{"id":160914,"date":"2022-08-23T12:11:04","date_gmt":"2022-08-23T09:11:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=160914"},"modified":"2022-08-23T12:25:40","modified_gmt":"2022-08-23T09:25:40","slug":"komurlu-termik-santraller-2032-yilinda-emekli-edilebilir-mi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/komurlu-termik-santraller-2032-yilinda-emekli-edilebilir-mi\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) K\u00f6m\u00fcrl\u00fc Termik Santraller 2032 Y\u0131l\u0131nda Emekli Edilebilir mi?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

<\/p>\n

S\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir Ekonomi ve Finans Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 Derne\u011fi (SEFiA)<\/strong>, 2053 Net S\u0131f\u0131r emisyon hedefi yolunda emekli edilmesi gerekecek k\u00f6m\u00fcrl\u00fc termik santraller hakk\u0131nda ekonomik bir inceleme yay\u0131mlarken \u00f6zelle\u015ftirilen santrallerin hemen hepsi 2030\u2019lar\u0131n 2’inci yar\u0131s\u0131na kalmadan \u00f6zelle\u015ftirme bedellerini \u00f6deyerek emekli edilebilir duruma geliyor.<\/h2>\n

SEFiA<\/strong>\u2019n\u0131n yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmada, net s\u0131f\u0131r hedefi<\/strong>ne ula\u015fmak i\u00e7in ya\u015fl\u0131<\/strong> ve ekonomik \u00f6mr\u00fcn\u00fc<\/strong> \"\"tamamlam\u0131\u015f\/tamamlamak<\/strong> \u00fczere olan santrallerin devreden \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n uygunlu\u011fu yaln\u0131zca kamu maliyesi g\u00f6z\u00fcnden de\u011fil, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan da ekonomik<\/strong> olarak de\u011ferlendiriliyor. \u00c7al\u0131\u015fma \u00f6zelle\u015ftirilen 9 termik santralden<\/strong> sekizinin[1]<\/sup><\/em>, \u00f6zelle\u015ftirme tarihi itibar\u0131yla belirli varsay\u0131mlar alt\u0131nda, \u00f6zelle\u015ftirme bedelini<\/strong> ne zaman \u00f6deyip ba\u015fa ba\u015f noktas\u0131na<\/strong> gelece\u011finin hesaplanmas\u0131n\u0131 ama\u00e7l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\u00c7al\u0131\u015fmada ayr\u0131ca net-s\u0131f\u0131r hedefleri<\/strong> do\u011frultusunda emekliye ayr\u0131lan k\u00f6m\u00fcrl\u00fc termik santraller<\/strong> hakk\u0131nda d\u00fcnyadan g\u00fcncel \u00f6rnekler de veriliyor.<\/p>\n

\u00d6ne \u00e7\u0131kan bulgular<\/strong><\/h1>\n

– \u00d6zelle\u015ftirilen santrallerin<\/strong> bir k\u0131sm\u0131, h\u00e2lihaz\u0131rda \u00f6zelle\u015ftirme bedelini<\/strong> \u00f6derken a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 bir k\u0131sm\u0131 da 2030\u2019lar\u0131n 2’inci yar\u0131s\u0131na<\/strong> kalmadan bu bedeli \u00f6demi\u015f oluyor.<\/p>\n

– Santrallerin a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 bir k\u0131sm\u0131, \u00f6zelle\u015ftirme<\/strong> tarihinden 2022 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n<\/strong> ba\u015f\u0131na kadar kabaca \u00f6zelle\u015ftirme bedelinin yar\u0131dan fazlas\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131layacak miktarda faiz<\/strong>, amortisman<\/strong> ve vergi \u00f6ncesi kar<\/strong> (FAV\u00d6K) elde ediyor.<\/p>\n

S\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir Ekonomi ve Finans Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 Derne\u011fi (SEFiA) Direkt\u00f6r\u00fc<\/strong> Bengisu \u00d6zen\u00e7<\/em>, k\u00f6m\u00fcrl\u00fc termik santrallerin<\/strong> \u00e7ok uzak olmayan bir gelecekte hayat\u0131m\u0131zdan \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izerek \u015f\u00f6yle s\u00f6yledi:<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cT\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin, 2053 net-s\u0131f\u0131r hedefleri<\/strong> do\u011frultusunda k\u00f6m\u00fcrl\u00fc termik santralden<\/strong> elektrik \u00fcretimini terk etmesi gerekecek. Mevcut santral portf\u00f6y\u00fcn\u00fcn ne \u015fekilde ve hangi s\u0131ralamayla emekli edilece\u011finin planlanmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Bir yanda 2053 hedefleri<\/strong> do\u011frultusunda emekliye ayr\u0131lmay\u0131 bekleyen santraller, di\u011fer yanda ise \u00fclkenin arz g\u00fcvenli\u011fi<\/strong>nin zora sokulmamas\u0131 gereklili\u011fi, detayl\u0131 bir planlaman\u0131n zorunlu oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n

\u00c7al\u0131\u015fman\u0131n yazar\u0131 \u0130brahim \u00c7ift\u00e7i<\/strong> ise,\u00a0\u201cBu santraller i\u00e7in bir emeklilik plan\u0131 yap\u0131l\u0131p santral i\u015fletmecilerine belirlenen bir oranda yenilenebilir enerji yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 ruhsat\u0131 verilmesi, kamu a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan hem net-s\u0131f\u0131r hedefleri<\/strong>ne ula\u015fmada hem de arz g\u00fcvenli\u011fi<\/strong>ni tesis etme hususunda bir y\u00f6ntem olabilir. Bu, santral i\u015fletmecileri i\u00e7in de sermaye at\u0131lla\u015fmas\u0131<\/strong> riskinden ka\u00e7\u0131nma<\/strong> ve kaybedilecek nakit ak\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131<\/strong> telafi etmede \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm olacak bir model olabilir.” <\/em>diye devam etti.<\/p>\n

[1]<\/a> Hesaplamaya d\u00e2hil edilen termik santraller: Seyit\u00f6mer, Yata\u011fan, \u00c7atala\u011fz\u0131, Soma B, Kemerk\u00f6y, Yenik\u00f6y, Tun\u00e7bilek ve Orhaneli. Kangal<\/strong> termik santraline ait \u00fcretim verileri, Enerji Piyasalar\u0131 \u0130\u015fletme Anonim \u015eirketi\u2019nin (EP\u0130A\u015e)<\/strong> \u015feffafl\u0131k sisteminde eksik oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaya d\u00e2hil edilmemi\u015ftir.<\/em><\/p>\n

[2]<\/a> Bu analizin konusu bir yat\u0131r\u0131m (investment) karar\u0131<\/strong> fizibilitesi de\u011fil, aksine elden \u00e7\u0131karma (divestment) analizidir ve niyeti bu konuyu tart\u0131\u015ft\u0131rmaya a\u00e7makt\u0131r, yat\u0131r\u0131m\u0131n karl\u0131 olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermek de\u011fildir.<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language. S\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir Ekonomi ve Finans Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 Derne\u011fi (SEFiA), 2053 Net S\u0131f\u0131r emisyon hedefi yolunda emekli edilmesi gerekecek k\u00f6m\u00fcrl\u00fc termik santraller hakk\u0131nda ekonomik bir […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":160917,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[51,53,24649],"tags":[105480,19,18009,4532,61426,63101,105479,100973,102611,105482,104600,105481],"views":159,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/160914"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=160914"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/160914\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/160917"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=160914"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=160914"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=160914"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}

– \u00d6zelle\u015ftirilen santraller<\/strong>, ortalama 2032 y\u0131l\u0131<\/strong>nda ba\u015fa ba\u015f noktas\u0131na<\/strong> geliyor. Analiz, santrallerin \u00f6zelle\u015ftirme tarihinden 2022 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n<\/strong> ba\u015f\u0131na dek yaln\u0131zca faiz \u00f6dedi\u011fi<\/strong> varsay\u0131m\u0131yla haz\u0131rlanm\u0131\u015f olup, ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde anapara \u00f6demeye ba\u015flamalar\u0131 muhtemel g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnden ortalama 2032<\/strong> olarak hesaplanan ba\u015fa ba\u015f noktas\u0131<\/strong>n\u0131n daha erkene kaymas\u0131<\/strong> beklenebilir.[2]<\/a><\/p>\n