{"id":13675,"date":"2013-08-02T09:53:00","date_gmt":"2013-08-02T06:53:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/?p=13675"},"modified":"2013-08-02T10:21:36","modified_gmt":"2013-08-02T07:21:36","slug":"turkiyenin-enerji-ithalati-son-dort-yilda-ilk-kez-geriledi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/turkiyenin-enerji-ithalati-son-dort-yilda-ilk-kez-geriledi\/","title":{"rendered":"(Turkish) T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Enerji \u0130thalat\u0131 Son D\u00f6rt Y\u0131lda \u0130lk Kez Geriledi…"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish<\/a>. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.<\/p>

Petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda gerilemesi enerjide d\u0131\u015fa ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 olan T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin enerji ithalat\u0131n\u0131n son d\u00f6rt y\u0131lda ilk kez gerilemesini sa\u011flad\u0131. Bu y\u0131l\u0131n ocak ay\u0131nda 117 dolar seviyesine yakla\u015fan Brent petrol\u00fcn varil fiyat\u0131 k\u00fcresel ekonomik yava\u015flama ve bunun petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekece\u011fi beklentileri ile nisan ay\u0131n\u0131n ortalar\u0131nda 100 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na kadar geriledi.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda ya\u015fanan bu gerileme enerjide d\u0131\u015fa ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi i\u00e7in iyi bir geli\u015fmeydi. Nitekim 2012 y\u0131l\u0131 ocak-may\u0131s d\u00f6neminde 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamas\u0131 117,44 dolar seviyesinde olan Brent petrol\u00fcn varil fiyat\u0131 bu y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6neminde 108,4 dolar seviyesinde seyretti.<\/p>\n

T\u00dc\u0130K taraf\u0131ndan a\u00e7\u0131klanan haziran ay\u0131 d\u0131\u015f ticaret verilerine g\u00f6re 2012 y\u0131l\u0131 ocak-haziran d\u00f6neminde enerji ithalat\u0131 29,6 milyar dolar seviyesinde iken bu y\u0131l\u0131n ilk alt\u0131 ay\u0131nda bu rakam 27,1 milyar dolara geriledi. B\u00f6ylelikle enerji ithalat\u0131 ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re 2 milyar 454 milyon dolar (y\u00fczde 8,3) azald\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u00d6te yandan petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n gerilemesi ile enerji ithalat\u0131 ilk alt\u0131 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemler itibariyle 2009 y\u0131l\u0131ndan itibaren ilk defa geriledi. 2009 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ocak-haziran d\u00f6neminde 13,5 milyar dolar olan enerji ithalat\u0131, 2010\u2032da 17,6 milyar dolar, 2011\u2032de 24,9 milyar dolar ve 2012 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise 29,6 milyar dolarla tarihi y\u00fcksek seviyesine ula\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Enerji ithalat\u0131 son 16 y\u0131lda 2008 k\u00fcresel ekonomik krizden sonra ikinci kez geriledi. 2008 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ilk alt\u0131 ay\u0131nda 24,3 milyar dolar ile o zamana kadar ki en y\u00fcksek seviyede ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen enerji ithalat\u0131 2009 y\u0131l\u0131nda krizin derinle\u015fmesiyle en sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirerek 13,5 milyar dolara gerilemi\u015fti.<\/p>\n

2013 y\u0131l\u0131 ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda ithal edilen ham petrol miktar\u0131 ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 3,3 oran\u0131nda azalarak, 9 milyon 187 bin 558 tondan 8 milyon 886 bin 503 tona geriledi.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>\u201c\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde, petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fi enerji faturas\u0131n\u0131n \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 seyrinde yukar\u0131 risk olu\u015fturacakt\u0131r\u201d<\/h2>\n

Halk Yat\u0131r\u0131m Ekonomik Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc Banu K\u0131vc\u0131 Tokal\u0131, haziran ay\u0131nda enerji ithalat\u0131nda g\u00f6zlenen s\u00fcrpriz d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte, t\u00fcketim ve yat\u0131r\u0131m e\u011filiminde g\u00f6zlenen yava\u015flaman\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra petrol ithalat\u0131ndaki azal\u0131\u015f\u0131n \u00f6nemli bir rol oldu\u011funu belirtti.<\/p>\n

12 ayl\u0131k enerji ithalat\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131l ba\u015f\u0131ndan beri \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 bir a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 trend i\u00e7inde oldu\u011funu ve haziran sonu itibariyle 57,7 milyar dolara geriledi\u011fi bilgisini veren Tokal\u0131, \u201cY\u0131ll\u0131k enerji faturas\u0131 ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n sonunda 60 milyar dolar\u0131 a\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Enerji faturas\u0131n\u0131n azalmas\u0131nda, petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6stermesinin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra ekonominin hala potansiyel seviyesinin olduk\u00e7a alt\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak petrol \u00fcr\u00fcnlerine y\u00f6nelik talebin miktar olarak da d\u00fc\u015fmesinin etkisi var.<\/p>\n

\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde, petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fi enerji faturas\u0131n\u0131n \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 seyrinde yukar\u0131 risk olu\u015fturacakt\u0131r. Ancak, ya\u015fanan global dalgalanman\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00fczerindeki olumsuz etkisinin boyutuna ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak, fiyat etkisinin miktar etkisinin \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fip ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmeyece\u011fini g\u00f6rece\u011fiz\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n

\u201cFiyatlardaki her 10 dolarl\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u0131ll\u0131k enerji ithalat\u0131n\u0131 5 milyar dolar azalt\u0131yor\u201d<\/h2>\n

Odeabank Ekonomik Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc \u0130nan\u00e7 S\u00f6zer ise alt\u0131n hari\u00e7 bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda ihracat y\u00fczde 2,3 artarken, ithalat y\u00fczde 0,8 gerileyerek i\u00e7 talepte yava\u015flama sinyali verildi\u011fini belirterek, alt\u0131n hari\u00e7 ithalattaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte, petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n bu d\u00f6nemde gerilemi\u015f olmas\u0131n\u0131n etkili oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

Haziran ay\u0131nda net enerji ithalat\u0131 y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 16 gerilerken, net enerji hari\u00e7 ithalat\u0131n yava\u015flamaya ra\u011fmen i\u00e7 talebin kademeli bir \u015fekilde toparland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi\u011fini dile getiren S\u00f6zer, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin d\u0131\u015f dengesizliklerinde petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n kritik \u00f6neme sahip oldu\u011funu kaydetti.<\/p>\n

Hesaplamalar\u0131na g\u00f6re petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki her 10 dolarl\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn y\u0131ll\u0131k enerji ithalat\u0131n\u0131 5 milyar dolar azaltt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bilgisini veren S\u00f6zer, di\u011fer bir s\u00f6ylemle 2012 y\u0131l\u0131 sonunda milli gelire oran olarak y\u00fczde 6 seviyesinde olan cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n petrol fiyatlar\u0131 2003 y\u0131l\u0131nda oldu\u011fu gibi 30 dolar seviyesinde kalsayd\u0131, sadece y\u00fczde1 seviyesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

S\u00f6zer, bu do\u011frultuda gelecek d\u00f6nemde petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n seyrinin, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye ili\u015fkin risk alg\u0131lamas\u0131nda kritik fakt\u00f6rlerden biri olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirterek, b\u00f6ylece ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re ithalattaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyrekteki y\u00fczde 5,0\u2032ten ikinci \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 9,1\u2032e y\u00fckseldi\u011fini aktard\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bu d\u00f6nemde t\u00fcketim mal\u0131 ithalat\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fle y\u00fczde 12\u2032den y\u00fcze 14\u2032e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 esas art\u0131\u015f\u0131n yat\u0131r\u0131m mal\u0131 ithalat\u0131ndaki (y\u00fczde 0,6\u2032dan y\u00fczde 12,4\u2032e) canlanmadan kaynakland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirten S\u00f6zer, \u015funlar\u0131 kaydetti:<\/p>\n

\u201cBu \u00e7er\u00e7evede y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011finde ekonominin y\u00fczde 3,5 civar\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ancak daha da \u00f6nemlisi ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmede yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n pay\u0131n\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin ediyoruz. Bu durum ulusal tasarruflarda da iyile\u015fmeye i\u015faret ediyor. Haziran ay\u0131nda cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n 5 milyar dolar civar\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fece\u011fini ve 12 ayl\u0131k a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n da may\u0131staki 53,6 milyar dolardan 54,7 milyar dolara y\u00fckselece\u011fini tahmin ediyoruz. Rekabet\u00e7i TL ve yeni ekonomik program sayesinde ihracattaki canlanma, cari a\u00e7\u0131ktaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131 bask\u0131l\u0131yor.\u201d<\/p>\n

Kaynak: Enerji Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sorry, this entry is only available in Turkish. For the sake of viewer convenience, the content is shown below in the alternative language. You may click the link to switch the active language.Petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda gerilemesi enerjide d\u0131\u015fa ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 olan T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin enerji ithalat\u0131n\u0131n son d\u00f6rt y\u0131lda ilk kez gerilemesini sa\u011flad\u0131. Bu y\u0131l\u0131n ocak […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4314,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[53,44],"tags":[7339,63,67,94,165,7341,347,7340],"views":595,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13675"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13675"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13675\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13684,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13675\/revisions\/13684"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4314"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13675"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13675"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.enerjigazetesi.ist\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13675"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}