar kavram\u0131 enflasyon ve enerji fiyatlar\u0131; 2023\u2019\u00fcn ise se\u00e7im ekonomisi ve kemer s\u0131kma olacak.<\/h2>\n

2022\u2019de enflasyonda h\u0131zl\u0131 bir art\u0131\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131 fakat buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k talep canl\u0131 kalmaya devam etti. Ekonomik teori a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda fiyat\u0131 artan mala y\u00f6nelik talebin d\u00fc\u015fmesi gerekir. Oysa \u00fclkemizde tam tersi oluyor; fiyatlar h\u0131zla artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 halde fiyat\u0131 y\u00fckselen mallara y\u00f6nelik talep de art\u0131yor. B\u00f6yle bir ortamda paray\u0131 bankaya yat\u0131rmak sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fc kayb\u0131 yarataca\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck tasarruf sahipleri gayrimenkul \"\"al\u0131m\u0131na, borsaya, ara\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirmeye y\u00f6nelirken, k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck tasarruf sahipleri ileride daha da artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc mallar\u0131 sat\u0131n al\u0131p stoklamaya ve k\u0131smen borsaya y\u00f6neliyor. Ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan bu faiz enflasyon tutars\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131 nedeniyle bir \u00e7e\u015fit paradan ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f s\u00fcreci ya\u015fan\u0131yor ve bu s\u00fcre\u00e7 enflasyonu daha da k\u00f6r\u00fckl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Vatanda\u015flar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n bir k\u0131sm\u0131 anaparay\u0131 korumak i\u00e7in d\u00f6viz al\u0131m\u0131na y\u00f6neliyordu fakat bankalar\u0131n d\u00f6viz mevduat\u0131 tutmas\u0131 bir anlamda cezaland\u0131r\u0131lmaya ba\u015flay\u0131nca bankalar\u0131n m\u00fc\u015fterilerini farkl\u0131 alanlara y\u00f6nlendirmesi sonucu d\u00f6vize talep eskisine g\u00f6re d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Son aylarda borsada ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan normal d\u0131\u015f\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fler t\u00fcm\u00fcyle bu sebepten kaynaklan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Daha \u00f6nce hi\u00e7 borsada yat\u0131r\u0131m yapmam\u0131\u015f olan bireyler de faizden getiri elde edemeyece\u011fini, anaparas\u0131n\u0131 koruyamayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcnce tasarrufunu hisse senetlerine yat\u0131rmaya y\u00f6neliyor ve o nedenle hisse senetlerinin de\u011ferleri, dolay\u0131s\u0131yla BIST 100 endeksi<\/strong> art\u0131yor. Borsa y\u00fckseliyor demek ki ekonomi iyi gidiyor demek b\u00f6yle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcnce ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i de\u011fil. G\u00fcn\u00fc gelip de faiz enflasyon d\u00fczeyine \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmak zorunda kal\u0131n\u0131nca borsadaki hisse de\u011ferleri<\/strong> ve gayrimenkul fiyatlar\u0131<\/strong> bu kez h\u0131zl\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015fler ya\u015fayacak. Bu sene verdi\u011fimiz g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerde hep alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izdik yine \u00e7izmekte fayda var; faiz politikam\u0131z ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i de\u011fil.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0130lk 6 ay se\u00e7im ekonomisi ikinci 6 ay yap\u0131sal reformlar<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Ekonomik anlamda t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyada bir kriz oldu\u011funu yads\u0131yamay\u0131z fakat geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkelerde enflasyonla m\u00fccadelenin iktisat politikas\u0131n\u0131n temeli haline geldi\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Temmuz 2023’ten itibaren se\u00e7imin sonu\u00e7lanmas\u0131ndan sonra T\u00fcrkiye’nin ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz olarak enflasyon kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131 bir politika uygulamas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz. 2023\u2019e<\/strong> bak\u0131nca y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n se\u00e7im ekonomisi; ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n da<\/strong> ekonomik sorunlara uzun vadeli \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmlerin \u00fcretilece\u011fi kemer s\u0131kma d\u00f6nemi<\/strong> olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum. Se\u00e7im ekonomisi dedi\u011fim k\u0131s\u0131mda muhtemelen EYT yasas\u0131<\/strong> \u00e7\u0131kacak ayr\u0131ca yakla\u015f\u0131k 10 milyon emeklinin maa\u015f\u0131<\/strong> y\u00fckseltilecek. Se\u00e7ime kadar 2 kez asgari \u00fccret zamm\u0131<\/strong> olmas\u0131 muhtemel bu da se\u00e7imlere yakla\u015f\u0131k 10.000 TL<\/strong> psikolojik s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131 etraf\u0131nda girece\u011fiz demektir.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language. EG\u0130AD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Alp Avni Yelkenbi\u00e7er: 2022\u2019nin iki anahtar kavram\u0131 enflasyon ve enerji fiyatlar\u0131; 2023\u2019\u00fcn ise se\u00e7im ekonomisi ve kemer s\u0131kma olacak. 2022\u2019de […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":165975,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53],"tags":[59515,63920,5271,106956,106955],"views":26,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/165972"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=165972"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/165972\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/165975"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=165972"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=165972"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=165972"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}