{"id":15683,"date":"2013-09-23T17:32:36","date_gmt":"2013-09-23T14:32:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=15683"},"modified":"2013-09-23T17:32:36","modified_gmt":"2013-09-23T14:32:36","slug":"seyl-devrimini-karsilamak-icin-henuz-cok-erken","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/seyl-devrimini-karsilamak-icin-henuz-cok-erken\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) \u015eeyl Devrimini Kar\u015f\u0131lamak \u0130\u00e7in Hen\u00fcz \u00c7ok Erken"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

\u0130HS ara\u015ft\u0131rma kurulu\u015fundan uzmanlar, petrol alan\u0131nda devrim tahmin ediyor. De\u011ferlendirmelerine g\u00f6re, \u015feyl petrol\u00fcn\u00fcn rezervleri \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck ve hammadde piyasalar\u0131n\u0131 sarsacak yetenekte. En b\u00fcy\u00fck potansiyele Rusya, Arjantin ve Cezayir sahip. Rusyal\u0131 uzmanlar da \u015feyl petrol\u00fcn\u00fcn \u00e7ok oldu\u011funu kabul ediyor. Uzmanlar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n kaydettiklerine g\u00f6re, mesele \u015feyl \u00fcretimini karl\u0131 hale getirmek.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0130HS uzmanlar\u0131, d\u00fcnyada \u015feyl petrol\u00fcn\u00fcn 23 perspektifli yata\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Onlar\u0131n potansyeli 175 milyar varil civar\u0131nda. Bu rakam, Kuzey Amerika\u2019daki rezerfleri 4 kat a\u015f\u0131yor. Bundan \u00f6nce baz\u0131 analizciler, geleneksel d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda olan kaynaklar\u0131n benimsenmesinin, enerji kaynaklar\u0131 fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesine yol a\u00e7abilece\u011fi tahmininde bulunmu\u015flard\u0131.<\/p>\n

Rusyal\u0131 uzmanlar, yeni bir \u201c\u015feyl devrimi\u201d perspektiflerine \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcl\u00fc \u015fekilde tepki g\u00f6steriyor. \u0130HS de\u011ferlendirmeleri ise \u00f6n tahminlerdir, onlar\u0131n temelinde do\u011fru bir tahmin yapmak pratik olarak reel de\u011fil. Yata\u011f\u0131n potansiyelini yaln\u0131z benimsenmeye ba\u015flamas\u0131ndan sonra belirlemek olas\u0131. Rusya Petrol Sanayiciler Birli\u011fi Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Gennadiy \u015emal anlat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\u015eirketin a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 rakam\u0131 \u00e7ok kat a\u015facak rakamlar\u0131 s\u00f6yleyece\u011fim. Bat\u0131 Sibirya\u2019da bir milyon kilometre kare b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde bir b\u00f6lgemiz var. Jeoloji uzmanlar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n \"\"<\/a>de\u011ferlendirmelerine g\u00f6re, buradaki petrol rezervleri 150 ila 200 milyar varil de\u011fil, ton kadar. Bu rakam, \u0130HS \u015firketinin t\u00fcm \u00fclkelerle ilgili verdi\u011fi rakamdan daha fazla.<\/p>\n

Halihaz\u0131rda Rusya\u2019da \u015feyl petrol\u00fcn\u00fcn iki deneme yata\u011f\u0131 benimseniyor. Uzmanlar\u0131n s\u00f6zlerine g\u00f6re, ba\u015fl\u0131ca problem, a\u011f\u0131r \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lan petrol\u00fc efektif \u015fekilde \u00fcretmeye olanak sa\u011flacak teknolojiler g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde yok. S\u0131ras\u0131 gelmi\u015fken kaydetmek gerek ki, gaz\u0131n\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7te birini \u015feyl yataklar\u0131nda \u00fcreten ABD, \u00fcretim y\u00f6ntemlerini meydana getirmek ve m\u00fckemmelle\u015ftirmek i\u00e7in 20 y\u0131l \u00e7al\u0131\u015farak 30 milyar dolar harcam\u0131\u015f oldu. Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z analizci Dmitriy Adamidov\u2019un s\u00f6zlerine g\u00f6re, Amerika\u2019da \u201c\u015feyl patlamas\u0131\u201d, bir \u00e7ok bak\u0131mdan yataklar\u0131n \u00e7ok elveri\u015fli konumuna ba\u011fl\u0131.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcm \u015feyl yataklar\u0131, art\u0131k mevcut olan altyap\u0131larda bulunuyor. Burada geleneksel hidrokarbonlar \u00fcretiliyordu, sonra \u015feyl yataklar\u0131 ortaya \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131. Petrol \u00fcretimine harcanan paralar\u0131n y\u00fczde 60\u2019\u0131n\u0131 altyap\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor. Deli\u011fi a\u00e7makla i\u015f bitmiyor. Hidrokarbonlar toplanmal\u0131, ta\u015f\u0131nmal\u0131 v.b.<\/p>\n

Gennadiy \u015emal\u2019in de\u011ferlendirmesine g\u00f6re, Amerika\u2019da \u015feyl gaz\u0131n\u0131n maliyeti bin metre k\u00fcp ba\u015f\u0131na 170-180 dolar. Bu y\u00fczden b\u00f6yle bir gaz\u0131n kullan\u0131lmas\u0131 yaln\u0131z yata\u011f\u0131n \u00e7ok yak\u0131nda bulunmas\u0131 halinde karl\u0131 oluyor. Bu halde ek ta\u015f\u0131ma masraflar\u0131ndan ka\u00e7\u0131nmak olas\u0131. K\u0131yaslama olsun diye: geleneksel Sibirya gaz\u0131n\u0131n bin metrek\u00fcb\u00fc 20-25 dolar.<\/p>\n

B\u00f6ylece, piyasaya y\u00fcksek fiyatla sat\u0131\u015fa \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde, \u015feyl petrol\u00fcn\u00fcn \u00fcretimiyle ciddi \u015fekilde u\u011fra\u015fmak olas\u0131d\u0131r. Gennadiy \u015emal\u2019in fikri i\u015fte bu. Her halde, \u015feyl petrol\u00fcn\u00fcn \u00fcretimi, hammadde piyasalar\u0131nda fiyatlar\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesine yol a\u00e7mayacak. \u015eeyl gaz\u0131 da bunu becerememi\u015fti.<\/p>\n

Kaynak: Enerji Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.\u0130HS ara\u015ft\u0131rma kurulu\u015fundan uzmanlar, petrol alan\u0131nda devrim tahmin ediyor. De\u011ferlendirmelerine g\u00f6re, \u015feyl petrol\u00fcn\u00fcn rezervleri \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck ve hammadde piyasalar\u0131n\u0131 sarsacak yetenekte. En b\u00fcy\u00fck […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":15684,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53,44],"tags":[8898,8900,6635,63,67,1009,165,7486,2402,59,8897,79,1369,885,8899,4203],"views":742,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15683"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15683"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15683\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15686,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15683\/revisions\/15686"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15684"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15683"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15683"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15683"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}