{"id":144172,"date":"2021-10-18T13:41:01","date_gmt":"2021-10-18T10:41:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=144172"},"modified":"2021-10-18T13:43:00","modified_gmt":"2021-10-18T10:43:00","slug":"2025e-kadar-atilacak-adimlarla-kuresel-isinma-2-derecenin-altina-inebilir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/2025e-kadar-atilacak-adimlarla-kuresel-isinma-2-derecenin-altina-inebilir\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) 2025’e Kadar At\u0131lacak Ad\u0131mlarla K\u00fcresel Is\u0131nma 2 Derecenin Alt\u0131nda Tutulabilir"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

<\/p>\n

Inevitable Policy Response (IPR) program\u0131n\u0131n bir par\u00e7as\u0131 olarak, BM’nin destekledi\u011fi Principles for Responsible Investment<\/strong> (Sorumlu Yat\u0131r\u0131m \u0130lkeleri, PRI) bug\u00fcn, 2025’ten \u00f6nce h\u0131zland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f iklim politikas\u0131na ili\u015fkin yeni ve \u00f6nemli bir tahmin yay\u0131nl\u0131yor. Politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n \u00f6nemli ama ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i politika eylemiyle mevcut ulusal karbondan ar\u0131nd\u0131rma planlar\u0131n\u0131 geli\u015ftirmeleri durumunda, Paris Anla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n, k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nman\u0131n 2\u00b0C’nin olduk\u00e7a alt\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 hedefine ula\u015fman\u0131n m\u00fcmk\u00fcn<\/strong> oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor.<\/h2>\n

COP 26’ya<\/strong> kadar olan s\u00fcre\u00e7te, iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fiyle m\u00fccadele<\/strong> i\u00e7in k\u00fcresel eylem yeterli olmaktan uzak. Ancak, olas\u0131 politika geli\u015fmelerine ili\u015fkin \u00f6nemli \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclerde bulunan ve reel ekonomi \u00fczerindeki etkisini de\u011ferlendiren yeni k\u00fcresel IPR Tahmini Politika Senaryosu (FPS)<\/strong>, iklim politikas\u0131nda \"\"2025 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar \u00f6nemli bir ivmelenmenin muhtemel<\/strong> oldu\u011funu tespit ediyor.<\/p>\n

Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n iklim politikas\u0131 risk ve f\u0131rsatlar\u0131na nas\u0131l yakla\u015ft\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 yeniden belirlemelerine yard\u0131mc\u0131 olan 2019 y\u0131l\u0131 Tahmini<\/strong>\u2019ni temel alan bu y\u0131lki FPS g\u00fcncellemesi<\/strong>, ayr\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 d\u00fczeyde 21 b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomiyi i\u00e7eriyor ve toplam CO2 emisyonlar\u0131n\u0131n 2050 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar %80 oran\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015febilece\u011fini ve \u0131s\u0131nmay\u0131 2 derecenin \u00e7ok alt\u0131nda (1,8 derece) tutmak i\u00e7in y\u00fczde elli \u015fans \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. <\/strong><\/p>\n

Emisyonlardaki azalmalar, 2020’lerde enerji<\/strong> ile g\u0131da<\/strong> ve toprak sistemleri<\/strong> genelinde uygulanan g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc politikalarla sa\u011flan\u0131yor:<\/span><\/p>\n

– Enerji sekt\u00f6r\u00fc emisyonlar\u0131, 2020’de yakla\u015f\u0131k 34 GtCO2’den 2050’de yakla\u015f\u0131k 9 GtCO2’ye %75 d\u00fc\u015febilir.<\/strong><\/p>\n

– Arazi sekt\u00f6r\u00fc emisyonlar\u0131 2020’de yakla\u015f\u0131k 6 GtCO2’den 2050’ye kadar y\u0131lda yakla\u015f\u0131k -1 GtCO2’ye d\u00fc\u015ferek %125 d\u00fc\u015ferek araziyi net bir CO2 yuta\u011f\u0131 haline getirebilir.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ancak tam sonu\u00e7lar elde edilmeden \u00f6nce bir gecikme ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Mutlak CO2<\/sub> emisyonlar\u0131<\/strong>n\u0131n, emisyonlar\u0131n %16 oran\u0131nda artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 son 10 y\u0131l\u0131n<\/strong> aksine, \u00fclkelerin mevcut Ulusal Katk\u0131 Beyan\u0131 (NDC) taahh\u00fctleri<\/strong>ne paralel olarak 2030 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar ancak hafif\u00e7e d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fi tahmin edilmektedir.<\/p>\n

Emisyonlar 2020’lerin ortalar\u0131nda zirve yap\u0131yor ve ard\u0131ndan 2025 sonras\u0131 politika uygulamalar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girmesi ve daha eski, fosil teknolojilerin<\/strong> yerini temiz alternatifler<\/strong> almas\u0131yla birlikte 2030’da<\/strong> azalt\u0131m oran\u0131nda bir b\u00fck\u00fclme noktas\u0131na ula\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor ve bu da bask\u0131n olmaya ba\u015fl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

2021 Tahmini Politika Senaryosu (FPS)<\/strong>, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 10 y\u0131lda<\/strong> kapsaml\u0131 politika de\u011fi\u015fikliklerinin enerji sisteminde nas\u0131l bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcme yol a\u00e7aca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ana hatlar\u0131yla belirtiyor:<\/span><\/p>\n

– S\u0131f\u0131r emisyonlu ara\u00e7lar, 2030 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar yollardaki t\u00fcm ara\u00e7lar\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %30’unu olu\u015fturacak <\/strong>ve zaten t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n zirvesine yak\u0131n olan petrol\u00fcn \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc h\u0131zland\u0131rarak 2026\/27’den sonra \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde azalacak.<\/strong><\/p>\n

– R\u00fczgar ve g\u00fcne\u015f enerjisi, 2030 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar k\u00fcresel elektrik \u00fcretiminin %30’undan fazlas\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131layacak, <\/strong>bu bug\u00fcnk\u00fc seviyelerin (yakla\u015f\u0131k %10) \u00fc\u00e7 kat\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/p>\n

\u0130klim senaryolar\u0131nda<\/strong> genellikle g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilen g\u0131da<\/strong> ve toprak sistemlerindeki<\/strong> h\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fiklikler de kritik bir rol oynuyor. G\u0131da \u00fcretimindeki b\u00fcy\u00fck de\u011fi\u015fimler, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n 2030’da et t\u00fcketiminde<\/strong> zirveye ula\u015fmas\u0131 ve Do\u011fa Temelli \u00c7\u00f6z\u00fcmlerin (NBS)<\/strong> h\u0131zlanmas\u0131yla 30 y\u0131l i\u00e7inde<\/strong> arazi kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n net bir karbon yuta\u011f\u0131 haline<\/strong> gelece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

Ancak h\u0131zl\u0131 d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcme ra\u011fmen, bu tahmin edilen de\u011fi\u015fiklikler, daha b\u00fcy\u00fck eylem gerektiren 2050’de<\/strong> Net S\u0131f\u0131r olacak \u015fekilde \u0131s\u0131nmay\u0131 1,5\u00b0C<\/strong>‘de tutmak i\u00e7in hala yeterli olmuyor.<\/p>\n

Gereken Politika Senaryosu (RPS)<\/strong> arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla yap\u0131lan yepyeni analiz, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131dakiler dahil olmak \u00fczere 1,5\u00b0<\/strong>C’lik bir sonu\u00e7 elde etmek i\u00e7in temel eylemlerin alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7iziyor:<\/span><\/p>\n

– \u0130deal olarak 2025 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyada ormans\u0131zla\u015fmaya son verilmesi<\/strong>. Aksi takdirde, enerji sisteminin, potansiyel olarak biyoenerji<\/strong> ve karbon tutma<\/strong> ve depolama y\u00f6ntemleri<\/strong> arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla daha b\u00fcy\u00fck azalmalar\u0131 emmesi<\/strong> gerekir.<\/p>\n

– En \u00f6nemlisi, karbonu tutulmam\u0131\u015f k\u00f6m\u00fcre 2035 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar \u00c7in’de tamamen son verilmesi<\/strong><\/p>\n

2040 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar neredeyse t\u00fcm piyasalarda yeni fosil yak\u0131tl\u0131 otomobillerin a\u015famal\u0131 olarak kullan\u0131mdan kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 ve 2045 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar k\u00fcresel olarak %100 temiz g\u00fcce ge\u00e7i\u015fin sa\u011flanmas\u0131.<\/strong><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language. Inevitable Policy Response (IPR) program\u0131n\u0131n bir par\u00e7as\u0131 olarak, BM’nin destekledi\u011fi Principles for Responsible Investment (Sorumlu Yat\u0131r\u0131m \u0130lkeleri, PRI) bug\u00fcn, 2025’ten \u00f6nce h\u0131zland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":144176,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53,52],"tags":[97691,4135,10921,27289,97685,97687,1471,11933,27427,97690,97686,97689,97688],"views":186,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/144172"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=144172"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/144172\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/144176"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=144172"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=144172"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=144172"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}